The Untold War in Syria and Deserted Pipelines

Armstrong Economics Blog/Energy Re-Posted Jun 30, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

We’ve heard of the refugees and people fleeing Syria for a better life, but the media rarely reports how dire the situation has become. Reuters recently reported that 1.5% of the Syrian population is DEAD due to the ongoing war. Estimates state that around 83 people (18 who are innocent children) die every day in Syria. So why has everyone overlooked this decade-long deadly battle?

I mentioned in 2013 how former President Obama wanted to invade Syria. In 2009, Qatar proposed a pipeline that would have sent energy to Europe from Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Jordan. Then Syrian ruler Assad, backed by Russia, began negotiating for a different pipeline with Iran that would run gas to Europe from Iraq and Syria. Russia saw an economic advantage to having the latter pipeline as the US was too closely linked to Qatar, and therefore, the Iranian pipeline became a priority for Russia.

Putin met with Obama in 2015 to ask him to support Assad against ISIS. Obama objected as that was not economically beneficial for the US and would give Russia almost a monopoly over European energy. Obama began suddenly lifting sanctions on Iran to break the forming alliance. Russia entered Syria on the exact day the ECM predicted, and the US began backing Assad’s opposition even though that meant funding the terrorist group ISIS.

There have been no developments on the Iran–Iraq–Syria pipeline (known as the friendship pipeline) since 2013. The Syrian people have been left to rot. There is so much virtue signaling for Ukraine, but numerous nations invaded Syria and left their economy and infrastructure in shambles. No politician cares about the people; nearly all decisions are made based on money. The US lost this battle as Russia remains an energy powerhouse with a stronghold on the entire energy sector. Thanks, Obama.

Macron Tells Biden to Rethink Energy Plans

Armstrong Economics Blog/Energy Re-Posted Jun 30, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

French President Emmanuel Macron pulled US President Joe Biden aside at the G7 summit to explain a few basic facts. Biden has been demanding Middle Eastern nations ramp up their oil and gas production to help offset the energy crisis his administration has created. It’s ok to drill and take from the environment as long as it is not on US soil.

A reporter recorded Macron explaining to Biden that the United Arab Emirates is already at maximum capacity and cannot produce more oil. He also told him that begging the Saudis for oil was a lost cause too. These were the only two OPEC nations left that the US thought it could tap into for more oil.

Journalist Michael Shellenberger tweeted part of the exchange between the US and French leaders: “I had a call with MBZ,” Macron said. (MBZ is the leader of the United Arab Emirates, Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan.) “He told me two things. I’m at a maximum [production capacity] and [the] Saudis can increase by 150 [thousands barrels per day].”

Reporters were visibly in earshot when Macron spoke to Biden, which seems like a strategic move. It is a not-so-subtle effort to explain to the US, as the world is watching, that they have the power to ramp up production on its own without grappling for help from other nations.

Hutchinson & the Real Lie Behind this Latest Scam

Armsttrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Jun 30, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

It is very curious that Cassidy Hutchenson is testifying to what would be considered inadmissible evidence in a court of law. She has said that President Donald Trump was so irate that his Secret Service detail wouldn’t take him to the Capitol on Jan. 6 that he tried to grab the wheel of the armored limousine, then attacked one of the agents, according to testimony from a top former White House aide. This is HEARSAY and this political agenda of January 6th is a kangaroo court in its grand sense.

The entire object here is to claim January 6th was an armed insurrection so they can constitutionally prevent Trump from running again. This so-called “evidence” from Cassidy Hutchenson would NEVER be allowed in any court of law. The only person who could give such evidence would be the Secret Service agent. It must be someone with personal knowledge. Hutchenson has ruined her career for who would hire her fearing she could testify against her boss and makes up anything.

A proper constitutional investigation would be to take Hutchinson’s statement, identify the Secret Service agent, and then subpoena him to the stand. The fact that they never contacted the Secret Service raises a HUGE Red Flag that they are simply trying to poison the minds of everyone knowing that this is NOT acceptable evidence in a court of law.

This is like a disgruntled neighbor calling the cops saying they “think” you killed your spouse because they have not seen them for a week when they are merely out of town. I have deep concerns that now Hutchinson may have been offered something in return for this testimony and here we have Liz Cheney, whose father created the Iraq Way on fake information killing millions of people, and was responsible for the rise of ISIS, claiming falsely that “the case for prosecuting Donald Trump just got much stronger.” She is NOT stupid. She is an is an American attorney and therefore knows that HEARSAY is not acceptable in any court in the world. She is DELIBERATELY lying to the public to prevent Trump from ever running for President.

I hope Wyoming just moves West and joins California for hopefully they will secede from the Union and I will cheer – good riddance! This is not about the rule of law. This is about oppression. The Justice Department is trying to give people who were just there taking a selfie 5 years in prison.

Tucker Carlson Walks Through a List of Political Dissidents the Biden Administration Has Targeted in the Last 18 Months

Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 29, 2022 | Sundance

In his opening monologue tonight, Fox News host Tucker Carlson outlined a political list of DOJ and FBI targets over the past 18 months.  Some of these examples are probably forgotten; however, when you see the examples highlighted with a timeline it really does showcase how our system of government has been weaponized by a corrupt Dept of Justice and corrupt FBI.

The part where the political dissidents are outlined begins at 05:39 (prompted) WATCH:

Farm Bureau Estimates July 4th Food Basket Costs 17 Percent More in 2022

Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 29, 2022 | Sundance

The U.S. Farm Bureau posts their calculated cost of the July 4th holiday food basket each year.  This year the Farm Bureau is estimating a cost of $69.68 for ten people, that is an increase of 17% from 2021. [DATA HERE]


I’m not sure we could feed ten people for less than $70, but that’s the estimate from the Farm Bureau which aligns with the Consumer Price Index.  Full data below.

(Farm Bureau) – […] Data for this year’s survey was collected by 176 volunteer shoppers across the country and in Puerto Rico, including Farm Bureau members and others.

Individual Prices, AFBF 2022 Summer Cookout

2 pounds of ground beef, $11.12 (+36%)

2 pounds of boneless, skinless chicken breasts, $8.99 (+33%)

32 ounces of pork & beans, $2.53 (+33%)

3 pounds of center cut pork chops, $15.26 (+31%)

2.5 quarts of fresh-squeezed lemonade, $4.43 (+22%)

2.5 pounds of homemade potato salad, $3.27 (+19%)

8 hamburger buns, $1.93 (+16%)

Half-gallon of vanilla ice cream, $5.16 (+10%)

13-ounce bag of chocolate chip cookies, $4.31 (+7%)

2 pints of strawberries, $4.44 (-16%)

1 pound of sliced cheese, $3.53 (-13%)

16-ounce bag of potato chips, $4.71 (-4%)

DATA Source

Civics Fail, AOC Says it is Responsibility of Executive Branch and Legislative Branch “to put the supreme court in check”

Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 29, 2022 | Sundance

June 29, 2022 | Sundance | 158 Comments

In exactly 22 seconds during a late-night television appearance, Democrat Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez showcased her lack of understanding how the United States government works.  Ms. AOC literally gets the construct of our government reversed.

According to AOC it is “the responsibility of the president and congress to put the Supreme Court in check.”

Exactly the opposite is true.

It is the literal role and responsibility of the Supreme Court to check the constitutional validity of the legislative and executive branch.   The supreme court exists, almost exclusively, to keep the president and congress in check.  WATCH:


Ms. AOC could not be more wrong if she tried.  However, this is a great example of how basic civics are unknown to some of the people in congress.   Quite remarkable.

Turkey Drops Opposition to Sweden and Finland Joining NATO, Biden Approves F-16 Sales to Turkey

Posted originally on the conservative tree house June 29, 2022 | Sundance


In March of this year Finland President Sauli Niinistö traveled to the White House [link].  In April reports first surfaced of Finland and Sweden joining the NATO alliance [link].  In mid-May of this year President Sauli Niinistö stated his decision for his country to join NATO was a matter of needing to choose sides, “what we see now, Europe, the world, is more divided. There’s not very much room for ‘non-aligned,’ in-between. So that was also what we are thinking,” he said [link]

The next day, May 16th, Turkish President Recep Erdogan, a preexisting NATO member, said Turkey would block the application of Sweden and Finland from joining NATO until their conditions and terms were accepted [link].  Two days later, May 19th, Joe Biden, flanked by Finnish President Sauli Niinisto and Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson (again at the White House), said the two countries would “make NATO stronger.” [link]

On Tuesday of this week Turkey removed their block of Sweden and Finland from joining NATO, and on Wednesday Joe Biden agreed to sell Turkey 40 Lockheed Martin-made F-16 fighters and nearly 80 modernization kits for its existing warplanes:

Newsmax – The Biden administration threw its support on Wednesday behind the potential sale of F-16 fighter jets to Turkey, a day after Ankara lifted a veto of NATO membership for Finland and Sweden.

Celeste Wallander, Assistant Secretary for Defense for International Security Affairs at Pentagon, said strong Turkish defense capabilities would reinforce NATO’s defenses.

“The United States supports Turkey’s modernization of its fighter fleet because that is a contribution to NATO security and therefore American security,” she said. (read more)

Finland now represents an additional 1,340 km (830 mi) long direct border with Russia.  The border runs mostly through uninhabited taiga forests and sparsely populated rural areas.  Two weeks ago, June 9, 2020, Finland announced their “government plans to amend border legislation to allow the building of barriers on its eastern frontier with Russia, […] in a move to strengthen preparedness against hybrid threats amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.” [link]

The NATO alliance has now done a great deal of logistical and strategic placement in advanced preparation for the next phase of the conflict with Russia.   Notice where the emphasis is in the statements from Joe Biden and Recep Erdogan (emphasis mine):

MADRID – President Biden lavishly praised Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan for his “leadership” after the autocratic leader agreed to allow Finland and Sweden to join NATO in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Biden sat with Erdogan on the sidelines of the Atlantic alliance’s summit in Madrid Wednesday and thanked him for allowing the two Nordic states to join the bloc as well as working on ways to export Ukrainian grain in a manner that bypasses obstructions caused by the war.

“I want to particularly thank you for what you did putting together the situation with regard to Finland and Sweden, and all the incredible work you’re doing to try to get the grain out of Ukraine and Russia. I mean, you’re doing a great job,” Biden told Erdogan.

The Turkish leader, known for jailing reporters and dissidents, had threatened to block the alliance’s expansion over Sweden and Finland taking a purportedly weak stance against Kurdish activists whom the Ankara government calls “terrorists.”  Erdogan, speaking through a translator Wednesday, said he hopes to broker exports of grain from Ukraine.

“The Russia and Ukraine conflict and the negative developments with regards to taking out of the grain from the Ukrainian ports, as well as the developments involving oil and natural gas, require all of us to work together in order to settle the disputes once and for all,” Erdogan said.

He added that “there are countries deprived of the grains, and we will open corridors, and we will allow them to have access to the grains that they so need.” 

Biden concluded a media availability by saying to Erdogan, “It’s in large [part] because of your leadership. Thank you. I really mean it. Thank you.”  (read more)

Keep in mind, every western media narrative from this Ukraine war is filled with propaganda.

Despite the western media and western government claims to the contrary, in all of the regions of the country under the control of the Ukrainian government the grain stores have been destroyed by the Ukraine military.   Brave independent journalists on the ground in Ukraine have been providing the documentary evidence of Ukraine Armed Forces (UAF) destroying and burning grain warehouses and silos. [link]

Save the direct evidence videos if you want them.  Now that CTH is showing the evidence of Ukraine government burning and destroying the grain these videos will disappear and this Twitter account will likely get removed.

Ukraine military and government officials are destroying grain storage.  At the same time fields are burning and the western media are blaming Russia for setting fire to farmland in an effort to destroy the grain harvest.   Simultaneous to these conflicting claims, also keep in mind the New York Times has been reporting the CIA and Pentagon are controlling all military operations from secret operational headquarters in Kyiv [link].

Can you see what is happening?

Again, I repeat…. The NATO justification for war against Russia will come as an outcome of food shortages and western government blaming Vladimir Putin.  Toward that end, it is in their interest to destroy food harvests from inside Ukraine in an effort to increase food shortages and support their justification.  The CIA is operating there.  Can you see what is happening?

NATO and the Western alliance need to position global food shortages on the shoulders of Vladimir Putin in order to justify their war with Russia as a war to stop global famine.   Can you see what is happening?

Joe Biden and NATO now position Turkish President Recep Erdogan as the broker, the diplomat in the middle, who is trying to help feed the world by securing Ukrainian shipments of grain that are simultaneously being destroyed by Ukrainian military operations under the control of the CIA.  Can you see what is happening?

It is not in Russia’s geopolitical or strategic interests to destroy Ukraine food supplies.

In order to maintain their geopolitical position and hold Climate Change energy policy as the priority, the western alliance must have a way to deflect the shortage of food away from their energy policy and toward something else.   Can you see what is happening?

War is coming.  It is not a question of “if”, it is a question of “when”?

Can you see what is happening?

Watch western media.

When they start really pushing Russia as the reason for world food shortages, we will be closer to the start of the war.

Deafening Drumbeats for War – Biden Sends More U.S. Troops to Ukraine Border, 101st Airborne Deployed, Six Destroyers to Mediterranean, F-35 Squadrons to U.K.

Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 29, 2022 | Sundance

There is a slow-motion buildup to a hot war with Russia happening.  The NATO and western alliance motive for the war is clear {Go Deep}.  The question is rapidly moving from “if” to “when.”

In this outline we will update on the troop and military movements and then explain why the war with Russia is becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy.  In many ways this will be the “Climate Change War,” you will see why below.

First, the U.S. is moving troops from the 101st Airborne ‘screaming eagles’ into NATO allied countries on the western border of Ukraine.   This is the first deployment of the Army’s 101st Airborne Division from Fort Campbell, Kentucky, to Europe in 80 years.  As noted by base reporting, “Elements of 2nd Brigade Combat Team, and 101st Headquarters and Headquarters Battalion, 101st Airborne Division, have been assigned to carry out the mission.” [source]

“We’re going to check the Russian influence and we’re going to impact the Russians’ decision-making for probably the next 10-20 years,” said Col. John Lubas, deputy commanding officer for operations, 101st Airborne Division, in a pre-deployment briefing. “We’re going to do this with all our partners in NATO, the European Union and the West, and this is an incredibly important mission.” 

Maj. Gen. JP McGee, commanding general, 101st Airborne Division and Fort Campbell, said the division has been in an increased readiness posture for several months and is just as prepared now as during World War II.

“Since D-Day, June 6, 1944, this division has repeatedly answered the nation’s call in every major conflict,” McGee said. “The Screaming Eagles of today are ready to support our allies to preserve the long-lasting stability in Europe that our predecessors fought and died to secure.” (link)

Second, Joe Biden has announced that six U.S. Navy Arleigh Burke-class destroyers are being moved into the Mediterranean Sea to provide air defense missions and the ability to launch cruise missiles well inland into Russia [source].

As noted in a press conference by Biden, “here in Spain, we’re going to work with our Ally to increase U.S. Navy destroyers stationed in Spain’s Rota Naval Base from three to — from four to six — four to six destroyers.”

Joe Biden – “In Poland, we’re going to establish a permanent headquarters for the U.S. Army Fifth Corps and — strengthening our U.S.-NATO interoperability across the entire eastern flank.

We’re going to maintain additional rotational Brigade — which is 3,000 fighters and another 2,000 personnel — Combat Team here in Europe, headquartered in Romania. And we’re going to enhance our rotational deployments in — deployments in the Baltic states. (link)

Third, Joe Biden is sending “two additional F-35 squadrons to the UK, and station additional air defense and other capabilities in Germany and in Italy.” [source] This is not a defensive posture.  This is an offensive buildup of U.S. troops across the broad western border of Ukraine and a positioning of advanced first-strike elements in proximity to Russia.

This large NATO footprint posture, of which the United States is the predominant military force, has little to do with Ukraine and almost nothing to do with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

As noted by the New York Times last weekend [source], the CIA, State Dept. and Pentagon special forces are operating in Kyiv and organizing the military conflict against Russian forces in eastern Ukraine.

War with Russia is moving from “if” to “when”, and here’s how we know it is almost certain.

The NATO and western alliance that is currently engaging in the military buildup against Russia is the exact same alliance of governments’ who are chasing the climate change agenda at all costs.

I know it sounds outlandish, but the World Economic Forum multinational corporations that influence and manipulate geopolitical politics are the driving force for this needed war with Russia.  Their holy grail of Climate Change policy, and the massive shift in global economic power that comes with executing the climate change agenda, is so consequential to the geopolitical world that such a massive move is needed.

More specifically, we already know there is going to be a global food shortage as a result of the new world order energy policy that underpins the Build Back Better agenda.  We do not know the extent of the food deficit; however, we do know less food, perhaps much less food, is going to be available on a global basis.

We also know the majority voices, including the United States, within the NATO alliance have decided it is more important to follow the climate change policy than it is to feed people. [Africa Example]  The U.K and Germany proposed trying to avoid further conflict by generating more food [source].  The U.S. and Canada have blocked the effort saying that maintaining the shift toward new western energy development is more important.

Maintaining the development of a new western energy system to drive economic activity is more urgent and important than the looming crisis of global famine.  Accepting that reality, understanding the priorities as outlined, are the keys to understanding why the western alliance need the war with Russia {GO DEEP}.

I cannot emphasize this enough.  If you do not accept the scale, scope and severity of the collective west’s entrenched commitment to climate change, you will be caught off-guard and not understand what is coming.

NATO and Western Govt, led by the policy of Joe Biden, have placed oil and gas sanctions against Russia. Those U.S-led Russian energy sanctions follow similar sanctions already in place against oil and gas from Iran and Venezuela.

Simultaneously the G7, Western Alliance will not allow Africa to develop their own use of natural gas to produce fertilizer to increase crop yield/harvest. [source] The G7 control food production in Africa by controlling the energy company investment needed to manufacture fertilizer. Again, as with the biofuel issue [source], the G7 and Western Alliance are prioritizing Climate Change energy policy over food production. Which will ultimately cause food shortages and famine.

However, within this forecast dynamic, now the “WEST” has an ideological problem. Sooner or later the issues will surface with massive interest. People around the world will figure this out. The absence of food will change things. People in all parts of the world will eventually get angry once they realize the absence of food is being caused by Western Govt prioritizing Climate Change over people.

Things will get intense. Things will get ugly. The Western “leaders” need a scapegoat, a way to focus the world’s anger away from them… and toward something else. Their advanced narrative messaging has already surfaced in the words of National Security Coordinator for Strategic Communication, John Kirby:

“President Putin is, no kidding, weaponizing food. Let’s just call it what it is: He’s weaponizing food. He’s got an essential blockade there in the Black Sea so that nothing can leave by sea — and that’s, of course, how Ukraine has historically gotten its grain to markets.” [source]

It is not coincidental that John Kirby was moved from Pentagon spokesperson to NSC strategic communications at the White House.  Kirby’s prior move into the White House is as much related to what is coming as the 101st Airborne deployment today.

Notice how the looming shortage of food is being blamed on Russian President Vladimir Putin.  “He’s weaponizing food,” Kirby repeats, this is a significant and telling advance narrative.  What Kirby is outlining is the western government justification for the upcoming war against Russia.

The collective western leaders, positioned by the NATO talking points, are going to justify war against Russia as a needed fight to stop the global food crisis from worsening.  They will claim it is Russian President Vladimir Putin who has disrupted the world energy production.

NATO and the western alliance will claim Putin is the reason why food fertilizer is in short supply.  NATO will claim that Putin’s war in Ukraine is the source of the global energy, food and subsequent economic crisis.  Just like Putin has been blamed for higher energy and gasoline prices, so too will Putin be blamed for starving millions of people.

The war against Russia will be justified as the war to stop Putin from creating mass starvation.   If you cannot see how this is being constructed through all of the sub-links, citations and sources above, I cannot lay this out more clearly.

A NATO and western alliance war with Russia is not a matter of “if“, it is now a question of when?

Oversaturated Retail

Armstrong Economics Blog/World Trade Re-Posted Jun 29, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Smartphones were in short supply at the end of 2021. I mentioned that Counterpoint Research lowered their forecast of global smartphone shipments from 1.45 billion units to 1.41 billion. Their study further suggested that smartphone OEMs only received 80% of the crucial components they need this year to manufacture phones during the second half of the year. Samsung was forced to cancel its Galaxy Note series and people had to wait weeks on end for a phone. Recent commercials have been circulating where Samsung is begging clients to bring in their old phones from any year, and in any condition, to upgrade to the newest model.

They ramped up production, but the demand was no longer there by the time the products arrived. Samsung now has 50 million phones in stock that they cannot sell. A new smartphone purchase is not necessarily on the list of priorities for most during rising inflation and a teetering recession. The company estimates that it will ship 270 million phones this year, but that leaves them with 18% in unsold inventory at best. Samsung noted that their lower-priced models make up the majority of idle inventory, indicating a sign of the times.

Samsung is not the only company suffering from supply now outweighing demand. Walmart, Gap, Target, and American Eagle all reported in their last earnings calls that they have more products than they can sell. The warehousing costs for idle inventory are leading some companies to consider reversing their return policy – here’s your money, keep the item.

“For every dollar in sales, a retailer’s net profit is between a cent to five cents. With returns, for every dollar in returned merchandise, it costs a retailer between 15 cents to 30 cents to handle it,” retail expert Burt Flickinger told CNN. This puts retailers at risk since many will abuse the policy. Sales and clearances on seasonal items are expected as the retail market is oversaturated with supplies that arrived too late.

Fuel Shipping Costs Soar

Armstrong Economics Blog/World Trade Re-

Posted Jun 29, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

The cost of shipping has added another variable to the complicated global inflation and energy crisis. According to the Baltic Exchange data as reported by Bloomberg, hauling rates have reached a high not seen since April 2020.

The TC-5 passage commonly used to transport fuel from the Middle East to Japan cost around $61 per day in February. That same voyage costs an alarming $50,000 per day. Shipping costs from the US to Brazil on route TC-18 spiked from $3,800 per day in February to a high of $37,000 daily. The world is reliant on these fuels, and demand is expected to rise 6% this year alone.

Europe shot itself in the foot by eliminating its usage of Russian oil. The US and Canada similarly created their own energy crises by becoming reliant on fuel imports. A tax holiday or similar temporary bandage will not help the ongoing crisis that will certainly last beyond the Russia-Ukraine [and West’s proxy] war.