An Important German Documentary on Ukraine

Armstrong Economics Blog/Ukraine Re-Posted May 7, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

This is a MUST-watch Documentary from a German journalist who has been on the ground. It is important to see the other side of events for anyone who only listens to one side, is denied the very idea of free thought.

A number of people asked to see an ECM on Zelensky himself. This lines up perfectly with the final wave for Ukraine as well between 2021 into 2025 where it is highly likely we will see war escalated post-2024. Zelensky got his staring role to pretend to be a comedian who became president in line with the ECM turning point 2016.75 which marked the peak in confidence in government globally. 2016 saw both Brexit and Trump win which were direct blows to the establishment.

The Coming Dust Bowl – 2025-2027?

Armstrong Economics Blog/Agriculture Re-Posted Mar 22, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Marty; You have been the first to warn of food shortages and to stockpile for the years ahead. With Russia and Ukraine accounting for 30% of global wheat, you have warned that we are looking a shortages into 2032. Does this mean the war will last for 10 years?


ANSWER: No, the forecasts for shortages into 2024 are actually divided into two primary causes. There was a major crisis in crop failures in 1846-1847, which also provided the economic reasons for the 1848 Communist Revolutions throughout Europe when agriculture was 70% of the economy back then. This was followed by the next great drought which became known as the “Dust Bowl” during the years of 1935-1936. Note, this had nothing to do with CO2 and the Industrial Revolution. While the Dust Bowl was a 10 year struggle for farmers, it certainly varied from city to city. Generally 1935 to 1936 was the worse of it and by 1937 the trend began to reverse.

Our model warns that we may see another severe drought probably between 2025 to 2027 in both the US and Canada. The drought conditions are already beginning and this is in line with our model which warns it will expand into the 2025-2027 period.

Therefore, to answer your question more directly, it appears that we have a shortage first instigated by the outrageous stupidity of COVID management, and this is the accelerated by the War Cycles, and it will conclude with the weather cycle which will only add to the shortages post-2024.

The Darndest Thing Happened on the Way Home From Work

Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 22, 2022

Some guy driving a Chevy Silverado near Elgin, Texas, has 2021 and 2022 encapsulated.


Treehouse wife: “How was work?”

Treehouse hubby:  “Eh, ok.  Weird drive home though. How’s kids?”

Wife: “The usual, but Jack needs help with math tonight”…

Hubby: “Ok, I’ll be in the garage for a bit”.

You might remember this prior ad for Chevy Silverado.


Tenuous Winter Wheat Crops Could Become Problematic

Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 20, 2022 | Sundance

Wheat is an essential grain harvest in the overall food chain.  Winter wheat is planted in October and harvested the following June and July, however, the U.S. crop this year is in a tenuous position because of severe drought in the plains.  Kansas represents about a quarter of the U.S. harvest and is currently suffering through an extended dry season.

Last week, “Kansas Governor Laura Kelly declared a drought emergency, warnings and watches for every county in Kansas on Thursday due to dry conditions causing high fire danger.” (link)

We need to keep an eye on this, and it would be wise to make proactive preparations now for the possibility of a severe shortage.  This potential is what has driven the price of wheat futures, and when combined with the issues in Europe’s largest wheat producer, Russia, there’s a very real possibility of a global shortage of wheat.

The early March warnings are beginning to become more important.  “The world has grown hugely dependent on Ukraine and Russia for their wheat, a crop used in everything from bread to couscous and noodles. The nations account for a quarter of global trade. They are also cheap suppliers, which makes their exports favorites for importers in the Middle East and North Africa, including in Egypt, the world’s biggest wheat buyer.” (link)

Back to the U.S.A:

March 14 (Reuters) – A worsening drought in the southern U.S. Plains is threatening the region’s winter wheat crop just as the Ukraine crisis dents global supplies.

Some farmers in southwestern Kansas, the top U.S. wheat producing state, have not received much measurable rain or snow since October. Winter wheat is planted in autumn, lays dormant in winter and begins sending up green shoots in spring. Proper soil moisture is critical at this stage for the crop to thrive.

More than half of Kansas was classified as under severe drought or worse as of March 8, the driest conditions since 2018, according to the National Drought Mitigation Center. Severe drought is also covering three-quarters of Oklahoma and more than two-thirds of Texas, both of which also are large wheat producers.

Water woes follow a freak December windstorm that swept away some topsoil in parts of the U.S. wheat belt, damaging some cropland.

U.S. hard red winter wheat represents nearly half of the country’s overall wheat production and is milled mainly for bread flour. A reduced crop could further stoke food inflation that the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) said was the highest-ever in February. The FAO’s Food Price Index averaged 140.7 points last month, a 20.7% increase from a year earlier and surpassing the 2011 record.

U.S. wheat futures soared to the highest levels in 14 years early last week as the Russia-Ukraine conflict pushed two of the world’s largest wheat exporters out of the market, leaving importing countries scrambling for replacement sources.

Meanwhile, the winter wheat crop in China, the world’s largest producer of the grain, is expected to be among the worst ever after heavy rainfall delayed planting. (read more)

We need to watch this one closely, and it would not be a bad idea to purchase some of your own bread making supplies a little earlier for storage.

Wheat, corn and soybeans are the foundation of the U.S. food supply. They are primarily used as ingredients in processed foods, oils, and are fed to the cattle, hogs, and poultry that supply meat and eggs for the American diet.  When those grain harvests go up in price, the downstream increase in price is far reaching.

Ok – Those who Voted for Biden & Want Global Cooling, Please Stay Out of Florida!

Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Jan 26, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

The Tonga eruption & Volcanic Winter?

Armstrong Economics Blog/Agriculture Re-Posted Jan 26, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

The explosive eruption of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai volcano was massive. It would have covered much of California engulfing from San Francisco down to Los Angeles. They are still trying to figure out how big this event was yet it was certainly one of the largest to have taken place in modern times. The Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) is measured from 1 to 8. Pinatubo, which is considered similar to the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Haʻapai eruption, scored a 6 on the index. However, Pinatubo produced an eruption column of gas and ash that rose 40 km into the atmosphere, whereas this Tongan eruption was at least 20 km high.

Such events can cause what is known as a Volcanic Winter by the ash blocking the sun. That is what has taken place many times throughout recorded history. They called the year 1816 – the year without a summer. This  19th-century disaster, played out during 1816 when the weather in Europe and North America entered a volcanic winter with widespread crop failures resulting in famine followed by plague. The dust from the eruption of Mount Tambora, which had erupted in early April 1815, had shrouded the entire globe blocking the sunlight. This sent the world into darkness and 1816 did not have a normal summer. It even snowed in New York City during July.

The ash cloud of Tambora also affected the sky not just during the day but also caused the moon to be hazy and dark in appearance. In John Crome’s Moonrise on the Yare (c.1811–6) the moon is visible through the clouds just behind the buildings in the middle of the painting but barely. In the bottom left corner, we see a person working on a small boat in darkness.

It was about one year before the effects were actually felt. The weather in 1816 saw spring arrive as usual. Then as summer was to begin, cold temperatures returned. There were places where the sky appeared permanently dark and overcast. Crops failed due to the lack of sunlight and food shortages were reported in the United States, and throughout Europe. There was a feeling of doom that the world was coming to an end.

The Year Without a Summer also inspired Mary Shelley who was just 18 when she dreamed up her story of a “pale student of unhallowed arts” and the “hideous phantasm of a man” he created. She was a friend of the author Lord Byron who challenged her to write a ghost story. Her seminal classic of gothic horror, Frankenstein, was inspired during this period. Her first edition was one of 500 copies of this novel printed in 1818. Today, they are worth probably $1.5 million+.

It took more than a century before anyone really understood the reason for the Year without a Summer that it was a volcanic winter caused by the eruption of an enormous volcano on a remote island in the Indian Ocean. But what is significant here is that it took nearly one year for the ash to blank the globe. It was not instantaneous. Here, the blast was huge and it was visible from space. So we may not know about any possible Volcanic Winter for up to one year. When we look at our Food Index, note that the volatility began here in 2022 and will continue to rise into 2024. The mismanagement of Biden and this COVID agenda which has disrupted the supply chain combined with Bill Gates becoming now the largest farmland owner in the USA intent on disrupting the food supply further with his synthetic beef for climate change, throw in volcanic winter and the risk of war, and prices could rise further as supply shrinks.

We can see that Wheat jumped 350% during World War I from 1914 into 1919. Here we have the convergence of deliberate disruption of the food supply to further Gates’ vision of eliminating beef production, the advent of potential global war, and the serious risk of a Volcanic Winter especially if we get yet another massive eruption.

Volcanoes & The Risks Ahead

Armstrong Economics Blog/Nature Re-Posted Jan 15, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

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Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai volcano, which is a Submarine volcano, has erupted sending tsunamis off in every direction. The eruption has not yet been classified. However, it has been building since the March 16, 2009 (2009.205) eruption. There have been four eruptions since then and it does appear to be closer to a Pi cycle.

If we look at the volcanic activity in the entire region we can see this was then due to begin rising from 2019. There tends to be a general cyclical wave of 68 years looking at Tambora and Krakatoa which were 1815 and 1883. Kelud is one of the most active volcanoes in Indonesia that has major eruptions from time to time. The first explosion was around 1586. It had an eruption in 1951. The next target was 2019 marking the eruption of Tangkuban Perahu Volcano but a few months before Anak Krakatau became one of the most active volcanoes in Indonesia.

The key here appears to be that there are multiple eruptions of a lesser magnitude in 1815 and 1883 so they were not eruptions that were by themselves. The risk from volcanoes of a volcanic winter ahead would emerge when we see more coordinated eruptions that could lead to one major eruption that blocks the sun.

White House Hoping Kentucky Tornado Crisis Will Provide Biden Team the Platform to Rebrand Collapsing Image

Posted originally on the conservative tree house on December 16, 2021 | Sundance | 160 Comments

First things first… If the governor responsible for organizing the state response to a massive crisis is still incapable of controlling his emotions, and cries in front of the media five days after the damage, I guarantee you he/she is a Democrat.  I don’t mean to be brutal or insensitive about it, but the emotional inability of effeminate Democrat Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear is embarrassing to watch.   Cowboy the f**k up, and get on with the job.

That said, it is obvious the White House political communications team are not planning to let a crisis go to waste.  The opportunity provided by the devastating tornadoes that tore through Kentucky, is an opportunity for Biden to rebrand himself and attempt to get his collapsed polling numbers to reverse.

That’s the reason for the heavily engineered presser yesterday, and that’s the reason for the federal response.  On the positive side, the flood of help is good for Kentucky; however, cynically that benefit is mostly possible because the Biden White House is desperate and needs positive PR.

Traditionally, when there’s a FEMA-level crisis in a red state or region, and Democrats are in the White House, the federal response is weak.  It’s just how they roll.  However, fortunately for Kentucky, this time the crisis coincides with the White House occupant desperately needing to rehabilitate his image. And it’s a Democrat governor holding office over a Red state, so the White House producers, script writers and narrative directors have massive latitude.

It was smart of Ron Klain to send Jill Biden to Wisconsin on the same day he sent Joe to Kentucky.  After a few words from Klain to coordinate with the CNN crew, Kate Bennett delivered the conflated article brilliantly for the Google search engines.   It now looks like the faux-President visited Wisconsin [ SEE FOR YOURSELF, read it carefully ]. Obviously he didn’t, but when you know the intent is to manipulate and give the illusion that he did, well, the way Kate Bennett constructed the outline is brilliant.

Leftist politics are not about reality or what’s real.  Modern leftist politics are about the illusion of what’s real.  That’s the primary reason the professional leftists are so good at pretending not to know things.  Leftists and communists are, by mental constitution and nature, pathological in the extreme.

If you are not strong-minded, Alinsky trained leftists can convince people of alternate realities in the same way an abuser can get an abused person to believe their beating is their own fault.  Leftists can convince entire groups of people to board cattle cars, while the victims convince themselves their abuser would never really kill them.

This pathological approach is also why leftists continually undermine independent thought and rely on peer pressure from Hollywood, Big Tech and social media.

The professional political left needing big tech and social media to silence the opposition is the same reason a toxic boyfriend needs to block his abused girlfriend from visiting her family.  Pathological people and groups need to keep their victims isolated.

In the big picture, this level of manipulative control is also the foundation of the international COVID fraud.  When you go this big, the lie must be retained… or else.  Think about it.

Those whose hold on power depends on deception are always able to find an audience of those willing to be deceived.  Now, the audience of those willing to be deceived is a flexible group in terms of numbers and identities; even those who have been in that audience for some time may one day walk away from it.  But, what is it that makes folks stay in that audience?  What price are they afraid of paying?  What deception are they unwilling to let go of?

If it was suddenly discovered that SARS-CoV-2 and the COVID-19 vaccines, mandates, boosters and passport controls are really just a simple fraud, built upon an established plan to control people and numb them to the toxic influence of government protection – even to the extent of forced medical procedures to avoid something as innocuous as the common cold or flu; well, how would a genuinely awakened victim react to the Red Pill?

Think carefully about that answer….

Because if the victim had such an ‘ah-ha’ moment of realization, and then you guided them with familiar reference points to the topic of climate change… well, you can see the problem for the totalitarian control forces.   After all, once you see the light from a small but important lie, it becomes much easier to see the light from the larger and more consequential lies.

Maybe then the victim suddenly realizes it wasn’t the poor sandwich making skills that caused him to smash her head into the kitchen sink; and from that moment forward, the end of the cycle begins.

Sunday Talks, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear Gives Horrific Update to Tornado Devastation, Entire Towns Gone, Death Toll Will Climb

Posted originally on the conservative tree house on December 12, 2021 | Sundance | 102 Comments

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear gave a terrible update about the devastation in the aftermath of the horrific tornadoes that hit overnight Friday into Saturday morning.  According to the Governor, more than 70 are dead in a candle factory alone in Mayfield, and the death toll is expected to continue climbing as the list of missing people throughout the state is too long to fathom.

An official death count has not been released, but Beshear, appearing on CNN’s State of the Union, said at least 80 Kentuckians were feared dead with that number expected to rise. “I know we’ve lost more than 80 Kentuckians. That number is going to exceed more than 100,” he said. “This is the deadliest tornado event we’ve ever had.” WATCH:

Additional deaths have been reported outside of Kentucky including six at an Amazon warehouse in Illinois, four in Tennessee, two in Arkansas and two in Missouri.  More drone footage of the devastation was released earlier today. [See Below]

Raw Video Shows Horrific Tornado Devastation in Kentucky, At Least 70 Killed, Six States Impacted, National Guard Rescue Operations Continue

Posted originally on the conservative tree house on December 11, 2021 | Sundance | 271 Comments

The town of Mayfield, Kentucky has been absolutely devastated by at least one of several tornadoes that tore through six states overnight.  The video footage of the area shows widespread devastation, and the Kentucky governor is now reporting at least 70 people have been killed.

All Treepers in the region please check in and let us know how y’all are doing.  Our prayers are with everyone who was in the path of this massive storm system.  There are resources coming from all over the Southeast and Midwest into the region.  The images are jaw-dropping.

(Reuters) – A devastating swarm of tornadoes ripped through six U.S. states, killing more than 70 people in Kentucky and leaving a trail of destroyed homes and businesses along a path that stretched more than 200 miles, officials said on Saturday.

Dozens were feared dead at a candle factory in western Kentucky where about 110 people were working when a powerful tornado ripped through the facility late on Friday, causing the roof to cave in.  VIDEO:

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear said 40 of the 110 workers had been rescued from the factory so far. “The level of devastation is unlike anything that I have ever seen,” Beshear said of the damage caused by the collection of twisters, with the primary tornado traveling more than 227 miles (365 km) across his state.

[…] The genesis of the tornado outbreak was a series of overnight thunderstorms, including a super cell storm that formed in northeast Arkansas. That storm moved from Arkansas and Missouri and into Tennessee and Kentucky.

“Unfortunately it produced a couple of deadly tornadoes along the way. One of them may have been a long-track tornado,” Storm Prediction Center meteorologist Roger Edward said. “The killer tornado was part of that.” (read more)

Almighty God, You are our healer. Our trust is in Your grace and power. We are blessed in Your name.

With You all rescue, recovery and healing are possible. We ask Your comfort upon those who have suffered such great tragedy.

We pray for Your comfort to relieve the anxiety of all who have been impacted. Let Your strength keep all the rescue workers going and find any who are lost.

Provide Your Holy Spirit to restore those who have suffered so much. Amen.