Posted originally on Aug 18, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The Census Bureau’s monthly Current Population Survey indicates that the number of migrants declined by 1.6 million since Trump took office, with the total foreign-born population falling by 2.2 million. The bureau estimates that the illegal migrant population in the US now stands at 14.2 million.
The true illegal population remaining in the US is unknown. FAIR estimated in March 2025 that the figure could stand at 18.6 million. The Center for Immigration Studies (CIS) put the figure at 15.8 million, representing a 50% increase since 2021. The total foreign-born population reached 53.3 million in January 2025, according to most estimates, with illegal migrants composing around 29% of that figure.
Under Biden, new arrivals were averaging 120,000 per month, but over the last six months, America has seen the illegal population declining by 270,000 on a monthly basis. “The best evidence we have is that the illegal population is now falling at a rate that even exceeds the massive growth that we had in Biden’s four years,” CIS research director Steven A. Camarota said. Camarota indicated that if the current trend persists, the nation could see the total foreign-born population decline for the first time in nearly 100 years.
“It’s likely that this represents a savings in money for the taxpayer,” he said. “It will take pressure off schools and hospitals and other services. It’s likely it will potentially create job opportunities for Americans.”
Less than a year ago, cities were scrambling for housing solutions for migrants. State and city budgets had toppled, and the number of arrivals steadily soared to the point where it was absolutely fiscally impossible for any local, state, or even the federal government to adequately maintain the illegal population.
The open border policy was absolutely treasonous. This authorized invasion cannot be solved overnight. Some estimates believe it could take over a decade to deport everyone who entered under Biden-Kamala-Schwab, with some estimates believing it will take 30 years. Again, no one knows exactly who or how many people entered the borders, and this effort could halt under a new administration.
Posted originally on Aug 13, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The computer warned that we would experience a rise in civil unrest in 2025, with conditions only worsening in the years to come. Trump actively militarized the capital and has plans to dismantle ongoing civil unrest with a newly established Domestic Civil Disturbance Quick Reaction Force.
The Domestic Civil Disturbance Quick Reaction Force, as indicated by internal Pentagon documents, would be composed of hundreds of National Guard troops who would have the ability to respond to calls of civil unrest in under an hour. The 600-strong force will be split into two groups of 300, all of whom will be expected to be on standby at all hours in case the people of America begin to rebel. The first 100 troops would be deployed within an hour, the second and third waves would be sent within a two to 12-hour period, depending on the severity of the situation.
Arizona and Alabama will house the newly created force at pre-established military bases. In the event of civil unrest, armed troops will be transported via commercial airliners immediately. The Pentagon subtly announced the creation of this task force one day after the president deployed troops to Washington, D.C., but the documents bear time stamps from earlier in the month.
The Department of Defense will budget for the task force in fiscal year 2027—right on target ahead of 2028. The final cost has not been calculated, but the Pentagon believes it will span into the hundreds of millions.
One individual in the document cited cost concerns. “The support (hotels, meals, etc.) required will fall onto the general economy in large and thriving cities of the United States,” this official argued. Moreover, bypassing military aircraft would allow for deploying personnel to travel “in a more subdued status” that might avoid adding to tensions in their “destination city.” The concept of utilizing commercial airliners is to cut down costs.
Budgeting is never a true consideration of government; the genuine concern is public response. Reduced availability for other missions, training disruptions, strain on personnel, and equipment were also listed as areas of concern. Those protecting the establishment must maintain loyalty to the establishment, and it may be difficult to entice new recruits to join voluntarily.
The National Guard is always prepared to deploy in their independent states, yet this task force will operate at the federal level. Title 32 provides the legal framework for deploying the Army and Air National Guard, permitting state governors to issue commands. Title 10 provides the president with the power to direct active-duty orders for national missions. Guard members can be called to serve under the federal armed forces under Title 10 temporarily and is intended to federalize National Guard units, transferring control from the state to Washington.
Title 10 was used for this purpose during 9/11 and every American war since World War I. America is not currently at war, and there is no significant conflict occurring domestically, leading many to question why Washington is allotting hundreds of millions to a project to protect the government against the people.
The people have lost all confidence in government. The people no longer trust the government to handle the cost of living, nor do they trust the data issues on inflation, unemployment, or GDP growth. Americans see their tax dollars spent overseas on issues that do not benefit them in any way, their economic concerns have not been addressed, and they are unable to vote on how public funds are spent—let alone how the US responds to foreign conflicts.
Confidence will continue to erode into 2027, and by 2028, when this task force should be operational, the computer indicates that the US will see a major turning point, which also correlates with the next election. The situation is so dire that the United States may be unable to hold a true election in 2028, and public outrage is guaranteed.
Posted originally on Aug 12, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
Donald Trump deployed hundreds of National Guard troops to Washington. D.C., as the homeless epidemic in the US worsens. The news comes a week after Trump ordered federal officers from the U.S. Park Police, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA), the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF), as well as divisions of the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to patrol the capital to control crime.
“I’m going to make our Capital safer and more beautiful than it ever was before. The Homeless have to move out, IMMEDIATELY. We will give you places to stay, but FAR from the Capital. The Criminals, you don’t have to move out. We’re going to put you in jail where you belong. It’s all going to happen very fast, just like the Border. We went from millions pouring in, to ZERO in the last few months. This will be easier — Be prepared! There will be no ‘MR. NICE GUY.’ We want our Capital BACK. Thank you for your attention to this matter!” Trump declared on Truth Social before his media announcement.
Are the unhoused dangerous? Is Trump acting to protect national security or acting as a dictator? The most recent census states that 771,700 people experience homelessness on any given night across the nation. In fact, 23 out of every 10,000 Americans are unhoused, with figures rising substantially in the past three years.
Data indicates that 70% of homeless people in the US have a criminal history. Although data is quite challenging to gather, most estimates believe 65% of homeless individuals used illegal drugs at some point, while one-third admit to active drug addiction. Around half (48%) suffer from mental health issues. Veterans compose around 13% of America’s homeless population, although this figure has significantly declined in the past decade. Unfortunately, homeless individuals may not have the capacity to seek out help, whether it’s due to mental health or drug-related issues.
Acquiring a job without an address or paperwork is one thing, but obtaining a job–let alone a well-paying job–with a criminal record in America is complex. People will take what employment they can find, and those jobs do not pay enough for the essentials.
Many studies cite a lack of affordable housing as one of the main reasons for homelessness. The National Low Income Housing Coalition found that 74% of extremely low-income renters pay more than half their income in rent. Yet, this has become a growing trend in America. The 2023 census found that over a quarter (26.4%) of Americans paid over half their income on rent, while 49.7% pay over 30% of their income on rent, and costs have only risen since the last census.
Charles Schwab conducted a study on the share of Americans who reported lacking enough savings to cover unexpected expenses or the loss of income for at least one month. The study concluded that an astounding 59% of Americans are one missed paycheck away from homelessness. That is a broad statement as it assumes everyone in the study had no support system or ability to access resources. The point of the matter is that there is a rising trend of financial insecurity in America as the personal debt crisis deepens. Homeless rates of this nature are indicative of a failing system rather than mere personal failures.
Yes, resources are available. The Veterans Affairs office has specific services dedicated to homeless veterans and spends $3.2 billion annually on these programs. HUD homeless assistance provides state, local, and nonprofit funding for temporary shelter. There is also a tenant-based rental assistance program through HUD, as the agency spends about $4.7 billion per year on grants. FEMA offers social services and shelter through the McKinney-Vento Act. The Treasury funds the Emergency Rental Assistance Program (ERA), spending billions on temporary housing payments for those unhoused or at risk of eviction. HHS funds the Projects for Assistance in Transition from Homelessness (PATH) program for the same demographic. Churches and non-profits also offer services. Federal funding for homeless programs averages around $13 to $15 billion annually, and yet, the population continues to grow. The current options for support are insufficient, and a stagnant economy with rising rates of unemployment only amplifies the crisis.
Between 2020 and 2025, the population of the United States is expected to grow by 3.8%, rising from roughly 331 million in 2020 to an estimated 343 to 347 million in 2025. At the current rate, America’s homeless population is expected to grow to 349 million by 2030. State and federal governments continue to throw money at the crisis without results.
At the time of this writing, it remains unclear where the National Guard plans to relocate the homeless living in the nation’s capital, or what public resources will be used for these efforts. This is a very serious matter that has never been adequately addressed. Relocation efforts are merely a band-aid rather than a solution to this growing epidemic sweeping our nation’s cities.
Of course, this move is likely not about the homeless population at all. We are witnessing the militarization of D.C. Historically, governments surround themselves with troops when they no longer trust the people. It’s the same cycle we’ve seen in ancient Rome when the Praetorian Guard began to function less as protectors of the empire and more as political enforcers. The symbolism is critical–once you militarize your own capital, you are crossing the Rubicon toward authoritarianism.
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