Posted originally on: Oct 31, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |

Posted originally on: Oct 30, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |

QUESTION: Marty, Socrates has again targeted our political change here in Poland. Your ECM turn was to the day when President Duda called for a new Polish parliament to convene after the October 15th elections. That was led by former (unelected) EU President Donald Tusk.  I think you warned it would be a move toward the left and it would signal confrontation with Russia. Today, Tusk stages a coup against the judiciary to prevent them from ruling against him. Socrates had a Double Directional Change today. How does our country look from here?

Anon

REPLY: Yes the ECM turn was precisely on track in Poland. The Tusk government has been engaged in a sustained effort to neutralize the influence of the current Constitutional Tribunal, which it regards as illegitimate due to judges appointed under the previous Law and Justice (PiS) government. The judiciary is calling it as coup d’état. This is all about keeping geopolitical objectives of war with Russia. I will deal with the fate of Poland on the Private Blog.

The ongoing dispute in Poland involves a power struggle between Prime Minister Donald Tusk and President Karol Nawrocki, primarily centered around the control of the Constitutional Tribunal. This conflict has escalated into a significant constitutional crisis. But what the press stays away from is that this is about World War III to save the EU. Karol Nawrocki has publicly opposed Ukraine’s accession to NATO. He believes that Ukraine should not join until certain historical grievances, particularly related to the Volhynia massacres, are addressed. This stance has led some to interpret his position as anti-Ukrainian.

Donald Tusk has consistently advocated for strong support for Ukraine in its conflict with Russia. He emphasizes that aiding Ukraine is crucial for the security of Europe. Tusk has stated that anyone seeking to weaken Ukraine is acting against their own nation’s interests. He has called for increased military assistance to Ukraine and tougher sanctions against Russia. He insists that it is necessary to deter Russian aggression with force, which he views as a threat not only to Ukraine but to European security as a whole, which is the unity BS put out by the EU to distract everyone from the rising separatist movements because of the EU migrant policy to increase the people who will vote for the EU and the LEFT..

Tusk has warned that Russia’s ambitions extend beyond Ukraine, suggesting that if unchecked, Russia could threaten other European nations. He has described the current situation as a “pre-war era,” indicating the seriousness of the threat he claims is posed by Russia, when in fact this is all about keeping the EU.

To make this absolutely clear, Donald Tusk has NEVER been directly elected by the Polish people as president; he has been elected as Prime Minister by the Polish parliament only. The people have no right to actually elect the head of state so he becomes a defacto dictator elected only by bureaucrats, not the people. He previously served as Prime Minister from 2007 to 2014 and was re-elected by parliament in 2011.

Categories:Poland

Posted originally on: Oct 30, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |

ASIA:

The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:

• NIKKEI 225 decreased 1,369.36 points or -2.12% to 63,290.11

• Shanghai decreased 52.417 points or -1.44% to 3,599.017

• Hang Seng increased 335.77 points or 1.46% to 23,294.42

• ASX 200 increased 16.30 points or 0.18% to 8,908.10

• SENSEX increased 308.49 points or 0.42% to 74,459.53

• Nifty50 increased 116.35 points or 0.51% to 23,053.10

The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:

• AUDUSD increased 0.00016 or 0.02% to 0.70316

• NZDUSD increased 0.00003 or 0.01% to 0.56343

• USDJPY decreased 0.252 or -0.16% to 157.461

• USDCNY decreased 0.00274 or -0.04% to 6.65420

The above data was collected around 13:37 EST.

Precious Metals:

•  Gold decreased 136.37 USD/t oz. or -3.39% to 3,884.94

•  Silver decreased 2.966 USD/t. oz. or -5.69% to 49.178

The above data was collected around 13:40 EST.

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EUROPE/EMEA:

The major Europe stock markets had a mixed day today:

•  CAC 40 decreased 0.58 points or -0.01% to 7,969.42

•  FTSE 100 increased 7.71 points or 0.07% to 10,729.78

•  DAX 30 decreased 221.47 points or -0.85% to 25,818.21

The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:

• EURUSD decreased 0.00275 or -0.25% to 1.11526

• GBPUSD increased 0.00095 or 0.07% to 1.33867

• USDCHF decreased 0.00024 or -0.03% to 0.82415

The above data was collected around 13:46 EST.

AMERICAS:

US Markets:

• DJIA declined by 572.25 points (1.09%) to 51,770.31
• S&P 500 declined by 140.32 points (1.82%) to 7,580.07
• NASDAQ declined by 747.73 points (2.86%) to 25,436.999
• Russell 2000 declined by 47.37 points (1.66%) to 2,811.844

Canada:

• TSX Composite declined by 629 points (1.74%) to 35,620.03
• TSX 60 declined by 31.76 points (1.47%) to 2,125.02

Brazil:

• Bovespa declined by 1,264.62 points to 167,921.8

ENERGY:

The oil markets had a mixed day today:

•  Crude Oil increased 2.592 USD/BBL or 2.54% to 104.592

•  Brent increased 3.05 USD/BBL or 2.75% to 113.850

•  Natural gas decreased 0.0504 USD/MMBtu or -1.71% to 2.9016

•  Gasoline increased 0.0783 USD/GAL 2.54% to 3.1664

•  Heating oil increased 0.0992 USD/GAL or 2.16% to 4.6867

The above data was collected around 13:48 EST.

•  Top commodity gainers: Crude Oil (2.54%), Brent (2.75%), Gasoline (2.54%) and Bitumen (4.09%)

•  Top commodity losers: Orange Juice (-3.42%), Platinum (-4.31%), Silver (-5.69%) and Gold (-3.39%)

The above data was collected around 13:54 EST.

BONDS:

Japan 2.7700% (-7.03bp), US 2’s 4.60% (-0.002%), US 10’s 4.9360% (-0.2bps); US 30’s 5.32 (+0.015%), Bunds 3.3223% (-3.34bp), France 4.9720% (+6.14bp), Italy 4.4900% (+0.79bp), Turkey 33.03% (+4bp), Greece 4.3110% (+2.30bp), Portugal 3.7960% (-5.61bp); Spain 3.9490% (-3.2bp) and UK Gilts 5.2885% (-0.55bp)

The above data was collected around 13:59 EST.

Categories:Market Talk

Posted originally on: 30, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |

COMMENT: Hello Martin,

Reuters reports (link) – “ Pentagon officials have in recent weeks asked several NATO countries to tone down their rhetoric regarding the threat posed by Russia, arguing that some statements by European leaders and officials have undermined continental security ”.

It looks like the Pentagon is reading what you say about NATO and the EU wanting confrontation with Russia…

P

REPLY: I don’t know if I am too old compared to everyone else, but I remember the cold war and I remember how alliances are formed. I have stressed that these idiots like Kallas engage in her constant hate speech against the Russian people which would completely destroy Europe. There is NO WAY you can destroy Russia and ask China to please wait quietly for you turn. This is World War III and I have been screaming about this to people who seem to have never considered what their hate speech will lead to.

The EU is desperate. They need to create Unity fearing the French election will mean a threat to their existence all because of the LEFTIST stupid policies. The EU leaders were outraged that how dare two member even speak to Putin. My firm is NON-PARTISAN. We have offices from China to Dubai. Yes, I do interview on Russian TV. I like to hear the questions I am asked. How do you answer the question: What do they hate us so much? If you do not understand your enemy, you will lose. Perhaps these people should take at least some online course in military history.

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Putin understands what is a stake with war. It will not be good for his people or Europe. Peace is simple. The Roman Empire is the example. It was economically beneficial to be within the empire than on the outside looking in.

Those on the outside made imitations of Roman coins for commerce. They were not counterfeits for the were of equal metal content. They still wanted to be part of the economic system of Rome be it from the Germanic tribes to India. World peace is created NOT by sanctions, but by INCLUSION, and you can quote me on that.

The Pax Romana typically lasted approximately 200 years, from 27 BC (the beginning of Augustus’s reign) to 180 AD (the death of Marcus Aurelius). Even Marcus Aurelius (161-180AD), perhaps the most intelligent world leader, understood war and peace. Read his Mediations. The central appeal I found from his Stoic philosophy, is its unflinching practicality. Aurelius returns again and again to a small set of principles: that only virtue is truly good, that judgment lies within our control while external events do not, and that tranquility comes from ordering the mind rather than ordering the world.

Because Marcus is writing to himself, the tone is not that of a lecturer but of a man coaching himself through the day. He saw TIME as a rushing river, the reminders that fame and grievance alike are fleeting, and the insistence on meeting other people’s failings with patience all retain their force. We allow the wrong people to seek power for it is like Kallas and her fellow Neocons including Zelensky, to carry out a personal agenda at the expense of the world.

Rome claimed to rule the world (orbis terrarum) yet it stood at the opposite end of the world from the strikingly similar Han Dynasty (206BC-220AD) in China, which also claimed to have ruled the world (tianxia). The History Book for Tang Dynasty in China covers the period 618-907AD. It mentions 17 times what appears to be the Roman Empire. It also describes an envoy that the Roman Emperor sent to China. The Roman Emperor was recorded to have been “Anton.” The account of such an envoy who visited the older Han Dynasty predates the Venetian traveler Marco Polo (1254-1325) by more than 1,000 years. This envoy has been attributed to 166AD during the reign of Marcus Aurelius Antoninus (121-180AD).

This envoy established diplomatic contact at the peak of the Roman Empire, from which a disastrous decline began. Any political-economic aspirations to further such a relationship would then die with Marcus Aurelius. Yet also, both empires would suffer the same fate of barbarian invasions. The Han Dynasty fell in 220AD, emerging from the chaotic period known as the Three Kingdoms (220-280AD) – the division of the once unified Chinese Empire.

Marcus Aurelius’ death marked the peak of the Roman Empire and the turning point that began the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, where its monetary system collapsed just 72 years thereafter. His son, Commodus, tore everything his father had done to shreds and in the process, sealed the fate of Rome. We are in danger of the same decline and fall when people like Kallas, Zelensky, and their fellow Neocons, are so filled with hatred, that they rip the ver fabric of society apart at the seams.

Posted originally on Oct 30, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |

The rumors are that European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has announced her resignation and will step down on February 7, well before a French presidential election that polls show far-right candidate Marine Le Pen is favor to win, all to intervene in the election to try to stop Le Pen. The EU is scared to death that a victory for Le Pen and the rise of AfD in Germany has put a target on the back of the EU itself.

This is the greatest danger of the EU trying to conjure up a false flag claiming Russia will invade to create unity to save itself. This has been why they have been talking with Carney to bring in Canada and for Britain to rejoin the EU. When asked directly whether Burnham would allow the UK to rejoin the EU’s freedom of movement system without a referendum, his answer was a clear “No”. He emphasized that he would “never get ahead of the British public on the Brexit issue.”

It is worth noting that Burnham has left some room for discussion regarding not fully rejoining the EU but merely moving closer to the single market or customs union. Reports indicate that he believes joining the single market or customs union may not necessarily require a referendum, but rather could seek a mandate through a general election. However, joining the single market typically means accepting freedom of movement, and he has explicitly stated that restoring freedom of movement without a referendum is not permitted.

As far as Canada is concerned, Carney has explicitly stated on multiple occasions that Canada is “not seeking to become a member of the European Union”. What he is promoting is a “unique alliance” that goes beyond traditional trade agreements but stops short of full membership. He has welcomed the EU’s proposal for “associate membership” and stated in the European Parliament that Canada is “open” to this concept.

The “associate membership” currently being discussed between Canada and the EU is not a legal status that already exists, but rather a special arrangement that is still being conceived. Its core feature is “association without accession”—meaning Canada will not become a formal EU member state and therefore will not be bound by the full body of EU law.

The EU has been trying to create the image of the UK and Canada hoining in some way becoming subordinate to Brussels in a desperate effort to fend off and exit from the EU by Germany and France. Between their migrant policies to ensure that the LEFT will retain a dominant power over Europe and the Freedom of Movement, they have undermined the very culture of the European people all to simply retain power.

Both Legarde and Ursula von der Leyen were board member of the World Economic Forum The appointments to top position in German government and then the head of the EU along with Kristalina Georgieva, the current head of the IMF, is also a member of the Board of Trustees of the World Economic Forum (WEF). The entire scheme behind the EU has been the idea of a one world government that began with Europe. The COVID scam was used to create unity and the attempt of World Health Organization to dictate lock downs etc, all for climate change.

They flew a 16 year-old to preach to Alberta to surrender their jobs and stop drilling for oil to confirm to this Davos elite agenda.

The warmonger Khaja Kallas who is determined to create World War III has scrubbed her association with the WEF has been alleged to be an effort to hide the war agenda as a conspiracy. Yet, here is a video of Kallas explaining what a past foreign minister of the Soviet Union had to say about Europe. She then extrapolates this to how Russia is today. She seems to want to believe that Russia is still exactly the same as the Soviet Union, but with another name.

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00:34

“The Foreign minister of the Soviet Union said that the tactics of Russia are actually threefold.

1. First, you present demands and ask for something that has never been yours.
2. Second, you present ultimatums and threats.
3. And third, you just wait, because there will always be people in the West who will offer you something you didn’t have before. So you just have to wait them out, because the Westerners will always fold.

Let’s not give him this.”

She ignores the fact that recent history shows it has been exactly the opposite. NATO has been getting closer to Russian borders, and it’s Russia who has folded. The old days of Khrushchev was a philosophy of Communism would defeat the inferior Capitalism, which all began with Marx trying to defeat the business cycle adopting the view that recessions were the result of flaws in capitalism as if there could be a perfect world. That collapsed. Putin was cheered by the people BECAUSE he was NOT a communist and they did NOT want to return to Communism. The entire foundation of what the USSR once believed collapsed as Marxism collapsed in China. Russia is a capitalist nation even more so than the EU censoring free speech and imprisoning people for what they right on Facebook.

Is it that she’s really incompetent, or is it that her personal hatred prevents her from actually looking at history objectively???? She is a HUGE danger for the EU and should be dragged out of any position remotely close to power. She will destroy Europe for her own Hate Speech. If she said this about an Arab, she would be in prison in Europe by now.