Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky, Lithuania’s President Gitanas Nauseda, and Poland’s President Karol Nawrocki met to commemorate the 1863 January Uprising against Russian rule. Even though 163 years have passed, politicians still believe that Russia is an enemy that could attempt to conquer their land at a moment’s notice. The Europeans simply cannot help themselves. They NEVER learn from history, and that is why history keeps repeating itself. Kyiv Post ran an article with the headline “Russia and Its Leaders Will Always be a Threat to Europe” that basically sums up the mindset that has been driving this entire conflict from day one.
“Policies backing a ‘reset’ with the Russian Federation are disappearing, but one thing remains unchanged: whether it’s Tsarist Russia, Bolshevik Russia, or Vladimir Putin’s Russia, our countries, now independent, still face the same threat from the Russian Federation,” Poland’s President Nawrocki said. He added: “The countries of central and eastern Europe were not wrong in their opinions about the Russian threat, even at a time when western Europe was still focused on climate policy or letting in illegal immigrants.”
This is the same propaganda cycle that we have seen for centuries. You demonize the opponent, you claim they are inherently aggressive, you declare that they will “never change,” and then you justify endless war spending, suppression of dissent, and total economic destruction at home. President Nawrocki admitted that Europe will always view Russia as a threat, regardless of who is in charge.
The real threat is Europe’s leadership, which is dragging the continent into an economic depression. Every time they push sanctions, weaponize trade, and centralize power in Brussels, they accelerate the capital flight and the collapse in confidence. People do not understand that wars are not just fought with weapons. They are fought with capital flows. Once confidence breaks in government, money moves. That is why gold rises when people are trying to get OUT of the system. They are trying to escape the arbitrary rule of government and the risk of confiscation, capital controls, or banking restrictions. Europe is walking right into that trap again.
And of course, once they create this narrative that “Russia will ALWAYS be a threat,” then there is no room for peace. You cannot negotiate with someone you claim is permanently evil. That is the entire point. If peace breaks out, then the excuses for authoritarian policy at home disappear. The budget scams get exposed. The censorship ends. And the public begins asking why they were sacrificed for a political agenda.
This is why I have warned that the war cycle is rising into 2026. War becomes the tool of last resort for governments that have destroyed their own economies and need an external enemy to blame. It is not about defending Ukraine. It is about preserving a system that is collapsing under sovereign debt, energy shortages, and political corruption.
China’s President Xi Jinping praised India for its friendship as India celebrated its 77th Republic Day. Xi exclaimed that China-India relations are of “great significance for maintaining and promoting world peace and prosperity,” as he praised their alliance, adding, “dragon and the elephant dancing together.”
The two nuclear powers share a 2,400 mile border that has been the culprit of disputes over the years. In 2020, a heated fight at the border led to the deaths of 20 Indian and four Chinese soldiers. Both sides increased their military presence along the Himalayan border, but after five years, the nations realigned based on trade, the great peacemaker.
India is not Europe. It is not beholden to a centralized power source. India still thinks in terms of nationhood, sovereignty, and survival. That is why it is rising. It will not destroy itself to satisfy some international bureaucrat or climate agenda. That puts India in a unique position in the emerging multipolar world.
China also understands something Europe does not–you cannot fight on too many fronts. We have countless historical examples. Napoleon did not lose because he lacked courage. He lost because he expanded too far, opened too many fronts, and logistics collapsed. Empires do not die from one battle. They die from overstretch, internal division, and loss of confidence. China does not want a major escalation with India while it is already managing Taiwan tensions, trade wars, and internal economic strains. China does not need another neighboring enemy.
India will benefit from this shift because it is being viewed as an alternative manufacturing base and a political counterweight. That does not mean India is “anti-China.” It means India is becoming strategically indispensable. China does not want India firmly locked into the Western sphere, and India is benefiting from remaining neutral.
The EU has now given its final approval to a legally binding ban on Russian gas imports, pretending this is some grand moral victory. Reuters is reporting that the EU will stop importing Russian LNG by the end of 2026 and ban pipeline gas by September 30, 2027, with some flexibility to extend under certain conditions.
The press constantly frames this as “standing up to Russia,” but in reality, this has been nothing more than a shift from one supplier to another while pretending it is independence. Russia was once supplying over 40% of EU gas. By 2025, they managed to reduce it to around 13%. Yet some countries are still buying Russian energy because you cannot run an industrial economy on ideology. Of course, Hungary and Slovakia opposed this, and Bulgaria abstained. Hungary says it plans to challenge this legally. Centralized power strips individual member states of all autonomy, and all nations must abide by Brussels even if it will lead to financial ruin or war.
The EU’s entire problem is that it is run by politicians who do not understand economics, capital flows, or even basic history. They have no comprehension that the energy cost is the cost of production. When you deliberately raise the cost of energy, you raise the cost of EVERYTHING. That is not “Putin’s inflation.” That is EU inflation, caused by EU policy.
I warned that sanctions would trigger disruptions and excuses for supply cuts, and that Europe would be the one paying the price. The EU is heading into a depression because of its own deliberate policy decisions. Net Zero, sanctions, eliminating nuclear energy, attacking farmers, destroying industry, regulating everything to death, and now pretending you can just ban the energy inputs that built modern Europe.
Europe is banning Russian gas not because it makes economic sense, but because the EU has turned policy into religion and demands ideological conformity.
QUESTION: The Kremlin refuses to end the war in Ukraine unless the Donbas region is surrendered. Zelensky has previously stated he will not hand over the Donbas region to Moscow. This looks like what you have said. No resolution. Are we headed into more warfare in February/March?
DG
ANSWER: Zelensky is a piece of shit and that’s a complement since he is far worse than that. He does not represent Ukraine and he takes his orders from the EU and NATO. Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia broke apart according to ethnic regions. The Minsk Agreement was the answer and I will remine everyone that Ukrainians hate the Russian people no different than Hamas vs Israel or Iran.
In May 2014, precisely on target, the Ukrainians began to attack Russians on the street, beating them and killing them. They wanted all Russians dead, and the Western Press turned a blind eye. The hatred in Ukraine of non-Ukrainians goes back to the ethnic cleansing they engaged in when they were Nazis. They hate Russians, along with all other minorities they hate and do not trust. The Donbas moved to separate after the Ukrainian were killing ethnic Russians on the street. If Russia surrendered the Donbas to Zelensky, they will carry out a massive genocide. He has already outlawed their religion, their language, and ordered that Christmas will no longer be in January. The Western press refuses to tell the truth and as such, they are paid to ensure we get war.
When we look at the blood war between Ukraine and Russia, we will reach a very critical turning point June 13th, 2026. Dmitry Medvedev said that Russia was very close to considering to nuke Ukraine last December when Zelensky attempted for a 3rd time to assassinate Putin.
President Trump has responded to the threats by Iran to kill him personally. As he said, such an act would warrant the total obliteration of a country that violated international law. Zelensky sent drone to try to kill Putin when flying in his helicopter. He knows that would set in motion World War III. Yet Zelensky continues to assassinate Russians whenever he get the chance and NATO cheers him on as they cannot wait to start war.
The target on NATO Agression is September 2nd, 2026. NOBODY seems to want peace. That is simple, Ukraine MUST honor the Minsk Agreement it signed, allow the people of the Donbas to vote on their own future. They surely will not want to be part of Ukraine which has been the mother-country of ethnic cleansing.
It was Kiev that started this war NOT Russia. They declared everyone in the Donbas to be a terrorist because they moved to separate after the Ukrainians were slaughtering Russians in Odessa. Anyone who thinks this is being a Putin supporter, grab your gun, go to Ukraine and defend the people would support.
The EU signed a peace deal and lied to Russia never intending to honor it. Merkel admitted that publicly that they would buying time for Ukraine to build an army to start World War III.
Before Russia crossed the border to defend the Donbas, he told Zelensky to his face that honoring the Minsk Agreement was paramount.
Our computer has gone flatline on Ukraine. It will NOT survive as we know it. Zelensky is lining his pockets and is sacrificing Ukraine at the direction of the Neocons. The Ukrainian people are just pawns on a chessboard for NATO. Nobody gives a second thought about the Ukrainian people.
Trump thinks he’s negotiating a real estate deal. He sees territorial disputes over the Donbas, security guarantees, and NATO membership as “very thorny issues” that can be resolved through compromise. Get both sides to give a little, split the difference, shake hands, move on. The problem is you cannot negotiate with a Ukrainian. Sorry, I have tried. I even had two employees in Ukraine one on each side. You cannot reason. If you brought a bottle of vodka to dinner in Kiev and it was Russian, they regarded that as an insult and you were lucky if they did not smash it over your head and this was all before 2014.
This isn’t a real estate negotiation. This is even more than a regime survival. This is a deeply engrained blood feud. This has escalated to the point that the West does NOT appreciate the seriousness here. Putin isn’t fighting now just for the Donbas. He’s fighting to stay politically alive. Accepting a peace deal that leaves Ukraine in control of the Donbas invites WWIII. If Putin were forced out of Ukraine, this will be Coup #3 and then you will get a Russia Neocon who would have no problem engaging in WWIII knowing this is not about Ukraine, this is about the destruction of Russia. Coup #1 took place in 1964 after Khrushchev was forced to backdown after the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis. Then Coup #2 was against Gorbachev after fears he might accept the deal to join NATO. Putin is NOT a hardline Neocon nor is he a Communist. That is why Boris Yelstin turned to him for the Communists had filed a motion to impeach him trying to stage Coup #3 to take Russia back to the USSR.
It is amazing to me how the press keep cheering the idea of defeating Putin. They cannot see the big picture nor can they contemplate what would be the next step. Russia does have Moscow ringed with Neutral Missiles. For those who do not know that a Neutron bomb is, let me explain it. A neutron bomb is a type of nuclear bomb, but it’s a special design that optimizes one effect (radiation) while minimizing others (blast and heat). Even if you are in a bunker, a neutron bomb generates such intense radiation that it would penetrate shelters, buildings, and even reach into a bunker killing the people inside without causing major damage to the structure. However, what this would also do is actually neutralize an incoming nuclear missile. It would fry all electronics.
Besides Russia’s hypersonic missiles, it also has the Shkval (VA-111 Shkval) rocket torpedo. It travel inside a bubble within water. The “bubble” is the key to its incredible speed. This is known as Supercavitation. Instead of trying to move through dense water, the Shkval creates a giant, continuous gas bubble (a cavity) around its entire body. This reduces the friction with a Gas Generator. The nose of the torpedo has a cavitator. As it moves, a gas generator (usually burning fuel) expels hot gas through this nose, creating and maintaining the bubble.
Inside this bubble of gas, the torpedo experiences dramatically reduced hydrodynamic drag—essentially, it’s flying through a gas envelope rather than plowing through water. This allows it to reach speeds impossible for conventional torpedoes. It is know to have Reported Speeds of 200 knots and possibly greater (approximately 230 mph or 370 km/h). This is 4-5 times faster than a standard Western torpedo (which typically travels 40-50 knots). Its propulsion instead of a propeller is a solid-fuel rocket engine for its initial sprint, then a liquid-fuel ramjet for sustained speed in later models.
The Western press make it sound that Russia is weak, and we can take them with zero causalities with one arm tied behind our back. Putin is NOT a Neocon. Replace him and you will get a Neocon who will be as irresponsible our our Neocons who have no regard for human life. They think this is a video game of Maro Brothers and they have to win at all costs, which is everyone else’s children – never their own.
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you warned that Iran would face a crisis in February 2026. You also said Iran would enter a period of extreme conflict with the turning point in 2024. Now we have ships moving to Iran. Socrates has been showing a sharp rise in volatility beginning in February into September. I understand you are a trader and not a theoretical academic. Did you have any idea in creating Socrates that you not just disproved Random Walk Theory, but you created a system that does more than just forecast markets?
Robert S.
ANSWER: The September 2022 protests in Iran began this last wave which does not end until early 2027. This is the culmination of the Islamic Revolution that began in 1979. If you look at a chart of a market, what you will typically see is that a bull market is a longer drawn out period of time than a bear market. There are basic cyclical actions generated by human emotions insofar as we tend to take a longer period of time to gain confidence in something but we tend to lose that confidence in the blink of an eye.
Socrates proves every single day that the BS of Randam Walk and Efficient Market Theories are absurd for unless you are a trader and look into the eyes of your opponent, you will never comprehend the world economy. It is like playing poker. People do not always bet on fact. Sometimes its a gut feeling – a hunch. Everyone acts out of their own self-interest and that combination is so fundamental to everything, those who seek to control society and rule over us from above have no respect for we, the Great Unwashed. It is always about them – not us.
When I created Socrates, it was because I was a trader. I was interested in hedging from the 1970s because I was a market maker in gold. Because I was probably the first to venture into the field of forecasting foreign exchange, I ended up with clients around the world. Our reports use to go out by telex and in the ’80s the cost could be up to $75 per market per day. So we had only the biggest clients back then because the average person could never afford the communication costs. That was the reason I began to open offices around the world to bring down the communication costs.
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As one of the first International Hedge Fund Managers from 1985, Socrates was an amazing assistant. It was teaching me things by forcing me to look at things that were not always obvious at first glance.
I was doing a TV spot I think in 1982. It was FNN that became CNBC. I was doing an interview with Walter Bressert. I gave our forecast that the British pound would fall to par by 1985. The pound was near the $2 level at the time so it was about a 50% drop. The host was shocked. He turned to Walt and asked – “What do you think about that forecast?” Walt and I were good friends. He replied, “I would not bet against his computer.”
Socrates has made so many amazing forecasts far beyond what any human could possibly do because there is an array of variables globally that it just takes a computer to track. It is not a neural net. Those have never succeeded. Even IBM sold off its WATSON when it failed to meet expectations. Why everyone has tried to mimic Socrates have missed the point. What I did was completely different. I coded myself into the system. I taught Socrates HOW TO ANALYZE. I did not throw all the data into a neural net and hope it would figure it out all on its own. AI that is out there may be impressing people, but they are language models. They can search the existing data and retrive the answer.
However, these AI Language Models will never be able to learn how to trade or discover the cure for cancer as IBM thought with WATSON. They are NOT capable of discovery because to discover anything, it takes curiosity and that cannot be coded.
It was the central bank of Lebanon that found data in their basement and asked if we could do a model on their their country. I have told this story often how we entered the data and out came a forecast that their country was going to fall apart in 8 days. I thought there was something wrong with the data. The computer projected a parabolic move I tend to call a Phase Transition. They calmly asked which currency would be better. I said the Swiss franc. The computer was correct and 8 days later the civil war began. That is what opened my eyes to the ability of Socrates to forecast geopolitical events. They saw the capital moving and came to us for the timing. We included their currency in our 1985 World Economic Conference.
I had a client who was one of the biggest shippers in the Middle East. He called one day and asked what gold would tomorrow because Iraq was going to start attacking ships in the Gulf to put economic pressure on Iran. I came to realize that someone ALWAYS knows the inside story ahead of war and begins to move their capital accordingly. The computer tracks the capital flows globally and in forecasting markets, it was also inevitably forecasting war and geopolitical events.
As I have explained many times, gold rallied into 1980 not because of inflation and the dollar, it rose from $480 to $875 on geopolitical events when the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan to support a fellow Communist government against the rise of insurgents on December 24th, 1979. Gold peaked January 21st, 1980 at $875 cash.
I have paid the price for inventing something that had national security implications. I offered to run any study the CIA wanted. They bluntly told me that they had to own it. I said Socrates was not for sale. To even film the Forecaster, everything had to be proven in order to get insurance to make that movie. It was insured by Lloyds of London against slander and libel. The piece of evidence was an email to a lawyer demanding I turn over the source code in order to allow the company to continue forecasting. They fired 240 employees and stole their pension funds. That is how honorable the government is when they want something.
The SEC even used our research during 911. Just a month after the attacks the SEC sent out a list of stocks to various securities firms around the world looking for information. The list includes stocks of American, United, Continental, Northwest, Southwest and US Airways airlines, as well as Martin, Boeing, Lockheed Martin Corp., AIG, American Express Corp, American International Group, AMR Corporation, Axa SA, Bank of America Corp, Bank of New York Corp, Bank One Corp, Cigna Group, CNA Financial, Carnival Corp, Chubb Group, John Hancock Financial Services, Hercules Inc, L-3 Communications Holdings, Inc., LTV Corporation, Marsh & McLennan Cos. Inc., MetLife, Progressive Corp., General Motors, Raytheon, W.R. Grace, Royal Caribbean Cruises, Ltd., Lone Star Technologies, American Express, the Citigroup Inc. ,Royal & Sun Alliance, Lehman Brothers Holdings, Inc., Vornado Reality Trust, Morgan Stanley, Dean Witter & Co., XL Capital Ltd., and Bear Stearns.
My track record over decades proves beyond a shadow of doubt that Random Walk Theory and Efficient Market Hypothesis are complete bullshit. If they were true, then they would have left me alone and our employees. They did their best to stop the forecasting and to steal my life’s work. I never intended to create something that would be of National Security. Why do you think the House Judiciary Committee would NEVER dare investigate my case with judges committing felonies that would force them to actually take action in the name of justice and the constitution?
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte delivered a direct reminder to the EU in Brussels. Brushing aside criticism after Donald Trump published private messages between them and telling EU lawmakers, he did not mind the disclosure. Speaking directly to the EU nations at the European Parliament, Secretary Rutte defended Trump’s NATO record, warned Europe cannot defend itself alone, and rejected claims linking Greenland talks to Ukraine.
Rutte reminded the European assembly that without the United States there is “no way” for Europe to defend itself. WATCH:
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White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt speaks to the media. The anticipated start time is 1:00pm ET with livestream links below.
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On the surface it seems like ICE enforcement is the issue; however, in reality Governor Tim Walz and Mayor Jacob Frey have been leading a criminal syndicate, with the entire region engaged in money laundering and financial fraud.
State political leadership are involved. The local Minneapolis police are involved; the Minneapolis municipal leaders are involved; a large and dedicated segment of the migrant population is involved; corrupt judges and officers of the courts are involved; public and private sector agencies involved in fraudulent exploitation of benefits are involved, and the community activists -footsoldier communists- are engaged in the process of using civil unrest as cover.
As the violent insurgency escalates, President Trump has announced Border Czar Tom Homan is being sent to the region:
“I am sending Tom Homan to Minnesota tonight. He has not been involved in that area, but knows and likes many of the people there. Tom is tough but fair, and will report directly to me. Separately, a major investigation is going on with respect to the massive 20 Billion Dollar, Plus, Welfare Fraud that has taken place in Minnesota, and is at least partially responsible for the violent organized protests going on in the streets. Additionally, the DOJ and Congress are looking at “Congresswoman” Illhan Omar, who left Somalia with NOTHING, and is now reportedly worth more than 44 Million Dollars. Time will tell all. Thank you for your attention to this matter!” ~ President DJT
When we went to Iraq/Afghanistan, American political leadership said we were going to fight them “there” so that we didn’t need to fight them “here.” However, that same American political leadership then imported hundreds-of-thousands of them to here.
The communist-minded community activists have joined with the Antifa domestic terrorists and adopted the strategy of insurgencies. Former retired Green Beret Officer Eric Schwalm writing on X accurately draws attention to the similarity of action:
Eric Schwalm: “As a former Special Forces Warrant Officer with multiple rotations running counterinsurgency ops—both hunting insurgents and trying to separate them from sympathetic populations—I’ve seen organized resistance up close. From Anbar to Helmand, the pattern is familiar: spotters, cutouts, dead drops (or modern equivalents), disciplined comms, role specialization, and a willingness to absorb casualties while bleeding the stronger force slowly.
What’s unfolding in Minneapolis right now isn’t “protest.” It’s low-level insurgency infrastructure, built by people who’ve clearly studied the playbook.
Signal groups at 1,000-member cap per zone. Dedicated roles: mobile chasers, plate checkers logging vehicle data into shared databases, 24/7 dispatch nodes vectoring assets, SALUTE-style reporting (Size, Activity, Location, Unit, Time, Equipment) on suspected federal vehicles. Daily chat rotations and timed deletions to frustrate forensic recovery. Vetting processes for new joiners. Mutual aid from sympathetic locals (teachers providing cover, possible PD tip-offs on license plate lookups). Home-base coordination points. Rapid escalation from observation to physical obstruction—or worse.
This isn’t spontaneous outrage. This is C2 (command and control) with redundancy, OPSEC hygiene, and task organization that would make a SF team sergeant nod in recognition. Replace “ICE agents” with “occupying coalition forces” and the structure maps almost 1:1 to early-stage urban cells we hunted in the mid-2000s.
The most sobering part? It’s domestic. Funded, trained (somewhere), and directed by people who live in the same country they’re trying to paralyze law enforcement in.
When your own citizens build and operate this level of parallel intelligence and rapid-response network against federal officers—complete with doxxing, vehicle pursuits, and harassment that’s already turned lethal—you’re no longer dealing with civil disobedience. You’re facing a distributed resistance that’s learned the lessons of successful insurgencies: stay below the kinetic threshold most of the time, force over-reaction when possible, maintain popular support through narrative, and never present a single center of gravity.
I spent years training partner forces to dismantle exactly this kind of apparatus. Now pieces of it are standing up in American cities, enabled by elements of local government and civil society. That should keep every thinking American awake at night.
Not because I want escalation. But because history shows these things don’t de-escalate on their own once the infrastructure exists and the cadre believe they’re winning the information war.
We either recognize what we’re actually looking at—or we pretend it’s still just “activism” until the structures harden and spread.
Your call, America. But from where I sit, this isn’t January 2026 politics anymore. It’s phase one of something we’ve spent decades trying to keep off our own soil.” [source]
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
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