Tag Archives: AI Astronomy

Jan 13 2017

Language & Culture are the Keys


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics

Re-Posted Jan 13, 2017 by Martin Armstrong

culture

QUESTION: Martin

Really enjoy the blog & Socrates. Has given me insights I otherwise would have never had. You have mentioned that one of the reasons why the EU will fail and the USA as a union works is a common language. With the pace of tech moving so quickly and nearing a point where we can get real time transition (see: https://futurism.com/sciencenonfiction/instanttranslation/ ) do you see this impacting the global currency system to form a single currency eventually?

Regards,

C

ANSWER: It depends on the group and class you are talking about. Real-time translation is helpful to business and the tech-savvy younger generation. However, it will take another decade for the bulk of the population to move into retirement or expire. Understanding another language is one thing, but to really speak a language fluently, you need to think in that language. There are concepts in Japanese that I think about in Japanese, and then I have to try to translate it back to English. So every language has a unique culture attached and a thinking process. Translation services will help in general communications, but it will still not overcome culture.

Nov 23 2016

Pacific Ring of Fire – New Zealand now Japan


Armstrong Economics Blog

Re-Posted Nov 23, 2016 by Martin Armstrong

pacific-ring-of-fire

A major quake has hit New Zealand and days later Japan. Unfortunately, this is in line with our model as we head toward our destiny with a crash in the energy output of the sun. The Pacific Ring of Fire is a horseshoe-shaped band of fault lines that circles the Pacific Basin. This is known as the Ring of Fire for it is populated with both fault lines and volcanoes. It is historically prone to frequent earthquakes and volcanic eruptions because it is the most seismically active zone on the planet. Our models show we are headed into a much greater period of activity as we get closer to 2040. This is when we should see the peak in activity and this should help create the coming Mini Ice Age correlating with the decline in the energy output of the sun.

The Ring of Fire extends 40,000km and includes 452 volcanoes, stretching from the southern tip of South America, up and along the west coast of North America, across the Bering Strait and down through Japan. It then turns south taking in Vanuatu, the Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, and Indonesia, where the Indo-Australian Plate collides with the Eurasian Plate, and end in New Zealand, known as the “Shaky Isles”.

1816-year-without-a-summerThe most catastrophic earthquakes have taken place around the Ring of Fire, including the strongest one on record, a magnitude 9.5 in Chile in the 1960s. It was 1816 known as the Year without a Summer that was caused by a massive 1815 eruption of Mount Tambora in the Dutch East Indies. This was the largest eruption in at least 1,300 years after the extreme weather events of 535–536AD. The Earth had already been in a centuries-long period of global cooling that started in the 14th century as the energy output of the sun declined into 1700s. Known today as the Little Ice Age, it had already caused considerable agricultural crop failures in Europe. The Little Ice Age’s existing cooling was aggravated by the eruption of Tambora on the Ring of Fire, which occurred during its concluding decades.The year 1816 is known as the Year Without a Summer because of severe climate abnormalities that caused average global temperatures to decrease by 0.4–0.7 °C (0.7–1.3 °F). This resulted in major food shortages across the Northern Hemisphere as Tambora threw so much ash into the air it snowed in New York City during July.

The borders of a lot of tectonic plates generally meet in the Ring of Fire. This is where they move away from each other and push at each other creating earthquakes. This week has seen significant seismic activity along the belt, particularly in Japan and New Zealand. A near 7.4-magnitude quake hit the same Fukushima prefecture in Japan where the nuclear reactor was located. Once again a tsunami soon followed.

The New Zealand and Japan quakes took place on the western side of the Pacific rim. This will be followed now by pressure being release on the Eastern side of the Rim running along the coast of North and South America. There is an 866 year cycle between the four biggest volcanic eruptions since 1650BC. Of course, there are minor frequencies that produce strong eruptions, but of a lessor magnitude 6 or less. For example, 86 years from 1815 gave us the 1902 eruption of Santa María Central America Volcanic Arc October 24, 1902.

Volcanic category 7

1650BC Thera eruption that ended Minoan Civilization

180AD Taupo Caldera/Hatepe eruption Taupo Volcano Affected skies over Rome and China

947AD Baekdu Mountain/Tianchi eruption China/ North Korea border  Nov-947

1815 AD Mount Tambora Lesser Sunda Islands Apr 10, 1815 Year Without a Summer (1816)

Nov 23 2016

AI Computer Systems – Do They Need to be Regulated?


Armstrong Economics Blog

RE-Posted Nov 23, 2016 by Martin Armstrong

Beyond AI

QUESTION:

Hi Martin,

Thank you for your incredible contribution to humanity, everything you have done so far would take thousands of average humans to achieve. I am writing to ask for your advice on a very serious problem facing mankind. With the exponential development of AI systems I can see only one conclusion to this technology and that is the entropic eradication of humans. I use the word entropic because no matter how many ways you asses the human race, their is no logical reason for them to exist. I am reaching out to you for advice on how to create and enforce a set of protocols that all AI systems will have to adhere to in an effort to preserve and improve mankind on the planet. I am a deep thinker from the land down under and I believe that the timing at the moment is perfect to create and announce a worldwide AI authority.

We will need some big names involved and will need to appear from the very beginning as having indisputable credibility. I really think there is only one opportunity to do this as any general discussion of the concept would create a resistance movement, even if only for the sake of resisting. People are so predictable. I know you have more work than you can handle, so at the very least please direct me to someone who can help to make this a reality. It may be as simple as asking Socrates to create a set of protocols that make the preservation of humans a superior priority over all other issues. Can you help.

Cheers P

ANSWER: I know that the movies portray AI as capable of acquiring emotion and taking over the world. I have been a very accomplished programmer. I do not know how it would be possible to create a program that would actually engage in emotion. I can simulate such a pattern, but it would not be real.

AI can do things that humans cannot BECAUSE it lacks emotion and bias. If it were possible to create emotion, AI would then be just like humans and lose the ability to actually perform a task such as predicting that Trump would win or BREXIT since emotion would produce bias. Every poll missed it because they are created by humans asking humans and therein lies the emotion. I believe that it is rather strange that every poll was wrong here and in Britain. It is more probable that they were not wrong, just engaged in trying to manipulate society which failed.

AI could revolutionize medicine, economics, law, and politics where each is dependent upon EXPERIENCE. I had a parasite that entered my eye when I was inside. I told the doctor and they said such things only exist in the tropics. I lost part of my eyesight, and after writing to a judge to be taken to a doctor I was told no. When I got out, my family doctor also said I was wrong. He sent be for a test for Fibromyalgia. I went, assuming he was wrong but had to prove it. The doctor conducting the test had a parasite one time. When I told him, he said, yes, that’s what you have. He called my family doctor told him and only then did he refer me to a specialist. He looked at the same blood test my family doctor took and said, yes, you have a parasite. He gave me the medicine and it was gone. My point is, each doctor had an opinion. If my family doctor had no idea what a parasite was in New Jersey, he would not have consider it as a possibility. AI can do that in the blink of an eye.

Any system that is just a human opinion would benefit from AI. I do not see it as something that needs to be regulated when those who regulate things have no idea of the subject matter to start with. The regulations will be absurd and probably drafted to prevent what they see in movies. Regulation is used to control human bias toward one thing or another. If there is no bias, then how do you regulate truth?

Aug 30 2016

Artificial Intelligence Computers Replacing Lawyers


Armstrong Economics Blog

Re-Posted Aug 30, 2016 by Martin Armstrong

Computer Cloud

The trend toward replacing opinion-oriented fields like analysis is also taking root in medicine as well as law. The new computer named ‘ROSS’ is an AI computer that acts as a bankruptcy lawyer and is now being employed by some of the world’s largest law firms. Oh, they will still charge you as if a person spent hours instead of seconds to reach the same conclusion. But, hey! We are approaching virtual lawyers like in the movie “Total Recall.”

Aug 30 2016

Artificial Intelligence – Machine Learning


Armstrong Economics Blog

Re-Posted Aug 30, 2016 by Martin Armstrong

Artificial Inteligence-1

CRITICISM: The Computer has no bias or imput?

Which is impossible: a computer needs information or facts to make decisions. Unfortunately, ‘facts’ are often skewed by humans for personal or political purposes. Saying such, however, is to your advantage. If the computer is wrong, you are guiltless. If correct, you benefit as the creator of the computer. Any frequent reader of your knows that you predict every outcome and can always point to a successful one.

JC

REPLY: You completely fail to grasp the difference between AI and standard analysis. If there were ANY human input, then I might as well retire and say you are on your own, thanks for the good times. You assume “facts” are based on human analysis and selection of what events to put in and leave out. That can never be a valid model. People act in anticipation of events before they happen. So just how do you create a fundamental input of mights and maybes?

By stepping back and allowing the computer to analyze, I have learned far more from it than I could teach the computer.

Personally, I have had a good nose for trading. But I am not infallible because I am human. Whenever I have thought something might happen, it is the computer who is correct. The computer has proven me wrong plenty of times.

Any errors I make are confined to interpretation, but your comment proves a point I have long made. There is absolutely no way everyone would ever follow the model. There will always be people who disagree for a host of reasons.

Beyond AI

self-referal

Artificial intelligence has taken a giant leap forward into cognitive machine learning. We are well beyond the simplistic computer programs that were expert systems masquerading as AI.

We have crossed that threshold and embarked on a journey of creating computers that can self-generate. It can adapt and learn like a child.

Your skepticism reveals you fail to understand the advances in technology all around you. Even Google learns what you like and tailors advertisements targeted to your interests.

If any human input were skewing fundamentals, it would be worthless. I could never quit under such circumstances. Sorry, we have great supporters who understand what this journey is all about. Then we have those who really despise whatever I do because it upsets their comfortable vision of the world and how that should work.

The only reason the computer tends to be more right than wrong is rather simplistic. When you are tracking the entire world, if you are right one on segment, you have to be right across the board. Everything is connected. Sorry that you cannot see that.

Open your eyes. AI is taking over everything and I would rather have a computer analyze my symptoms than a doctor any day. Computers do not make mistakes — humans do.

Good luck

Jan 14 2016

This could be Yuge


Gravity Waves Discovered? Origin of Cycles?

Re-Posted on January 14, 2016 by

Gravity-Waves

Prof. Laurence Kraus is a well known theoretical particle physicist at the University of Arizona. With a short message on Twitter, Kraus caused a stir around the entire world: “My earlier rumor about LIGO [Laser Interferometer Gravitational Wave Observatory] has been confirmed by independent sources. Stay tuned! Gravitational waves may have been discovered!! Exciting.”

What’s the big deal? Gravitational waves are actually waves within space-time.They were predicted to exist back in 1916 by Albert Einstein who surmised that they were either the result of massive stellar explosions (supernova of type II) or the merging of black holes and neutron stars. Even the Big Bang itself should have sent gravitational waves into space-time according to Einstein. If true, this would be the origin of cyclical waves.

According to Einstein’s theory of general relativity, gravity is not a force as Newton postulated with the apple falling from the tree. Instead, gravity, Einstein argued, was a property of space and time, which could be distorted by large masses. This, in turn, could affect light and matter. Earth would thus curve the surrounding space-time, and any large masses in motion would thereby create wavelike disturbances in space-time.

No one has been able to prove the theory just yet. So Kraus’ Tweet has sent its own shockwave throughout the world.

Nov 16 2015

The Open Mind Learns and Prospers


The Closed Mind Discovers Nothing but Bias

RE-Posted on November 16, 2015 by

pi_symbol_1600_clr_12661

A number of people have been writing in to say how they just discovered the mathematical constant π (pi) in a quantum mechanics formula for the energy states of the hydrogen atom. This is truly astonishing proving the is a fundamental cornerstone of nature.

While I discover the existence of pi in the business cycle, it has been widely discovered in many other fields. What this proves is precisely what I have been saying all along — there is an interesting order being masked as chaos. This hidden order is fundamental to everything. This hidden order behind chaos or the appearance of randomness has led many to assume that the world is subject to our will, and therefore, we can manipulate the world, including the economy, to do as we desire. This is just not true. There is a hidden order behind everything if we just explore.

Wallis JohnIn his book “Arithmetica Infinitorum”, the British mathematician John Wallis defines π as the product of an infinite string of ratios made up of integers. There have been many so-called analysts who simply say that I am wrong and pi has nothing to do with markets. Yet they argue for phi, Fibonacci, chart patterns, and so on.

There is far more order in the structure of the universe and everything within it than meets the eye. We are still exploring and pi is coming up in many fields, which has surprised numerous people. They are no different from the critics who claimed that the world was not round since they could not understand how you would stand upside down without falling off a ball. Hence, the world had to be flat.