Mercenaries – the New Way to Fight Wars


Posted originally on Aug 22, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Mercenary Soldier

We tend to think of war as a national army against a national army. But wars have changed dramatically since Iraq. Mercenaries are more powerful than most realize, which is a grave oversight. Those who assume they are cheap imitations of national armed forces do not have a clue about what is taking place. For-profit warriors are a wholly different species of fighter. Private military companies like Russia’s Wagner Group were more like heavily armed multinational corporations than the Marine Corps. Their employees are recruited from different countries, and profitability is everything. Patriotism is unimportant, and sometimes a liability. Unsurprisingly, mercenaries do not fight conventionally, and traditional war strategies used against them often backfire.

If we look at the Iraq War, the US Department of Defense employed 155,826 private contractors in Iraq. In 2016, 1 in 4 U.S. armed personnel in Iraq and Afghanistan was a private contractor. This meant that the war was being outsourced, and neither scholars nor the media seemed to pay attention. Looking at the stats provides an interesting perspective. Between 2006 and 2016, 238 private contractors/mercenaries perished in Iraq. Looking at who does this work reveals that they are predominantly white man in their 40s. Most are veterans with significant military experience who were former officers, and about half of them are Special Forces veterans. They are more likely to have a college degree than their active-duty counterparts but less likely than their fellow veterans in the general population.

This degree of privatization of military troops is unprecedented in modern warfare. The Neocons used Biden to circumvent Congress to create World War III, deploying private armies to negate Congressional approval. If they are private contractors, then the Neocons can tell them to invade Russia or even New York City since they are NOT actually official military personnel.

In terms of Biden signing private contracts, one federal department reigned supreme. In 2020, the Department of Defense awarded more money in federal contracts than all other government agencies combined. And one study found that nearly half of defense spending for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan went to private contractors. President Joe Biden signed a record-shattering military budget in 2021, topping 2020. Even after America’s complicated withdrawal from Afghanistan, congress approved the biggest defense spending bill in history.

The cost of Iraq and Afghanistan directly was $1.6 trillion. Add the ongoing interest costs compounded, and by 2032, the costs of that war alone will reach more than $3 trillion. Why use private mercenaries? Guess what? There are no VA benefits and pensions. Some may earn even up to $2,000 per day. On March 19, 2003, Paul Wolfowitz, then deputy defense secretary and a leading proponent of the war, told a Congressional committee: “We are dealing with a country that can really finance its own reconstruction, and relatively soon.” That was not even close to being true. But these people love to sell war all the time.

Private Mercenaries

While they Say Prostitution is the Oldest Profession, Mercenaries are certainly the second-oldest

Etruria African

The historian Arrian informs us that Greek mercenary hoplites served Persia in defending against Alexander the Great in the closing stages of the Battle of Granicus. Both Celtic and Greek mercenaries served in the Carthaginian garrison at Lilybaeum while it was besieged by the Romans during the First Punic War. Indeed, much of military history from ancient times includes privatized armies. The word “mercenary” comes from the Latin merces, “wages” or “pay.” Since ancient times, employing mercenaries to fight wars has been routine throughout most of military history. Xenophon’s famous army of Greek mercenaries known as the Ten Thousand (401–399 BC) were mostly mercenaries. Hannibal’s sixty-thousand-strong army, included Greek and Celtic mercenaries, who marched with elephants over the Alps to attack Rome from the north.

Here is a coin from central Italy depicting an African mercenary and an elephant. Rome also regularly employed mercenaries, and even by the European Middle Ages, mercenaries were part of armies. Machiavelli’s The Prince (1513) Chapter XII: How Many Kinds of Soldiery There are, and Concerning Mercenaries.

The fact, during the Middle Ages mercenaries were called condottieri or “contractors,” and they formed multinational companies, termed “free companies,” just like Blackwater and Aegis today. There was a backlash against war, and states began to cooperate to outlaw mercenaries. This effort came to an end with the rise of Communism and the Cold War. This is when the United States began to invest billions into the private military industry. General Eisenhower warned us when it was his last day in office.

NATO_Defeat Russia_in_3_Days Adam Kinzinger

The US has turned to private mercenaries to some extent because an All-Volunteer Force could not recruit enough Americans to maintain wars. In 2002, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said the Iraq War would last: Five days or five weeks or five months, but it certainly isn’t going to last any longer than that.” Sound familiar? Adam Kinzinger claims we could defeat Russia in three days. For publicity’s sake, when the Iraq War was not over in five weeks or even five months, the risk of a Vietnam-like draft to fill the ranks, or they would contract out for mercenaries. In Iraq, 50% of the US force was mercenaries. In Afghanistan, mercenaries reached 70%. In WW2, it was only 10% were mercenaries.

Part of this migration crisis is their hope to fill the military ranks, offering them citizenship. Today’s mercenaries are from all over the world: Mexico, Ghana, Australia, Canada, and Africa. Private military companies are just like any other multinational corporation: they recruit globally.

More mercenaries were killed in Iraq and Afghanistan than soldiers. The actual number of contractors killed is probably higher than we know since the US government doesn’t collect such data, and the companies generally do report that figure since it would clearly be bad for recruiting. We now see private military operations in Russia and other countries in Europe. This has become a multi-billion-dollar industry. Even the United Arab Emirates hired mercenaries to fight in Yemen. Nigeria has also turned to hiring mercenaries.

The side-effect is that by turning to mercenaries; history shows they have also turned on the hand that fed them. The Neocons can use mercenaries and send them to invade without Congressional Acts of War since they are no officially American troops. This dangerously creates a strategic dependency on the private sector to sustain war, and those in power then have “plausible deniability” since Americans are not coming home in body bags.

It is also NOT a war crime if a mercenary rather than a government carries it out.  Contractors don’t count as “boots on the ground” sending in their mercenaries. This actually undermines all accountability of the armed forces. Congress typically has no idea of who’s being contracted. They do not see the details.

The Neocons love mercenaries, for they do not need a Declaration of War from Congress and can order an invasion of Russia, as they have just done, with no accountability. They can start and expand wars for profit and personal vengeance. Out of work, mercenaries are so accustomed to violence that they are not easily re-emerged into a society where law and conduct are accountable. There’s a lot of historical evidence for this from the European Middle Ages when mercenaries were routinely used, and when unemployed, they did not return nicely to society.

With the Neocons turning to mercenaries, they can wage war without approval from Congress or oversight from anyone. Private military companies must generally self-report crimes, which they won’t. Mercenaries are a symptom of something far more serious as we move into 2032. Mercenaries have completely changed war and threatened world order. Mercenaries are becoming more common, and this presents a serious problem looking ahead.

Categories:WAR

Americans Have Invaded Kursk inside Russia


Posted originally on Aug 21, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

CNN Biden liefts ban on US private military

Last June, Biden lifted the ban on American contractors sending mercenaries into Ukraine. When he lifted the ban on American weapons, allowing them to be deployed inside Russia, this was another step that de facto allowed these private American military operations to invade Russia pretending it is not the official United States. I have warned that the Neocons are scared to death of Trump, and if RFK joins Trump as the Attorney General, as I have been arguing behind the curtain, they are desperate to start World War III before the election.

Sources are reporting that Stephanie Holmes, the US Chargé d’Affaires in Russia, was summoned to the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs to explain why Americans have invaded Russia with the invasion of the Ukrainian Army into the Kursk region.  By 2008, the US Department of Defense employed 155,826 private contractors in Iraq — and 152,275 troops. This degree of privatization is unprecedented in modern warfare. The Neocons used Biden to circumvent Congress to create World War III, deploying private armies to negate Congressional approval.

Indeed, Russia has an opportunity to now annihilate the entire invading force, including Americans, by deploying a small tactical nuclear weapon inside its own borders. Nobody can say anything about that, and Russia would be within its right to do so just as if Chinese, Russian, or North Korean private military invaded the United States.

GCNYNF W Tech 8 21 24

September has been a significant target on our computer all year for civil unrest and international war. Gold’s performance appears linked to this action, whereas silver and platinum have not responded. While gold may peak by next week, September remains a major Panic Cycle in many markets, including gold. Russia is certainly within its right to use whatever means necessary to eradicate this invading force. If it does not respond on its own territory, then it would only invite a full-scale NATO invasion.

These Neocons are traitors to the United States and the future of our nation,

all for their personal hatred of Russians.

Republicans Concerned Trump Assassin Used Encrypted Messaging Accounts


Posted originally on the CTH on August 21, 2024 | Sundance 

It started with Senator Lindsey Graham previously saying that perhaps electronic encryption programs needed a legislative ban as an outcome of the Trump assassination attempt.

The “never let a crisis go to waste” narrative continues advancing today with Congressman Mike Waltz.

CHICAGO — Trump rally gunman Thomas Matthew Crooks used encrypted messaging accounts on various platforms located in Belgium, New Zealand and Germany, according to a member of a congressional task force investigating his assassination attempt against former President Donald Trump.

Rep. Michael Waltz (R-Fla.), one of 13 lawmakers tapped to serve on the House bipartisan task force, told reporters at a Wednesday press conference at the Trump Hotel Chicago that the “overseas accounts” piqued his suspicion immediately regarding the shooter’s motives.”

“Why does a 19-year-old kid who is a health care aid need encrypted platforms not even based in the United States, but based abroad – where most terrorist organizations know it is harder for our law enforcement to get into?” asked Waltz. (read more)

If you do not choose to give up some private communication tools in order to make the USA a safer place, then you don’t care about the security of President Trump or something.   That’s the rapidly approaching talking point from the professionally republican.

The Deep State loves unilateral transparency where We The People are transparent, and they remain opaque.  Sorry, but look where we are now.  We never should have agreed to start taking off our shoes at the airport.

The Obsession over Russia


Posted originally on Aug 20, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

The Propaganda Behind Crypto


Posted Aug 20, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

IMF Coin

Now all we hear is how banks are suddenly investing in things like BITCOIN. The propaganda is just stunning, for it has once again proven that Julius Caesar was right more than 2000 years ago, and nothing has ever changed.

Caesar People Believe

Things like BITCOIN are a religion, and that is the problem. It would be best never to marry any trade, for you will never look at the world objectively. The code for the BITCOIN programmer was known to have come from the NSA. In 1996, the US government released a white paper entitled, “How to make a mint: the cryptography of anonymous electronic cash.” Released by the National Security Agency Office of Information Security Research and Technology, this document basically explains how a government agency could create something like Bitcoin or another cryptocurrency.

The Federal Reserve is not going to issue a CDBC. All the big banks are creating their own, and then they will be regulated by the Fed. The banks must already report suspicious activity to the Feds. The banks will create the digital currency since they will report “suspicious” activity to the Fed and IRS. If the Fed created a CBDC, they need a search warrant to you into an account where the banks do not.

OPEN YOUR EYES

This is the same scheme they used with covid. Private companies like Facebook and YouTube can regulate free speech that the government cannot. They will then report all suspicious activity and your cash flow to the IRS. Wake up! Janet Yellen wanted to audit $600 transaction of Ebay. They are broken and they believe ending cash will result in 35%+ more in tax collections.

IMF TO REPLACE THE DOLLAR

The IMF has already quietly created its digital currency. They intend to use this war to not only default on debts, but the IMF will replace the dollar as the reserve currency in an attempt to bring the world back together and end the SWIFT vs BRICS.

Random Video Surfaces of Assassin Thomas Crooks at Butler Rally Before Shooting


Posted originally on the CTH on August 19, 2024 | Sundance 

The video comes to my attention via the Twitter Account of Tony Seruga.  The video appears to capture Thomas Crooks walking through the vendor section of the Butler rally at approximately 4:26pm, about one and a half hours before he began shooting.

If the 4:26pm time is accurate, this is interesting because President Trump was initially scheduled to begin speaking at 5:00pm.

The Metals Setting Up for a False Move?


Posted originally on Aug 18, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

GCNYNF Y Tech 8 18 24
GCNYNF Y Array 8 18 24

When we look at precious metals, one would expect this is the long-awaited breakout for gold. Yet there is something amiss. The Yearly Array still points to a Turning Point here: 2024 with a Directional Change. That would imply that we may be looking at an important high come Monday if we reach at least 2673, or making highs after Monday may lead to the final high on August 28th, which may be more likely. The major resistance stands at the 2800 level. However, the initial target resistance for this coming week stands at 2573, 2589, 2695, and 2705.

PLNYNF Y Tech 8 18 24
PLNYNF Y Array 8 18 24

Platinum is not following gold and implies it may yet test support into 2025 before a rally unfolds. Note that we have a Directional Change here in 2024 as well. However, it appears to be a low forming in 2025 and a shift to the upside thereafter.

GCSVNY Y Tech 8 18 24
GCSVNY Y Array 8 18 24

When we turn to the Silver/Gold Ratio, we see a Double-Directional Change in 2024. The Stochastic is starting to turn down, implying that gold may decline, but silver will gain on the ratio. This is pointing to a more sustainable bull market in the years ahead, which we will discuss at the upcoming World Economic Conference in November, just after the Presidential election.

Before a sustainable bull market exists, there is always the FALSE MOVE; in this case, it looks to be shaping up to the downside. This may present an important buying opportunity as we head into the election.

Interview: Turkey is the Concern in the Middle East


Posted originally on Aug 17, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Categories:ARMSTRON

Will Merchan Order Imprisonment of Trump on September 18th?


Posted originally on Aug 16, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Bragg Merchan

This is the most bizarre election in American History, and given our computer warns, it will very likely be the last. This “acting” judge, Juan M. Merchan, is a prosecutor. How does an “acting” judge get the most important case in American political history? Prosecutor Bragg ran for election promising to take down Donald Trump. He is about as unbiased as Bill Gates when it comes to vaccines.

Judge Recusal

Juan Merchan has yet again denied Trump’s motion to recuse himself. The standard is that if his “impartiality might reasonably be questioned,” he is to step down. Merchan should recuse himself from such a high-profile case, and his failure to do so is taking the entire position of the rule of law into disrepute worldwide. On that score, the lucrative political work Merchan’s daughter has done for Vice President Kamala Harris should be seen as more significant now that Harris has replaced President Biden as Trump’s Democratic opponent in the upcoming election. This is just outrageous.

There is no denying that Bragg’s prosecutors used some of Trump’s official acts to prove their case. Indeed, they called as witnesses two of Trump’s White House staffers. Under the Supreme Court ruling, Bragg could not have used official acts, and this tainted the entire case. At the very least, this should have been a mistrial, for it is impossible to now separate the impact of using official acts and staff from the White House in this prosecution. Of course, Trump’s lawyers moved post-trial to have the guilty verdicts thrown out based on the high court’s immunity ruling.

Merchan has made it well known that not only has he refused to recuse himself against every principle of decency, but he has signaled that, come hell or high water, he intends to sentence Trump on September 18. He is clearly seeking to interfere in this election. This sentencing is just two days after early voting in the 2024 election begins in Pennsylvania. The Democrats are using this case to win the election. Here is what they are sending out:

Democrats Bernie Sanders

Merchan does not care about the law or justice. This is interfering in the 2024 election, and this is what this has been all about. We would expect this sort of thing from a Banana Republic steeped in corruption. This is what the United States has become, so our computer warns that there is NO POSSIBLE WAY the United States will survive this election. The nation will divide because this is so outrageous. Civilization works when we all benefit. When Obama was elected, those opposed to him just accepted and moved on. This time, there is no way this country will move on regardless of who wins.

This is what happened just back on January 20th, 2017, when Trump was inaugurated. This time, it is going to be far worse. It does not matter who wins; we are looking at civil unrest on a major scale. The Trump defense team has been trying to stave off sentencing, but Merchan will not do that, and the talk in New York City is that he wants to sentence Trump to prison, desperately believing that this will ensure a Democratic Victory.

Voting _18_U.S._Code_594_Intimidation_of_voters

Under these conditions, if Kamala were to win, I fear you are looking at a time when the Supreme Court may have no other choice but to reverse the election. What Merchan and Bragg are doing is an outright federal crime in light of the Supreme Court’s decision that held presidents (including former presidents) are (a) presumptively immune from criminal prosecution for any official acts taken as president and (b) absolutely immune if the official acts are core constitutional duties of the chief executive. The Court instructed that this immunity extends not only to charges but to evidence. That means prosecutors are not just barred from alleging official presidential acts as crimes; they are further prohibited from even using such acts as proof offered to establish other crimes.

2024 Presidential Election by Popular Vote

Here is the problem: there is NO POSSIBLE WAY to extract the “official acts” that Bragg introduced to get these convictions. If Kamala wins, this is going to present a significant Constitutional Crisis. Bragg and Merchan have absolute immunity from lawsuits for what they are doing but seek to deny a president the very same immunity that prosecutors and judges enjoy. Four of our six models show Trump should win. If he does not, this election is rigged, but it will be overturned this time. Only two models show a Democratic victory at best by only 51%.

2020 Election Forecasts

Here is the computer forecast for the 2020 election. Only one model predicted a Trump victory, with three out of six, but two had wide margins. Yes, they maneuvered the election in Congress to prevent a challenge to various states.

2016 PresElection Copy

Back in 2016, we projected against the odds that Trump would win against Hillary, who outspent him 40:1. No model showed a Hillary victory—not one.

1 ECM 2032 Wave 157 Pi Turning Point 1 Annotated

The Economic Confidence Model on the Pi Target from the start of this wave 1985.65, is where years in advance we stated that 2017.05 would be the first time a third party president could be elected. That target 2017.05 was when Trump was inaugurated.

These are NOT my personal opinions – this is an unbiased computer.

What is taking place worldwide is whoever is in power is being thrown out

Ep 3425b – [KH] Next, Do You Attack The King At The Beginning Or End Of The Game?Timing Is Everythin


Posted originally on Rumble By X 22 Report on: Aug 12, 2024 at 7:15 pm EST