NOAA Forecast: A below-normal Atlantic Hurricane Season is likely this year


The only way this can be true is if the GCM’s are wrong and that would mean their theory is wrong — lets hope they don’t send the air force into the gulf or the Atlantic to try and seed a hurricane!

Watts Up With That?

Hurricane forecasting evolving with new storm surge products, upgraded modeling

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season will likely be below-normal, but that’s no reason to believe coastal areas will have it easy.

For the hurricane season, which officially runs from June 1 to November 30, NOAA is predicting a 70 percent likelihood of 6 to 11 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including zero to 2 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher). While a below-normal season is likely (70 percent), there is also a 20 percent chance of a near-normal season, and a 10 percent chance of an above-normal season.

“A below-normal season doesn’t mean we’re off the hook. As we’ve seen before, below-normal seasons can still produce catastrophic impacts to communities,” said…

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