Polish General and Chief of Staff Andrzejczak Rajmund Tomasz clearly seems to relish the thought of waging war against Russia for the sins of the Communists. He has said that if Russian forces cross the border into Lithuania, within the “first minute,” NATO allies will target all of Russia’s strategic assets within a 300-kilometer radius and launch a major assault of hundreds of missiles to destroy Russia. Andrzejczak boldly declared, “We will strike directly at St. Petersburg.” What is absent is anyone even suggesting peace talks. It is all about war.
Andrzejczak has perhaps revealed why Europe has been supporting Ukraine beyond common sense when the Neocons instructed the Kiev interim government to start this civil war attacking Russia. He actually said:
“Ukraine is buying us a few years. If Russia wins in Ukraine, we’ll have one Russian division in Lviv, one in Brest, and one in Grodno.”
Poland is currently purchasing 800 missiles with a range of up to 560 miles (900 kilometers). What I find shocking is the level of outright propaganda. Andrzejczak seems to be hoping for an excuse to destroy Russia for the sins of the Communist era, proclaiming this will be the “beginning of the total confrontation.” He was joined by the Lithuanian Presidential National Security Advisor Kęstutis Budrys, who has falsely claimed that Russia coming to the aid of the Russians in the Donbas is “imperialist expansionism.” Europe just wants war and takes no consideration whatsoever that they are courting the destruction of their own nations. They all pound their chest and act as if they can destroy Russia and they will never fire even one missile.
Andrzejczak was joined by the Commander of the Lithuanian Army, Raimundas Vaikšnoras, who said that the Baltic states would need to respond immediately without waiting for NATO’s decision under Article 5 on collective defense. Since they have not actually fought in major wars, I suppose their medals on their chests are for just hating Russians and boasting that they do – not for valor.
In October 2023, there was a referendum with four questions, and the voters rejected all four. They were the privatization of state-owned enterprises, an increase in the retirement age, the admission of immigrants under the EU mandatory relocation scheme, and the removal of the barrier with Belarus. The referendum was boycotted by the main opposition parties so the turnout was only 40%. Consequently, the minimum validity threshold of 50% was not reached.
The October 26th turning point was precisely the day that President Duda called for a new Polish parliament to convene after the October 15th elections, one to be led by former (unelected) EU President Donald Tusk. It is not a complete Left turn, more of a veering Left, as he needed to form a coalition in order to form a government. It was Tusk who was also very anti-Russia.
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk has warned Europe is in a “pre-war era”and Ukraine must not be defeated by Russia for the good of the whole continent. He has also made it clear that war was “no longer a concept from the past“, adding: “It’s real and it started over two years ago.”
Poland looks like this government wants war, and the next major turning point will coincide with the Global ECM in 2028. Unfortunately, These Western leaders just want war because the EU is crumbling internally. We are looking at the prospect of war starting in 2025, which happens to be 86 years after Hitler’s invasion of Poland.
The Polish share market peaked with the Economic Confidence Model on the May 20th intraday. This does not bode well for the future. A year-end closing below 81030 for 2024 will be a war of war and a decline into 2026-2027.
Posted originally on Oct 16, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: With all the chaos on the war front, do you see oil ever making new highs?
DD
ANSWER: Just about all the key markets are showing important shifts in trend. Cash crude oil has important overhead resistance at the 8840 level in 2025. Next year is a Panic Cycle. We just have the world’s worst crop of leaders ever. If they actually believe the BS they are spouting, this we are truly looking at World War III. You have Poland threatening to annihilate St Petersburgin Russia. The West has instigated this entire confrontation and you are looking at Europe being reduced to ashes this time and the great monuments will not survive. What is there no leader even interested in peace?
Posted originally on Oct 14, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you previously said the US would find it difficult to actually defend Taiwan. I would greatly appreciate if you could elaborate on that scenario. HJ
ANSWER: If you look at all of the fighter jets that the US could deploy from the F15, F16, F22, and F35s, they have a serious drawback when we look at Taiwan. They generally have a range of 500 to 600 miles with a meaningful payload of weapons. The ONLY US air base that could be used to defend Taiwan is Kadena in Japan’s Okinawa prefecture. That is 450 miles from Taiwan. If China were to invade, an all out war one would expect that the Chinese would rain down missiles on Kadena most likely rendering that base in operable. If the fighters took off, they may not have a base to return to in a serious confrontation.
Yes, the USAF could deploy aerial tankers to extend a fighter’s range by hundreds of miles. However, such tankers are slow and very vulnerable under such conditions. This is why the requirements for the Next Generation stealth fighter has been to extend its range. The USAF at least temporarily paused the this project raising questions about the ability to defend Taiwan. They claimed it was the cost was too high. The Ukraine War has highlighted the rising importance of using unmanned drones perhaps using AI-assisted rather than fighter jets.
The traditional tactics from WWII and the Korean War are giving way to drone technology. These drones could extend the flight path to even 900 miles. Instead of billions of dollars for jets, they can use drones costing tens of millions, still way over prices to keep the Military Industrial Complex from going on welfare. Drones could then operate from small island airstrips in The Philippines. Now you see why the Philippines has been a concern for China.
What you are more likely to see is the new stealth generation fighters may be support craft for the drones as the support ships for aircraft carriers. They could in theory control the drones as sort of a mother-ship. All of this is being driven by the expectation that war is coming with China.
Posted originally on Oct 11, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: I hear that the F16, introduced in 1978, is obsolete in today’s modern war. Do you have any information on this? Have we entered the day when swords are replaced by guns?
PH
ANSWER: The F-16 is a legendary warplane. You are correct. It was first introduced in 1978. It was a versatile and reliable fighter for decades. However, as fifth-generation aircraft like the F-35 dominate today, the F-16 is nearing the limits of its capabilities despite upgrades that have extended its life.
You are also correct that we are facing a major shift in technology that will be looked back upon by historians drawing the lines between monumental advances in geopolitical power. The days of the F-16 are rapidly coming to an end, and they cannot contend with modern air defense systems. The Air Force plans to keep some F-16s operational until the 2040s, assuming the United States even survives. The F-16 is becoming as obsolete as a sword after the invention of gunpowder. The shifting to newer technologies like drones, directed-energy weapons, hypersonic systems, and laser weapons is essential for keeping pace with evolving global threats.
Constantinople had been impregnable to invaders since it was constructed in 330AD. It finally fell in 1453 AD when the Turks used gunpowder from China and attacked the city with canons. That shift in technology brought down the last vestige of the Roman Empire.
Weapons during the Stone Age were generally made of flint and obsidian. They were rather sharp and made good weapons. Copper was first tried, but it tended to be too soft. Swords appeared made of bronze during the Bronze Age, 3300 to 1200 BC. They were replaced by iron, which appeared during the Early Iron Age (c. 12th century BC). However, iron swords became widespread before the 8th century BC. The first known gun appeared in 1364; by 1380, handguns were common throughout Europe.
This time, we are dealing with another cyclical shift in war technology. The Europeans are out of their mind. I do not know what else to say. They are cheering on war and think they can conquer Russia and gain all the natural resources as wealth. It is only genocide when the opposition defends itself.
On September 20th, 2024, the US Marine Corps achieved a game-changing milestone with the triumphant third test flight of the cutting-edge XQ-58A Valkyrie at Florida’s Eglin Air Force Base. This monumental event means that for the first time ever, the Department of Defense has successfully managed an aerial vehicle using offboard expeditionary control methods. In other words, the XQ-58A Valkyrie is an unmanned and hyper-autonomous aircraft.
The next great leap is the goal of creating autonomous robot warriors that make decisions on their own. These warriors could be used to protect governments during revolutions. They would not hesitate to kill civil protestors.
In 80AD, Vespasian’s son Titus opened the Colosseum. We are now approaching 1947 years from its opening in 2027. That is 6.28 times 309.6 years, which is also really twice 3.14 and does not bode well for Europe. Remember the names of world leaders from Ursula Gertrud von der Leyen, Keir Starmer, Giorgia Meloni, Olaf Scholz, President Emmanuel Macron, and the rest of the crew. This illustrious group history will recall as the destroyers of Western culture.
Posted originally on Oct 9, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
North Korea has threatened to use nuclear weapons if the US threatens its sovereignty. South Korea does not possess nuclear weapons but is protected by the United States, with thousands of troops stationed in the country since the end of the Korean War in 1953. Our model on Korea shows that the 72-year Revolutionary Cycyle will turn up in 2025. Our American Neocons are going absolutely crazy, threatening the entire world and taking us into World War III, which has been their dream probably from childhood.
A clear warning sign is that North Korea is removing from their Constitution all references to reconciliation with the South. The 11th session of the 14th Supreme People’s Assembly (SPA) is expected to address these revisions, nine months after North Korean leader Kim Jong-un redefined inter-Korean relations as being between “two hostile states” and vowed to no longer consider South Korea a partner for reconciliation and unification. That says it all. This is outright eventual war.
The ECM on North Korea turned up as of January 2023. This coincided with the American Neocons pushing against China deliberately. In the East Asia Forum, dated January 24th, 2023, they wrote, “Tensions between China and the United States and its allies have reached heights unprecedented since US President Richard Nixon’s visit to China in 1972.”Indeed, this is when Blinken began turning the screws on China.
Of course, Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan in August 2022 set off the rising tensions in the region. It just seems as if these people grew up hating Chinese and Russians because they were Communists, and the fact that Communism collapsed did not alter their lifelong hatred of China and Russia. In truth, they remain guilty of the sins of the previous generation that is long gone. The US dollar is poised to rally Gainat the won in 2025. So here we have yet another hot spot to pay close attention to.
Posted originally on the CTH on June 30, 2024 | Sundance
United States military bases in Italy, Germany, Bulgaria and Romania have been put on high alert with a potential terrorist related threat event eminent. Given the nature of domestic USA politics, in combination with the catastrophic results about to come from France, the timing of some form of Intelligence Community (IC) event would make sense.
The IC has two wings, DHS (domestically) and CIA (internationally). Distracting people away from the problems the IC faces within the Joe Biden collapse would be a paramount objective this upcoming week.
DHS goals – domestically (borders etc) – could be tripped up by Biden trouble, and CIA goals – internationally (Ukraine etc) – could be tripped up by Biden trouble.
If there was a created crisis (ie. false flag) in the EU, whatever it is would likely involve framing something to either: (a) give the appearance of Russia triggering the event; or (b) create something that draws out a response from Russia.
EUROPE – Several U.S. military bases across Europe were put on a heightened state of alert over the weekend, with the level of force protection raised to its second-highest state amid concerns that a terrorist attack could target U.S. military personnel or facilities, according to two U.S. officials.
The bases, including the U.S. Army garrison in Stuttgart, Germany where U.S. European Command is headquartered, raised their alert level to Force Protection Condition “Charlie” on Sunday, the officials said.
That status “applies when an incident occurs or intelligence is received indicating some form of terrorist action or targeting against personnel or facilities is likely,” according to the U.S. Army.
One of the U.S. officials, who is stationed at a base in Europe, told CNN they haven’t seen this threat level “in at least 10 years,” and said it usually means the military has received an “active-reliable threat.”
Asked about the shift, a spokesperson for U.S. European Command, Cdr. Dan Day, declined to comment on specific force protection levels. But he told CNN that USEUCOM is “constantly assessing a variety of factors that play into the safety of U.S. military community abroad. As part of that effort, we often times take additional steps to ensure the safety of our service members. For operational security reasons we will not get into specific measures, but we remain vigilant.” (read more)
Posted originally on Jun 25, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
North Korea’s qualms with its southern neighbor have long been a petty battle. North Korea floated 1,000 balloons filled with trash and fecal matter to South Korea last month. What began as a disrespectful practical joke could turn into a false flag for war. The South Korean Unification Ministry has reported that the balloons were filled with parasites, which could be considered an act of biowarfare.
This is not to say that South Korea will declare war or consider this an act of war. We are on the brink of the next global conflict and simply any threat to the allies of the West could be used as the false flag to justify war. South Korea is a “longstanding partner” of NATO, but not a member. South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol was the first South Korean president to begin attending NATO summits as it moves closer to potentially joining the alliance.
NATO and South Korea founded the Individually Tailored Partnership Programme last year to collaborate on cybersecurity and disbarment efforts. North Korea’s recent alliance with Russia is of great concern to NATO and its presence is now felt in the Indo-Pacific region.
Did North Korea intentionally send parasites in those balloons? No one knows, but scientists are studying the fecal matter to understand disease prevalence in the hermit kingdom. Defectors from North Korea are commonly treated for parasites, and it is well-known that the citizens are facing a famine and are forced to forage for whatever food they can find. Nothing happens in North Korea with the approval of Kim Jong-Un. Was this a case of pettiness or an attempt to show the South that it could penetrate their airspace? It would not matter for the Neocons could easily declare it was an act of biological warfare to claim the enemy had fired the first shot.
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