Posted originally on Jul 9, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
The establishment continues to dismiss the growing support for socialism among young people as nothing more than college indoctrination. That is only part of the story. If we refuse to understand why an entire generation is losing faith in capitalism, then we are destined to repeat the very mistakes that gave rise to socialism throughout history. The Fox News analysis citing Heartland Institute and Rasmussen polling noted that 53% of Americans aged 18 to 39 said they would support a Democratic Socialist for president, while 76% favored nationalizing industries such as health care, energy, and big tech. The overwhelming motivation is not ideology, it is economic despair.
Young Americans have entered adulthood during one of the most distorted economic periods in modern history. Housing has become unattainable for millions. According to the same polling, 74% of young voters believe America is facing a housing crisis, 62% say the economy is unfair to young people, and 36% describe themselves as struggling financially or in outright crisis. When asked why they supported democratic socialism, the most common answer was simple: housing costs. This is precisely what governments never want to admit. People do not abandon free markets because they suddenly become Marxists. They lose faith when the system no longer appears to reward hard work or provide a realistic path toward owning a home, raising a family, or building wealth.
This is hardly unique to the United States. Across Europe, Canada, Australia, and much of the developed world, younger generations face soaring rents, stagnant real wages after inflation, enormous student debt, and some of the weakest housing affordability on record. Many graduates cannot find careers matching their education, while others remain trapped in temporary work or are forced to live with their parents well into adulthood. Governments spent decades inflating asset prices through endless debt expansion and artificially low interest rates. Those who already owned homes and financial assets became wealthier, while those entering the workforce found themselves permanently priced out. That is not capitalism functioning properly. It is the direct consequence of governments manipulating markets and accumulating unsustainable debt.
The politicians will blame corporations. Universities will blame capitalism. The socialists will promise that government ownership is the solution. They all conveniently ignore that governments created much of this crisis themselves.
History demonstrates that socialism gains support not when capitalism succeeds, but when governments corrupt free markets until ordinary people no longer recognize them. The Roman Empire followed the same path, debasing its currency while expanding state control until confidence collapsed. Every sovereign debt crisis eventually creates demands for greater redistribution because people become desperate. We are watching that cycle unfold once again. The danger is that socialism will not solve the underlying problems of debt, declining productivity, or demographic collapse. It merely transfers more power to the same governments whose reckless policies created the crisis in the first place.
All are welcome to attend the upcoming seminar I am hosting on July 25, Understanding the World Economy. I’ve spoken to a number of people who said they are bringing their kids or nieces/nephews. If you have teenagers or young adults in your family, bring them along. Schools teach theories, but they rarely explain how the real world economy actually functions. Understanding capital flows, debt, history, and the cycles that shape society is knowledge that can benefit every generation. The sooner young people learn how the world truly works, the better prepared they’ll be for the future.
The Federal Reserve minutes from the June 16–17 meeting showed policymakers divided over where interest rates should go next. The official minutes admit the problem plainly. Inflation had “increased further and remained well above” the Fed’s 2% objective, while officials blamed tariffs, supply disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz, and demand from the AI boom. That is not a normal business cycle. That is government-created chaos colliding with war, energy, trade barriers, and capital flows.
The Fed voted 12–0 to hold rates at 3.50% to 3.75%, but unanimity on the vote hides the split underneath. The minutes state that “a few participants” saw a case for raising rates immediately, while others thought policy was already “slightly restrictive.” That is central-bank language for confusion. They do not know whether inflation will fade or accelerate, because this is not simply consumer demand. The old Keynesian playbook does not work when prices are being driven by tariffs, war risk, energy shocks, and government deficits.
The minutes also said “many participants” believed elevated commodity prices and supply disruptions could persist longer than expected. That is the key. They keep pretending inflation will return to 2% if they wait long enough. But confidence is collapsing in government itself. Rates are not rising merely because the Fed wants them higher. Rates rise when capital demands a higher return to buy government paper. That is the part the academics never understand.
The Fed even admitted the ownership of Treasury securities has shifted away from “price-insensitive official-sector holders” toward “more price-sensitive private investors.” That is a major warning. Foreign central banks are not absorbing U.S. debt the same way they once did. Private capital wants compensation. This is why rates can rise even with a weakening economy. It is the sovereign debt crisis creeping into the room while everyone stares at CPI.
Warsh is now trapped. Trump may want lower rates, Wall Street may want lower rates, and politicians always want cheap money. But if inflation reaccelerates, the Fed will be forced to raise because Keynesian economics is the only model they have. They will not admit the real problem is fiscal. They will not admit Washington’s endless borrowing, tariffs, war spending, and regulation are creating the very inflation they claim to fight.
The minutes removed the prior easing bias and said the Committee “will deliver price stability.” That sentence is important. It means the Fed is preparing the public for the possibility that cuts are not coming. The split is no longer between hawks and doves. It is between those who still believe inflation will magically fade and those who can see that the system has changed.
This is what I have explained many times. The Fed does not control the entire yield curve. It can influence short-term rates, but it cannot command global capital. If capital begins to distrust government debt, rates rise. If war escalates and capital flees Europe, the dollar can rise with gold. If inflation comes from energy, tariffs, food, and supply shocks, crushing small business with higher rates will not solve the problem. It will only expose how fragile the debt system has become.
Posted originally on Jul 9, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Lithuania, Estonia, Latvia, Poland, and Greece are projected to exceed NATO’s new 3.5% core-defense spending target this year, nearly a decade ahead of the 2035 deadline. Lithuania is projected at 5.33% of GDP, Estonia 5.1%, Latvia 4.92%, Poland 4.68%, and Greece 3.65%. These are not small accounting changes. This is the militarization of Europe before the people have even been asked whether they want this future.
NATO pretends this is about “security.” Governments always use that word when they want unlimited money and no debate. The old 2% target was once treated as unbearable. Now they have moved the goalpost to 5% of GDP, 3.5% for core military spending and another 1.5% for cyber, infrastructure, and anything else they can stuff into the war budget.
The nations closest to Russia are spending first because they know Brussels and Washington have turned Ukraine into the excuse for a permanent war economy. Poland and the Baltics are not waiting until 2035 because they understand where this is going. But the real question is never asked: who benefits? The average European cannot afford housing, food, energy, or basic living costs, yet suddenly there is endless money for weapons.
Reuters reported that total NATO defense spending is projected to exceed $1.8 trillion in 2026, with the United States still accounting for nearly 57% of the alliance’s military expenditure. So even after all the lectures about Europe stepping up, America remains the piggy bank. This is why I have said the United States should get out of NATO and let Europe deal with Russia if that is the future they want. America’s real strategic threat is China, not financing another endless European war.
Germany, France, and Britain remain below the new 3.5% benchmark, while smaller nations on Russia’s border are racing ahead. That tells you the whole story. The countries that feel exposed are arming. The larger European powers are talking. Brussels wants a European army, NATO wants more money, and the people get the bill.
Posted originally on Jul 8, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
I have received numerous requests to host a technical training conference similar to those I conducted in the 1990s. Those sessions were intensive—and at $5,000 per seat, they were not inexpensive. By today’s standards, however, that would be a bargain. Consider that DAVOS currently charges between $27,000 and $35,000 per attendee. I am giving this serious consideration, particularly because I recognize that the need for such training has become urgent as we approach 2032. That said, it is a monumental undertaking. I would need to author an entirely new textbook to accompany the program. Let me reflect on it.
PS Thanks for the photo of my badge from New Orleans
COMMENT: Well, Marty, Socrates is right again. You even had the week correct. Trump just announced the end of the ceasefire and cannot escape this unpopular war. It is so obvious why mainstream media will not quote you; Socrates puts everyone else to shame.
GH
REPLY: Trump is trapped. He cannot escape without admitting this was orchestrated by the Neocons, and it is Netanyahu’s war. I will write to President Trump. I seriously doubt the Neocon-Deep State will allow it to get to him. When I send it, I will let you know. Perhaps if others write in maybe it will get beyond the Deep State Bubble.
Opinion and $5 will get you a coffee at Starbucks. Socrates is unbiased and the only way to see what lies ahead.
Posted originally on Jul 8, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
QUESTION: Many significant families and individuals gained their wealth through unethical means, e.g., Gates, Rothschilds/Rockefellers…
R
ANSWER: While I am certainly no fan of Bill Gates, starting a company that then makes him a billionaire because of valuations, does not qualify as unethical. Gates’ tactics and seeking to be a monopoly is unethical in my book, but that did not make him a billionaire. His mentor, I believe, was Rockefeller in both creating a monopoly as well as deeply concerned about over-population indoctrinated by his his.
The pursuit of a monopoly was primarily the endeavor of John D. Rockefeller, the founder of the family fortune, rather than the entire Rockefeller family over generations. His methods were effective, but his ambition also led to a famous legal dismantling and a subsequent pivot towards philanthropy.
John D. Rockefeller’s quest for market dominance was a systematic and aggressive campaign to control the American oil industry. His company, Standard Oil, used aggressive tactics to buy out competitors, which was adopted by Bill Gates. In what became known as the “Cleveland Massacre” of 1872, he purchased 22 of his 26 competitors in Cleveland within a few months. By the 1880s, Standard Oil controlled about 90% of U.S. refineries and pipelines.
Rockefeller didn’t just focus on refining. He sought to control every aspect of the oil business, from production to transportation to retail sales. This vertical integration, combined with his market power, gave him an immense advantage. The company used various methods to crush competition, including securing preferential (and often secret) transportation rates from railroads, engaging in predatory pricing, and using its sheer size to pressure suppliers and distributors.
The overwhelming power of Standard Oil triggered a strong public and political backlash, ultimately leading to its breakup. The public outcry against monopolies like Standard Oil led to the creation of the Sherman Antitrust Act in 1890. In 1911, the U.S. Supreme Court found Standard Oil in violation of these laws and ordered its dissolution into 34 independent companies.
While it appeared to be a defeat, the breakup actually increased Rockefeller’s wealth. He and other shareholders retained proportional ownership in all the newly formed companies, such as those that eventually became Exxon, Mobil, and Chevron. As these independent entities began to trade on the stock market, their combined value grew, making Rockefeller even richer.
The Shift from Monopoly to Philanthropy After establishing his immense fortune, John D. Rockefeller and his descendants largely shifted their focus away from building monopolies and towards large-scale philanthropy, but to push their personal beliefs.
Starting in the 1890s, before the 1911 breakup by the Supreme Court. Rockefeller began to step back from business and dedicate himself to giving away his wealth. His goal was to create a legacy of social improvement to COUNTER his ruthless business reputation. I believe that Gates did the same. While there is no explicit confirmation that Bill Gates has hired a firm solely for “reputation management,” there is strong evidence that the public perception of Gates is carefully managed and is a central objective of his communications strategy. His and his foundation’s activities consistently involve professional communication and PR tactics, from major philanthropic campaigns to crisis response and direct public engagement.The Rockefeller family’s philanthropic efforts established some of the most influential institutions in the U.S. and beyond. These include the University of Chicago, the Rockefeller Foundation, the Rockefeller University, and the Museum of Modern Art (MoMA) in New York. While the later generations, particularly David Rockefeller, built a financial empire through banking, the family’s reputation in the 20th century was more defined by their philanthropy and influence in finance, politics, and culture than by creating an industrial monopoly.
The claim that the Rockefeller Foundation and Bill Gates are collaborating on a hidden agenda to reduce the global population through vaccines is a well-known conspiracy theory. However, even the press has reported on this agenda. They call it a conspiracy theory to discredit the accusation without actually commenting on it or offerring proof that it is nonsense. The evidence shows that while both Gates & Rockefeller organizations have supported population and health programs, they have publicly and consistently stated their goals are to improve health and save lives, not to reduce population size.
The theory that powerful philanthropists are trying to reduce the population is often linked to the ideas of Thomas Malthus, an 18th-century economist. Malthus argued that population growth would inevitably outpace food production, leading to famine and poverty.
The Rothschilds did pursue market dominance, but their approach was markedly different from that of the Rockefellers. Whereas Standard Oil represented a single, colossal monopoly ultimately broken up by the U.S. government, the Rothschilds sought control through oligopolies, market structures dominated by a small number of large players. Thus, they often cooperating with competitors rather than trying to absorb them or put them out of business. This strategy was especially prominent in the 19th and early 20th centuries. They were not aiming for the kind of monopoly embodied by figures like Gates or Rockefeller.
Unlike the Rockefellers, who sought to dominate one industry from production to distribution, the Rothschilds wielded their financial influence across multiple sectors to engage in competition. They strategically invested in non-ferrous metals, mercury, nickel, lead, and copper, commodities with inelastic demand and concentrated supply, which made them particularly amenable to control.
They also took over state-run monopolies, such as the mercury mines at Almadén in Spain, through privatization. Rather than acquiring every competitor, they often purchased controlling stakes in market leaders, companies like Le Nickel, Peñarroya, and Rio Tinto. In many instances, they collaborated with other dominant players to form cartels and collusive oligopolies, ensuring high returns for all involved rather than driving rivals out of business.
J.P. Morgan
In fact, the historical records show that a partnership did form, involving J.P. Morgan and the Rothschilds in 1895 to replenish the U.S. Treasury’s rapidly depleting gold reserves and prevent is bankruptcy from the inflationary practices of the Silver Democrats led by William Jennings Bryan.
This model extended to their banking operations. For decades, a Rothschild-led consortium functioned as the de facto “state banker” for the Austro-Hungarian Empire, operating as a quasi-monopoly. It is essential, however, to distinguish these documented business practices from the many unfounded conspiracy theories that surround the family.
One enduring myth claims the Rothschilds “control the global financial system,” including the U.S. Federal Reserve, an absurd claim repeatedly debunked by historians and fact-checkers and frequently rooted in antisemitic tropes. The Federal Reserve, for instance, is a publicly accountable institution with a presidentially appointed Board of Governors. Allegations of the Rothschilds orchestrating wars, assassinations, or global events lack evidentiary support. While their financial and economic influence was substantial, there is no credible evidence of secret global puppet-mastery.
In short, the Rothschilds actively pursued market dominance by fostering favorable, competition-limiting conditions, largely through oligopolies, but their story is not one of a singular, enduring monopoly like Standard Oil. Their historical power, while real, has been profoundly distorted by myth, making them perhaps the most famous targets of modern conspiracy lore.
I can personally speak to this distinction. In the 1980s, a member of the Rothschild family joined my company as an employee, initially without my knowledge. About a year later, the offer came: they wanted to buy in as a partner, not absorb my firm. That experience aligned perfectly with their preference for oligopoly over monopoly.
Later, a journalist interviewing me about the rise of hedge funds asked why I wasn’t primarily motivated by money, unlike many others. I explained that I saw two separate drivers: one measured success by accumulated wealth, the other by accomplishment. I was often told that when I entered the trading ring, fear showed in their eyes, the difference was clear. I relied on analysis for achievement; they sought only to manipulate markets for profit.
Over the years, I’ve encountered many high-net-worth clients. I would turn away those driven exclusively by money. To them, you’re only as good as your last trade. Those who were in it for the long haul and valued the reasoning behind decisions stood apart from the Gates-Rockefeller mold.
This is a real and well-documented phenomenon. While some wealthy individuals are genuinely motivated by a desire to do good, historians, psychologists, and sociologists agree that guilt, legacy anxiety, and reputational management are powerful forces behind much high-profile philanthropy. Some amass fortunes at any cost, then turn to charitable giving as a means of rehabilitating their past. I have been more interested in leaving behind Socrates as my accomplishment.
The case against me was used to shield those bankers, as my phone conversations contained evidence of them attempting to recruit me into their illegal market manipulation scheme. The judge ordered all tapes to be turned over, but they were conveniently destroyed in the World Trade Center attack as part of a cover-up.
Posted originally on CTH on July 8, 2026 | Sundance
Most people understand the dynamic with Graham Platner has come down to price. How much are the Communists going to have to pay to get the Nazi rapist to leave the Maine senatorial race.
There are various storylines surrounding the negotiations [Example Here], but the bottom line is how much can Platner get for his exit? Former Communist presidential candidate Bernie Sanders cashed out for a couple of new houses and various indulgences within the party apparatus. Sanders is also reportedly counseling Platner on terms.
Platner has until Monday at 5:00pm to exit so that Democrats can appoint a replacement candidate.
…”Two sources say Katz has told allies he believes Platner should to leave the race before the 5 p.m. Monday deadline to withdraw from the ballot — but wants the exit to be on the candidate’s terms.
“It’s quite clear that he’s [Platner’s] gonna have to get out of the race,” a second source told The Post. “Their reluctance here … is a result of their larger political project, trying to get these types of candidates into places of power. {SOURCE}
Posted originally on CTH on July 8, 2026 | Sundance
In discussing the role of Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney to block the geopolitical split caused by U.S. President Trump’s America-First policy, the Wall Street Journal did a deep dive into Carney’s travels and conversations.
This part was interesting: “Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s administration had been startled when ¹Trudeau’s government discreetly asked British intelligence chiefs to start discussing how they might band together if the U.S. left Five Eyes, the U.S.-led intelligence-sharing alliance. MI6 turned them down, as the vast majority of intelligence that flowed through that club came from Washington. The idea never gained traction, Canadian officials said, and Carney didn’t try to resurface it.” {SOURCE}
The Wall Street journal also inadvertently outlined why the generally unknown Mark Carney was selected by the Canadian leftists: “he texted European leaders he’d known from the finance world, like Rothschild banker Emmanuel Macron, now France’s president; onetime chairman of BlackRock’s German subsidiary, Friedrich Merz, now German chancellor; and the European Investment Bank’s Alexander Stubb, now Finland’s president.” Now you understand why CTH began watching Carney closely, as Trudeau was announcing his exit. Carney was planned as a counter to Trump’s 2024 victory.
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Turkish President Recep Erdogan is disliked by EU NATO elites in precisely the same manner as they dislike President Donald Trump. Erdogan is not a good guy in regional politics, but he is respected for the national strength he has created.
¹The five-eyes intelligence construct, specifically the Intelligence Community actors within it, is not the good guys. There’s a reason why Vladimir Putin says, ‘I do not hate Americans, I dislike the CIA.’
Posted originally on CTH on July 8, 2026 | Sundance
I have no fact-based idea why President Trump is sending the new Airforce One to the United Kingdom, while the President takes the older airplane. However, I’m pretty certain this is not about having U.S. military stationed at Mildenhall Air Force Base, get a tour of it.
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America