MOMENTS AGO: RFK Jr. and Dr. Oz Hold News Conference on Combating Fraud…


Posted originally on Rumble on Bright Bart News Network on July 21, 2026

Von der Leyen and Draghi Plot More Centralization to “Save” Europeoriginally onVon der Leyen and Draghi Plot More Centralization to “Save” Europe


Posted originally on Jul 22, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

S&Ds on EU Single Market Strategy: consumers' and workers' rights cannot be  used as a bargaining chip at the service of competitiveness | Socialists  and Democrats

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen met with Mario Draghi in Brussels to discuss the EU’s competitiveness agenda and the implementation of Draghi’s 2024 report at Draghi’s request. Whenever these two gather behind closed doors to discuss “competitiveness,” the European taxpayer should grab his wallet because Brussels has never encountered a problem it did not believe could be solved with more centralized power, more borrowing, and more government spending.

The Commission claims that it is making “excellent progress” on trade diversification, regulatory simplification, and a new roadmap called “One Europe, One Single Market.” Paula Pinho, von der Leyen’s chief spokesperson, boasted that the Commission, Council, and Parliament are now committed to following a common timetable for implementing many of Draghi’s recommendations.

“One Europe, One Single Market” is another step toward stripping national governments of economic authority and transferring it to Brussels. They call this harmonization because admitting that it is centralization would alarm the public. European nations are expected to surrender more control over taxation, regulation, capital markets, energy, industry, and public spending to unelected officials who helped create the crisis in the first place.

Mario Draghi’s report correctly diagnosed many of Europe’s illnesses. Productivity is stagnant, energy is too expensive, investment is inadequate, markets are fragmented, and innovation is moving to the United States and Asia. Europe is falling behind in artificial intelligence, semiconductors, defense, digital infrastructure, and advanced manufacturing. Yet Draghi will not admit that the European Union’s own policies produced much of this destruction.

Brussels deliberately increased energy costs through Net Zero mandates, carbon taxes, sanctions, and the abandonment of reliable energy. It suffocated industry beneath environmental rules and compliance requirements. It imposed the Digital Services Act, the Digital Markets Act, ESG mandates, supply-chain directives, and endless reporting obligations. It then looked at the wreckage and concluded that Europe suffers from insufficient government management.

Draghi estimates that Europe requires between €750 billion and €800 billion in additional investment every year through 2030. That is approximately 4.4% to 4.7% of the EU’s annual GDP. The proposed spending includes roughly €300 billion for the energy transition, €150 billion for transportation and charging infrastructure, €150 billion for digital technologies, €50 billion for defense and security, and another €100 billion to €150 billion for innovation.

They are not discussing a modest reform program. They are contemplating an economic transformation costing up to €4.8 trillion over six years. Since private capital refuses to invest sufficient amounts under the conditions Brussels created, Draghi wants government to guide, subsidize, guarantee, and de-risk the investment. In other words, the taxpayer absorbs the losses while politically connected corporations collect the profits.

Power requires Europe to move from confederation to federation. At the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Mario #Draghi delivered a powerful and timely address that has been widely echoed across European media and political

The European Parliament has estimated that public financing would need to provide approximately €150 billion to €160 billion annually if Europe maintained its traditional 80% private and 20% public investment split. The EU budget cannot provide anything close to that amount. Brussels will therefore demand new “own resources,” expanded EU taxes, financial guarantees, redirected national budgets, or another round of common borrowing.

They always invent a crisis and then use it to push debt that the people never approved. COVID produced NextGenerationEU, which allowed the Commission to borrow hundreds of billions collectively for the first time. What was sold as an exceptional emergency became the blueprint for permanent EU fiscal authority. Those debts must still be repaid, with the repayment burden expected to reach around €30 billion annually beginning in 2028. Now Draghi’s competitiveness agenda provides the excuse for the next debt machine.

Draghi is the same man who promised to do “whatever it takes” to preserve the euro when he headed the European Central Bank. That statement is praised as some act of genius, but it meant that the ECB would suppress bond yields, monetize sovereign risk, and protect the political project regardless of the economic cost. His policies preserved the euro’s institutional structure while encouraging governments to avoid the structural reforms that a genuine market would have forced upon them.

Von der Leyen has operated by the same principle. When her policies fail, she never questions the policy. She demands more authority to enforce it. Europe lost cheap energy, so Brussels proposed massive green subsidies. European companies cannot compete, so Brussels demands a centralized industrial policy. National budgets are drowning in debt, so the Commission wants shared debt. Citizens reject deeper integration, so they rename it “simplification” and “competitiveness.”

In theory, the EU's economic policy is meant to fuse 27 national markets  into one pool of 450m consumers. In practice, it has failed to keep up with  the modern world. Paradoxically,

The Commission points to trade agreements with Mercosur, India, and Switzerland as proof of progress. Trade diversification is sensible, but no collection of agreements will compensate for making production prohibitively expensive inside Europe. A German chemical company cannot compete because von der Leyen signs another document in Brussels while its energy bill remains multiples of what a competitor pays abroad.

The EU’s competitiveness problem is not a shortage of reports. Draghi produced around 380 recommendations, yet a 2025 European Parliament study found that only 11% had been adopted by September of that year. Brussels now celebrates “steady progress” while European businesses continue to close plants, cut employment, and move investment abroad. These people measure success by the number of directives issued and committees formed, not by whether anyone can still afford to manufacture a product.

Europe does not need €800 billion annually in politically directed investment to repair damage caused by politically directed economics. It needs affordable energy, lower taxes, fewer regulations, protection of property rights, and governments willing to allow capital to allocate itself. Innovation cannot be ordered into existence by Ursula von der Leyen. Entrepreneurs do not need another EU fund administered by bureaucrats who have never created a business or met a payroll.

Their “One Europe, One Single Market” roadmap moves Europe closer to fiscal union without democratic consent. Monetary union was created without debt union or political union, producing the structural crisis embedded in the euro from the beginning. Brussels now intends to use every emergency to construct those missing components through the back door.

The productive citizens of Europe will be ordered to finance it all. They will pay through direct taxation, carbon costs, inflation, reduced pensions, financial repression, and the liabilities attached to common EU debt. German workers are already discovering that the state consumes nearly half the economic value of labor. High earners are looking toward Switzerland, Britain, the United States, and the UAE because the reward for productivity inside the EU continues to shrink.

Von der Leyen and Draghi are not rescuing European competitiveness. They are trying to preserve the centralized political structure that destroyed it. Europe was built by its people and its diverse nations. It is being dismantled by bureaucrats who genuinely believe prosperity can be produced through a timetable agreed upon by three EU institutions over lunch in Brussels. These are not economic architects. They are undertakers discussing how to finance the funeral.

US Home Builder Sentiment Contracts for 15th Month


Posted originally on Jul 22, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

How To Find A Builder To Construct Your New Home - BIAGC

Washington keeps insisting the economy is healthy because unemployment has not collapsed and inflation has moderated. Then you look at housing, and the entire narrative falls apart. A nation cannot call itself prosperous when ordinary working families can no longer afford the most basic measure of financial stability—a home.

The National Association of Home Builders reported that builder confidence fell to 34 in July, marking the fifteenth consecutive month below 40. That is the longest stretch of depressed sentiment since 2012, when the country was still climbing out of the housing crash. Builders are not pessimistic because they suddenly forgot how to build houses. They are pessimistic because the customer has disappeared.

To attract buyers, 37% of builders are now cutting prices, up from 35% just one month ago. The average discount remains around 6%, while nearly two-thirds are offering additional incentives just to get contracts signed. When builders begin sacrificing margins like this, it tells you demand has weakened far more than politicians are willing to admit.

Mortgage rates remain near their highest levels in years, and monthly payments have exploded. A modest decline in the purchase price does very little when financing costs have doubled. Someone who could comfortably qualify for a mortgage five years ago may find themselves completely priced out today, even if their salary has increased. Inflation did not simply raise prices. It destroyed purchasing power.

The problem extends far beyond housing. Americans now carry more than $1.25 trillion in credit card debt while total household debt has climbed above $18 trillion. Credit card interest rates remain above 20% for many borrowers, auto insurance continues setting new records, utility bills have climbed, groceries remain dramatically more expensive than they were just a few years ago, and student loan collections have resumed. Housing is not competing against one expense. It is competing against every expense. A mortgage payment has become just another bill in a long line of bills that many households can barely keep up with.

Meanwhile, builders continue battling higher material costs, expensive land, labor shortages, regulatory burdens, and financing costs of their own. The National Association of Home Builders estimates that government regulations, fees, permits, and compliance costs account for more than one-quarter of the final price of a new single-family home. Politicians continue promising affordable housing while making it increasingly expensive to build one.

Congress recently passed housing legislation intended to increase supply and reduce investor ownership of single-family homes. Those reforms may help around the edges, but they do not solve the central problem. You cannot restore affordability simply by building more houses if borrowing costs remain elevated and the purchasing power of the middle class continues deteriorating. Builders themselves acknowledged the legislation is a positive step, but they also admitted meaningful relief will take time and additional reforms at the state and local levels.

Housing has always reflected confidence. During periods of optimism, people willingly take on thirty-year mortgages because they believe tomorrow will be better than today. That confidence is fading. Prospective buyers are sitting on the sidelines because they no longer trust where the economy is headed. They see geopolitical conflict expanding, government debt exploding, inflation permanently embedded into everyday living costs, and interest rates that refuse to return to the emergency levels people had come to expect.

The American Dream is not vanishing because people no longer want to own a home. It is slipping away because the financial system has made ownership increasingly unattainable for the very people who built the middle class in the first place.

NEOCONS Usurping American Foreign Policy


Posted originally on Jul 22, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Wolfowitz Doctrine

QUESTION: You have mentioned that the neocons never look behind the end of the nose. Do they ever assess the risks correctly? Is it because they are just biased by what you have pointed out in Wolfowitz’s policy?

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ANSWER: I have studied military tactics.  As I have said, my father was a colonel with General Patton from North Africa to Berlin. In any military action, you must begin every operation with a detailed look at the enemy. Before a commander approves a mission, the staff MUST explain the opposing force’s capabilities, intentions, and likely courses of action. Get the threat wrong, and everything that follows rests on a false assumption. This is what happened in this Iran debacle.

Netanyahu is a sick, biased Neocon. He always operates with the goal of trying to assassinate the leadership and assumes he will be victorious. That strategy has NEVER worked even once. But as they say, the definition of insanity is repeating the same mistake and assuming a different outcome.

I know for a fact that war game simulation with Iran conduct a decade ago all showed that Iran would take the Strait of Hormuz. There was no strategic planning. This is Netanyahu’s mess and the Neocons escorted him into the Situation Room to see this same stupid idea of instant victory with ZERO plan B contemplation. They did that with Iraq and there was ZERO planning for what would happen by taking out Saddam. They also completely ignored that taking out Saddam, they removed the #1 enemy of Iran.

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My discussions even back in early 1990s with these Neocons was all about taking out Iraq, Iran, Syria, Libya, and Lebanon and it was to protect Israel. What Wesley Clark says here after 911, fits with what I was told in the early ’90s. As I have said, they created Homeland Security claiming that various agencies had information but did not share it. The first crew of terrorists were in Metropolitan Correctional Center, New York (MCC) and even drew the Twin Towers on the wall with planes going into them. The Bureau of Prisons (BOP) employee Mr. Kumb provided the recreation materials they used. The BOP came down to 10 South and filmed everything. Their lawyer, Lynne Stewart (1939-2017), was imprisoned for passing them notes for 4 years.

Sun Tsu Know your Enemy
Risk_Board_Game_Strategy

The Neocons assume that the US has the largest and most powerful military so they need only wage war with no strategy to win. This is why we get into these endless wars for they is ZERO planning. There is never an exit strategy. And they always have zero strategy for any aftermath.

These people are traitors to our country. They always seek to abuse the military power for personal agendas. That is no different from insider trading for monetary profit, but they have no regard for the lives lost for their military campaigns as if this is still some child’s game of RISK.

Neoconservative foreign policy is dangerously ideological and willing to accept significant human costs to achieve its goals. The question are they just “psychopaths” since the care nothing about the people they send to war perhaps can’t be proven or disproven since that is a clinical diagnosis.

Nevertheless, their personal motivation clearly colors or foreign policy outcomes, driven by their ideology, and decision-making processes. They clearly have no empathy for individuals whatsoever. Their ideological zeal comes at extremely high costs that extend beyond just the people who they send to their death. More than 50% of the national debt is all because of their reckless spending on endless wars and then perpetual servicing of that debt undermines the economy and erodes the living standards of the average American subjecting society to ever increasing proportion of GDP consumed by government.

Nerocon Every Administration
America Alone

The book America Alone, details the neoconservative influence on the George W. Bush administration. It illustrates that this group pushed a foreign policy emphasizing military confrontation, leading to the Iraq War, with consequences yielded no benefit to the USA or Israel. This neoconservatism has been a movement focused on achieving and maintaining unchallenged U.S. military dominance as set forth in the Wolfowitz Doctrine. This quest for world domination has led to a series of perpetual wars of choice and confrontations with powers like Russia, pushing the world closer to major conflict.

This entire movement has been so misplaced and it washes its hands in blood while stuffing their pockets with money. Their entire premise has been built on a disdain of historical evidence entirely based on a false premise that U.S. military superiority can dictate terms worldwide. Because of this delusional idea of military power, this had led to a reckless series of endless wars that have undermined the economy and cast a shadow over the entire image of the United States as being the beacon of liberty and justice for all. They maneuver dominating every administration regardless of party affiliation.

Neocons Manipulating

They convince themselves that they wear the white hats and are seeking to dominate the world to bring DEMOCRACY when in fact the very proof that they are unelected and infiltrate each and every administration to usurp American foreign policy proves that we do not live in a Democracy at all. This is NEVER in the interest of the people no less the nation. I know of no politician who would dare to cross swords with these people proving that they in fact control American foreign policy. No president nor Congress call the shots any more.

Note: a Armstrong stopped allowing his videos to be copied. You can see them if you go to his blog.

Worth a Watch


Posted originally on CTH on July 21, 2026 | Sundance

A very well-presented synopsis of what inevitably boils down to “ethnic narcissism” brought to the surface by President Barack Obama.  In this video the overall conflict and political turmoil is reviewed through a cultural prism.

They ain’t wrong, and the presentation is grounded in faith.  It’s worth the time to watch.

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New Jersey Governor Admits Over 6,000 Illegal Aliens Were Registered to Vote in Motor-Voter System Between 2023 and 2024r


Posted originally on CTH on July 21, 2026 | Sundance 

CTH has outlined the issues with motor-voter registration for over a decade.  Today, what the mainstream media always denied was factually admitted by New Jersey Governor Mikie Sherrill.

Governor Mikie Sherrill – “Last week I learned that a serious software error in New Jersey’s Motor Vehicle System led to the registration of roughly 6,600 people who indicated that they were not U.S. citizens between June 2023 and June 2024, almost three years prior to my taking office. These individuals answered “no” when asked on a keypad whether they were a U.S. citizen when applying for drivers’ licenses and identification cards, but through no fault of their own, the system registered them anyway.

This happened under the previous administration and, upon learning this information, I immediately ordered my chief counsel to launch an investigation to get to the bottom of what occurred. I also ordered the removal of any residents from our voter rolls who were erroneously added between June 2023 and June 2024. The new MVC Administrator that I appointed has begun the process of replacing the vendor responsible for administering the system.”

“Our preliminary analysis shows fewer than 400 individuals who were newly registered for the first time because of the error voted. They were registered as Democrats, Republicans and Unaffiliated voters and were scattered across the state.

I want to underscore how seriously I take this matter. As a military veteran who swore an oath to defend our Constitution, and as a former federal prosecutor, I believe the integrity of our elections is fundamental to our democracy. I am appalled by the reckless failures that allowed this to happen and the lack of transparency shown by those in charge at the time. This failure didn’t occur under my watch, but accountability starts now. I am taking action to prevent anything like it from occurring in the future and make sure those responsible are held accountable.

As the Trump Administration tries to weaponize elections for political gain, I am ensuring we protect our elections. Let me be clear: Donald Trump has zero credibility on the issue of election integrity. For more than ten years, he has worked to undermine Americans’ faith in our elections by spreading lies about legitimate election results, attempting to overturn a free and fair election, encouraging an attack on our Capitol when he couldn’t accept the will of the voters, and defunding election security at the federal level.” (read more)

This all started with the George Soros “Secretary of State Project“.

By the time you get to 2017, the motor-voter process was manipulated in multiple blue states.  CTH had a source inside the California IT network who outlined how the system was constructed {GO DEEP}.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford Promises “to Dismantle the U.S” Economy in Retaliation for Tariffs


Posted originally on CTH on July 21, 2026 | Sundance 

Ontario Premier Doug Ford has a message to President Trump and to all Americans. Premier Ford promises to dismantle the U.S. economy if President Trump continues to threaten tariffs and trade sanctions.

Considering the economy of the USA is ten-times larger than Canada, that’s quite a threat from Premier Doug Ford. WATCH:  

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Personally, I think all this back-and-forth banter is no longer worth the surface effort.  It would be much easier, and now affirmed as constitutionally appropriate by the Supreme Court, if President Trump just executed a full trade embargo against all Canadian goods for a period of 60-days.

Perhaps that way Canada will recognize just how vulnerable they are.  Perhaps not, but it’s worth the effort.  Just ban all imports and exports for 60-days and let’s see what happens.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney Responds to Latest U.S. Tariff Increase


Posted originally on CTH on July 21, 2026 | Sundance

Things are going to escalate very quickly now as the midterm election looms closer and various interests start to take their lane against President Trump and the economic position of the United States.  There are trillions at stake.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney was asked about the latest Sec.338 tariffs levied by President Trump and USTR Jamieson Greer.  Carney said he and U.S. President Donald Trump agreed to intensify trade negotiations following a phone conversation earlier this morning.

While the phone call likely did contain that sentiment, USTR Greer was clear on CNBC today that Mark Carney is simply not telling the truth.  The babble from the Canadian side is nothing of substance and just repeats the same nonsensical claims about agreeing to things that are not in conflict.

Speaking to reporters in Ottawa, Prime Minister Carney said both sides would step up discussions in the coming weeks despite Trump’s latest tariff threat against Canada. He added that all options remain on the table if the United States proceeds with new tariffs.  WATCH:

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Below is how President Trump responded to questions about the motive for the new tariffs.

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USTR Jamieson Greer Outlines Details of Misleading Talking Points by Canadian Trade Officials


Posted originally on CTH on July 21, 2026 | Sundance

In the first half of this CNBC interview with U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) Jamieson Greer, the Ambassador walks through the reasoning, purpose and intent of the recently announced 50% tariff rate against Canadian imported goods.

As noted by USTR Greer the Canadians are applying two separate metrics within their trade agreement with Europe and the USA.  Toward Europe there are no limits and quotas on dairy products, toward the USA there are severe limits and quotas applied by third party brokers (co-ops owned by Canadian dairy farms) leveraged by the Canadian government.  This is one example of Canadian duplicity.

Additionally, by the various provincial governments of Canada banning the import and/or sale of U.S. products, and with Canada putting caps and limits on automobiles, these USA trade actions are being confronted by the 50% countervailing duties against Canadian imports.  Greer also calls ‘bulls**t’ on Carney’s double speak.  WATCH:

The trade discussion with Canada returns at the 10:00 minute mark. Jamieson Greer notes we have always had trade issues with Canada for decades. There was a significant percentage of the population who are against offshoring jobs, which is what NAFTA essentially did in North America.

It is also worth emphasizing that President Trump wants Canada to diversify. Both U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra and President Trump have said, repeatedly, President Trump wants Canada to go make other bilateral deals with other nations.

Why? Two main reasons.

#1) If Canada has to enter a bilateral trade agreement with another country, suddenly they learn what reciprocity means. They have to give something in order to get trade benefit. This is a completely new concept for Canada who have taken advantage of the USA for a long time with ZERO reciprocity in mind.

This is what former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was talking to Trump about in Mar-a-Lago (December ’24). In essence, Donald Trump wants Canada to go and try to cut more favorable trade deals, so they will learn how good they had it.

#2) If Canada cuts a trade agreement with, say, Europe, the terms of that FTA purchase in/out then become a standard in their trade allowances.

This permits team USA to turn to Canada and say, “wait, we want the same terms”. We might even ask for most favored nation terms due to scale and scope.

Canada is not prepared for this type of bilateral relationship at all.  The CUSMA trade negotiator Dominic LeBlanc just discovered the problem following the current Canadian effort to diversify FTAs.  Suddenly, LeBlanc has admitted quietly they have no response.

For around 40+ years (USTR Greer would argue 60+ years) Canada has benefitted from the U.S. economy purchasing their goods, allowing their businesses unlimited access to the U.S. market and yet simultaneously restricting the Canadian market from similar reciprocity.  Those terms are no longer acceptable.

Trump Administration Announces Section 338 Tariffs at Rate of 50% Across Wide Range of Canadian Goods and Imports


Posted originally on CTH on July 21, 2026 | Sundance

It is very obvious from the construct and details of this announcement that U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer has completed a comprehensive review of the retaliatory action by Canada that followed the U.S. Section 232 tariffs on Steel and Aluminum. {FACT SHEET HERE}

Last year two countries retaliated against the U.S. for the 232 (steel and aluminum) tariffs, China and Canada. The USTR office has now quantified the tariff and non-tariff barriers triggered by Canada in 2025 and provided President Trump with a financial quantification of the trade impact.

The three Canadian retaliatory sectors highlighted include: (1) Alcoholic Beverages, (2) Motor Vehicles, (3) Dairy Products. These are the three segments quantified by USTR Greer that form the baseline for the U.S. to retaliate with countervailing duties.

Effective 30 days from now, August 16, 2026, President Trump has established a 50% tariff rate against a wide variety of Canadian imports. Essentially three major Annexes: {LIST 1 – LIST 2 – LIST 3} under the authority of Section 338.

♦ Section 338 authorizes the President, if he determines it will serve the public interest, to offset any burden or disadvantage placed on the commerce of the United States by an unequal imposition or discrimination by a foreign country by specifying and declaring additional duties not to exceed 50 percent ad valorem (or its equivalent) and not to take effect earlier than 30 days after the President’s proclamation finding that a foreign country imposes an unreasonable charge, exaction, regulation, or limitation that is not equally enforced on the like articles of every foreign country, or discriminates in fact against U.S. commerce in a way that places the commerce of the United States at a disadvantage compared to the commerce of any foreign country.

Section 338 also authorizes the President to suspend, revoke, supplement, or amend any proclamation under section 338 whenever the President deems that the public interests require such action. Further, section 338 authorizes the President to exclude products of the foreign country if the foreign country maintains or increases the discrimination against the commerce of the United States and the President deems the exclusion to be consistent with the public interests and the interests of the United States. (more)

The 50% tariffs apply to food, alcohol, beer, clothing, chemicals, electronics, flowers, fragrance oils, chemical raw materials and importantly wood products.

The wood products are a big hit to the Canadian export sector.  This includes paper goods, cardboard, plywood and fabricated pulp wood derivatives like particle board (MDF).  This is a huge export sector for Canada that will now trigger a 50% tariff rate.

Essentially, the list is very long and includes almost every assembled component part created by Canadian manufacturing.

FACT SHEET HERE – {LIST 1 – LIST 2 – LIST 3}

We can surmise the baseline is part of the non-negotiable trade calculation done by President Trump and USTR Greer, that will carry forward into any further trade agreement inside or outside the USMCA construct.

Meaning if the trilateral agreement holds (USMCA), these valuation targets will be part of the expectation from the USA side of the discussion toward Canada.  However, in the more likely scenario a bilateral trade agreement is preferred, this now quantifies the tariff reciprocity anticipated by the USA, in addition to the elimination of non-tariff barriers.

ADD:

Some Canadian people think this round of U.S. tariffs is not serious, not realistic and easy to negotiate away.  I suggest they go back and look at the details outlined.  These are methodical tariffs, well-grounded and extremely difficult to challenge.

What USTR Jamieson Greer has quantified is the dollar value of Canada’s prior 2025 retaliation. Yes, it was driven by Canadian govt leadership; however, no, the dollar losses were created by a Canadian cultural response.

The Canadian govt cannot require Canadian citizens to purchase U.S. goods (think alcohol). Canadian citizens are emotionally angry at the USA (Trump), because -in part- they have been whipped into a frenzy by leftist politicians and pundits as part of the Canadian identity.

Even if the various provincial governments’ removed bans on products, the revenue is not going to return because the issue is now a cultural boycott. Canadians are defining themselves by being hostile to America. This is their national identity now.

This emotionally detached outcome is likely what President Trump needed in the dynamic of eliminating the USMCA: (1) Canada boycotts U.S. goods, (2) that behavior creates lost revenue that can be quantified, and (3) that quantified loss then becomes a tariff regime. Wash-Rinse-Repeat.

Canada cannot exit the spiral without stopping their emotional identification. Additionally, the Canadian government cannot reverse the quantified trade loss because it is not based on economic activity under their control.

Beyond the quantifications, data and mathematics, that’s the reality of the matter.

While both China and Canada retaliated to the 2025 U.S. Sec.232 tariffs on Steel and Aluminum, there is a big difference between China and Canada when it comes to finance and strategic economics.

China is thoughtful, calculated and cunning.

Canada is emotional and reactive.

What happened after the 2025 Sec.232 tariffs was easily predictable if you accept each government for who they are, not what they pretend to be.

China (Chairman Xi and FM Liu) didn’t initially react to the Trump tariffs. Instead, they quantified the outcome. They estimated a vulnerability of roughly $30 billion in the sectoral tariffs, more in the baseline.

China then evaluated the cost/benefit of response. A calculated decision looking at the totality of the trade landscape. If they lost $30B USD, could it be recaptured in another sector? What other measures could China take etc., etc.?

China then folded the $30B loss into other global trade constructs. Europe was used to recapture most of it (deep industrial seeds planted); some from South America (foodstuffs).

By leveraging EU, Asia and South American trade agreements, China offset their $30B loss.

Canada however, reacted emotionally to the Sec.232 tariffs. Immediately boycotted various sector goods, levied retaliatory tariffs and instituted new non-tariff barriers and regulations in an effort to punish Trump.

See the difference in strategy?

China then ends up leveraging the emotion of Canada into a bilateral that puts BYD/GEELY into a manufacturing position within North America. This is the same thing Beijing did in Europe using EU self-imposed climate change mandates as the foot in the door.

China understands all those soon to be empty industrial buildings in Canada can be purchased for pennies on the dollar. Beijing keeps the panda mask and promises to purchase canola oil in exchange (lol).

Canada’s emotional response to the USA plays into the hands of both Chairman Xi and President Trump, and to make matters worse from the perspective of the Canadians their best play is to be even more emotional and angry (Carney/Ford).

Trump doesn’t want Xi in Canada, but that’s a battle for another day… Today, squishing Carney works for both.

China is calculated, serious, methodical and cunning.

Canada is emotional, reactive and, well, if we’re honest, kinda stupid.