Category Blogger Martin Armstrong

May 27 2026

America’s Real #1 Enemyoriginally onAmerica’s Real #1 Enemy


Posted originally on May 26, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Lack of Strategy

COMMENT: I love my country. What if Russia and Iran are coordinating an exacerbation of a two front war against “West”? Russia just warned embassies in Kiev to evacuate, signaling upcoming intensification. Iran just goaded US into firing missiles when MoU was near signing. Xi met with Putin right after Trump’s visit, and per news, Chinese and Iranian foreign ministries continue to communicate.

What if the plan was to exacerbate wars on two fronts, with Xi and the Chinese sharing insights gleaned from Trump’s visits? If so, they are playing Trump and hubris like a fiddle. I could have only come up with this theory because you have been pounding the table about this possibility first.

Can you share this, at least to get folks to have an open mind? To me, it’s not about Trump. I just don’t want us to be so foolish, and love him or hate him, there’s a overall reason why all of us would want to avoid any such foolishness?

JN

Lack of Strategy 2

REPLY: I have expressed my concern, but it seems as if their eyes glaze over, and they simply think that they will win because they have the most sophisticated military. But we spend over $1 million to shoot down a $30,000 drone. To make matters worse, it takes years to replace what was already used against Iran. I have stated before that if I were on the opposite side of the table, I would use Iran to drain the resources, Russia then seriously attacks Ukraine, not just the Donbas, North Korea invades the South, and China invades Taiwan. There is no possible way to defend on four fronts.

Macron went to Xi BEFORE Trump and said the EU will NOT support Iran or Taiwan. So you saw Trump say after his meeting, he recommended the chip maker move to the USA. Trump is trying to cut his losses in Iran and strike a deal to justify exiting, while Israel has said none of the original goals were achieved, and they will act in their own self-interest.

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The Neocons are a threat not just to American National Security, but to the entire world. They start wars with NO exit strategy. They presume we will win and NEVER have any strategy whatsoever. In Iraq, they simply focused on removing Saddam. They had ZERO analysis or strategy for what came next.

Cheney Dicj 1941 2025 weeks not months

People like Dick Cheney took us into Iraq with ZERO strategy. It was not a matter of weeks; it was 8 years. We saw the same flawed ideas with Vietnam.

McNamara Robert

Robert McNamara (1916 – 2009) was a leading Neocon who pushed the country into the Vietnam War.  He was famous for saying, “I learned early on never to answer the question that is asked of you. Answer the question that you wish had been asked of you. And quite frankly, I follow that rule. It’s a very good rule.”

Before he died, he finally admitted that they were wrong, particularly in their assessment of Russia as a threat. The perception of Russia as a threat still dominates the agenda today. The propaganda that Putin is a KGB guy who wants to re-establish the Soviet Empire is absurd. In the 22 years that he has been in power, he has neither tried to re-establish communism nor has he sought to retake the old Soviet states like Poland, the Czech Republic, or even Ukraine. The same claims today about Russia are the very same ones that justified Vietnam. The Vietnam War lasted from November 1, 1955, to April 30, 1975, totaling approximately 19 years and 5 months.

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Iran has been Netanyahu’s war, and he suckered the USA into once again funding his endless agenda. He said the same thing about Iraq when he testified before Congress in 2002. This Iran war is a religious war for which there is no long-term solution. Israel and Iran will simply have to fight it out in a cage match, for nobody seems willing to live in peace.

Iranian leader Mojtaba Khamenei issued a message on May 26 calling for greater unity across the Muslim world against the United States and Israel, saying that the chants “Death to America” and “Death to Israel” will become the rallying slogans of Muslims and “the oppressed of the world.”

1 Cost of War

World War II (1942-1945) cost 84% on average budget annually. The Cold War Era (late 1980s) cost 28-30% annually. A preliminary assessment is that more than 50% of the National Debt has been used to fund Neocon wars, with the constant interest payments keeping the debt rolling. The latest projection just for the 55,000 American troops involved in Iran, with the future medical care and disability benefits for these veterans over the next 30 years, is projected to be a major driver of the potential $1 trillion total cost.

The official figure does not yet fully account for this replacement gap on weapons already used. Beyond direct government spending, the war has also imposed broader costs on the U.S. economy. Even UBER already costs are up about 25% on average. Nobody seems to understand that these endless wars raise the national debt, and then those in Congress raise taxes to pay for the escalating debt.

The conflict has disrupted global oil supplies, pushing the average price of gasoline in the U.S. to $4.23 per gallon in late April 2026, a 40% increase from before the war. Plus, diesel and jet fuel are impacting travel and fishing costs. This war will add significantly to the U.S. national debt, with costs not simply passed on to future generations of Americans; it will result in higher taxes, especially when Democrats get control.

Debt Burden

To determine how long it will take for the U.S. national debt to double due to interest alone (i.e., with no new borrowing and no principal repayment), we can use the Rule of 72. The Rule of 72 is a simplified formula that estimates the number of years required to double an investment (or debt) at a fixed annual rate of return (or interest rate) of 5.1% will be 14 years. That is just the interest alone!

The real enemy of government is not Russia, China, Iran, or whoever is next. It is the Neocons and their endless wars with no STRATEGY and no intention of ever paying off any debt whatsoever. They are the real threat to the United States, and nobody even looks at this crisis.

Sun Tzu
May 27 2026

Even Therapists Have Become a Data Mine


Posted originally on May 27, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Is Online Therapy Effective for Kids and Teenagers?

There was a time when people could still speak privately. You could sit across from a therapist, talk about your marriage falling apart, your depression, your fears, your finances, or the darkest moments of your life believing those conversations would remain between two human beings. That world is dying rapidly because everything now must be digitized, stored, analyzed, and monetized.

A woman using the therapy app Talkspace discovered that transcripts from her therapy sessions ended up being produced in court during litigation involving her former employer. Let that sink in for a moment. These were not vague notes scribbled down by a therapist. These were detailed digital records discussing her personal life, emotional state, relationships, and finances. The machine remembered everything.

This is what society has become. They tell people to seek help, open up, trust the system, use the apps, go digital, and then they quietly turn human vulnerability into searchable data.

People still fail to understand the danger because they continue believing these technology companies are merely offering services. They are not. They are harvesting human behavior at industrial scale. Every click, every message, every location, every search, every emotional breakdown becomes data to be stored forever.

Talkspace executives reportedly bragged to investors about building one of the largest mental health data banks in existence containing roughly 140 million exchanges between patients and therapists. Human suffering itself is now an asset class. Depression has become data. Trauma has become machine learning material. Your private thoughts are now inventory sitting on corporate servers.

When someone went to therapy, the therapist might keep handwritten notes locked away in a cabinet somewhere. Those notes were incomplete, temporary, and human. Today every word can be transcribed, archived, searched, copied, subpoenaed, breached, or fed into artificial intelligence systems. The conversation never dies because the machine never forgets. And people wonder why society feels colder and less human.

What happens when people realize their darkest thoughts may someday appear in court? What happens when employers, insurance companies, governments, or AI systems can gain access to deeply personal psychological information? You destroy trust itself. People stop speaking honestly. They stop trusting institutions. They begin living cautiously because they know every word may someday be weaponized against them.

This is where the entire digital age has been heading from the start. First they harvested shopping habits. Then browsing history. Then location data. Then biometrics. Now they are harvesting the individual’s inner psychological life. Nothing is sacred anymore because everything has a price.

There was another report recently where therapy videos, transcripts, and more than 1.7 million patient activity logs were exposed online through an unsecured database tied to a virtual mental health company. Millions of deeply personal records sitting exposed because the modern world insists on centralizing every aspect of human life into digital systems vulnerable to leaks, hacks, subpoenas, and surveillance.

The disturbing part is that this is only the beginning. Artificial intelligence systems are now being trained to analyze emotion, stress, vulnerability, behavior, and psychological patterns. The machine is learning how humans think at their weakest moments. Once enough data exists, the system can begin predicting behavior itself.

People laugh when I warn about this because they still imagine surveillance as old men listening to phone calls in some government building. That is obsolete. The new system is far more dangerous because people voluntarily feed it every day through apps, subscriptions, loyalty programs, therapy platforms, fitness trackers, smart devices, and social media.

The system knows where you go, what you buy, what you fear, what depresses you, what excites you, who you love, how much money you have, what medications you take, and increasingly how emotionally stable you are.

That is power beyond anything governments possessed historically, and once that information becomes centralized, it will eventually be abused because history has demonstrated repeatedly that systems built for convenience inevitably become systems of control.

Categories:AI Computers

May 27 2026

A Special Announcement for Socrates Pro Users


Posted originally on May 26, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

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NEW: WE WILL SHOW YOU HOW TO PLOT CHARTS WITH THE SOCRATES PLATFORM CHART TOOLS!

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Markets are no longer moving on headlines alone. Volatility has become structural. Traders are being blindsided by violent reversals, geopolitical shocks, capital concentration, algorithmic momentum, and panic cycles that traditional technical analysis simply cannot explain.

That is precisely why our next Advanced Trading Webinar is focused on the practical use of Reversals and Arrays in real-time market conditions.

Q3 / 26 Advanced Use of Reversals and Arrays for Trading
July 10–11, 2026

This is not a beginner webinar. This training is designed for traders, investors, and market participants who want to understand how to identify key turning points, directional changes, panic cycles, and market structure using the same concepts Martin Armstrong has developed over decades of market forecasting.

Participants will learn how to interpret and apply Reversals and Arrays across multiple markets and time frames while gaining a deeper understanding of trend shifts, capital flows, and volatility behavior during periods of global uncertainty.

The previous Advanced Trading sessions sold out due to overwhelming demand. As volatility continues rising globally into this next phase of the cycle, traders are increasingly searching for tools capable of navigating markets that no longer behave according to conventional models.

This is an educational experience built for serious market participants who want to sharpen their understanding of timing, structure, and market behavior heading into what is shaping up to be one of the most volatile periods of the decade. Secure your seat today: https://armstronginternational.ticketspice.com/q3-26-advanced-use-of-reversals-and-arrays-for-trading

May 27 2026

It is CRUCIAL to Understand the Economic Confidence Model


Posted originally on May 26, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

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The timing of this upcoming ECM webinar could not be more important. We are heading directly into a major ECM turning point immediately following the webinar date itself, and understanding how the Economic Confidence Model functions has never been more critical for investors, traders, business owners, and anyone trying to navigate the chaos unfolding globally.

Q2 / 26 Understanding the Economic Confidence Model
June 30, 2026

Martin Armstrong’s Economic Confidence Model has been tracking global turning points for decades, forecasting shifts in markets, sovereign debt crises, geopolitical instability, and capital flows long before the mainstream even recognized the trend. This is not a theory taught in universities, yet. This is the model that identified major turning points from 1987 to 1998, 2007, the European sovereign debt crisis, and the global shifts we are witnessing today.

This webinar is designed for those who want to truly understand how the ECM functions, how turning points are identified, why confidence moves globally between public and private assets, and how cyclical trends shape everything from interest rates to war and civil unrest.

With a critical ECM turning point arriving immediately after this webinar, the timing alone makes this event extraordinarily important. Understanding the cycle before the move matters far more than reacting afterward.

Seats are limited. These webinars continue to attract participants from around the world as confidence in governments, central banks, and traditional forecasting models continues to collapse. Secure your seat today: https://armstronginternational.ticketspice.com/q2-26-understanding-the-economic-confidence-model

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May 26 2026

American Consumer Confidence Cracks as the War Cycle Intensifies


Posted May 26, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  
American Consumer

Consumer sentiment has fallen to the lowest level ever recorded since the University of Michigan began tracking the data in 1952. The index declined to 44.8 in May as Americans increasingly fear inflation, rising fuel costs, and economic instability tied directly to the expanding conflict with Iran. This is precisely how stagflation unfolds historically. War drives commodity prices higher, governments increase spending, central banks become trapped, and the population loses confidence in the future.

The political class always pretends inflation is some mysterious event. Anyone could have seen this coming. Inflation rises during periods of war and geopolitical instability because energy is the foundation of the global economy. Once oil rises sharply, transportation costs increase, manufacturing costs increase, fertilizer costs increase, food prices rise, and the entire economy begins repricing itself higher.

Americans are already seeing gasoline prices move sharply upward with analysts warning that $5 gasoline is becoming increasingly possible if instability surrounding the Strait of Hormuz continues. Roughly 20% of the world’s oil supply moves through that corridor. Reports estimate Americans have already spent tens of billions more on fuel costs since the conflict escalated. We entered into the Memorial Day Weekend with gas at a four-year high and the public is now worried that this price hike is anything but temporary. Remember that most of the public does not the know the details of the ongoing geopolitical and economic turmoil. All they know is what they see when they go to spend.

This is becoming dangerous psychologically because inflation expectations are now rising again. Once the population begins believing inflation will remain permanently elevated, confidence collapses. Workers demand higher wages simply to survive while businesses raise prices preemptively in anticipation of future cost increases. Governments then blame corporations while refusing to acknowledge that war itself is inflationary by nature.

The Economic Confidence Model has warned repeatedly that the period into 2027 would become increasingly unstable globally. Europe is already moving toward economic contraction as energy shortages and war spending weaken industrial competitiveness. Sovereign debt levels continue rising worldwide while governments simultaneously increase military expenditures. Historically, these conditions produce declining confidence in government itself.

The average person no longer believes policymakers have control of the situation. They see rising living costs, unaffordable housing, expanding geopolitical conflict, and governments continuously funding war while domestic economic conditions deteriorate. Financial markets may remain elevated because capital continues concentrating into large institutions and government-supported sectors, but the underlying population is increasingly under pressure.

CONFIDENCE collapses before economies do. Once public trust begins breaking down, political instability follows shortly afterward. That is why these numbers are far more important than most analysts currently understand. Consumer sentiment is not merely a survey. It measures confidence in the future itself, and people no longer believe the future improves from here. They see endless war, endless debt, collapsing affordability, and politicians completely detached from reality.

May 26 2026

South Korea Aims to Accurately Identify AI Content


Posted originally on May 26, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

South Korea's Bold Deepfake Regulation for Ads - AI CERTs News

South Korea may be doing something the rest of the world should have done the moment artificial intelligence escaped the laboratory and flooded the internet, pushing mandatory watermarking for AI-generated content, as society is rapidly reaching the point where nobody knows what is real anymore.

People still think this is about funny fake images or celebrities with six fingers floating around social media, but they completely fail to grasp where this leads once artificial intelligence can perfectly mimic human voices, video, photographs, news reports, interviews, and eventually entire events that never happened. South Korea’s proposed legislation would require generated content to carry visible or invisible watermarks identifying it as artificial because even governments are beginning to realize this technology is moving faster than society can handle.

You already cannot trust half the videos or web accounts circulating online. Deceptive marketing practices are abundant, but there are more sinister issues. Audio recordings can be cloned, fake war footage spreads instantly, and entire news stories generate within seconds complete with fake witnesses, fake experts, fake photographs, and emotional manipulation engineered specifically to provoke outrage and panic.

Test: Can You Spot Real Photos vs. AI-Generated Fakes?

This is no longer simple misinformation. It has become industrialized deception operating at a scale never before possible in human history. The speed of this transformation is what should terrify people most because just a few years ago AI-generated images looked absurd and obvious, yet now ordinary people struggle to distinguish fake from real.

That destroys the concept of evidence itself since video, photography, and audio recordings were historically treated as proof. Once those mediums can be fabricated flawlessly, society begins losing the ability to establish objective reality. Every scandal becomes questionable, every recording becomes debatable, and every piece of evidence can simply be dismissed as AI-generated manipulation.

South Korea is at least acknowledging the danger openly by requiring AI systems to identify generated material through embedded watermarks and disclosures. Some content would carry visible warnings while other systems would insert invisible digital signatures into files themselves, with substantial financial penalties for violations.

The deeper problem is psychological because civilization depends on shared reality. Once people no longer know what to believe, institutions begin collapsing alongside trust itself. Media credibility evaporates, governments lose legitimacy, personal relationships deteriorate, and paranoia spreads because nobody can confidently determine whether the information they are seeing is genuine.

This becomes extraordinarily dangerous during periods of geopolitical instability and civil unrest since synthetic media can trigger financial panic, riots, diplomatic crises, or military escalation before verification ever occurs. Markets move emotionally and populations react emotionally, meaning artificial intelligence now possesses the ability to manipulate society faster than governments or journalists can respond.

Eventually the internet may become so saturated with synthetic content that genuine human material becomes nearly impossible to separate from machine-generated output, and once trust collapses entirely, societies begin fragmenting because truth itself no longer functions as a stable foundation.

That is why watermarking matters. It may not solve the problem completely because malicious actors will always attempt to bypass safeguards, but at minimum it acknowledges the reality that the public deserves to know whether something was created by a human being or by a machine designed to imitate one.

May 26 2026

Ukraine Could Be Granted Associate EU Membership


Posted originally on May 26, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Merz vs Ursual 10 5 25

The same European Union that cannot control its own borders, cannot stop economic contraction, cannot keep factories from fleeing, cannot keep farmers from revolting, and cannot even keep the lights on without deindustrializing itself is now discussing some absurd “associate membership” for Ukraine while the country is still actively at war. This is what happens when unelected bureaucrats and failed politicians start treating geopolitics like some university fantasy project instead of reality.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is now proposing that Ukraine receive an “associate member” status within the EU, allowing participation in summits, ministerial meetings, portions of the EU budget, and even coverage under the bloc’s mutual defense clause, all without formal full membership. In plain English, they want to drag Europe deeper into the conflict while pretending they are not technically doing so.

This is the same Europe that spent years screaming about “democracy” and “rules-based order” while openly bypassing the actual populations of Europe on issue after issue. Nobody voted for this. Nobody in Germany was asked if they wanted endless liabilities attached to Ukraine. Nobody in France was asked if they wanted another open-ended financial commitment while their own economy stagnates. Nobody in Europe voted to transform the EU from an economic bloc into a military and geopolitical machine permanently tied to war.

What makes this even more outrageous is that the EU has spent decades humiliating countries in the Balkans with endless accession requirements, delays, lectures, and bureaucratic torture. Serbia, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Albania, all sat there jumping through hoops for years while Brussels moved the goalposts repeatedly. Now suddenly the rules no longer matter because Ukraine has become the emotional and political obsession of the European establishment.

Merz openly admitted full accession is not realistically possible anytime soon because of the “countless hurdles” and ratification problems. Yet instead of admitting reality, they invent another fake middle category to force integration through the back door. Europe has become addicted to political gimmicks where every failed policy creates another layer of bureaucracy to cover the previous failure.

The proposal reportedly includes access to parts of the EU budget and application of the mutual assistance clause. That means European taxpayers become increasingly financially and strategically tied to a nation still in an active territorial war with Russia. These people are playing with the possibility of continental escalation while ordinary Europeans cannot even afford energy bills and groceries anymore.

Germany itself is collapsing economically under the weight of these policies. Industrial production has suffered. Manufacturing confidence has deteriorated. Companies continue relocating abroad because energy costs became suicidal after Europe destroyed its own energy security. Yet the political class behaves as though Europe has infinite money, infinite patience, and infinite stability.

The Economic Confidence Model has warned repeatedly that Europe was entering a period of fragmentation, sovereign debt stress, and civil unrest into 2028. Instead of stabilizing the continent, Brussels continues pouring fuel onto every fire simultaneously. Mass migration destabilized the social structure. Climate fanaticism destabilized energy. Endless sanctions destabilized industry. Now they want permanent geopolitical integration with a war zone.

The EU elite genuinely cannot understand why nationalist parties continue surging across Europe. Every single crisis becomes an excuse for more centralization, more spending, more integration, more censorship, and less accountability. The populations are increasingly treated as obstacles rather than citizens.

What Merz is proposing is effectively EU membership without calling it membership because they know many Europeans would reject the real thing outright. That is why they invent phrases like “associate membership,” “special partnership,” and “interim integration.” Politicians always rename things when they know the public would oppose the truth.

Empires always overextend themselves before they break. Europe is now doing so economically, militarily, politically, and socially all at once

May 25 2026

Interview: The Financial World Order is Breaking Apart


Posted originally on May 25, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

The Armstrong Code – Available on Amazon

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What if the economy wasn’t chaotic at all—but followed a hidden code?

The Armstrong Economic Code reveals the powerful cyclical patterns discovered by legendary forecaster Martin A. Armstrong, whose Economic Confidence Model (ECM) has predicted every major boom, bust, and geopolitical shift for more than four decades.

Compiled and expanded by Kerry Lutz, host of the Financial Survival Network and longtime student of Armstrong’s work, this definitive edition connects the dots between history, markets, and the rhythm of human behavior. From the rise and fall of empires to the digital age of algorithmic finance, the Code shows how every crisis—and every recovery—follows a pattern few understand but everyone feels.

Whether you’re an investor, policymaker, or simply trying to navigate a world of chaos, The Armstrong Economic Code gives you the tools to see what’s coming next—and why the future was already written in the past.

The World According to Martin Armstrong – Also Available on Amazon

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A visionary economist. A controversial thinker. A man whose ideas challenge the status quo.

In The World According to Martin Armstrong, discover the extraordinary insights of a financial forecaster who predicted some of the most significant economic events of our time. Armstrong’s unique understanding of historical cycles, global finance, and political power offers a fresh perspective on the forces shaping our world.
From the intricate dance of sovereign debt to the rise and fall of empires, this book explores Armstrong’s groundbreaking Economic

Confidence Model and its implications for the past, present, and future. Whether you’re a seasoned investor, a history buff, or someone seeking to make sense of today’s complex world, this book will challenge and inspire you.
Prepare to see the world through a new lens—one that connects the dots between history, economics, and human behavior in ways you’ve never imagined.

May 25 2026

Thank You Veterans – Memorial Day Remembrance


Posted originally on May 25, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Memorial Day: Where and why it started

Today we remember and honor those who paid the ultimate sacrifice for freedom.

Coming from a military family myself, I have not been blind to the heroism and bravery of those who have fought for the nation. This is why I will always call out the unjust proposals of neocons who care not about those on the battlefield, or their families left behind. I will continue pushing peace proposals based that would be mutually beneficial for everyone involved. My fight may not be on the battlefield but I salute the brave men and women who paid the ultimate price for this country.

Thank you to our veterans.

?? REMEMBER AND HONOR ?? The communities of Brandon and Valley Springs honored fallen service members on Memorial Day. View images from the programs at brandonvalleyjournal.com/photos!
May 24 2026

Interview: No One is Talking About This and its BIGGER than HORMUZ


Posted originally on May 24, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |