Warmonger Think Tanks


Posted originally on Oct 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

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The latest from the Neocon Fake News, ISW (Institute for the Study of War) started by Victoria Nuland’s sister-in-law, is always the same. Russia is weak; it is about to collapse, but at the same time, they are about to attack NATO, so we should invade now. The new line is “ISW specialists suggest Moscow is now likely conducting ‘coordinated preparatory actions as part of a phase aimed at creating physical and psychological conditions’ for possible military emergencies.” 

When I examine the sources promoting World War III, it comes down to three, and none is trustworthy, to say the least. All three put out “opinion” based analysis that is by no means objective.

A Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics (SITE) report prepared for the EU finance ministers argued that Russia’s economy is “only superficially resilient” and that underlying imbalances and structural weaknesses make continued large-scale war spending unsustainable.

Then there is Victoria Nuland’s family venture, the ISW.

Analysts and institutions associated with the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) have noted that weak growth, dwindling reserves, and the strain of sanctions give leverage to Russia’s opponents.

The think tank Bruegel claims its mission is to improve the quality of economic policy with open and fact-based research, analysis, and debate. Bruegel’s membership includes EU Member State governments, international corporations, and institutions. Brugel has argued that Russia’s economic model is “no longer delivering,” citing rising costs of sanctions evasion, loss of export markets, and labor constraints.

Russian Unemployment Y Combined 10 4 25

Everything these pretend think tanks put out is so one-sided, and it is clearly meant to promote war. Why? This is simply about conquest at this point to strip mine Russia to resurrect and save the crumbling EU. The ISW are just warmongers, and what will they do without Russia to hate? When we look at the economic data, Unemployment has declined for 26 years during Putin’s Administration.

McCain Hillary

They will never tell the truth because the attempted regime change of Russia that I was asked to fund and refused back in 1998, will NEVER be investigated because it would expose Hillary and why she even started RussiaGate. It was James Comey who kept me in prison on civil contempt for 7 years with no charges whatsoever. He is the one at the FBI to whom John McCain handed Hillary’s fake dossier to start Russiagate. The people in the deep state will NEVER allow anything to rise to the top, fearing that if they ever did investigate my case, it might expose this whole drive for WWIII and prevent it.

Russia GDP Array Combined 10 7 25

Let’s look at the GDP. This clearly indicates that 2025 is a turning point, and we then observe a sharp rise into 2027, accompanied by very high volatility. This is likely a reflection of a war economy.

Russian Ruble y 10 7 25
Russia Ruble Y Array 10 7 25

When we turn to the Ruble, we see a Panic Cycle in 2027, and this year is a Directional Change. These fake pretend THINK TANKS who are warmongers through and through, will get their way because the press always takes their BS and tells the world Russia is weak, it is a “paper tiger”, and we can walk in and Putin will fall to his knees and the Russian people will cheer and thank them for saving them.

Trump should send the troops into these Tink Tanks and arrest all of them for treason against humanity.

The Pieces of the Resolution the Democrats DON’T Want You to See


Posted originally on Oct 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Health care spending has been at the forefront of the Democrats’ tantrum that led to the government shutdown. Where else do they plan to send tax dollars? The continuing resolution to keep the government open for another six months has a few stipulations that should raise questions.

The Corporation for Public Broadcasting (CPB) is to receive nearly half a billion dollars. The initial budget proposal presented by the Democrats included over $1.1 BILLION in taxpayer aid to broadcasting platforms like PBS and NPR.

Congress is on a perpetual vacation funded by the people. The people are demanding that these public servants work, and the Democrats believe that they deserve a $157 million raise for underperforming. All members of Congress are to be appointed personal security and residential security system. They are also requesting $10 million in security to the state office. Yet, the average American is forced to live in or near crime-ridden cities that these people insist are safe. Crime is a byproduct of MAGA rage, apparently, and only the politicians deserve to feel safe in America.

Dead Congressmen deserve a death gratuity, since they’re working equally as hard as their living peers. The temporary resolution includes a $174,000 payout to the families of Raul Grijalva (AZ), Gerald Connolly (VA), and Sylvester Turner (TX).

Here’s a kicker—the neocons are inserting their agenda within this bill and demanding that the US government allot $437 million to the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development. Countless aid has been sent to Ukraine, but the US government cannot operate unless we send another half-billion-dollar package.

Why should Americans be forced to spend on these extremely biased stipulations that do not benefit the people in any way?

Italy at a Standstill Over Gaza Protests


Posted originally on Oct 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

American news outlets are not reporting that Italy has come to a complete standstill over the Gaza protests. Millions of Italians took to the streets after Israel seized the Sumud flotilla. The Italian military was initially guiding the flotilla until it was forced to standby.

Four Italian opposition politicians from the Five Star Movement, Greens, and Left Alliance (AVS) were among those detained, and around 20 of the activists detained by Israel were of Italian origin. Dock workers in Genoa, Naples, Livorno, Ancona, and other ports will not touch any shops bound for Israel. CGIL and USB, the largest unions in Italy, called for a general strike on October 3. The protest spread like a contagion across the nation to over 100 cities.

Public transportation is not available. Flights are grounded. Schools and universities temporarily shut their doors. Hospitals are operating at minimal capacity as workers simply walk out. In Rome alone, over 300,000 people marched from Piazza Vittorio to Porta Maggiore demanding freedom in Gaza, but it is believed at least one million people descended on the nation’s capital overall. Over 100,000 protestors in Bologna blocked the A14 motorway. Another 80,000 men and women marched through the streets of Milan. Organizers stated 50,000 people took to the streets in Turin and another 40,000 in Genoa. This movement spread extremely rapidly with little notice. There were existing grievances against the Italian government, clearly, and Italian authorities are simply outnumbered.

Transport Minister Matteo Salvini responded by warning the organizers will “pay personally” for beginning the massive unrest, adding “if violence prevails, the state will react.” Georgia Meloni mocked the protests, brushing them off as “a long weekend disguised as revolution.” Strikes blocking transportation in Italy are commonplace, but not of this magnitude. “Today, 1 million Italians will be left stranded on trains alone,” Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini told the Mattino Cinque television show.

That’s one expense “long weekend” with early estimates believing the nation lost €143–178 million due to the strike, at the low end. Other estimates, factoring in the 2 million striking workers, blocked transport, lost labor hours, and delayed commerce, put the cost at €600–900 million.

The protests are about more than simply the flotilla or Gaza aid. The working class and youth are leading these protests, disgruntled at the cost-of-living crisis, while the European Union sends endless aid to fund foreign wars. Discontent is growing on a global scale. There is a reason that the American media refuses to air what is happening in Italy—and across the continent of Europe, as similar protests are on the rise.

Trust in US Media Plunges to Record Low


Posted originally on Oct 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Fake News TV

Legacy media exists to promote propaganda and political agendas. The 24/7 365 news cycle acts as a distraction from the topics plaguing society. The revolution will not be televised. Truth must be decoded and extracted from outside sources. Americans have woken up and realized that the mainstream media is an untrustworthy source.

The latest Gallup poll has found that the majority of Americans now distrust the media. Only 28% of respondents have a “great deal” or “fair amount” of trust in newspapers, television, and radio. The figure seems high considering everything that has unfolded since the pandemic.

Around 31% of respondents trusted the media one year ago. Amid COVID in 2020, 40% of respondents held onto hope that the mainstream media was a reliable news source. Seven in 10 Americans reported that they do not have confidence in the mass media. Around 36% reported they have “not very much” confidence, while 34% reported “none at all.”

mediabrainwashing

Gallup noted that Americans had a much higher level of confidence in the media back in the day. Around 70% of US adults trusted TV, radio, and newspapers to deliver reliable information back in the 1970s. That figure plummeted to 53% by 1997 and fell beneath the 50% level in 2004. The latest reading from September 2-16, 2025, indicated the lowest confidence on record.

There is one conservative news outlet in America, and naturally, Republicans have far lower confidence in reporting. MSM confidence among Republicans plummeted to 21% in 2015 and is now at a mere 8%. A little over half (51%) of Democrats continue to trust the media, but this low has not been seen since the 2016 US Presidential Election. Less than half of Independents have trusted legacy media since 2003, with the latest poll showing a record low of 27%.

CNN Fake News Weather 2

Older Democrats are clinging to old beliefs that the legacy media is reporting on behalf of the people. Sixty-nine percent of Democrats over 65 still have confidence in broadcasting, with the figure declining ten points or more with each generation of self-reported Democratic voters. Republicans over 65 also have the highest levels of trust in the media among their peers at 17%, with young Republicans aged 18-29 expressing the second-most favorable view of mass media. In contrast, the next generation of Republicans aged 30-49 have the lowest level of confidence among any demographic at 6%. As the trend indicates, older Independents also express the highest level of confidence among their peers (42%), followed by the youngest Independent voters (29%) aged 18-29.

The days of the Sunday paper are long gone, as are the days of gathering around the TV to watch the nightly news. “Journalism” has been oversaturated by the 24/7 news cycle ,bombarding the public with messaging at every turn. One cannot step outside or interact with society without seeing messaging from the media that is often pushed discreetly. Social media has turned everyone with a phone into an independent reporter with the same video loops and messages playing in a continuous loop. The American people are fatigued by the mockingbird media, and more importantly, by the establishment’s brainwashing onslaught.

The EU No-Confidence Vote on Ursula


Posted originally on Oct 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Ursula Leader of EU

COMMENT #1: Hi Martin,

Macron is totally cornered tonight, and 62% of the French people are now demanding his resignation. With all the panic cycles showing up in multiple markets in 3 weeks only, may God help us if the petit Napoleon doesn’t take us into war with his other European parasite friends to avoid losing power after their failed policies, and humiliation as the most hated president in history. Unbearable for such a narcissistic character.

Best wishes from France.

PH

COMMENT#2: Mr. Armstrong,

Thank you for doing podcasts in Croatia and Serbia. You are being heard. The president, Milorad Dodik, a Bosnian Serb, who is the 8th President of the Republika Srpska, is now publicly saying what you have been warning about: that this war with Russia is because the EU is in trouble. I know if I ask, you cannot confirm or deny. But it appears that you may be advising countries in the Balkans. I certainly hope so. Dodik has publicly stated that the political situation in European countries is deteriorating, and their economies are in recession. Dodik warned that the EU is a trap. “The Balkan countries should not join the EU. It’s a trap. By the time we join the European Union, it will disappear, and it is already disappearing.” 

Thank you so much for your efforts. You are the only person who truly deserves a Peace Prize.

VR

Merz vs Ursual 10 5 25

REPLY: If you are blind, you can still see that once the EU was created, like a small businessman seeks to expand his business, that same human instinct takes place among politicians, but the difference is they constantly seek more and more power directed against the people. Even German Chancellor Friedrich Merz called for “putting sticks in the wheels of Brussels” in order to regain Berlin’s influence. Merz wants to give part of the EU’s powers to national governments. He has stressed that it is necessary to stop Brussels’ interference “in people’s daily lives” in the person of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

“Now we have to put a stick in the wheels of this machine in Brussels,” the German chancellor said, addressing business leaders.

Merz also criticizes von der Leyen for proposals to expand the EU budget, introduce new taxes, and for the protracted negotiations on trade agreements. He has insisted on reviewing the role of Brussels in defense planning. Merz has actually said that the EU has “gone too far” and that this situation “can no longer continue.

Poland has also expressed similar problems with Ursula’s administration of the EU. She has really wiped out the European economy by using insane climate control to the migrant crisis. A mere glance at the GDP of Europe in comparison to that of the United States reveals how it has significantly suppressed economic growth, pushing the EU to the brink of collapse.

EU_GDP Q 5 1 25
US GDP Q 1947 1st Q 2025

This is the official data taken from the Federal Reserve. This is why we even have a NO-CONFIDENCE VOTE on Ursula this week. I was in a meeting in Berlin and had to run to the next meeting in Rome. These climate change policies have led to the cancellation of short-term flights. There was only one direct flight in the morning. I had to rent a private jet to make the next meeting. I have NEVER in over 40 years been compelled to do that.

Milorad Dodik

Since the 1995 Dayton Peace Agreement, Bosnia and Herzegovina has functioned as a decentralized, multiethnic state divided into two entities: the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and Republika Srpska. Ukraine should have been divided along ethnic lines. But NATO and the NEOCONS have been using Ukraine as their sacrifice on their Neocon altar to bring down Russia.

The Balkans can’t look to the future because they are forever hostages to the past. Even the Baltic states face the same issue with Kallas of Estonia, who insists that Russia is too large and must be broken up. The EU hates Dodik because he is pro-Russia.

IBEUUS D Array 10 6 25

This week, the European Parliament is scheduled to hold two no-confidence votes against European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on Thursday, October 9, 2025, at 12:00 PM CEST. These votes follow a joint debate held on Monday, October 6, 2025, at 5:00 PM CEST. What is fascinating is how the computer picks up these events from the economic patterns. He had a Panic Cycle for the 9th – the day of the vote.

The motions have been introduced by two political groups: the anti-leftist “Patriots for Europe” and the left-wing group “The Left.” The Patriots for Europe criticize Ursula von der Leyen’s green policies and response to illegal migration, while The Left condemns the EU’s inaction on Gaza. Both groups also oppose Ursula’s trade policies, particularly a tariff deal with the U.S. and a proposed EU-Mercosur agreement, which they argue harms farmers and the environment.

Most expect the motions will fail and Ursula will maintain the European tyranny. A two-thirds majority is required to pass a no-confidence motion in the European Parliament, and such a majority is not anticipated. Centrist parties, including the European People’s Party (EPP), Socialists and Democrats (S&D), and Renew Europe, are expected to support Ursula to the detriment of Europe. They will ensure that Ursula von der Leyen will retain her position and allow Europe to fulill is destiny.

IBEUUS W Array 10 6 25

Despite the expected outcome, these motions highlight growing political polarization within the European Parliament and reflect broader dissatisfaction with von der Leyen’s leadership. However, the computer does NOT show such clear sailing. This week was to be a Directional Change, and we have a Panic Cycle that is showing up around the world in various markets, especially during the Week of October 27th.

Millions Sign Petition to Dismantle UK Digital ID System


Posted originally on Oct 6, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

DigitalIDStarmerUK

The people of the United Kingdom are fighting back against the government’s plan to roll out a digital ID system. The petition to counter the legislation quickly became the fastest-growing online petition in UK history, with over two million people signing in less than 48 hours. “We demand that the UK Government immediately commits to not introducing a digital ID cards. We think this would be a step towards mass surveillance and digital control, and that no one should be forced to register with a state-controlled ID system. We oppose the creation of any national ID system. ID cards were scrapped in 2010, in our view for good reason.”

Democracy is dead. The government does not care that the people do not want to join this system. “We will introduce a digital ID within this Parliament to help tackle illegal migration, make accessing government services easier, and enable wider efficiencies. We will consult on details soon,” the government said in an official response to the petition.

The government is willing to change laws to pander to the culture of migrants while simultaneously claiming all citizens must lock into the centralized digital platform to curb migration. “We are committed to making people’s everyday lives easier and more secure, to putting more control in their hands (including over their own data), and to driving growth through harnessing digital technology,” the statement added, claiming a surveillance state is for the greater good of Britain.

REAGAN Gov Control

We will launch a public consultation in the coming weeks and work closely with employers, trade unions, civil society groups and other stakeholders, to co-design the scheme and ensure it is as secure and inclusive as possible,” the response continued, blatantly ignoring any attempt to speak with the people of the UK to understand their insights or concerns.

Authorities clarified that people will not be asked to produce their ID, however, obtaining a digital ID will be mandatory for anyone wishing to retain the Right to Work. Furthermore, the system will be integrated into the Gov.UK digital wallet system. The government claims the system is similar to Apple Pay or Google Wallet, but the government will be monitoring the system and “curbing the prospect of earning money” for “illegal immigrants.”

The government can prevent absolutely anyone and everyone from earning money. Governments always expand policies to usurp more power—but never before in the history of civilization did the ruling elite have the ability to monitor and control everyone in real-time. This is simply why the destruction of the West is inevitable. The people have been undermined, their morals and beliefs tossed in the mud. Discussing anything against the government’s agenda is now illegal—free speech is banned. Fiscal mismanagement has caused everyone’s quality of life to plummet. Soon there will be little else for the people to lose by defying government. A system supported by the people cannot last when those very people are pushed to the breaking point of revolution.

UK NHS Encourages First-Cousin Marriages


Posted originally on Oct 6, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

CousinMarriageNHS.UK_

The Islamic state of the United Kingdom updated health guidelines to appease new residents. According to the National Health Institute, there are “benefits” to first-cousin marriage “despite birth defect risk.”

The United Kingdom has fallen.

The once-trusted national health agency stated that the benefits of inbreeding outweigh the disadvantages due to “stronger extended family support systems and economic advantages.”

“Genetic counseling, awareness-raising initiatives and public health campaigns are all important tools to help families make informed decisions without stigmatizing certain communities and cultural traditions,” the NHS added. The nation would prefer to permit inbreeding and create a population with irreparable deformities than to “stigmatize certain communities.” Tax-payers should fund “genetic counseling” since science, logic, and basic morals have no place in the UK in 2025.

“In the general population, a child’s chance of being born with a genetic condition is around two to three percent; this increases to four to six percent in children of first cousins. Hence, most children of first cousins are healthy,” the article also claimed. Inbreeding conditions include deafness, thalassemia, hemophilia, cystic fibrosis, congenital heart disease, and more. Since both parents share a common ancestor (grandparents), their children have a 25% change of inheriting any recessive mutation.

Joe Rogan recently shared that around 70% of the Pakistani community living in the United Kingdom are married to a blood relative. The statistic was not sensationalized for views. The Journal of Medical Genetics published a study decades ago indicating that the rate of first-cousin marriage among Pakistanis living in the UK was 55%. The rate is likely higher now due to the unprecedented population uptick.

Illegal? No. Immoral? Studies indicate that incestual marriage is far more common in people with lower education and income. Siblings conspire to arrange these marriages without the consent of their children. Young girls are commonly forced into incestuous marriages to support their families financially. None of this coincides with Western values or morals.

The fact that the nation’s top health organization would encourage these unions is deeply concerning. The genetic risks are well-known in the scientific community. Children of cousin marriages have a 400% higher chance of living with an IQ below 70 compared to children of non-related parents. The risk of a stillborn during pregnancy is also significantly higher. The NHS has lost any remaining shred of credibility or dignity.

NHS Heathcare UK

British Health Secretary Wes Streeting has called for an apology on the issue of the NHS report. “The first I heard of this was when I saw that report. I asked immediately, ‘What on earth is going on here and what are they playing at?’ The advice has been taken down, but why was it ever there in the first place? Medical science and evidence are clear,” Streeting told LBC radio. “First-cousin marriages are high risk and unsafe, we see the genetic defects it causes, the harm that it causes,” Streeting added.

The NHS has been forced to apologize after public backlash. Yet, this is the same agency that declared that breastmilk from trans individuals or “chestfeeding liquid” was safe for newborn babies. Is promoting child marriage the next step to cultural pandering? The world has witnessed a once great kingdom commit societal and cultural suicide—it’s over.

Chaebols and Youth Unemployment in South Korea


Posted originally on Oct 6, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

chaebols han quoc ty le phan tram dong gop gdp 1660560681

Nepal, Morocco, Madagascar, and now South Korea—the youth are not accepting economic hardships quietly. South Korea passed a “public intimidation law” that criminalizes threats or acts of crime against the general public with a penalty of 20 million won ($13,700) or five years imprisonment. New data has found that half of the suspects are in their 20s and 30s, according to ministry data obtained by Representative Song Seok-jun.

The most common motive noted in around one-third of cases is anger or resentment toward society. The law went into effect back in March and there have been over 70 cases of public intimidation. Authorities have arrested over 50 people, mostly men in their 20s. Crimes vary from online hate to bomb threats.

Seoul National University’s School of Public Health reported in May that 55% of adults in South Korea are living in a state of “prolonged emotional frustration,” and 70% reported that society is “fundamentally unfair.”

Youth unemployment in South Korea has reached 15%, with the national average sitting at 5%. Over 1.2 million young people are unemployed, despite South Korea having one of the highest rates of higher education. Working for a family-run conglomerate or a chaebol is seen as prestigious compared to small and medium enterprises (SMEs) where working conditions and pay are less desirable. SK, LG, Samsung, and Hyundai alone accounted for 40.8% of the national GDP in 2023. In fact, 84.3% of all GDP can be traced to 64 companies ,but they compose only 10% of available jobs.

“The figures make clear that the chaebols’ impact on the Korean economy cannot be easily disregarded. But the 64 chaebol’s share of employment is lower than their share of revenue, which means they need to more aggressively expand their hiring,” said Oh Il-seon, director of the Korea CXO Institute.

Over 70% of Koreans between 25 and 34 hold a college degree, which is 20 points higher than the OECD average. Studies show that only 24% of college graduates in South Korea earn more than those with a high school diploma. In contrast, 69% of college graduated in America are employed.

South Korean children begin training for a position at a chaebol. The market is saturated with educated, eligible employees. Housing and the overall cost of living have skyrocketed. The youth followed the playbook and lost the game. South Korea already has a plethora of political turmoil, but no one is more vocal or willing to cause unrest than the youth.

Interview: Shaun Newman Podcast


Posted originally on Oct 5, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

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Interview: Gold $5K, Dow 65K, & Florida’s New Wall Street — Part 2 Armstrong Unfiltered


Posted originally on Oct 5, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |