Posted originally on Apr 13, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
🚨 🇫🇷 ALERTE INFO : Retour des agriculteurs avec un « feu de colère » à 20 km de Paris, à Saint-Nom-la-Bretèche, pour dénoncer la flambée du prix du carburant.
France is once again approaching a familiar breaking point, and energy is at the center of it. Diesel prices across Europe have surged sharply in 2026 as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East disrupted supply routes, pushing Brent crude back above key resistance levels and filtering directly into transport and agricultural costs. In France, non-road diesel, which is critical for farming, has risen substantially over the past year, eroding already thin margins in agriculture. At the same time, electricity costs remain elevated compared to pre-2022 levels, despite government intervention, leaving producers exposed to sustained input inflation.
The agricultural sector has been particularly vocal. France has roughly 400,000 farms, and many operate on margins that cannot absorb double-digit increases in fuel and fertilizer costs. Fertilizer itself is heavily energy-dependent, linking natural gas prices directly to food production costs. When energy rises, food prices follow, and this has already been reflected in EU food inflation, which peaked above 15% in recent cycles and remains structurally elevated. The knock-on effect is that farmers face higher input costs while consumers resist higher prices, compressing profitability from both sides.
Protests are building along these fault lines. Farmer unions and independent groups have threatened renewed blockades of highways, logistics hubs, and wholesale food markets if the government fails to provide further relief. France has a long-standing pattern of escalation where tractors are used to shut down key transport arteries, and authorities are well aware of how quickly localized demonstrations can become national disruptions. Previous rounds of protests have already forced Paris to roll out billions in subsidies and tax concessions, but those measures have not resolved the structural issue, which is energy dependence combined with policy constraints.
The French government continues to attempt targeted relief, including fuel rebates and caps on electricity prices, but these interventions are temporary by design. They do not change the underlying exposure to global energy markets. Once those supports are reduced or removed, the pressure returns immediately. That is why these protests tend to recur in waves rather than dissipate entirely.
Energy costs are no longer viewed as an external shock but as a failure of domestic policy to shield the population from volatility. When that perception takes hold, protests move beyond sector-specific demands and begin to question the direction of national leadership itself.
Posted originally on Jan 14, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
🚨 BREAKING — In Iran, massive crowds of anti-Islamist-regime, pro-@PahlaviReza protesters are taking to the streets in Tehran’s Haft-Hoz Square, chanting “Death to The Dictator,” directly targeting Khamenei and his terrorist regime. Share these videos so the world can see. pic.twitter.com/w8zcyOUu6t
An estimated 12,000 people in Iran have been killed in a severe crackdown on nationwide protests, accompanied by a near-total communications blackout designed not only to suppress dissent but to conceal the truth of what is happening on the ground.
Economic exhaustion and a collapse of public trust have converged with political stagnation and foreign policy missteps to create a pressure cooker within the Islamic Republic. Analysts have noted that Iran’s 2026 may represent one of the hardest years the regime has faced, where internal pressures intersect with external constraints such as sanctions, isolation, and military attrition will cause the republic to lose control.
Eliminating citizens’ ability to communicate is the first course of action for a crumbling government. The regime shut down the internet and blocked all communication channels to prevent the people from communicating, but the public refuses to be silenced.
The value of the Iranian rial collapsed to historic lows, reaching 1.45 million rials per USD as of late December 2025. The currency has lost 40% of its value since the most recent clash with Israel. Inflation in Iran surged to 42.2%, with the public unable to purchase food or necessities. The regime attempted to introduce a “new rial” where one equals 100 old rials, but it simply does not matter as the people have lost all confidence in government. The currency is worthless in their eyes. President Pezeshkian attempted to offer citizens the equivalent of $7 USD per month, but they waited too long to calm the masses with cash. The people now demand a complete regime change. Longstanding mismanagement, chronic deficits, and archaic behavior caused the nation to dwindle into financial ruin. No one is benefiting from the current leadership, and the people have nothing left to lose.
The USA is seizing the opportunity. President Donald Trump took to social media to urge Iranians to “KEEP PROTESTING – TAKE OVER YOUR INSTITUTIONS,” promising that “HELP IS ON ITS WAY.” Neocon Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, warned that the regime could survive the protests. The computer model accurately noted that a new conflict would be underway around the second week of January. What is happening in Iran right now is not a spontaneous uprising. It is a late-stage confidence failure.
#Bulgaria is rising again. Seven elections in four years did not lead to apathy. People across generations are demanding accountability, rule of law, and a new way of governing the country. pic.twitter.com/kEeSHnt5Ch
The entire Bulgarian government has resigned after nationwide protests following the government’s decision to join the European Union. “The government resigns today,” Rosen Zhelyazkov announced. “People of all ages, ethnic backgrounds and religions have spoken out in favour of resignation. That is why this civic energy must be supported and encouraged.”
The media portrayed the initial civil unrest as a reaction to the 2026 budget, but the root of the agitation lies with the nation relinquishing sovereignty to join the euro. The Bulgarian government resignation is symbolic; true power lies with the unelected bureaucrats in Brussels.
“The decisions of the National Assembly are meaningful when they reflect the will of the people. We want to be where society expects us to be,” Zhelyazkov said, referring to the anti-government protests. “We have no doubt that the government will receive support in the upcoming vote of no confidence. Regardless, the decisions of the National Assembly are important when they reflect the will of the sovereign,” the prime minister said.
There is massive corruption in the Bulgarian government, hence the need to hold seven snap elections after the 2020 uprising. The people will no longer have the ability to elect their representatives. Citizens have no trust in their government and do not bother with voting, as voter turnout reached only 34.4% in June 2024. Yes, they may elect who rules Bulgaria, but the EU determines the direction the nation must take. Over 6.4 million citizens must convert to the euro on January 1.
Once Bulgaria joins, it will no longer be able to devalue its currency to remain competitive. That’s how small economies adjust in a floating system. But inside the eurozone, you’re stuck. All monetary policy decisions are made by the ECB in Frankfurt, which answers to no elected body. If Bulgaria experiences a downturn, they can’t cut rates or devalue—just like Greece in 2010. They will be told to cut pensions, raise taxes, and accept IMF mandates. That’s not sovereignty.
Bulgaria now has the luxury of taking on more debt through the European Central Bank. It may now join a war on behalf of the EU against a nation with which it had diplomatic ties throughout the years. Bulgaria is the poorest member of the union; Brussels is not going to allow it to sway the course of the EU agenda in any capacity.
Civil unrest continues as tens of thousands of Bulgarians took to the streets last month to protest government spending, or at least that is what the headlines would lead one to believe. The government released its 2026 budget proposal, which included higher taxes and increased social security contributions, sparking nationwide outrage led by youth. Now, Parliament is withdrawing the budget unanimously, as citizens demanded the right to be heard. Yet, the true nature of the protests surrounds the forced adoption of the euro.
Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov has been urged to resign; President Rumen Radev backed protesters while accusing violence as “mafia provocation.” Protestors set the entrance to the office of the European Commission on fire. Bulgaria is set to join the eurozone on January 1, 2026. The budget maxes out the 3% deficit as demanded by the European Commission. The people know that appeasing the European Commission is the main reason they want to increase taxes, and Bulgarians do not want to surrender their national identity to Brussels.
But Bulgaria is set to join the eurozone as the 21st member despite political unrest. The euro was never created as a currency to enhance trade or economic efficiency. It was designed as a stepping stone toward federalizing Europe. Europe has always sought the benefits of a single currency without surrendering fiscal sovereignty. Brussels will accept Bulgaria even without a clear budget because it needs to feed a dying system.
Bulgaria will forego its sovereignty. Goodbye independent rate decisions. Bulgaria will not have a national currency to adjust during downturns. They will be forced into the one-size-fits-all monetary system centered around the top European economies that are on the decline. The EU is attempting to recruit Romania into its scheme as well. Then there is the matter of absorbing Ukraine into the mix. The centralized authority in Brussels has no plan for the sovereign debt crisis that awaits it next year going into 2028.
Posted originally on Nov 3, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
Government officials are rapidly moving onto US military bases for security. The Atlantic reported that Stephen Miller, Pete Hegseth, Marco Rubio, Kristi Noem, and other senior officials have relocated to US bases around Washington, D.C. These officials have received personal threats and have been notified by intelligence agencies that civil unrest is inevitable.
This is an extremely unusual occurrence as these homes were typically used by high-ranking military officers. These officials have been doxxed by the legacy media. Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem was forced to relocate and the Daily Mail published her Navy Yard address. The staffers who relocated are considered temporary residents, but they would not have been able to move if not grants permission from the administration.
Critics argue that the lines between the military and civilian leaders have been blurred, and argue that public servants should reside among the public they serve. The issue is that these individuals are receiving an alarming number of death threats as civil unrest boils over into political violence. It is doubtful that these officials are happy about the move themselves, but it is essential for security.
The president is also preparing for political violence. The controversial White House ballroom renovation includes an undisclosed security feature. The original East Wing, built in 1902, featured an underground bunker. The Presidential Emergency Operations Center (PEOC) was used during World War II and the 9/11 premeditated demolitions. The White House has been focusing on the ballroom renovation with little discussion of the updated security features that will be added to the existing bunker.
Former German Chancellor Angela Merkel was the first person to admit that the Minsk Agreement was a ploy to buy time to help Ukraine build its military. The Western powers never intended to honor the Minsk Agreement or any of their peace deals with Russia. Yet, Angela Merkel believes there is a bigger culprit behind Russian aggression—COVID-19.
“We couldn’t meet anymore” because Putin was “afraid of the coronavirus pandemic.” Merkel’s theory: “If you can’t meet, if you can’t discuss your differences face to face, you won’t find new compromises.” In a recent interview, Merkel plainly states, “Corona is the main reason” why Russia attacked Ukraine.
Merkel also stated in a separate interview that she has been a political “scapegoat” for escalating Russian aggression. People blame Merkel, unfairly, I will add, for continuing to purchase Russian oil at that time. She has been attacked for failing to boost Germany’s defense during her tenure. The public believes that Germany used the Minsk Agreement to appease Putin, but Merkel herself admitted the deal was to boost Ukraine.
Not only is she blaming COVID, but Merkel is blaming Poland and the Baltic States for preventing the European Union from establishing direct contact with Russia. She mentions that these EU nations were also keen on importing Russian energy, because politicians were unwilling to sabotage the energy sector before Brussels had complete control over the EU bloc.
“In my opinion, it was necessary to try to resolve conflicts with Russia peacefully. At the same time, we also strengthened the principle of deterrence… At the 2014 NATO summit in Wales, a goal was set for all countries to spend two percent of their gross domestic product on defense. I recognize that the energy with which this was advanced was limited,” the former chancellor said.
This war began in 2014, long before the pandemic. Putin invaded as a direct response to the Minsk Agreement hoax, and in reality, Merkel knows the truth. “But I don’t believe that when he came to power in 2000, he was already planning to attack Ukraine one day. Rather, it is a development in which we in the West must also ask ourselves whether we have always done everything right,” the former chancellor noted in a separate interview. True. Putin did not enter politics with the intent of restoring the Soviet Union. The entire reason Yeltsin handed Putin the reins of power was to prevent Russia from being overtaken by the hardliner oligarchs who DO want to see a USSR revival.
Merkel has gone off the rails in her interviews since leaving office. Her frankness is refreshing for those of us who understand the long con game these neocons have been playing–Merkel cannot bite her tongue to conceal the Plot to Seize Russia.
Posted originally on CTH on October 7, 2025 | Sundance
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney travels to the U.S. for a White House meeting with President Trump. The two leaders hold a press availability prior to entering negotiations. WATCH:
Posted originally on Oct 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
COMMENT #1: Hi Martin,
Macron is totally cornered tonight, and 62% of the French people are now demanding his resignation. With all the panic cycles showing up in multiple markets in 3 weeks only, may God help us if the petit Napoleon doesn’t take us into war with his other European parasite friends to avoid losing power after their failed policies, and humiliation as the most hated president in history. Unbearable for such a narcissistic character.
Best wishes from France.
PH
COMMENT#2: Mr. Armstrong,
Thank you for doing podcasts in Croatia and Serbia. You are being heard. The president, Milorad Dodik, a Bosnian Serb, who is the 8th President of the Republika Srpska, is now publicly saying what you have been warning about: that this war with Russia is because the EU is in trouble. I know if I ask, you cannot confirm or deny. But it appears that you may be advising countries in the Balkans. I certainly hope so. Dodik has publicly stated that the political situation in European countries is deteriorating, and their economies are in recession. Dodik warned that the EU is a trap. “The Balkan countries should not join the EU. It’s a trap. By the time we join the European Union, it will disappear, and it is already disappearing.”
Thank you so much for your efforts. You are the only person who truly deserves a Peace Prize.
VR
REPLY: If you are blind, you can still see that once the EU was created, like a small businessman seeks to expand his business, that same human instinct takes place among politicians, but the difference is they constantly seek more and more power directed against the people. Even German Chancellor Friedrich Merz called for “putting sticks in the wheels of Brussels” in order to regain Berlin’s influence. Merz wants to give part of the EU’s powers to national governments. He has stressed that it is necessary to stop Brussels’ interference “in people’s daily lives” in the person of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.
“Now we have to put a stick in the wheels of this machine in Brussels,” the German chancellor said, addressing business leaders.
Merz also criticizes von der Leyen for proposals to expand the EU budget, introduce new taxes, and for the protracted negotiations on trade agreements. He has insisted on reviewing the role of Brussels in defense planning. Merz has actually said that the EU has “gone too far” and that this situation “can no longer continue.”
Poland has also expressed similar problems with Ursula’s administration of the EU. She has really wiped out the European economy by using insane climate control to the migrant crisis. A mere glance at the GDP of Europe in comparison to that of the United States reveals how it has significantly suppressed economic growth, pushing the EU to the brink of collapse.
This is the official data taken from the Federal Reserve. This is why we even have a NO-CONFIDENCE VOTE on Ursula this week. I was in a meeting in Berlin and had to run to the next meeting in Rome. These climate change policies have led to the cancellation of short-term flights. There was only one direct flight in the morning. I had to rent a private jet to make the next meeting. I have NEVER in over 40 years been compelled to do that.
Since the 1995 Dayton Peace Agreement, Bosnia and Herzegovina has functioned as a decentralized, multiethnic state divided into two entities: the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and Republika Srpska. Ukraine should have been divided along ethnic lines. But NATO and the NEOCONS have been using Ukraine as their sacrifice on their Neocon altar to bring down Russia.
The Balkans can’t look to the future because they are forever hostages to the past. Even the Baltic states face the same issue with Kallas of Estonia, who insists that Russia is too large and must be broken up. The EU hates Dodik because he is pro-Russia.
This week, the European Parliament is scheduled to hold two no-confidence votes against European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on Thursday, October 9, 2025, at 12:00 PM CEST. These votes follow a joint debate held on Monday, October 6, 2025, at 5:00 PM CEST. What is fascinating is how the computer picks up these events from the economic patterns. He had a Panic Cycle for the 9th – the day of the vote.
The motions have been introduced by two political groups: the anti-leftist “Patriots for Europe” and the left-wing group “The Left.” The Patriots for Europe criticize Ursula von der Leyen’s green policies and response to illegal migration, while The Left condemns the EU’s inaction on Gaza. Both groups also oppose Ursula’s trade policies, particularly a tariff deal with the U.S. and a proposed EU-Mercosur agreement, which they argue harms farmers and the environment.
Most expect the motions will fail and Ursula will maintain the European tyranny. A two-thirds majority is required to pass a no-confidence motion in the European Parliament, and such a majority is not anticipated. Centrist parties, including the European People’s Party (EPP), Socialists and Democrats (S&D), and Renew Europe, are expected to support Ursula to the detriment of Europe. They will ensure that Ursula von der Leyen will retain her position and allow Europe to fulill is destiny.
Despite the expected outcome, these motions highlight growing political polarization within the European Parliament and reflect broader dissatisfaction with von der Leyen’s leadership. However, the computer does NOT show such clear sailing. This week was to be a Directional Change, and we have a Panic Cycle that is showing up around the world in various markets, especially during the Week of October 27th.
Posted originally on CTH on October 6, 2025 | Sundance
Well, number five didn’t last long. Now French President Emmanuel Macron will be looking for Prime Minister #6.
France’s new Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu has resigned only a few weeks after his installation. Just yesterday he appointed the cabinet, and today he quits. With the parliamentary government collapsing repeatedly, and with serious economic and financial issues around the French government, things are increasingly spiraling.
FRANCE – […] Lecornu, France’s fifth PM in less than two years, had his work cut out to convince the country — and investors — that he can unite a fractious and divided parliament enough to get a 2026 budget over the line.
He was installed in early September against a backdrop of public unrest and dissatisfaction over the messy state of French affairs, after several successive governments failed to pass budgets detailing spending cuts and tax rises.
A former defense minister and longtime ally of French President Emmanuel Macron, Lecornu resigned just hours after naming a new cabinet on Sunday. The new cabinet, which saw most high-profile figures remain in their posts, was due to hold its first meeting on Monday.
Now, France has been plunged into a new political crisis which will put massive pressure on Macron, who has now installed three failed minority governments.
Lecornu was due to make a speech in front of parliament, the National Assembly, on Tuesday laying out his government’s roadmap.
Parties on both the left and right of the political spectrum in France were watching closely, as were investors and the European Commission in Brussels, to see how Lecornu planned to close a budget deficit of 5.8% in 2024. France’s debt pile amounted to 113% of GDP in 2024.
Both levels are far above EU rules demanding that individual members’ deficits should not exceed 3% of GDP, while their public debt should not surpass 60% of economic output. (read more)
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