There’s a CIA/DoS Escalation Effort Underway in Ukraine


Posted originally on the CTH on August 12, 2024 | Sundance 

It’s mid-August and the headlines are increasingly looming around the Ukraine v Russia conflict.  You can sense it; I can sense it, and we all need to trust our instincts.

As we navigate our way through this intense foreign and domestic political gaslighting, lies being created daily by government officials and their allies in the corporate media, being able to hone your instincts becomes even more critical.  Not many people can do it.

The last week or so has highlighted a marked increase in urgency and hostility amid those in the CIA/DoS who control the events in Ukraine.  Everything about this insufferable World War Reddit is sketchy, including the ongoing absence of any frontline reporters anywhere in the “battlefield” giving updates on what we are told is intense fighting.

I have never seen a war that did not have a single journalist war correspondent, clad in a helmet and flak jacket, giving updates on what is happening on the ground from a location near the battle zone.  Yet here we are more than two years into this “conflict” and not a single war correspondent is reporting.  It’s just completely weird.

Adding to my own view on the sketchy reporting from Intelligence Community operatives, is my personal drive in a car from Russia (Kazan) to Montenegro (Kotor) through the entire cross section of Ukraine, without any difficulty.  I did see some large fishing nets being deployed in what I was told was a makeshift counter drone effort, and I did witness some 6′ wide trenches being built, but no actual ‘conflict.’

To be fair, I wasn’t exactly trying to put myself into a combat zone, I was just going from East to West and was quite happy not to encounter any hostilities.  But it’s all just weird.

If you read the western headlines and traditional legacy news reports, you get the sense that NATO is trying desperately to increase the intensity of the hostilities.  At the very least, they are trying to increase the perception of an uptick in hostilities and conflict.

We see reports of Ukraine military entering Russian territory to fight, which I highly doubt – and reports of Russia attacking a nuclear power station in retaliation for the invisible Ukraine military entering Russian territory…. again, seriously doubtful.  From my perspective, these are Western IC “reports” of activity that is carried out by Western IC operators.

POLITICO – Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Sunday that Russia has started a fire on the grounds of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, the largest such facility in Europe.

It comes as the war between the two countries enters a new phase, with Ukraine occupying Russian territory for the first time last week as part of its retaliation against Russia’s full-scale invasion, which is now in its third year.

Russia captured the plant, which is in Ukrainian territory, shortly after invading Ukraine in 2022. Its six nuclear reactors are in cold shutdown and no nuclear activity was recorded on Sunday, but the overall risk of nuclear meltdown remains elevated.

“Currently, radiation levels are within norm,” Zelenskyy said in a post on X which included a video. “As long as the Russian terrorists maintain control over the nuclear plant, the situation is not and cannot be normal.”

“Since the first day of its seizure, Russia has been using the Zaporizhzhia NPP only to blackmail Ukraine, all of Europe, and the world,” he added.

There is widespread concern about the safety of the plant, which is located on the southern bank of the Dnipro River around 50 kilometres southwest of Zaporizhzhia. (read more)

From where I sit, the nuclear angle is created to try and scare people into a justification to push the west further into the regional conflict.  After all, a nuclear cloud would travel far beyond Ukraine’s borders – at least that appears to be the purpose of the messaging.

The Dept of State and CIA operators of this Ukraine construct are so deeply enmeshed into this storyline it is really weird.  The only Western narrative that came close to this level of media propaganda was the COVID-19 vaccination demand.

Yes, what I am saying is the stories around Ukraine are as detached from the reality of the visible threat, as the vaccine narrative was from the reality of the COVID-19 threat.

Something else entirely is at play that has nothing, absolutely nothing, to do with regional military conflict.

Whether it is prior positioned investments by Blackrock and the multinationals, or whether it is raw material and energy-centric financial gains that must be protected, something else is driving the U.S. State Dept and CIA that has nothing to do with Russia expanding a defensive border against NATO intrusion.

What I can also assure you is that Russians certainly see this context that just doesn’t make sense.  Why is the U.S. Government so entirely willing to bankrupt itself, essentially destroy itself, in an effort to protect a few thousand square meters in Eastern Ukraine.

Political Forecasts – Macron in Trouble


Posted originally on Jun 30, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Socrates IPad

Our computer’s political forecasts do not rely on polls. What is most interesting is that when you correlate the economy with politics, you get to see the major swings coming like never before. As I have said, our model has been showing that the 2024 election in the USA should be won by Trump. The Democrats will most likely draft Hillary to try to defeat this correlation whereby Biden would lose, and our computer interest had forecast back in 2020 that whoever won the 2020 election would not finish out the term. I had been concerned that if Trump won 2020, what was the computer forecasting – he would die in office or be assassinated? But the election was cleverly rigged in Congress itself with the help of the Deep State because Trump was anti-war. The previous anti-war president was Kennedy, and we all know what the CIA did back then.

The June 23, 1972, tape from the Watergate Affair was hailed as the incontrovertible evidence that Nixon had obstructed justice. The last vestige of support for Nixon on Capitol Hill evaporated. Two weeks later, on Aug. 8, 1974, Nixon resigned. Why did Congress and the Deep State abandon Nixon? Because while the tape dealt with obstruction of justice, it was a threat to the CIA that Nixon knew who killed JFK – the CIA. Nixon made ominous threats that reeked of unspoken crimes to the head of the CIA that had employed four of the seven burglars. For the next 50 years,  people have looked at this evidence, and historians have pondered the June 23 tape as a Rosetta Stone of the JFK assassination. Nixon basically threatened to expose the “hanky panky” and “the whole Bay of Pigs thing.” What story was going to “blow” if the CIA didn’t cooperate?

1972 Presidential Election Forecast

A long-overlooked White House tape provides the answers—the “hanky panky” referred to CIA assassination operations in the early 1960s. The “whole Bay of Pigs thing” was the Agency’s reaction to its most humiliating defeat. And the story that might blow was the connection between those events and the assassination of JFK. Nixon was taken down and had to be discredited to protect the “hanky panky” that took place behind the scenes. The Watergate burglars were ex-CIA. Many wonder if they took down Nixon for daring to threaten them. The 1972 election had 520 Electoral votes for Nixon vs. 17 for McGovern. Nixon came in at 60.7% of the popular vote compared to 37.5% for McGovern. Our political model had forecast 61% and 62% for Nixon on two models. But then, too, it suggested that Nixon would not finish out his term. Nevertheless, 4 out of six models point to a Nixon victory.

France_Marine_Le_Pen

Marine Le Pen’s National Rally was leading in the first round of parliamentary elections across France on Sunday. Based on early projections, her party is now one step closer to its goal of winning control of the National Assembly and taking the reins of government. Her National Rally and its allies appear to have won 34% of first-round votes, while the New Popular Front, a coalition of leftist parties, garnered 30% of ballots. President Emmanuel Macron’s warmongering party and its allies were heading for a third-place finish with 22% of the vote.

Macron’s presidential term ends in 2027. Macron placed a huge bet on this snap election. He wrongly expected to edge out leftist parties in the first round and force their voters to rally around his party for the runoff and thus defeat Le Pen’s National Rally. Macron does not understand politics. His strategy has backfired coming in third-place which means many of his candidates might miss runoff races altogether.

Le Pen and her allies, meanwhile, are within striking distance of a 289-seat majority in the National Assembly that would compel Macron to select a prime minister from her ranks. Le Pen has said she wants her protégé, 28-year-old Jordan Bardella, to run the government if National Rally captures a majority in the lower house of parliament.

France CPI Macron

The major political issue has been the rising cost of living. Macron fails to comprehend that his posturing to lead Europe and send troops to Ukraine will only drive inflation substantially higher in France. The cost of the sanctions against Russia has been devasting to inflation combined with the insane response to COVID with lockdowns. Leaders like Macron do not look at the costs of their chest beating in geopolitical posturing.

Turn the Economy & the Politics Always Changes

Nixon Won the 1972 Promising to End the War not create one

Early Projections Show French Nationalists Poised for Big Gains – Macron Will Likely Now Deploy “Operation Chaos” for Second Round


Posted originally on the CTH on June 30, 2024 | Sundance 

French President Emmanuel Macron has not outlasted every other EU leader without having a Pelosian cunning streak.  Macron knows exactly what he is doing, and undoubtedly USAID/CIA operative Samantha Power is there in the background helping him execute it.

In the first round of the SNAP election, opposition leader Marine Le Pen’s National Rally party has made huge strides in becoming the predominant force in French politics.   The National Rally gains around 34% of the seats, the left-wing Alliance party gets 28% of the seats, and Macron’s centrist party will suffer major loses with only 20% of the seats.

The top two candidates will now head to the second round, where Macron -who still has 3 years on his term- will deploy “operation chaos”.

Macron will instruct his centrist seats, who lost, to organize their votes for the far-left socialists, thereby blocking the National Rally party from gaining a working majority.  Just like the radical leftists in the USA (Democrats), Macron’s followers will do exactly what they are told to do.

[Remember the Alaska primary?]  This two-round approach was the insurance policy Macron had built into his call for the snap election.

The Nationalists will act flummoxed, stunned, jaw-agape, just like good little French Republicans.  The French people will wonder what happened just like American conservatives.  Wash – Rinse- Repeat.

PARIS — France on Sunday took a step closer to delivering what was once seen as an unthinkable nightmare: a far-right government taking power in Paris for the first time.

Marine Le Pen’s National Rally made big gains in the first round of a snap election that could upend political orthodoxy across Europe and beyond, with implications for markets and global security that will be hard to predict.

According to early estimates by pollsters Ipsos, the far-right National Rally is on course to win 34 percent of Sunday’s vote while French President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist alliance suffered staggering losses, coming third with 20.3 percent of vote. The left-wing alliance made a strong showing with 28.1 percent of the vote.

“The French people have shown that they want to draw a line under seven years of [Macron’s] disdainful rule,” said Le Pen, speaking at a party event in the Eastern French town of Hénin-Beaumont. “We haven’t won yet, the second round will be crucial … we need an absolute majority so that Jordan Bardella, in eight days, can be appointed prime minister by Emmanuel Macron,” she added.

According to early projections based on exit polls, Le Pen’s party is expected to get 230-280 seats in the 577-seat national assembly, the left wing alliance 125-165 seats and Macron’s coalition 70-100.

Seat projections however are conjectural at this stage and dependent on political decisions taken in the coming days ahead of the second round of voting on July 7. Macron himself is due to stay in power until the end of his mandate in 2027, regardless of the outcome of this assembly election. (read more)

The two-round election is similar to the “ranked choice” approach in Alaska.  Seat projections are estimates, because the voters for the losing centrist candidates now will have a choice between the far-left and far-right.  Macron will cut deals with the socialists and instruct his team to vote left.

The far-right will stomp their feet like Republicans in Congress.  The National Rally party will demand reform like Republicans in Congress, and in the end, they will generally support the collective globalist goals of the Macron regime.  Again, just like Republicans in Congress.

Watch.

There are billions at stake.

Macron isn’t stupid.

Biden and Macron Bow to Zelensky at D-Day Event


Posted Jun 10, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

US President Joe Biden met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to once again discuss America’s role in funding Ukraine’s war with Russia. Biden publicly apologized to Zelensky for delaying the $61 billion aid package, as US Senators have stalled the bill in a failed attempt to coerce Biden to invest in his own country. The entire D-Day memorial was shamefully transformed into a public spectacle to promote the West’s war against Russia.

I apologize for those weeks of not knowing what’s going to happen in terms of funding. Some of our very conservative members [of Congress] were holding it up. But we got it done, finally,” Biden said. “We’re still in. Completely. Thoroughly.” Where is his apology to Americans for recklessly spending to the point of no return on endless wars that he will expect them to die in for an unjust cause? Now America can’t let Russia actually win this war that the West carefully orchestrated. Prolonging the war is dependent upon Western funding.

Zelensky compared the situation with Russia to World War II, ironically, and said the United States and Ukraine must stand “shoulder to shoulder.” Zelensky said it was once again America’s duty to “save Europe.” Biden obliged by committing another $224 million to Ukraine.

President Macron of France was also on board with celebrating a future Ukrainian victory rather than honoring the troops in attendance. “I’m sure that a day will come when Ukraine will see the same jets in our skies that we saw in Normandy skies yesterday,” Zelensky later told French politicians. “Your combat aviation, brilliant fighter jets under Ukrainian pilots’ command will prove that Europe is stronger, stronger than evil which dared to threaten it.”

Romanticizing the idea of another world war on D-Day is one of the most pathetic propaganda techniques yet. I doubt the veterans in attendance would want any young men to endure that suffering on behalf of politicians who do not care about the people they represent. These world leaders are keen on ushering in World War III regardless of the will of the people.

Macron Tells EU They Must Support Ukraine Corps and World War Reddit, Especially if U.S. Govt Cannot Get More Money from U.S. Taxpayers


Posted originally on the CTH on January 30, 2024 | Sundance 


French President Emmanuel Macron is reminding the European leaders of their responsibility to fund the multinational corporate war machine, especially if the United States doesn’t find a way to send $60 billion more in funding for the effort.

(Via Politico) – European countries must make bold and “innovative” decisions to help Ukraine even if the U.S. backs off from supporting Kyiv in the coming months, French President Emmanuel Macron said Tuesday.

[…] Europe must not delegate its security “to big powers, even if they are very good allies, because they live on the other side of the ocean,” he said.

Macron’s comments come as European nations grapple with the looming consequences of Donald Trump’s potential return to the White House, with the NATO-skeptic ex-president on track to win the Republican nomination. In the U.S., further military aid for Ukraine is also stalled in Congress, with Republican lawmakers reluctant to continue funding Kyiv. Ukraine has been fending off Russian President Vladimir Putin’s full-scale invasion for almost two years now.

“This is a decisive and testing moment for Europe. We must be ready to act to defend and support Ukraine whatever it takes and whatever America decides,” Macron said during a speech at Sweden’s Military Academy Karlberg.

Ahead of a key European summit this week focused on Ukraine, Macron also said the EU will have “to accelerate the scale” of its support, given that the costs “of a Russian victory are too high for all of us.”

EU leaders are hoping to agree on a €50 billion aid package for Ukraine at a European Council summit this Thursday, but fears are growing that Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán will use his veto to block the funds for Kyiv. (read more)

World War Reddit, the series: written, produced and directed by Nuland, Blinken and Sullivan.