War is the Greatest Threat to or Future


Posted originally on Sep 27, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

2024_09_25_20_50_58_Jamie_Dimon_says_an_evil_axis_of_countries_threatening_war_is_the_biggest_risk

QUESTION: It is becoming obvious Jamie Dimon seems to be following you. Whatever you say, he says a few days later. He has come out and said that the greatest threat is “not inflation, a recession, or AI taking over humanity; rather, it’s rising geopolitical tensions that have already flared up into armed conflicts around the world.” He and you are the only people sounding that alarm. At Davos, he even said Trump was right about the border and about NATO. Do you guys have coffee together?

JG

JFK on War

ANSWER: I would be glad to have coffee with Jamie. No, I do not speak to him. He is a pretty smart guy who can see the events himself. Who tunes into Socrates? I am never at liberty to say. I’m not the CEO of Telegram. Confidentiality is our motto. They tried that with me. It didn’t work.

Senate Homeland Security and Govt Affairs Committee Releases Interim Report on Butler Assassination Attempt of President Trump


Posted originally on the CTH on September 25, 2024 | Sundance 

The Senate Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee (SHSGAC) wants everyone to know that the Secret Service really made a lot of mistakes in Butler, Pennsylvania, leading to the attempted assassination of President Trump.

Multiple systemic failures of U.S. Secret Service protocols took place.  Ultimately, mistakes were made.

[READ REPORT HERE]

The Committee finds that USSS failures in planning, communications, security, and allocation of resources for the July 13, 2024 Butler rally were foreseeable, preventable, and directly related to the events resulting in the assassination attempt that day,” the committee reported.

“The Committee also finds that siloed communications and coordination problems between federal, state, and local law enforcement officials remain unaddressed and were a contributing factor to the failures at the July 13 Butler rally,” it added. ~ John Solomon

The Senate report comes on the heels of the Director of National Intelligence, Avril Haines, telling President Trump that U.S. intelligence has identified Iran as the most likely group attempting to organize death threats and activities against him.

Zelensky at the UN – No Peace Talks Just Conquer Russia


Video Zelensky’s Victory Plan is World War III. He wants unrestricted access to long-range missiles and to attack Russia on a major scale. He is telling everyone that peace talks are out of the question. This is the time to destroy Russia. Everything he says has been just a lie. There were peace negotiations, and both sides were ready to sign. His Victory Plan depends entirely on the West handing him long-range missiles.

Ukraine_Hryvnia Y Array 5 17 24

If Putin does not respond forcefully, he will be overthrown, and the Russian Neocons will seize control, and our computer shows a flatline on Ukraine until 2027. It will be wiped out. I have never seen this pattern show up in any country in our modern era.

Zelenskyy Johnson

Borris Johnson flew to Kiev and told Zelensky he was NOT ALLOWED to have peace with Russia. This has been about creating World War III so they can default on all debts, institute the new central bank digital currency, impose Biometric ID, and restrict travel worldwide.

Merkel_Minsk_Buy_Time_to Prepare for wart

Ukraine signed the Minsk Agreement. The Donbas were to be allowed to hold their elections and separate from Ukraine. It was to split according to ethnic lines, the same way Yugoslavia broke up. The Neocons wanted war, and the Donbas were not to be allowed to split, so they lied and negotiated a treaty to only allow Ukraine time to build an army and then refused to honor the treaty.

Yogoslavia_map_of_breakup

These people will take us into World War III no matter what. Zelensky is just an actor, and what he is doing is a crime against all humanity. How many millions will die for what he is proposing?

Here is the Neocon Lyndsey Grachm. He told the truth. This is not about democracy, the sovereignty of Ukraine, or the Ukrainian people. This is about a huge gas field under Crimea that he admits is $10 to $12 trillion, and they do not want Russia and China to get their hand on it.

Here is the Neocon Lyndsey Grachm. He told the truth. This is not about democracy, the sovereignty of Ukraine, or the Ukrainian people. This is about a huge gas field under Crimea that he admits is $10 to $12 trillion, and they do not want Russia and China to get their hand on it.

Lyndsey could care less if any Ukrainian is still alive when this is done. His personal hatred of Russians is famous.

Welcome to the Neocon World of Authoritarianism!

Consumer Confidence – Biggest Crash Since 2021


Posted originally on Sep 24, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

ECM Wave 2020 2028 Pi

COMMENT: Marty, it is amazing that the world is not focusing on your model. Consumer confidence in the US took a nose dive, which was the largest decline in more than three years. The ECM turns, and central backs began to cut rates within weeks, and you explained that recessions are born when people lose confidence in the future. Well, everything you have taught us is always correct. I do not know what it will take to wake up. The WSJ, FT, and every business publication should be reporting on your forecasts. It appears they are just part of the fake news.

Keep up the fantastic work.

BB

2024_09_24_21_03_10_Consumer_confidence_fell_more_than_expected_this_month

REPLY: I am not entirely sure why the WSJ and the FT, among others, will not discuss the ECM. They only preach the traditional Keynesian Economics that is still taught in universities, maintaining that the business cycle is not definitive. Thus, it is random, so it can be manipulated under Keynes to eliminate recessions and depressions. That was the same storyline I was taught in school back in the ’60s.

NewYorker Cover

Other than Nick Palmgarten at the New Yorker, who called the ECM the Secret Cycle, no major media has ever wanted to discuss that there is a definitive aspect to the business cycle. That goes against all the Ivy League universities. I suppose they do not want to rock the boat. I had a discussion about this model with Paul Volcker back in 1999. Paul agreed the business cycle was about 8 years. He had even put out his book entitled Rediscovery of the Business Cycle.

Burns Arthur

Anyone who has had real live experience has conceded there is a definitive business cycle. Arthur Burns was Fed Chairman when Bretton Woods collapsed. He, too, concluded that the business cycle always won.

Milton Friedman

Milton Frieman came to listen to one of my lectures in Chicago. Milton said I was doing what he had only dreamed about. He had written that a floating exchange rate like we have today would emerge back in 1953 – 18 years before it took place in 1971. Milton understood the global interconnections, and that is why he came to listen to me.

CALLMONY MA

I tried the BS random walks theory, which seems to be created by people who cannot predict anything. Even Keynes’ whole theory does not hold up. The market has NEVER peaked with the same level of interest rates twice because it is NOT some stupid one-dimensional relationship. I warned the ECB that going to negative interest rates would fail. If there is NO CONFIDENCE in the future, people will not spend – PERIOD!!!

With the prospect of wars everywhere, Kamala promised to change the filibuster rules so she can get Abortion through to kill unlimited amounts of babies, creating deep divisions and then taxing UNREALIZED gains that our computer warns would result in the biggest 2-year crash of the Great Depression levels, with such uncertainty, we are headed into a recession into 2028.

Crash Burn Plane

It’s hopeless. We have to crash and burn before anyone dares consider any new possibility.

Categories:ECONOMICS

BLOG ALERTS

Envelop Subscribe to alerts for each new postEmail *

RELATED POSTS
Looking in the Window from the Outside

Be Careful of Research Attributing Everything to a President

SEPTEMBER 24, 2024

poverty

Supplemental Poverty Measure on the Rise

SEPTEMBER 19, 2024

Recession Global

Forecasting Recessions

SEPTEMBER 10, 2024

JobsReportJuly2024

How to Read the July Jobs Report

SEPTEMBER 9, 2024

Bank of Canada building

Will Rate Cuts Help Canada?

SEPTEMBER 5, 2024

BLOG CATEGORIES
PROMOTIONS

 

Market Talk

 

Models

 

Events

 

Socrates

BLOG ARCHIVES

Trump Assassin Was Registered on DHS/FBI Watch List, but “Fell Through the Cracks”


Posted originally on the CTH on September 24, 2024 | Sundance 

We are the non-pretending audience that doesn’t need to have the points of continual similarity pointed out.  However, there is something rather remarkable about those in Washington DC who never seem to be able to connect the same proverbial dots.

In the latest development of attempted President Trump assassin Ryan Routh, the Dept of Homeland Security and FBI are now admitting that Routh was on a watch list of Americans who traveled to fight with Ukraine.  The people on the watch list were supposed to be scrutinized and tracked when they reentered the USA.  However, Ryan Routh, “fell through the cracks,” thereby giving him space and opportunity to carry out his long-planned assassination attempt against President Trump.

The revelation itself is not a surprise.  There is a consistent pattern of names registered with the FBI as potential threats to the homeland who “fall through the cracks,” including the Tsarnaev brothers (Boston Marathon), Tashfeen Malik (San Bernardino terrorists) and Omar Mateen (Pulse nightclub).  It is always the crack fallers who seemingly end up carrying out their endeavors.

It’s likely the only reason DHS and the FBI are admitting to the almost fatal “mistake,” is because there is a document trail for Ryan Routh which will come to light as an outcome of DC’s “assassination review task force.”  After all, Ryan Routh met with “someone” in Washington DC, when he was there advocating for intervention.

Someone was likely to discover that Routh was on a list of people supposed to be monitored, so DHS/FBI release the information to cloud any non-pretending suspicion upon them.

WASHINGTON DC – […] The Department of Homeland Security in 2022 launched an interagency effort to scrutinize Americans returning from Ukraine’s war zone. The previously unreported effort aimed to identify Americans who might turn violent upon their return, according to five people familiar with the plans.

Officials across DHS and the FBI began attempting to identify Americans in talks with Ukrainian authorities and analyzing intelligence about Americans headed home from the country. They also reviewed social media accounts for violent rhetoric. There is no evidence that Americans who fought with Ukraine’s military — which the U.S. government supports — have engaged in political violence upon their return. Many have died there fighting Russian invaders.

But Ryan Routh, the suspect who investigators say could have been waiting for the former president with a semi-automatic rifle for more than 11 hours near Trump’s golf course in West Palm Beach, Florida, fell through the cracks.

One DHS official reportedly knew Routh traveled to Ukraine, though there’s no indication that the FBI ever investigated him upon his return and during his years-long and at times bombastic campaign to drum up support for Kyiv. It’s also unclear if federal law enforcement was aware he wrote a self-published book that appeared to call for Trump’s assassination. And on Sept. 15, he allegedly got within 500 yards of the former president before the Secret Service spotted him and opened fire. (read more)

As you take off your shoes and undergo extensive scrutiny as a result of the Patriot Act, the subsequently formed DHS and the TSA, it’s worth remembering, as initially sold, the creation of the DHS was specifically intended to stop domestic terror threats, ie. EXACTLY the activity that Ryan Routh was engaged in.

The justification to create the DHS and subsequent intrusive activity of the United States security apparatus, was to stop unstable and sketchy people from carrying out violence internally within the homeland.   However, as many voices warned at the time, the mission of the agencies created by The Patriot Act, actualized with DHS and FBI conducting surveillance of parents at school board meetings, monitoring white men in the U.S. military, tracking pastors, preachers and Christian congregations, and registering law-abiding gun owners while the sketchy and unstable simply run amok.

Your sneakers and belt are a threat.  Ryan Wesley Routh, eh notsomuch.

Sooner or later historians will admit, our current result is a feature, not a flaw, of the Patriot Act intent.

…”Top Men”

Irony – High Profile Florida Judge Gets Randomly Assigned DOJ Case Against Trump Assassin


Posted originally on the CTH on September 24, 2024 | Sundance

Sometimes divine serendipity just makes you smile.

FLORIDA – The federal judge who presided over — and threw out — the criminal classified documents case the Justice Department brought against Donald Trump is now set to oversee the case into the latest apparent assassination attempt against the former president.

U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon — a Trump appointee — was randomly assigned the attempted assassination case Tuesday after a grand jury in Miami returned a five-count indictment against Ryan Routh in connection with the Sept. 15 incident at the Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, Florida.

The indictment charges Routh with attempted assassination of a presidential candidate, possessing a firearm in furtherance of a violent crime and assault on a federal officer, as well as two charges he already faced: being a felon in possession of a firearm and possessing a firearm with an obliterated serial number. (more)

Are These the End Times?


Posted originally on Sep 23, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

Most people have no idea that the idea of Armageddon – the End Times- is not merely just in the Bible and confined to Christianity. You have the Orthodox Jews also assuming this is the time that their Messiah will arrive. Then there is Islam, which, according to Islamic tradition, Jesus’ return as a Messenger of Islam will be preceded by wars led by the Mahdi (the rightly guided one) and by the appearance of the Dajjal (the Antichrist).

Dome of the Rock Drawing

There is certainly a religious component to the turmoil both in Ukraine, where Zelensky is outlawing Orthodox Christianity, and in the Middle East, over the Dome of the Rock. Many want to see the Dome of the Rock destroyed, assuming this will bring the Second Coming. Whatever you believe, the question is clear: destroy the Dome of the Rock, and there will certainly be a major war. Will that be the Second Coming if deliberately instigated?

Dome of the Rock Inside

I have been there. This is the rock where the Jews say Abraham brought his son to be sacrificed. This is the same rock from which Mohamed ascended to heaven in Islam. This does not leave any room for any compromise on this issue.

1844 Phila Nativism Riot Againt Irish
No Popery Dublin May 30 1844

There is no question that the world is becoming deeply divided. This is turning into not just a war for power, but many see this as a religious war. There is a cycle to everything, including religion. Upheavals involving religion have been documented even back into ancient Egyptian times. Just in 1844, there were violent clashes and gun battles on the streets of Philadelphia between Protestants who resented Irish Catholics coming in during economic hard times and taking local jobs. Such events have been dramatic when they coincide with economic decline as we are headed into 2028.

Akhenaten 1351 1365BC

Akhenaten (Achencres), who ruled in Egypt around 1350BC, instigated a political and religious revolution, moving the capital to a new city at a site known today as Amarna and attempting to change the religion of Egypt to sole worship of the sun-disk or Aten. Akhetaten instituted a significant shift in Egyptian artistic styles alongside a campaign of intolerance towards the traditional gods and a new emphasis on a state monolatristic tradition focused on the god Aten, the Sun disk. He launched a campaign destroying many temples and monuments. This was the first real iconoclastic movement that would later engulf Christianity during the 8th century AD.

Pope Condemms Zelensky

We know that his reign was chaotic, attempting to change the religious culture of any society as Zelensky is doing to the Russians in the Donbas. Even the Pope has come out against Zelensky. Religious upheavals have littered the historical landscape for millenniums. We also know that Akhenaten’s family was killed except for one daughter who fled perhaps to Scotland. Three short-lived Pharaohs, including Tutankhamun, succeeded him.

Pontius Pillate AE

Of course, we have the rise of Christianity. While Nero (54-68AD) blamed the Christians for setting the Great Fire of 64AD, that is at least understandable since many were blaming him, and he needed a scapegoat. It was not really a persecution due to their religion. It is just the Christians refused to respect the religion of anyone else, which made them outsiders and radicals.

Elagabalus AV AR Stone of Emesa

We also know that the short-lived Roman Emperor Elagabalus (218-222AD) attempted to introduce his religion, claiming that this black meteor fell from God to symbolize they were the chosen people. He issued coins showing the Stone of Messa (Syria) being presented to the people of Rome carried around on a chariot.

Stone of Emesa Church

His reign was notorious for religious fanaticism, cruelty, bloodshed, and excesses of every description, and there was general satisfaction when, on March 6th, 222, Elagabalus and his mother, Julia Soaemias, were murdered in the praetorian camp. Their bodies were dragged through the streets of Rome and thrown into the Tiber. The Romans at least respectfully returned the black Stone to Emesa to where he had stood.

Sol_Invictus_Halo

The Roman Emperor Aurelian (270-275AD) also introduced the Eastern sun god Sol into the Roman religion. This took hold, for he was presented as invincible, for he rose every day doing battle with the moon every night. The symbols of the halo and even his feast day, December 25th, were adopted into Christianity.

Christian Persecution

The persecution of Christians during the late 3rd century AD under Diocletian (284-305AD) was because of all the turmoil and barbarian invasions. They blamed the Christians for making the gods angry by refusing to honor them when there would be national prayers to save the empire.

Constantine becomes Christian 312AD

You then have Constantine the Great (309-337AD) declared Christianity the state religion in 312AD. Nearly 300 years later we have the rise of Islam. There were plenty of religious upheavals within that period, including the Iconoclastic upheaval.

Justinian Al Malek

One notable change within the Byzantine Empire came in 695AD when Justinian II’s (685-695AD) government added a full-face image of Christ on the obverse of imperial gold coins. The change caused the Caliph Abd al-Malik (661-750AD) to stop the use of Byzantine coinage introducing a purely Islamic coinage with lettering only.

Shifts in Christianity

Indeed, the next cycle in religious upheaval is due by 2031. We most certainly live in interesting times and the LEFT is anti-religious. Under Communism, they converted churches to museum of activism.

Marx Museum Aetheists

Are the Democrats just Marxists and are indeed anti-religious?

I suppose time will tell.

Confrontation – Japan shoots at Russian Planes


Posted originally on Sep 23, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

2024_09_23_19_52_43_Japan_fires_at_Russian_jets_violating_its_airspace_as_world_war_fears_explode

Chief Cabinet Secretary Hayashi held an emergency press conference reporting a confrontation between Russian planes that violated Japanese airspace north of Rebun Island in Hokkaido several times. The Cycle of Civil War in Korea turns up in 2025 and our computer is pointing to an escalation of conflicts starting in 2025 and we even see a Panic Cycle in 2025 in Japan.

MA War Cycle 2011 WEC

At the 2011 World Economic Conference 2011, I stood up and warned that our computer and its cycle of war would turn up in 2014. In 2013, I even warned that the computer had targeted Ukraine. They are coming out with a sequel to the movie on me titled The Forecaster. The trailer should be out soon. They are showing all the forecasts that have been made since they were there filming in 2011. They want to show how this computer has laid out the future with incredible accuracy. They even asked me how it has been to live through the forecasts the computer has made.

At this WEC in November, it may be the last time people can physically attend. They are planning on introducing Digital IDs to restrict travel. Those in power realize it is slipping away. We will be covering the prospect of war now on all four fronts. Biden has just announced he is sending more troops to the Middle East after Israel has been bombing Lebanon.

We certainly live in interesting times!

We will let you know when this report is finished

Creating_World_War_III WEC 2024

The Conflict US UK vs EU on War


Posted originally on Sep 23, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

9 19 24_Zelensky_says_no_UK_US_go_ahead_to_use_long_range_missiles

The United States and Britain have NOT authorized Ukraine to use long-range missiles on targets inside Russia after the US Pentagon clipped the wings of Bliken and Silivan. At the meeting between Biden and Stamer, who had his little red bag with all the selected targets in Russia the Brits wanted to hit, you could see how angry Biden was when asked about Putin. The Pentagon shut down Blinken’s quest for war. Fearing an escalation of hostilities, it was the US Military/Department of Defense that overruled Biden, who was incompetent to lead the nation, compelling the Pentagon to step in to block the Neocons.

Video PlIt took the military to stage a SOFT coup and shut down Biden and his Neocons from taking us into World War III. This is totally insane, and Blinken and Sulivan should be dragged out of the White House and put on trial for treason using the power of the United States for personal gain and vengeance, as well as for conspiring to commit crimes against humanity.

Zelensky was forced to admit the US and UK shut down his “Victory Plan” to destroy Russia, for it is clear that this pretend military leader and head of state just does what the American Neocons tell him. His experience is confined to running around half-naked in high heels. He is an absolute disgrace to Ukraine, and the entire world, and Ukraine is being sacrificed on the Neocon altar of world domination. Zelensky commented that he hoped US leader Joe Biden would change his mind. This deranged, greedy leader of Ukraine brags that when he defeats Russia, Ukraine will be the biggest investment opportunity in European history. He is counting his billions before the war ever ends.

Then, the EU Parliament issued a non-binding decree requiring European member states to immediately hand over long-range missiles to Zelensky. We have to wonder if there are any political leaders anywhere in the West who are not voting as they are told by the Neocons, including NATO.

Zelensky campaigning for Kamala

Meanwhile, they are flying Zelensky around to the key states with taxpayer money to campaign for Kamala—another clear indication that this election is between World War III and We the People. Zelensky was flown to Pennsylvania on a U.S. Air Force C-17. Kamala is using military assets to fly this high-heeled dancing head of a disgraceful country into a battleground state to undermine Trump, who voted to end that war ASAP.

If they can transform this into a world leader, it’s not hard to see them do the same for Kamala and her word salads.

This is allowing corruption that puts at risk Western Civilization.

9.21.24: LT w/ Hope & Tivon: Dangers of EMF – Protection your body, water, pools, food, plants & DREAM again, PRAY!


Posted originally on Rumble By And We Know on: Sep 21, 2024 at 12:05 pm EST