Trump Backs Down – Will Declare Victory


Posted originally on Mar 20, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

2026_03_20_21_06_56_Commentary_Donald_J._Trump_Posts_From_Truth_Social_on_X_Trump_Makes_Huge_Ira

QUESTION: Marty, the word is you have been screaming on Capitol Hill and some are listening to your computer. You may be making some headway for Socrates’ forecasts going beyond just opinions. Do you think you have accomplished what you have set out to do? Trump is backing down.

WJ

CRUDE M Array 5 2 25
CRUDE M Array 11 20 25

ANSWER: Here is the Array we published lasy May. It showed a Panic Cycle in January and back-to-back directional changes in Jan/Feb 2026 with a target into March 2026. Here is the Array from last November. This also showed March as the target for a high. Trump should try to back off because this is so unpopular and the approval for boots on the ground is at best 10%.

South Pars Iran Gas Field

I have been on the phone constantly. The computer has shown a March high and there should be a 2 to 3 month correction. But June is a Panic Cycle. There are three other parties here and nobody seems to really agree. The Gulf States that were attacked want to retaliate. This is killing Netanyahu to stand down. This has been his life’s dream. Then there is Iran, which saw the weak spot and to not just block the Strait of Hormuz, but once Israel attacked their energy field, that is when Iran unleashed attacks that this time intended to cause major damage that could put production out for even a year.

The attacks prior to March 18th and Israel’s unilateral attack on were for show – not devastating. Iran then attacked the Gulf States and this was not for TV. Then to the shock of everyone, Iran fired two intermediate-range ballistic missiles toward Diego Garcia, a key U.S.-U.K. military base in the Indian Ocean. That was 2500 miles. Neither missile struck the base. Nevertheless, this confirms that Iran can target beyond the Middle East. It is believed that one missile failed in flight, but the other was intercepted by a US warship that launched an SM-3 interceptor. This base is a strategic launch point for U.S. bombers, nuclear submarines and other strategic assets

I believe that (1) Iran’s attack on the Gulf States and (2) this new ability to launch missiles outside of the Middle East is what forced Trump to realize what I have been warning, Iran would engage in economic warfare while the boasts of taking out their missiles was all bravado, with little substance. I will go into that tomorrow.

For now, we should see the pause getting hopes up, but the hatred still lingers.