DIGITAL ID: THE LOCKDOWN THEY NEVER ABANDONED
Posted Jun 9, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Governments never abandon an idea once they discover it increases control. They simply wait until the public is distracted and repackage it under a different name. The lockdowns may be over, but the mentality that produced them never disappeared. It merely evolved.
The United Kingdom is now moving toward a digital identity system tied to smartphones through the GOV.UK Wallet and digital credentials. The politicians sell it as convenience. They always do. It is easier. It is faster. It is more secure. Those are the same promises made every time governments seek to consolidate information and authority into a single system. What begins as a voluntary tool gradually becomes expected, then preferred, then required. Before long, participation in normal life depends on compliance.
The concern has never been the technology itself. The danger is the inevitable expansion of purpose. Today, it is proving your age, identity, or right to work. Tomorrow, it becomes the preferred method for accessing benefits, taxes, banking services, healthcare, travel, voting, and countless other activities. Every government insists it will never go too far, yet history repeatedly demonstrates that once infrastructure exists, future politicians inherit powers they never had to build themselves.
Privacy advocates, cybersecurity experts, and civil liberties groups have already warned that digital identity systems will erode privacy and place sensitive information in a centralized database, ripe for the taking. Once your identity, credentials, permissions, and access are concentrated inside a digital ecosystem, the relationship between citizen and state fundamentally changes.
What few people appreciate is how quickly a digital identity can become the master key for everyday life. Once your government-issued digital credentials are stored on your phone, they can be linked to tax records, healthcare access, benefits, banking verification, travel documents, age verification, employment eligibility, and countless other services. Before long, those who refuse to participate find themselves navigating endless hurdles while everyone else is funneled into a single digital ecosystem. Participation becomes unavoidable. Every crisis then becomes an excuse to add another layer of monitoring, another credential, another requirement, until the smartphone evolves into a digital passport for participation in modern society.
We saw governments worldwide prohibit citizens from accessing public spaces during COVID if they refused to be vaccinated. Play by the rules if you want to participate in society. Look what happened in China during COVID as one of countless examples. China sought to prevent bank runs by restricting citizens’ physical access to banks. People were required to scan a pass to enter public transportation systems but were denied entry. If they made it to the bank, they were barred from entering because the code had been switched off. Over $6 billion (39 billion yuan) was frozen, and thousands of people were unable to access their bank accounts. A few banks in rural Henan reported bank runs, and residents were planning a protest after finding that their funds were frozen. The government successfully controlled human behavior through a digital platform.
Conveniently, the COVID tracing app is required to enter the bank. Users need to scan their QR codes to enter most public places. It has been reported that thousands of COVID-negative individuals had their status changed via the app, restricting their movement and making public places inaccessible. So even those who play by the rules are at risk of losing their place among society, instantly, without warning or reason.
At first, they will claim that participation is optional. Governments claimed that the COVID vaccination was not technically mandatory, but citizens could not freely access society without proof of vaccination. The pattern is the same—you technically do not need to create a digital ID, but basic tasks will become increasingly difficult to the point where you either cave or find energy-intensive workarounds. If this were about convenience, the government would not be considering assigning every newborn a digital ID at birth.
Millions of people living in Thailand understand the power the government holds over them after digital IDs were linked to their ability to bank. The Thai government began freezing tens of thousands of bank accounts per week. Over three million accounts were frozen without notice or proper investigation. Shockwaves of panic spread throughout the nation. Businesses no longer wish to accept credit. Confidence in government and now the banks has been destroyed. This event occurred as a protective measure against money laundering, allegedly, but soon, governments will have the ability to deliberately revoke access to the system.
Freedom is rarely lost in one dramatic moment. It disappears through a thousand small steps, each presented as reasonable, practical, and necessary. Most people will accept digital ID because it appears convenient, but there are the remaining few who continue to trust the government. Once government decides that access to services, travel, employment, banking, or communication should depend on maintaining that digital identity in good standing then we will see a massive uproar. But of course, by then it will be too late, and any disobedience will be noted in your permanent digital file.
Enemies of the State Infiltrate Govt
Posted originally on
Jun 9, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
When I first saw the comments attributed to Zul Mohamed, a candidate for mayor in Texas, I had to read them twice. Any politician is free to criticize government policy. That is part of a free society. But when someone seeking public office reportedly declares, “No vet has made any sacrifice,” and goes on to say, “I do not support the US military” and “I do not support the United States,” that crosses into something entirely different. If those statements accurately reflect his views, then voters deserve to know exactly who is asking for their support.
Pakistan-born Mohamed has long-running legal troubles surrounding election fraud allegations and convictions tied to his earlier mayoral campaign. Texas authorities arrested him in 2020 on more than one hundred felony counts connected to a mail-ballot scheme. Prosecutors alleged that ballot applications were forged and directed to a mailbox obtained under a false identity. Years later, he pleaded guilty to numerous felony counts and was sentenced by a jury. Despite that history, his name returned to the ballot once again.
The issue here is larger than one candidate. Confidence in government is collapsing across the Western world because people increasingly feel that public office is attracting individuals who openly disdain the very institutions they seek to control. Citizens can disagree over taxes, foreign policy, immigration, or military intervention. Those debates are healthy. Yet there remains a basic expectation that elected officials should possess at least some degree of respect for the nation they hope to govern.

Veterans do not all share the same political views. Many criticize Washington as fiercely as anyone else. To claim that no veteran has made a sacrifice is an insult to those who returned home wounded, those who spent years separated from their families, and those who never came home at all. Whether one supported a particular war is irrelevant. The personal sacrifices made by service members are undeniable. There could be no United States without our troops.
This is not the first instance of a US politician openly hating the country they claim to represent. The Squad thinks it is progressive to be anti-America. Rashida Tlaib has repeatedly uses rhetoric describing America as an evil empire. Ilhan Omar stated that the United States was being turned into “one of the worst countries” in the world and openly supports her birth nation over America. New York’s Mamdani calls America a colonial imperialist nation and condemns capitalism.
An entire generation of politicians has been educated to view Western civilization as little more than a pile of sins. They can recite every historical failure but rarely acknowledge the freedoms, innovations, and opportunities that attracted millions of immigrants over centuries. It is extremely problematic that people who view the US with disdain are eager to enter politics. Who are they representing if not the American people? Where are their loyalties?
What is alarming is how a growing faction of the far left has stopped talking about fixing America and started talking as if America itself is the problem. They attack the country’s history, its institutions, its traditions, its military, and even the idea of patriotism itself. Every nation has flaws, but a political movement that teaches people to be ashamed of their country instead of fighting to improve it only breeds division and resentment. When politicians spend more time condemning America than defending it, voters have every right to question whose interests they truly represent.
This is a question for voters. If a candidate openly says he does not support the United States and looks down upon its military, then citizens must decide whether that is the type of leadership they want representing their community. Democracy only functions when voters pay attention. The greatest threat to any republic is indifference.
Categories:Politics
The Jobs Report Everyone Will Misread
Posted originally on Jun 8, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
The May jobs report came in far stronger than expected. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 172,000 while other economists were looking for roughly 80,000 to 85,000 jobs. The unemployment rate remained at 4.3%, and March and April payrolls were revised higher by a combined 93,000 jobs. Leisure and hospitality added 70,000 jobs, local government gained 55,000, healthcare added 35,000, and manufacturing managed a small increase as well. On the surface, the numbers look solid and the financial press will immediately rush out stories claiming the economy remains strong.
What they never seem to understand is that employment is always a lagging indicator. Businesses do not fire workers the moment sales soften. They cut expenses elsewhere first, halt new hiring, and delay investment. Only after the downturn becomes undeniable do layoffs begin to accelerate. Looking solely at today’s payroll number and concluding that everything is fine is the same mistake governments and central banks have made repeatedly throughout history.
The more important issue is where these jobs are being created. Once again, government-related employment, healthcare, and hospitality accounted for a large portion of the gains. These are not the sectors that create long-term productivity growth. Financial activities actually lost jobs, and many white-collar industries continue to struggle as corporations adopt AI and reduce administrative staff. We are witnessing a structural shift in the labor market that the headline payroll number completely disguises.
Wages rose only 0.3% for the month and roughly 3.4% year-over-year. With inflation still running above the Federal Reserve’s target and energy prices elevated because of geopolitical tensions, real purchasing power remains under pressure. Workers may technically have jobs, but that does not mean they are getting ahead. This is precisely why consumer confidence has remained weak despite a labor market that appears healthy on paper.
The report also creates a serious problem for the Federal Reserve. For months there has been tremendous political pressure to cut rates. Yet a labor market producing 172,000 jobs per month with unemployment holding at 4.3% does not provide the justification for aggressive easing. In fact, some analysts are now openly discussing the possibility that rates may need to remain elevated longer than expected if inflation continues to move higher.
From a cyclical perspective, this is exactly the type of mixed economic environment we have been warning about. The economy is not collapsing, but neither is it expanding in a healthy and sustainable manner. Government hiring, wartime spending, healthcare expansion, and deficit financing can keep employment numbers elevated far longer than most analysts expect. At the same time, private-sector confidence continues to deteriorate beneath the surface. This divergence is what confuses forecasters because they are looking at individual data points rather than the broader cycle.
As we move deeper into 2026, the Panic Cycle year, volatility is likely to increase across both financial markets and geopolitics. The labor market may appear resilient today, but employment data has a long history of looking strongest immediately before conditions begin to deteriorate. The revisions always come later as the initial number is never accurate. That is why focusing exclusively on a single month’s payroll report is dangerous. The trend in confidence remains far more important than the headline number, and confidence is what ultimately drives capital flows, investment, and economic growth.
Russia Needs 800,000 Workers
Posted originally on Jun 8, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
One of the most revealing stories coming out of Russia has nothing to do with missiles, tanks, or the battlefield. It concerns workers. Russia is now actively looking to India to help fill an enormous labor shortage that has developed throughout the economy, particularly in construction and infrastructure.
According to Russian officials and major financial institutions, the country faces an immediate labor shortage of at least 2.3 million workers. Construction alone is projected to require nearly 789,000 additional workers by 2030. Other estimates suggest Russia needs roughly 800,000 workers in manufacturing and another 1.5 million workers in construction and services. These are not small numbers. These are the kinds of figures that begin affecting an entire economy.
The number of work permits issued to Indian nationals has exploded. In 2021, before the Ukraine war, roughly 5,000 permits were issued. Last year that figure surged to almost 72,000. Russia’s First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov went so far as to say that Russia could accept an “unlimited number” of Indian workers. When governments begin using language like that, they are acknowledging a structural problem rather than a temporary one.
Many people still measure the cost of war solely by military expenditures. They look at defense budgets and ammunition production. The larger economic cost is often the workforce itself. Russia entered this conflict already facing demographic challenges. Birth rates had been declining for years. The population was aging. Then hundreds of thousands of military-age men were either mobilized, volunteered for military service, emigrated, or were absorbed into defense industries supporting the war effort. The result is that civilian industries are now competing for workers with the military sector.
What is particularly interesting is that this shortage is not being filled by traditional sources of migrant labor from Central Asia to the extent it once was. The weaker ruble, tighter migration rules, and changing economic conditions have reduced those inflows. Russia is therefore turning increasingly toward India, where a massive pool of labor still exists. The Kremlin and New Delhi have already signed agreements designed to make it easier for Indians to work in Russia.
This development also reveals something broader about the global economy. Labor is becoming a strategic resource. Europe is struggling with demographic decline. Japan faces population contraction. China is confronting the consequences of decades of falling birth rates. Russia’s labor shortage may be receiving attention because of the war, but the underlying demographic trend is appearing throughout much of the industrialized world.
The geopolitical implications should not be ignored. Russia and India continue deepening economic ties through energy, trade, and now labor mobility. While much of the world focuses on sanctions and military developments, entirely new economic relationships are quietly being built beneath the surface. These shifts rarely receive much attention when they begin. Years later, everyone suddenly realizes the global landscape has changed.
We are entering a period where nations face rising debt burdens, labor shortages, aging populations, and increasing geopolitical tensions simultaneously. The war may have accelerated Russia’s labor crisis, but the demographic trend existed long before the first shot was fired. Governments around the world are discovering that printing money is easy. Replacing workers is not.
The shortage of 800,000 construction workers is not merely a Russian story. It is a warning sign of a much larger problem developing throughout the global economy. Capital can move instantly. Labor cannot.
The Drumbeat Around Taiwan Grows Louder
Posted originally on Jun 8, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense reported that 32 Chinese military aircraft, 10 naval vessels, and five additional official Chinese ships were operating around the island. More importantly, 25 of those aircraft crossed the median line of the Taiwan Strait and entered Taiwan’s air defense identification zone. That median line was once viewed as an unofficial buffer. Today, it is crossed so frequently that Beijing appears determined to normalize military operations in areas that would have been considered highly provocative only a few years ago.
The mistake many analysts continue to make is assuming that China must launch a massive sea invasion for the situation to become dangerous. Modern warfare is changing rapidly. A blockade, economic strangulation, cyberattacks, drone saturation, and missile pressure can accomplish many of the same objectives without immediately triggering a traditional war. Taiwan clearly understands this. The government is now accelerating plans to build an arsenal of more than 1,800 anti-ship missiles by 2029, including American Harpoons and domestically produced Hsiung Feng missiles. Officials openly describe creating a “kill zone” in the Taiwan Strait capable of inflicting severe losses on any attacking force.
What interests me is not the daily military count. It is the timeline. China has increased military pressure around Taiwan for years, yet at the same time we see military planners throughout Asia discussing preparation windows extending into 2028 and 2029. Taiwan’s missile expansion is specifically designed to reach full strength around 2029. Military officials in Europe are discussing vulnerabilities that exist until roughly the same period. We are seeing governments independently focus on the same time horizon. That is difficult to ignore.
The larger issue is confidence. Governments always believe they can manage tensions indefinitely until suddenly they cannot. China is conducting larger exercises. Taiwan is rapidly arming. Japan is expanding defense spending. The Philippines is strengthening military cooperation with the United States. The entire region is preparing for a future that policymakers increasingly believe may be unavoidable.
Our models have been warning that 2026 would be a panic-cycle year marked by rising volatility and escalating geopolitical tensions. The risks continue building into 2027, which remains a major war-risk year. By 2028, recessionary pressures, sovereign debt concerns, and civil unrest begin colliding with these geopolitical tensions. Then we arrive at the major ECM turning point in 2029. Whether Taiwan becomes the spark is impossible to know in advance. What we can observe is that governments, militaries, and markets are all increasingly behaving as if they see a storm forming on the horizon.
Interview: Iran, Ukraine, Peace, Gold & Bitcoin
Posted originally on Jun 7, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Spencer Pratt Loses – Following Stunning Surge in Mail-in Ballots Nithya Raman Jumps into 2nd Place in LA Mayor Race
Posted originally on CTH on June 8, 2026 | Sundance
LA Mayoral Candidate Spencer Pratt has dropped to third place and will not make the runoff. Leftist city council member Nithya Raman, who previously conceded defeat, has now leaped into second place after winning approximately 40% of all mail-in ballots received in the past few days. A stunning, remarkable, incredible and some say unbelievable outcome.
There are still several days of ballot counting ahead. After all, the creation of ballots takes time and resources, and as noted by several people in/around the LA area, locally sourced, artisanal ballots can take much longer to be grown and curated.
With an estimated 83% of the post-election ballots now received, Nithya Raman’s concession is null and void. Her campaign must wipe away the tears and restart efforts toward the general election. Remarkable.
[SOURCE]
What a difference a week can make. However, that said, this California ballot approach has been happening since election year 2018.
Remember, in 2016 California Democrats hired former U.S. AG Eric Holder to assist them with voting constructs. The legislature then passed ballot harvesting and universal mail ballot laws; which were signed by Democrat governor Jerry Brown. However, the 2016 presidential election created some panic amid those who organized new ballot creation, mailing and harvesting efforts.
Following the Trump presidential win and fearing a new administration might cross reference the voter rolls to the AB60 laws that linked the ballot creation to illegal alien DMV registration; following the advice of Eric Holder, Governor Brown, Attorney General Xavier Becerra and Secretary of State Alex Padilla quickly deleted the AB60 administrative code that would have permitted cross referencing.
As a result, in 2018 the mail-in ballots became the primary process to create election outcomes. Every race in California now follows the same script. A Republican leads on election night; a slow count begins; the lead shrinks daily and finally the republican loses weeks later.
There were seven House seats in 2018 alone that followed this exact pattern. All in one direction. Never reversed.
Since election year 2018, there has not been one single race in California where the slow counting of mail-in ballots didn’t take away a Republican victory by the end of the process. This is by design. This is exactly why Eric Holder was hired to assist the State of California in setting up their election system.
The Attorney General who set up the ballot construct with Eric Holder is now the leading candidate for California governor. Becerra is likely to face Tom Steyer in the 2026 general election for governor. Though there is some possibility the British guy will be allowed on the November ballot in order to give the patina of credibility.
There’s still a couple more weeks of ballot curation ahead for the governor’s race.
EU Coalition of the Willing Establishes Five Terms for Direct Ukraine-Russia Negotiations
President Trump Gives Extensive Remarks Departing New York After Attending Game 3 of NBA Finals
Posted originally on CTH onJune 9, 2026 | Sundance
As President Donald Trump was returning to the White House after attending Game 3 of the NBA Finals between the New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs at Madison Square Garden in New York City, he paused to deliver an impromptu press conference to the traveling press pool.
President Trump was traveling with EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin and Interior Secretary Doug Burgum. President Trump and Secretary Burgum delivered remarks about the restoration of the Washington DC memorials and ongoing revitalization efforts. EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin recapped the game. WATCH:
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EU Coalition of the Willing Establishes Five Terms for Direct Ukraine-Russia Negotiations
Posted originally on CTH on June 8, 2026 | Sundance
Chancellor Friedrich Merz, President Emmanuel Macron, Prime Minister Kier Starmer and President Volodymyr Zelenskyy met in London to discuss their collective next steps in their plan for opposition to Russia.
Politico is reporting that Germany is going to replace the United States as the direct contact for negotiations with Russia; that’s according to a spokesperson for Merz. However, if you read the actual printout from their collective agreement there is nothing of the sort mentioned [SEE HERE].
Instead, what actually exists within the statement are five terms they have agreed upon in order to start direct discussions between Zelenskyy and Russian President Vladimir Putin. At least two of the terms are non-starters for Russia:
[…] Conditions that would need to be in place for a just and lasting peace.
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- First, a stop to the fighting. They called on President Putin to agree to an immediate and complete ceasefire.
- Second, the current line of contact should be the starting point for negotiations. International borders must not be changed by force, and Ukraine’s sovereign right to choose its own security arrangements and alliances must be fully respected.
- Third, Ukraine must have robust and legally binding security guarantees in place once a ceasefire enters into force, building on commitments made in Berlin in December 2025 and Paris in January 2026. This includes the deployment of the Multinational Force – Ukraine.
- Fourth, Russian assets will remain immobilised until Russia ceases its war of aggression and compensates Ukraine for the damage caused by the war.
- Fifth, that European security interests must be safeguarded in any deal. Elements of any negotiation related to the EU and NATO would need the consent of the EU and its Member States and NATO Allies respectively.
- [SOURCE]
The #3, #4 and #5 points are not going to go anywhere.
Germany, France, the U.K and/or EU participants are not going to put troops on the ground in Ukraine without United States security guarantees. President Trump has already rejected that proposal on three occasions.
The Russian sovereign fund that was seized by the EU is not the property of Vladimir Putin; it is wealth belonging to the Russian people and President Putin will not accept that term. Additionally, two-thirds of the world has been against that seizure bolstering Russia’s position.
The fifth point is laughable. The EU collective in Brussels is going to be required to give consent to any peace agreement? Highly doubtful Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin would even entertain that condition. Ukraine is not an EU member state, and Ukraine is not a NATO member.
Why would the EU put themselves into the conflict resolution when Ukraine is not in the EU. From a brutally obvious and pragmatic Russian position, this makes no sense. However, I would look for Putin to do something funny with this, like force the EU to adopt Ukraine first as a ‘put up – or shut up‘ type challenge.
Putin knows the people of Europe do not want the corrupt nation of Ukraine as part of their wealth draining operation.
Hey, at least the ‘coalition of the willing’ is now begging for an audience with Putin.
Defense Rests in Karmelo Anthony Trial – Closing Statements Expected Tomorrow – Jury will be Sequestered During Deliberations
Posted originally on CTH on
Posted originally on CTH on June 8, 2026 | Sundance
On Monday afternoon, the defense team officially rested its case without calling Karmelo Anthony to the stand. According to multiple media observers the defense was very weak. The defense witnesses ended up being solid witnesses for the prosecution upon cross examination.
The evidence against Karmelo Anthony is overwhelming. The defense was reliant upon previous fabrications sold to the media that did not prove out in the courtroom.
The prosecution witnesses were consistent and strong in the case against the accused.
The jury was dismissed for the day Monday and is expected to return Tuesday morning for closing arguments.
There was an initial discussion about a plea agreement, likely spurred by the weight of the prosecution. However, no plea deal was reached, likely rejected by the prosecution, and the case is now headed toward jury deliberation.
Keep in mind if Karmelo Anthony had taken a plea agreement before the trial, his family would not have been able to fundraise from the process. The decision to push the case to trial was as much for financial gain as it was a roll of the dice on whether their attempted racist narrative would work.
The jury will be sequestered during deliberation.
Karmelo Anthony is ineligible for both the death penalty and life in prison without parole since he was only 17 when he killed Austin Metcalf.
The maximum sentencing he’ll receive is life in prison with the possibility of parole, if he is convicted on his first-degree murder charge. This means parole eligibility after 30 years, or half of his sentence, depending on the specifics.













