Prevalent Poverty Amid Robust Consumer Spending


Posted originally on Oct 13, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

American Consumer

Question: Martin, I wanted to share something that happened at church this Sunday. A deacon from a nearby town came to visit. His congregation is in a lower-income neighborhood, and they are urgently seeking financial support. Their food pantry has been overwhelmed like never before, with more families than ever lining up each week. I reside in an affluent area, and many of our members were shocked to hear about the severe struggles so close to us. You often talk about food inflation and the rising private debt in America, yet all the economic data indicates a strong economy with high consumer spending. Could this be a case of the data not reflecting the real hardships on the ground? -J.D.T.

CreditCardDelinquency_byClass

(consumer debt by income level)

Answer: The top 10% of American earners are responsible for 49.2% of consumer spending. Two-thirds of GDP is based on this aspect alone and those at the top are propping up economic data through spending. These people are not necessarily wealthy as the top ten percent of US households earn $250,000 or more. That same group INVESTS and is responsible for 93% of all equity ownership.

The government creates social programs disguised as a path to help those in need. These programs simply cause taxes to increase for everyone, including the average man who does not have the luxury of creative accounting. Instead of permitting the people to invest the money, the government takes it as an interest-free loan for the year and expects the public to cheer when they receive a refund check.

Around 26.6 million adults in the United States live in poverty, or around 10.4% of the population. The overall poverty population is 35.8 so there are about 9 million children living in poverty. The federal poverty guideline if $32,150 for a family of four, well below the median household net worth. The Supplemental Poverty Measure notes that over 10 million full-time workers live below the poverty line. For one reason or another, over 16 million adults in America are living in poverty and not working. The US currently spends $1.5 trillion on welfare programs each year, including $742 billion for Medicaid and $757 billion for other welfare programs.

Those 10 million working Americans living in poverty are not off the hook for taxes. They must pay an average of 6.3% of their pay to government, and then wait until the end of the year to receive the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) and the Child Tax Credit (CTC) to offset the income tax alone. The government is collecting around $3 billion each year from this vulnerable population.

Spending on welfare is also a boost in terms of GDP calculation, as government spending is seen as a net positive. Household size and state vary significantly, but half of Americans are considered “middle class” and earn a household income between $53,7000 and $161,200. “Middle class” is an extremely broad term, as is “upper class.” The only true constant is the poverty class, who are reliant on the government but also expected to contribute to government spending. The US has over $36 TRILLION in debt—the taxes collected from the people are a drop in the bucket. Unfortunately, those in poverty are going to feel the brunt of stagflation. Low-income jobs are rapidly replaced through automation, and the cost of living has reached record highs. Redistributing wealth only makes everyone equal in poverty as the personal debt crisis is affecting every income level. Give what you comfortably can if you feel compelled to do so, voluntarily, as mandated wealth distribution is merely a way for the government to continue spending and profiting off the people.

Legalized Mass Murder & the Balkans


Posted originally on Oct 13, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Bismark on Balkans

Trump is on the WRONG side of this war with Russia, and this is the most significant risk of taking us into World War III. You cannot deal with the Balkans as if it were any other place in the world. The region has experienced centuries of imperial domination, forced religious conversion, and forced assimilation. Because these groups lived side-by-side for so long, their grievances are almost exclusively against each other. A Serb’s historical trauma is often linked to a Croat or an Ottoman (Bosniak), and vice versa. There is a cyclical pattern of eternal vengeance in the Balkans. The violence of the 1940s was avenged in the 1990s, creating a seemingly endless cycle where each generation feels it must settle the score for the last.

Bandera Kiev 2 10 14

Then there has been the political manipulation—the most critical factor in the modern era. The hatred was not a spontaneous outburst; it was carefully, deliberately, and ruthlessly manufactured by elites for political gain over time. Bandera of Ukraine launched his ethnic cleansing to terminate anyone without Ukrainian blood to forge their own country, which today are the Neonazis who still market and display Bandera’s image following his call for ruthless ethnic cleansing. His image dominated the Maidan Revolution of 2014.

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In conclusion, the ethnic hatred in the Balkans is a tragic story of how deep historical fault lines, when combined with the modern political tool of nationalism and weaponized by unscrupulous leaders, can be exploded into catastrophic violence. It is a stark warning about the power of history and the danger of politicians who use ethnic identity as a weapon. The West is now supporting the followers of Adolf Hitler. The ethnic hatred of the Ukrainians toward Russians started the separation movement of the Donbas when they were killing Russian-speaking people in Odessa, and the West turned a blind eye because the victims were Russians.

May 2 2014 Odessa Trade Unions House

The BBC interviewed one man: “We are from Odessa. It’s just about Odessa, about peace. It was horror. It was annihilation of people believed to be separatists. But I am not separatist, I was born in Odessa.”

What Trump does not understand is that the hatred is so deep that there is no solution to this hatred other than that Iran will suddenly accept Judaism. Every word out of Zelensky’s mouth is about the destruction of Russia. He has even called on NATO to nuke Moscow as a pre-emptive strike.

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Now, the Russian state media figure has warned of serious consequences if the United States provides Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine. They reported on live television that such a move would be worse than the Cuban Missile Crisis. He also claimed that if the United Kingdom were destroyed, many people around the world would approve. The British are deeply hated for their Neocons.

Ukraine_Hryvnia Y Array 6 16 24 Flatlining

The Kremlin’s strong response reflects worries about Ukraine getting long-range missiles. This would be no different than Russia handing long-range missiles to Venezuela.  This situation points to rising tensions between Russia and Western countries. It will justify all-out nuclear war, for the ONLY realistic option would be to nuke Kiev. I fear that if Trump makes this stupid mistake, he will be fulfilling what our computer has been projecting.

The only possible solution to this conflict is the FORCED removal of Zelensky, whom many Ukrainians do not even believe was fairly elected. Let the people of Ukraine vote for themselves. Since we can buy securely from Amazon online, then the 15 million or so Ukrainians who have fled their country should be allowed to vote on continuing this stupid war that our Neocons instigated. I believe that McCain, who was forced to read American propaganda when a prisoner of the North Vietnamese, just hated Russians because they were once communists, and it was his personal payback. For an American to stand up and advocate the overthrow of a government there in Kiev is unprecedented.  Nobody gives a shit about the Ukrainian people if even one will be left standing.

Merkel_Minsk_Buy_Time_to Prepare for wart

The Minsk Agreement was the solution, and Ukraine should have been divided along ethnic lines just as Yugoslavia and Chechnya. The ethnic hatred in the Balkans is systemic, and it extends back for centuries. Our Neocons have exploited that hatred to start this war with Russia.

I have been invited to a geopolitical briefing on Russia. I will express my concern that embarrassing Putin could lead to a third coup, and this time we will get a Russian Neocon to confront the Neocons of the West.

Patch Harry

The Russian people no more support such a war than the American and European people. Harry Patch, the last surviving veteran from World War I at the age of 111, had the best suggestion for war.

” I felt then, as I feel now, that the politicians who took us to war should have been given the guns and told to settle their differences themselves,

instead of organizing nothing better than legalized mass murder.”

Hillary & Her Hatred of Men?


Posted originally on Oct 12, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

QUESTION: You haven’t commented on Hillary’s hatred of white Christian men.

Je

REPLY: There really is nothing to say. She hates men because she resents being a woman. She is the poster child of the ’60s Women’s Liberation Movement, which shifted from advocating for equality to outright hatred. My ex-wife was one of them. We broke up, and I kept the kids. My daughter was just 6 months old at the time. The upside was that I could build a company undistracted. That is also probably why I am not married today. Even the girls in the company voted for Trump in 2016, which surprised me. When I asked why? They said Hillary was a female Nazi who wanted to draft them. The younger generation of women did not follow Hillary’s path – thank God. Otherwise, the birthrate would have collapsed much more.

Of course, it was socialism that altered the marriage landscape. The Great Depression contributed to a decline in the husband–wife age gap. During the Great Depression, the economic uncertainty pushed both men and women to postpone marriage. That is also what causes recessions. The uncertainty of the future causes people to save rather than spend. That is why the ECB went negative on interest rates in 2014, and why QE failed. They finally raised rates in 2022 (Europe’s Lost Decade). However, after the Great Depression, with Socialism and the post-1937 economic recovery, there was a cultural shift that led to younger marriages overall and a smaller age difference.

In Colonial America, men (often 25–35) married women 16–22. Men waited until they had established farms or trades. Women were expected to marry young. In Victorian England, wealthy widowers frequently remarried younger women, producing age gaps of 20–30 years. It was socialism that upset everything. Men no longer had to prove they could support a family. Under socialism, there was always welfare.

Even the practice of the dowry came to an end. The dowry was usually cash, land, livestock, jewelry, or household goods given by the bride’s family. It often substituted for inheritance—since sons inherited the family land, daughters received their share as a dowry. When John Wayles died in 1773, he left his daughter Martha (Thomas Jefferson’s wife) 135 slaves, along with other property. When Martha married Jefferson, these slaves became part of Jefferson’s household under Virginia law at the time, effectively transferring their control to him.

The Women’s Lib movement of the ’60s was much more hostile than anything ever since. Hillary is just filled with hatred of men, I believe, because she resents not being a man. I believe she was always anti-Christian because of this contest in her mind with men.

President Trump Delivers Remarks to Israeli Knesset (Parliament) – 4:00am ET Livestream


Posted originally on CTH on October 13, 2025 | Sundance

U.S. President Donald Trump arrives in Israel and addresses the Knesset after brokering a historic Gaza ceasefire deal. President Trump travelled from the airport in Tel Aviv together with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

The streets are crowded with Israeli supporters of President Trump.  The Knesset remarks are heavily anticipated. Livestream Links Below.

The government of Israel is smartly leveraging all of their political will to build up influence upon President Trump as he becomes the fulcrum, the Solomon of sorts, for the future of Gaza and all that follows.

On the other side of the balance, comes the expectations of Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey, Syria and Jordan.

Only President Donald Trump is big enough for this moment of consequence. The pressure of both sides of this generational inflection point cannot be overestimated.

Only U.S. President Donald Trump is significant enough to bear the responsibility and pressure of this moment. It is a remarkable testimony to a lifetime of steps that has brought him to this moment.

We are watching history.

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President Trump Arrives in Israel – Video


Posted originally on CTH on October 13, 2025 | Sundance | 11 Comments

President Trump arrives in Israel as a massive delegation welcomes him with full red-carpet diplomacy.  Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu together with dignitaries from Israel and the U.S. negotiating team greet President Trump as he arrives at the airport. [Video Prompted]

President Trump will address the Knesset, the Israeli parliament, as the first steps of the U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Hamas continue to come into effect. The first seven of the final remaining hostages taken by Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023, were returned to Israel on Monday as part of a prisoner exchange.  Full schedule below the arrival video.

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Tom Homan Lays Out Strategy to Fix the Border, His Message to Leftists, and Why He Won’t Ever Stop


Posted originally on Rumble on Bright Bart News Network on: October 11, 2025

Tom Homan Lays Out the Three Things That Will Fix Illegal Immigration


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Homan: Democrat Endgame Was to Flood America with Illegals for Political Power


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Homan: “If You’re in the Country Illegally, You’re Not Off the Table”


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