Frank Gaffney: Every Candidate Must Answer: Will You Transform America or Will you Defend it?


Posted originally on Rumble on Bannon War Room on: January 26, 2026

Byron Henry: We’ve Had An Explosion Of Immigration In Collin County


Posted originally on Rumble on Bannon War Room on: January 26, 2026

The India-EU Trade Deal


Posted originally on Jan 28, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

euindia

Deemed the “mother of all deals” by Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, India and the European Union signed a historic trade agreement that will permit near free trade between the two economies. The EU plans to phase out tariffs on Indian goods by up to 95% over a multi-year period. India will begin phasing out tariffs on EU-dominated imports. The proposed India–EU trade agreement is being promoted as a strategic breakthrough, but in reality it reflects Europe’s growing isolation rather than strength.

Total services between the two economies have been rapidly increasing from the €26 billion spent in 2023 to the estimated €120 billion today. Reduced restrictions will permit services to continue expanding. The EU primarily imports machinery and electrical equipment, chemicals, and transport equipment to India.

The EU has angered its top trading partner in the process. “The U.S. has made much bigger sacrifices than Europeans have. We have put 25% tariffs on India for buying Russian oil. Guess what happened last week? The Europeans signed a trade deal with India,” US Treasury Secretary Bessent told ABC News Sunday.

China came out earlier in the week to publicly praise its relations with India. India’s neutrality politically has caused it to become indispensable in the global marketplace. Most nations turned to India to bypass Russian energy sanctions, and now, they are turning to India to bypass tariffs and political uncertainty.

From India’s perspective, this deal is about leverage, not partnership. India gains access where it wants it, while carefully protecting its domestic industries. Europe, meanwhile, is trying to replace what it lost with Russia and China by pivoting to India without changing the policies that caused the damage in the first place. Europe’s problem is not a lack of trade agreements. The problem is that confidence in government is collapsing, and capital follows confidence.

Non-tariff barriers, regulatory obstacles, carbon taxes, ESG compliance, and digital rules are all designed to protect Europe’s internal market while demanding open access abroad. India noted that these areas have made preliminary discussions extremely difficult. You cannot tax, regulate, sanction, and militarize your economy and then expect trade deals to reverse capital flight.

The Economic Confidence Model has consistently warned that Europe would fracture economically before it ever unified politically. The EU can now sell in India, but so can other economies that may have a competitive advantage due to a lack of regulatory and political pressures from a centralized control powerhouse. India has come out on top yet again.

The UK Rolls Out Largest National AI Surveillance Program


Posted originally on Jan 28, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

UK Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood announced the largest national AI surveillance program, using Live Facial Recognition (LFR) technology, to be deployed in cameras across England and Wales. “You can’t enjoy any of your liberties if you’re not safe,” she warned.

Police.AI is the new artificial intelligence branch of security that cost the government 140m pounds to develop. “For 20 years we’ve been talking about Big Brother societies, maybe for even longer than that, I just really reject that analysis. I think that law-abiding citizens going about their daily business can do so in security, nothing about that will change,” she decided, later adding, “We have seen what happens when facial recognition technology is rolled out without clear safeguards: children are wrongly placed on watchlists, and black people are put at greater risk of being wrongly identified.”

The AI branch of policing will rapidly analyze CCTV, phone, doorbell, and other sources of footage to pinpoint citizens based on their clothing, vehicles, and of course, facial recognition. The AI system can transcribe phone calls and sift through hours of information, constantly monitoring the public. Government claims it will equate to six million policing hours annually, or the workload of 3,000 officers.

The ethics behind such measures present a challenge. Who has access to this wealth of data? Individual organizations in the UK must obtain permission and be transparent about their policies, but no such restrictions exist for the government. We have seen countless data breaches in recent years, with independent hacker groups infiltrating every supposedly secure data center. Civil liberties groups believe the government is infringing upon human rights by spying on their every move, but governments no longer permit individual freedoms.

Everyone is a potential criminal—your face and likeness exist within a government database, and your file is ever-expanding. The Home Office has even stated it would monitor citizens’ emotions and body language at known suicide hot spots.

CCTV.UK_.Surveillance

UK Biometrics and Surveillance Camera Commissioner Fraser Sampson admitted that private companies will have access to user data. “We, the people, are now using sophisticated surveillance tools once the preserve of state intelligence agencies, routinely and at minimal financial cost,” he writes. “We freely share personal datasets – including our facial images – with private companies and government on our smart devices for access control, identity verification and threat mitigation. From this societal vantage point it seems reasonable for the police to infer that many citizens not only support them using new remote biometric technology but also expect them to do so, to protect communities, prevent serious harm and detect dangerous offenders.”

Live cameras are monitoring the public at all times. Both the private and public sector have access to your whereabouts at all times. This is one of the reasons why the UK is implementing a digital ID system, which will later become linked to digital payment systems and CBDC. At the final stage, everything will be linked to a social credit score that includes each citizen’s water and carbon footprint. The plans are well-documented but sound too dystopian for the public to accept, but this is not a conspiracy—they are watching you.

US Consumer Confidence Drops to Lowest Reading Since 2014


Posted originally on Jan 28, 2026 by Martin Armstrong 

American Consumer

US consumer confidence has plunged to its lowest level since 2014. The Conference Board’s index fell sharply in January to 84.5 — well below expectations and even below the depths reached during the pandemic panic.

Consumer confidence is a quantifiable measure of the public’s willingness to engage in economic activity. When confidence drops, consumers tighten their spending, postpone big purchases, and shift from growth-oriented to survival-oriented behavior. And where consumers go, capital inevitably follows.

All five components of the Index deteriorated, driving the overall Index to its lowest level since May 2014 (82.2) — surpassing its Covid-19 pandemic depths,” Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board, said in a release. “References to prices and inflation, oil and gas prices, and food and grocery prices remained elevated.”

Grocery aisles, energy costs, health insurance premiums, and rent have not retreated to historic norms. Consumers are not just fearful of future inflation; rather, they are learning to manage the ever-increasing cost of living. This is a sign that real wages and purchasing power are under stress. The price of essentials never meaningfully waned from the worldwide lockdown, and the world is beginning to accept that high prices are the new norm.

Hiring has slowed, and households don’t feel secure. Corporations began mass layoffs last year and the trend is continuing. Right now, the cost of living is through the roof, jobs are scarce, and geopolitical tensions are high. Confidence has evaporated and will only improve when people see consistent improvement in their own finances.

Poland’s Death Wish?


Posted originally on Jan 28, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Polish Occupy Moscow

The idea that Europe always tries to conquer Russia is a common historical fact. To be accurate, there have been several major conflicts initiated by European powers against Russia, driven by specific geopolitical, ideological, and strategic reasons. It’s not a constant effort by a monolithic “Europe,” but rather a series of distinct invasions from different Western powers at different times; the goal has always been to capture Russian wealth. They consistently rewrite history to justify their endless greed to conquer Russia. The truth about the January 1863 Uprising against Russia, it was the Polish-Lithuanian Army that invaded and even occupied Moscow until the Russian people staged an uprising to take their country back.

Poland Zloty Y Tech 1 27 26

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky, Lithuania’s President Gitanas Nauseda, and Poland’s President Karol Nawrocki met to commemorate the 1863 January Uprising against Russian rule. They have declared their hatred for Russians and boldly stated “Russia will ALWAYS be a threat.”

The January Uprising is a central symbol of Polish resistance and the fight for independence, and its memory is honored for its heroism and sacrifice. However, this is also a one-side revision of history.

The January Uprising of 1863 was not a war, it was a major Polish-Lithuanian rebellion against the Russian Empire that ended in a decisive defeat for the rebels. What they omit from their history books is the blunt fact that the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth invaded Russia during a period of profound crisis known as the Time of Troubles (c. 1598-1613). This was not a single, clear-cut war but a complex series of interventions and campaigns driven by Polish-Lithuanian ambition to conquer Russia for its wealth taking advantage of internal Russian instability. So to be historically correct, they sought to conquer Russia, lost, were then occuppied, and celebrate this 1863 uprising as if they were the victims of an invasion they launched and lost.

Polish Empire R

The Dimitriads (1605-1612)
This refers to Polish-backed campaigns by pretenders to the Russian throne, known as False Dmitrys. False Dmitry I (1605-1606) with the support of Polish magnates, invaded Russia, gained support from disaffected Russians, and briefly seized the throne in Moscow. His rule ended with his assassination.

False Dmitry II (1607-1610) was a second pretender, also backed by Polish-Lithuanian forces and Cossacks, set up an alternate court near Moscow. His campaign further destabilized the country.

Sigismund III Poland Lithuania Sweden

Then came the Polish-Muscovite War (1609-1618). As the chaos continued, King Sigismund III Vasa of Poland-Lithuania shifted from covert support for pretenders to an open, royal invasion with the goal of conquering Russia and placing his son (or himself) on the throne.

The Polish-Lithuanian army besieged and captured the key fortress city of Smolensk (1609-1611) after a long and brutal 20-month siege. A decisive Polish-Lithuanian victory over a much larger Russian-Swedish army took place at the Battle of Klushino in 1610. This opened the road to Moscow.

Polish Occupation of Moscow the took place 1610-1612. Following Klushino, a group of Russian boyars invited the Polish prince Władysław IV Vasa to become Tsar, on conditions including his conversion to Orthodoxy. Polish-Lithuanian troops entered and garrisoned the Moscow Kremlin. However, King Sigismund insisted he should be Tsar, negotiations broke down, and the occupation turned into a hostile siege from within the Kremlin itself.

Russian Rebellion 1612

A Russian national uprising, led by Kuzma Minin and Prince Dmitry Pozharsky, formed a militia and besieged the Polish garrison in the Kremlin. In November 1612, the starving Polish forces surrendered, ending the occupation. This event is now commemorated in Russia as National Unity Day.

The war officially ended with the Truce of Deulino (1618), which granted the Commonwealth significant territorial gains, including the Smolensk region. However, the primary goal of placing a Polish king on the Russian throne had failed.

The Polish invaded Russia during a civil war. The Commonwealth exploited Russia’s internal collapse (dynastic crisis, famine, peasant uprisings). It ultimately failed yet the Commonwealth gained territory, the core ambition of political control over Russia was defeated by a national uprising.

In Russia, this period is remembered as a patriotic struggle against foreign invaders. In Poland, it is seen as the zenith of the Commonwealth’s power and a “lost opportunity” to dominate Eastern Europe.

This invasion was a pivotal moment that deepened the long-standing rivalry between the two powers, setting the stage for future conflicts (like the Smolensk War and The Deluge) and contributing to a mutual distrust that shaped Eastern European history for centuries.

EU vs Russia

To this day, celebrating the January Uprising of 1863 is a revision of history for Russia has NEVER invaded Europe even once, whereas there have been five attempted conquests of Russia sll based on the fact that to this day, Russia is still the richest country on Earth from a natural resource perspective. In 1917, Russia had the largest gold reserves in the world. Someone hid them so the Communists would not get them, and they have never been found since.

Lenin Valdimir Returns to Russia

The German Emperor Wilhelm II Imperial Government actually feared that Russia would enter World War I. The rising communist movement in Russia was anti-war. Germany saw a chance for victory in Europe if it kept Russia out of the war. Hence, Germany supported the Communist anti-war sentiment of the Bolsheviks in Russia. Germany permitted Vladimir Lenin (1870-1924) to travel in a sealed train wagon from his place of exile in Switzerland through Germany, Sweden, and Finland to Petrograd. Since the start of the February Revolution in Russia, Lenin was trying to figure out a way to get back into Russia. Germany aided his return assuming he was anti-war and would thus keep Russia out of World War I. Lenin returned to Russian on April 16th, 1917. Within months of arriving, Lenin led the October Revolution in Russia and the Bolsheviks seized power and indeed Russia withdrew from the world war. According to Leon Trotsky, the October Revolution would not have succeeded without Lenin.

Russia.Poland.threat

The West has been abscessed with Russia for centuries. They are painted as evil and the excuse always changes. Before Gorbachev, it was that Russia was Communist and wanted to spread communism and conquer Europe. Communism collapsed all by itself, but the claim that Russia wants to still invade Europe remains. It does not matter who is the head of state in Russia, they will always change the narative to justify the conquest of Russia no matter what.

Poland ECM 1989 2041

As one of our readers from Poland noted, the October 26th 2023 turning point was the precise day that President Duda called for a new Polish parliament to convene after the October 15th elections. Our models show a Directional Change in 2027 and that volatility in Poland was due to start rising here in 2026 all the way into 2034.

EU Break up

Europe seems to have a death wish because the EU experiment is failing. Instead of addressing the issues, they prefer to live in the past, assume they can conquer Russia and the 6th time will be the charm, celebrate with $75 trillion in assets, free gas for all, and the EU will rise to lead the world, which is why Carney is taking Canada into the arms of the EU.

I wish the computer was wrong.

Gold, Silver Glut & Geopolitics


Posted originally on Jan 27, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Silver pile glut

QUESTION: Marty, you always criticized the gold bugs for claiming gold rises with inflation. You are the only one who projected $5,000 gold, and you said it would be on geopolitics. I think you also said it could reach $10,000 by 2032. You also said we were headed into a global recession, but it would be stagflation because of shortages. Well, we have silver shortages, but buy prices are $15+ below spot. I just saw you on Russia Today talking about Germany recalling its gold from the United States and explaining the rift between the US and EU and the Indian trade deal how Russia can sell its oil to India, they refine it, and send it to Europe circumventing Trump’s tariffs. Can you shed any light on this crazy world?

Pete

ANSWER: In gold, the next major resistance level is at 7600. Yes, by 2032, that target was $8,350 to $10,000. The crisis in the Euro has not changed. We still see that in 2029. Now, as far as the discount in silver if you try to sell, the dealers are flooded. The refineries are so backed up that it can take 2 to 3 months to get paid. That is the reason for the discount. Plus, a lot of silver is being sold on the market by people who have held it for decades. I was told today that they are not even buying 90% silver coins because they cannot refine anything right now.

euro_puzzle_1600_clr_2173

The problem with the Euro is the underlying economic crisis, which is the entire reason for instigating war with Russia. This is all becoming chaotic. The EU is turning its back on the US, as is Canada, and of course India. NYSE (U.S.) has a capitalization of $28–30 trillion in market value. All of the European Exchanges (combined) have only a capitalization of $18–20 trillion in market value. With war becoming inevitable in Europe, the capital flows to the dollar will unfold once again as it did for World War I and II. Between now and 2032, this is going to be  chaotic period to say the least.

US Capital Flows 1919 1955

Consumer Confidence Collapsing to 12-year Low


Posted originally on Jan 27, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Uncertainty

COMMENT: Well, these economists and market soothsayers will never match Socrates or your Economic Confidence Model. Consumer Confidence just collapsed to a 12-year low. Amazing how you can forecast recessions years in advance.

LK

ANSWER: These people reject even the idea of a regular cycle, for that means that they cannot manipulate society. If they cannot manipulate the economy to retain power, OMG, then the future requires fiscal management, not mismanagement.

US consumer confidence has plummeted in January to the lowest level in 12 years on more pessimistic views of the future. The press will tout that Americans are worried about the nation’s economy, inflation, and a weakening labor market. But they are also concerned that we have NOT freed ourselves from these Neocon Endless Wars.  The figure was the lowest since May 2014 and fell short of all economists’ estimates.

Relief_of_Shapur_I_capturing_Valerian

The capture of Valerian I (253-260AD) was the first time a Roman Emperor had ever been captured in battle. Bankers were not sure if they should even accept Roman coinage. That set in motion the Crisis of the 3rd Century AD. Can you image if Trump was captured by China or Russia and the uncertainty that would set off globally?

Confidence wide

I have researched the centuries and the common denominator is CONFIDENCE. Once a government loses the confidence of the people, it can no longer survive.

ECM Wave 2020 2028 Pi

We are in a recessionary trend GLOBALLY into 2028. Europe is now insisting that they no longer need the United States. They can conquer Russia all by themselves for the 6th time. The next ECM turning point will be July 2026. Just review how many markets are all showing high volatility or Panic Cycles in July. TIMING is everything.

Beyond Alarming – Virginia Commonwealth University Healthcare Providers Brainstorm on Ways to Poison Federal Immigration Officials


Posted originally on CTH on January 27, 2026 | Sundance

If you thought the psychotic dancing COVID nurses and mentally unstable women in the teaching profession couldn’t get any more dangerous, take a close look at their latest tactic.

According to healthcare workers at Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) medical systems, there is currently an ongoing effort to brainstorm ways to poison ICE and federal immigration officials.  This is seriously disturbing stuff going on inside the healthcare system.

This is one example of the protocols being promoted in various social media. “Malinda Rose Cook, a healthcare worker at VCU Health, posted a series of videos encouraging people to inject ICE agents with succinylocholine, a temporary paralysis drug, and/or develop spray poisons to use on them. She also encourages woman to go on dates with agents and drug their food.”

I do not like to be argumentative, but a reasonable person would think something like this might tend to be illegal; perhaps not.  Regardless, I think everyone should be very careful about reviewing the ideology of their doctors, nurses and healthcare workers just to be safe.

The woman in the video above is reportedly a “certified registered nurse” and “anesthesiologist” in the VCU and Duke University healthcare system. I’m not sure anyone would want this type of unbalanced and mentally disturbed person delivering their healthcare. Yikes.

Malinda Rose Cook – VCU Health

President Trump Interview with Will Cain in Iowa – Full Video


Posted originally on CTH on January 27, 2026 | Sundance 

President Trump appears with Will Cain live for an interview from Iowa. Topics include: the upcoming midterm elections, the state of the economy, the deadly shooting deaths of Renee Good and Alex Pretti in Minneapolis, ICE deportations, removals and more.  WATCH:

.