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Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: Aug 25, 2024 at 08:11 pm EST

Have the Democrats Reversed the American Dream?


Posted Aug 26, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

World Highest Standard of Living

Before the evolution of the Industrial Revolution, Social Mobility truly did not exist. More often, one tended to follow in the footsteps of their family. Farmers remained on the farm just as those in the various skilled trades remained in those guilds. This tended to be true even from ancient times before Rome became the first city to reach one million people. Then, there were vast opportunities, and people migrated to Rome as they had to go to New York to become rich and Los Angeles in hopes of becoming the next movie star.

Chinese Exodus

Even in China, as communism collapsed and freedom resurfaced, Social Mobility returned. China experienced great internal migration as people left rural communities and sought the big cities. While this trend began in 1978, it accelerated post-1989. There is always a cycle behind migrations, externally driven more by climate changes and internally by industrialization and progress.

Roman Forun by Giovanni Paolo Panini
PopulationOfRome

The collapse of Rome led to the return to the suburbs and an agricultural life, with the end of Social Mobility. It took 1720 years for another city to reach a population of 1 million. Rome was the largest city in ancient times by 100AD, reaching one million and peaking around 1.2 million by 180AD. Likewise, some have argued that Alexandria, Egypt, reached one million, perhaps before Rome.

Nevertheless, Rome eventually collapsed to a population of just 15,000 during the Middle Ages. London, England, was the first city to reach a population again of one million, and it took nearly 6 waves of 309.6 years. London reached the 1 million mark in 1810 during the reign of George III (1760-1820). In comparison, New York City finally reached one million in 1875, thanks to all the people fleeing Europe. We once again are approaching the peak in civilization, and what will come after 2032 will be once more the disintegration of Western civilization as our Neocons destroy Western society and the financial capital of the which, which we took from London in 1918, will come to an end 112 years later.

Where the Black Plague of the 14th century ended serfdom and gave rise to wages due to the shortage of labor when nearly 50% of the European population died, we then came to the Industrial Revolution, which truly altered society again, following about 600 years after the Black Death. The Industrial Revolution opened the door to more options for employment, and creative people dreamed of new inventions. Social Mobility was once again returning as it had taken place in ancient Rome, attracting people throughout the empire to migrate to Rome for new opportunities.

World War II killed only about 3.75% of the total world population. 70–85 million people perished out of an estimated global population of 2.3 billion in 1940. But this tends to water things down. Russia lost 26 million, and China lost about 20 million. Today, the world population stands at 8 billion. At 3%, the losses would be over 240 million today. However, with nuclear weapons, the people who are really using Climate Change to reduce the population would not be satisfied with the number. They want a 50% reduction, bringing back the good old days of the Black Death.

Civil Work Force

Nevertheless, despite the climate zealots’ hatred of the Industrial Revolution, they refuse to comprehend that this evolution technologically raised living standards allowing Social Mobility once again. These Climate Change zealots who want to reverse everything are clueless as to the importance of the internal combustion engine and the freedom it provided. It was the combustion engine that allowed people to migrate to the suburbs. At the same time, it dramatically increased food production, freeing people from the confining role of agriculture. In 1900, 41% of the civil workforce was employed in Agriculture, which is why the Great Depression saw unemployment rise to 25% thanks to the Dust Bowl.

Social Mobility was an unspoken concept that colored the most ambitious, aspirational, and dramatic economic expansion in human history. No matter the time or location, an individual’s social class had been previously confined whereas the Industrial Revolution irreversibly terminated the conditions and lineage that had confined them to limited employment opportunities. Even slavery could not be simply terminated, for there was no opportunity to get a job outside of agriculture, which accounted for 70% of the civil workforce in 1850. This was why many blacks remained in the South, and while free, they now earned a wage but had to cover their own cost of living. It was not such an easy transition prior to the Industrial Revolution that opened the door to non-agricultural employment opportunities.

With the Industrial Revolution, we also find the birth of this concept of the American Dream. America became the land of opportunity where any individual could become whatever they aspired to be. No matter what. Social and Vocational Mobility enabled America to economically grow reaching new heights. Thus, it was the Industrial Revolution that these Climate Change Zealots hated so much that, most importantly, it set the stage for what became decades of parabolic growth and the birth of the highly lucrative, meaningful entertainment, financial, and sports industries. Our modern way of life was enabled by the combustion engine.

Smith Marx

The danger we now face for the future is that the mistake the Democrats have made is this adoption of Marxism that is constructed on class warfare, attacking the very core of Social Mobility. For now, if you start your own business, you are demonized as the rich. In today’s post-American Dream era, many people operate within class constraints, similar to the 19th century. The politics are pitting one group against another that has gone beyond merely class but also beyond race into the world of multiple definitions of gender. The realities that plague us today are inescapable: they’re embedded in poor monetary policy, undermining our freedom and capitalism itself while encouraging a growing disdain that is even now characterized as economic philosophy between left and right – Marx vs Smith.

Beware September


Posted originally on Aug 25, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Beware Sept 2024

Be mindful that we may see even gold make a high as we head into the first week of September. There appears to be disturbing signs in many markets as we head into the week of September 2nd. We have governments realizing that they are losing power, and as they do, they will get NASTY, to put it mildly. The American Neocons (The Rise of the Neocons) are in a desperate position. Now that RFK has joined with Trump because they are both anti-war, I fear that they are going to get desperate. The Democrats have already torched America by flooding the country with illegals to vote for them against Americans, and they denied the American people any right to even vote for a candidate of their choice. This will be the last election for the US and will most likely split in the year ahead before 2028. I fear that people will either still attempt to kill Trump, perhaps attributing it to bird flu or monkeypox. If they cannot pull that off, they will start World War III ASAP to try to trap Trump and RFK into war. They do not care about anything but their own power.

In Europe, with France arresting the CEO of Telegram warns the world that anyone who has any position that is independent should NOT TRAVEL TO EUROPE from here on out. It is NO LONGER SAFE to travel to Europe! Britain is trying to extradite people from other countries, including here in the United States for daring to tell the truth. This is how desperate things are becoming in Europe.

Capital Controls 2

For our European clients, you should begin to move assets out of Europe, and that is for the EU and Britain. They will eventually turn to capital control to prevent capital from moving to retain power. This is just how all governments respond when they are in their death throes. We had a Double Directional Change in the British pound in 2024. This has picked the dramatic political shift in Britain, and this is a HARD LEFT turn that will terminate the once great foundation of Britain.

Peter Hitchins is one of the top half-dozen journalists in the UK.

Sunday Talks: JD Vance -vs- NBC on Trump Tax Policy


Posted originally on the CTH on August 25, 2024 | Sundance

Vice Presidential nominee Senator JD Vance, appears on Meet the Press for an argumentative debate on Trump policy.  On the issue of tariffs, this might have been JD Vance’s first opportunity to set the record straight about what tariffs did in the first Trump administration.

Unfortunately, because JD Vance did not have the data to refute the NBC talking points, he missed an opportunity to set the record straight.  Tariffs did not raise prices and consumers did not pay tariff rates in the first Trump administration.  Factually, the exact opposite happened.  Prices dropped when Trump tariffs were put into place, the reasons are explained after the interview. WATCH:  

Our own analysis of U.S. consumer prices in 2019 showed that prices of imported goods actually declined despite the tariffs. A recent report from CPA takes a look at the impact to Chinese exports to the U.S.  [SEE DATA HERE] Bottom line, the tariffs worked to reduce Chinese imports.

CPA – […] Since the Section 301 tariffs were imposed, the share of imports from China has steadily declined from 21.6% in 2017 the year prior to the tariffs to 16.5%, a decline of 5.1%. No other country has lost as much share of total U.S. import penetration over the past five years.

In terms of total import value, Mexico gained the most from the tariffs, adding $110.8 billion. Vietnam gained the second most in import value by $78.4 billion and by far gained the most of total share of U.S. imports. In 2017, Vietnam accounted for about 2% of U.S. imports at $46.5 billion. In 2022, the U.S. imported $127.5 billion in goods from Vietnam, and the share of the total nearly doubled to 3.9%. Other countries in Southeast Asia such as Thailand, Cambodia, and Indonesia all saw significant increases in their value of imports by the U.S. (read more)

With the 2024 election here, it is worth revisiting the actual tariff outcome to American consumers in order to dispel the popular myths about tariffs raising prices here at home.  This might be the cited data you want to bookmark for later reference.

It was the Fourth Quarter of 2019…..

Right before the pandemic would hit a few months later, despite two years of doomsayer predictions from Wall Street’s professional punditry, all of them said Trump’s 2017 steel and aluminum tariffs on China, Canada and the EU would create massive inflation – it just wasn’t happening!

Overall, year-over-year inflation was hovering around 1.7 percent [Table-A BLS]; yup, that was our inflation rate.  The rate in the latter half of 2019 was firmed up with less month-over-month fluctuation, and the rate basically remained consistent.   [See Below]  The U.S. economy was on a smooth glide path, strong, stable, and Main Street was growing with MAGAnomics at work.

A couple of important points.  First, unleashing the energy sector to drive down overall costs to consumers, and industry outputs was a key part of President Trump’s America First MAGAnomic initiative.  Lower energy prices help the worker economy, middle class and average American more than any other sector.

Which brings us to the second important point.  Notice how food prices had very low year-over-year inflation – 0.5 percent.  That is a combination of two key issues: low energy costs, and the fracturing of Big Ag’s hold on the farm production and the export dynamic:

(BLS) […] The index for food at home declined for the third month in a row, falling 0.2 percent. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs decreased 0.7 percent in August as the index for eggs fell 2.6 percent. The index for fruits and vegetables, which rose in July, fell 0.5 percent in August; the index for fresh fruits declined 1.4 percent, but the index for fresh vegetables rose 0.4 percent. The index for cereals and bakery products fell 0.3 percent in August after rising 0.3 percent in July. (link)

For the previous twenty years, food prices had been increasingly controlled by Big Ag, and not by normal supply and demand.   The commodity market became a ‘controlled market’. U.S. food outputs (farm production) was controlled and exported to keep the U.S. consumer paying optimal prices.

President Trump’s trade reset was disrupting this process.  As farm products were less exported, the cost of the food in our supermarket became reconnected to a ‘more normal’ supply and demand cycle.  Food prices dropped, and our pantry costs were lowered.

The Commerce Dept. then announced that retail sales climbed by 0.4 percent in August 2019, twice as high as the 0.2 percent analysts had predicted. The result highlighted retail sales strength of more than 4 percent year-over-year.   These excellent results came on the heels of blowout data in July, when households boosted purchases of cars and clothing.

The better-than-expected number stemmed largely from a 1.8 percent jump in spending vehicles. Online sales, meanwhile, also continued to climb, rising 1.6 percent. That’s similar to July 2019, when Amazon held its two-day blowout Prime Day sale. (link)

Despite the efforts to remove and impeach President Trump, it did not look like middle class America was overly concerned about the noise coming from the pundits.   Likely that’s because blue collar wages were higher, Main Street inflation was lower, and overall consumer confidence was strong.  Yes, MAGAnomics was working.

Additionally, remember all those MSM hours and newspaper column inches where the professional financial pundits were claiming Trump’s tariffs were going to cause massive increases in prices of consumer goods?

Well, exactly the opposite happened [BLS report] Import prices were continuing to drop:

[Table 1 – BLS report link]

This was a really interesting dynamic that no one in the professional punditry would dare explain.

Donald Trump’s tariffs were targeted to specific sectors of imported products.  [Steel, Aluminum, and a host of smaller sectors etc.]  However, when the EU and China responded by devaluing their currency, that approach hit all products imported, not just the tariff goods.

Because the EU and China were driving up the value of the dollar, everything we were importing became cheaper.   Not just imports from Europe and China, but actually imports from everywhere.   All imports were entering the U.S. at substantially lower prices.

This meant when we imported products, we were also importing deflation.

This price result is exactly the opposite of what the economic experts and Wall Street pundits predicted back in 2017 and 2018 when they were pushing the rapid price increase narrative.

Because all the export dependent economies were reacting with such urgency to retain their access to the U.S. market, aggregate import prices were actually lower than they were when the Trump tariffs began:

[…]  Prices for imports from China edged down 0.1 percent in August following decreases of 0.2 percent in both July and June. Import prices from China have not advanced on a monthly basis since ticking up 0.1 percent in May 2018. The price index for imports from China fell 1.6 percent for the year ended in August.

[…]  Import prices from the European Union fell 0.2 percent in August and 0.3 percent over the past 12 months.

[Page #4 – BLS Report, pdf] – BLS press release.

So yes, we know President Trump can save Social Security and Medicare by expanding the economy with his America First economic policy.  We do not need to guess if it is possible or listen to pundits theorize about his approach being some random ‘catch phrase’ disconnected from reality.  Yes folks, we have the receipts.

This was MAGAnomics at work, and this is entirely what created the middle class MAGA coalition.  No other candidate has this economic policy in their outlook, because all other candidates are purchased by the Wall Street multinationals.

America First MAGAnomics is unique to President Trump, because he is the only one independent enough to implement the policy.

That’s just the reality of the situation.  They hate him for it… 

[Support CTH Research Here]

Sunday Talks – Robert F Kennedy Jr Discusses Trump’s Requests and Agreement for Endorsement


Posted originally on the CTH on August 25, 2024 | Sundance

Robert F Kennedy appears on Fox News Sunday to talk about his endorsement of President Donald Trump.  RFK Jr said President Trump reached out to him several times before the independent candidate finally decided to talk to President Trump.

RFK Jr also confirms that he reached out to the Kamala Harris campaign in order to discuss the possibilities of forming an agreement with the Democrats before he decided to accept the relationship with President Trump.

The former candidate now says he will actively campaign with President Trump as the republican party begins promoting the support of other well known Democrats.  It is an interesting discussion, worthy of the time you might invest to understand the details of the RFK Jr dynamic.  WATCH:

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Deeper Thoughts on RFK Jr Endorsement of President Donald Trump


Posted originally on the CTH on August 25, 2024 | Sundance

RFK JR delivered a short speech in Arizona, highlighting why it was both challenging and important for him to drop out of the race and support President Donald Trump.   The people closest to RFK Jr., are also impacted by his decision, and they have shared their opinion about it.

First, here is the transcript of the speech that RFK Jr gave to the enthusiastic audience.

[Transcript] – Thank you, President Trump. A few hours after the assassination attempt at Butler, I got a call from a safe food advocate named Calley Means, who’s been fighting for many years to try to end the corruption at the CDC, FDA, and USDA.

These institutions—these regulatory agencies—are actually run by the big food processing companies, the big ag, and the chemical companies that they’re supposed to regulate.

He said to me that he’d been advising me for many years and on my campaign. That night, he told me that he was also advising President Trump and asked if I would talk to President Trump. I said, “Of course.”

A few minutes later, I got a call from the President, and we talked. We had a very good conversation. Then he invited me to come see him the next day. I went to Minneapolis and saw him. We met again a couple of weeks later in Florida.

We talked not about the things that separate us—because we don’t agree on everything—but about the values and the issues that bind us together. One of the issues he talked about was having safe food and ending the chronic disease epidemic.

Our children are now the unhealthiest, sickest children in the world. Don’t you want healthy children? Don’t you want the chemicals out of our food? Don’t you want the regulatory agencies to be free from corporate corruption?

That’s what President Trump told me he wanted. He also told me that he wanted to end the grip of the neocons on U.S. foreign policy.

He said he didn’t want any more $200 billion wars in Ukraine—that we could use that money back here in the United States. The best way to build a safe America is to rebuild our industrial base and the middle class in this country.

Don’t you want a President who’s going to get us out of wars and rebuild the middle class in this country?

He told me that he wanted to end censorship because the whole basis of American democracy is the free flow of information. We know that a government that can silence its opponents has a license for any atrocity.

Can you think of any time in history when the people who were censoring were the good guys? They’re always the bad guys because it’s always the first step down that slippery slope to totalitarianism.

Don’t you want a President who’s going to protect America’s freedoms and protect us against totalitarianism? I want to ask you again: don’t you want a safe environment for your children?

Don’t you want to know that the food you’re feeding them is not filled with chemicals that are going to give them cancer and chronic disease?

Don’t you want a President who’s going to make America healthy again?

Thank you all very, very much. God bless you, and God bless America.” [End Transcript]

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Nicole Shanahan, RFK JR’s vice-presidential nominee running mate, then shared the following message via her Twitter Account:

Taking some time with family this weekend to love on them for their unwavering support these past few months, but I wanted to take a minute to jump on here and share some of my thoughts. Like millions of others, I watched Bobby’s speech yesterday, followed by the rally where he stood with President Trump. I was moved to tears.

I remain optimistic and vigilant that the partnership made will be honored, and that lasting reforms in government credibility and competency will be built through this coalition. I’m also thinking about all the incredible Team Kennedy volunteers and supporters who poured their hearts and souls into this movement—I am with you—your dedication, your hard work, sweat, and tears lifted up the most impactful third-party campaign of this generation, and is giving birth to a renewed nation.

This is just the beginning. The future of our country now rests in the hands of the American people, who must choose between freedom or control, health or poverty, peace or war, unity or division. The choice is ours—let’s choose wisely.” [END]

Robert F Kennedy Jr’s wife, Cheryl Hines, released the following message – also Via Twitter:

“The decision has been made to suspend my husband’s, Robert Kennedy Jr.’s, presidency and I’d like to extend a sincere, deeply heartfelt thank you to every person who has worked so tirelessly and lovingly on his campaign. They have accomplished feats that were said to be impossible. They have gathered over a million signatures, more than any candidate in history, and have achieved ballot access across the country despite the roadblocks and lawsuits that have been brought against them for the sole purpose of keeping Bobby off of the ballots so no one would even have the opportunity to vote for him.

I deeply respect the decision Bobby made to run on the principle of unity. Over the last year and a half, I have met some extraordinary people from all parties — Democrats, Republicans, and Independents. It’s been my experience that the vast majority of all parties are truly good people who want the best for our country and for each other. It has been an eye-opening, transformative, and endearing journey.” [END]

To say the larger MAGA movement is gleeful, happy and optimistic – as noticeable via all social media platforms, would be an understatement.  I have never seen the self-identifying MAGA community this excited about an event in politics in a long time – if ever.   Factually, I had no idea that RFK Jr was such an incredible hero to the average Donald Trump supporter. Isaiah 2:22

One image shared via the Musk platform included a man with his two children at the Glendale, AZ rally:

In the midst of President Trump speaking, I was moved by this man with his children He stood the entire time, at the back of the stadium, holding their little hands as he held on to the words of the President It was moving to watch. We have much to fight the country wreckers for.” [SOURCE]

The captured picture is indeed a powerful image in many ways.

The image gave me pause as I thought about the age of the children represented, the distance we have traveled in their lifetime and the possibilities of their father’s intent.

My thoughts about Robert F Kennedy Jr and the world of politics in general shifted upon review.

Do you remember that moment in saving private Ryan, when Captain John Miller looks at Private James Francis Ryan and says, “Earn this.”?

Yeah….

The incredible MAGA patriots of this movement have sacrificed and suffered greatly. We have been stabbed in the back, tormented, ridiculed, called every name in the Alinsky book, and had the full weight of a weaponized federal government targeting us relentlessly.

From our door to door efforts in a very cold Massachusetts 2009, where our team worked against all odds for Scott Brown; to the victory achieved by a united Tea Party in 2010; to the insurmountable effort on behalf of David Brat to expel Eric Cantor and stop the Gang of Eight amnesty program; to the targeting of our simple patriotic groups by the IRS and Main Justice; to the late night muddy fields in Virginia 2016; through every manipulative and Machiavellian hurdle from the professional GOPe and their insufferable alignment with Democrats to weaponize ballots in 2020, while threatening us with arrest for not taking their poison shots…. we have fought, scratched, clawed and taken ground away from a vile DC system supported by a corrupt media apparatus – to expand The Great Awakening!

Trust was given, repeatedly, and destroyed with scorn and spit upon our faces from both Democrats and Republicans; but we kept fighting because our Republic is worth saving.

We used to believe that when we faced actual tyranny, the full weight of We The People would join in commonality and unite against our oppressors. Then came COVID-19, lockdowns, control and tyrannical vaccine mandates from government.

Now, in the technologically controlled communication era, we realize that tyranny in modern manifest turns people against one another, making many glad -even ecstatic- to witness the pain of those they have learned to hate.

Yet here we are again, seemingly facing another inflection point, where the battered and bruised faces I see beside me are willing to charge again into this breach, with the spark of patriotism still alive – protected like a cherished ember. Dear Lord, hear my prayers.

The burden to deserve our allegiance should not be carried by my brothers and sisters in that Glendale audience. That burden should rest squarely on the shoulders of any person who says they have arrived to help.

Deserve THAT Bobby!

The withdrawal from the “Ten battleground states” is a good start.  I will be watching closely to see if each state is actually changed.

And, my joyful friends, I urge you to temper your perspective, steel your spine, steady your gaze and accept that if RFK Jr is really here to help, Kennedy will assist our MAGA movement by putting his election lawyers to work in key precincts that need to be watched like a hawk, and help challenge ballot audit trails when needed.

Personally, my trust account is long overdrawn.   Psalm 118:8 !!

RFK Jr needs to prove himself!

Hearts of Oak: The Week According To . . . Lembit Öpik


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: Aug 24, 2024 at 03:00 pm EST

President Trump MAGA Rally With Special Guest – Glendale, Arizona – 7:00pm ET Livestream


Posted originally on the CTH on August 23, 2024 | Sundance

 

President Trump will be holding a MAGA rally in Glendale, Arizona today with a “special guest.”  Many people anticipate RFK Jr will endorse President Trump at this rally.  The anticipated start time is 7:00pm ET with event speakers before.  Livestream links below:

RSBN Rumble Livestream – RSBN YouTube Livestream

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LIVE: President Donald J. Trump Holds a Rally in Glendale, AZ – 8/23/24

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President Trump MAGA Rally – Las Vegas, Nevada – 3:00pm ET Livestream


Posted originally on the CTH on August 23, 2024 | Sundance 

President Donald J. Trump will deliver remarks on the policy proposal for “No Tax on Tips” in Las Vegas, Nevada at 3:00 pm ET.  Livestream links below.

RSBN YouTube Livestream – RSBN Rumble Livestream – Trump Campaign Rumble Livestream

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Jackson: The #1 Thing The Trump Campaign And MAGA Needs To Do Is To Be Seen With Black Entrepreneurs


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: Aug 17, 2024 at 02:00 pm EST