Posted originally on Jun 20, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
The American people do not want war. The Iranian people do not want war, nor do the Russians, Ukrainians, or Israelis. Politicians lead nations on paths of death and destruction. The military-industrial complex succeeds, the neocons succeed, governments topple one another in search of power—but the people always lose.
King Pyrrhus of Epirus, who defeated the Romans at the Battle of Asculum (279 BC) but suffered massive, irreplaceable losses. He reportedly said:
“Another such victory, and I am undone.”
Kings and politicians have been waging wars for thousands of years. They seem to have no problem sending people to their deaths, all for some strange reason that appears to be the same human trait that wages sports, and we have to beat the other team to pound the chest and hold up the trophy. The French King Louis XIV, on his deathbed, lamented that he loved war too much.
The Prince of Savoy fought in many wars, and even Napoleon regarded him as one of the best generals in history. He fought for many kings and was wounded 13 times. Yet, the Prince of Savoy considered that he was the real father of our Second Amendment. He came to see that standing armies were evil, for they were easily used due to the expense of maintaining them. He came to realize that there should be no armies, and that was the only way to reduce war. His brilliant insight greatly influenced Montesquieu, as it laid the foundation for the right to bear arms, as enshrined in the Second Amendment to the United States Constitution, which states that the people have the right to bear arms and form a militia in time of war. The underlying idea was to eliminate standing armies that feed the cycle of war.
Every war is government vs government, but they villanize the entire population of the enemy nation to justify their war games. The GOP may be cheering for war, but I have heard several Trump supporters express disappointment as they voted for the candidate who they presumed to be the least likely to bring America into a global conflict. I repeatedly warned that Trump could only prolong the inevitable cycle of war.
Americans are loudly stating that they do not want war. A new pollconducted by the Economist and YouGov found that only 16% of Americans believe the US should be involved in the Israel-Iran conflict, 24% are undecided, while an overwhelming 60% do not believe this is America’s battle to fight.
YouGov noted that 65% of Democrats, 61% of Independents, and 53% of Republicans are wary of intervening in Iran. Less than a quarter of Americans actually believe Iran’s nuclear program is a serious threat to US national security.
Half of Americans see Iran as an enemy nation, with a quarter labeling them as “unfriendly.” American mainstream media solely portrays the world through the lens of an American. Even Sky News, for example, is drastically different in its coverage compared to Fox. Images of Iranian flags and messages invoke fear and disdain. What most do not realize is that the Iranian people disapprove of the current regime and have been living in deteriorating conditions.
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has been in power for 36 years. President Masoud Pezeshkian was elected in 2024 following the death of the previous president, but Khamenei has sole authority over every branch of the government, military, and judiciary.
Iran was a different nation prior to the 1979 revolution. Pre-revolution pictures show women unveiled and living normal lives. Sharia law is now strictly enforced. The hijab is now non-negotiable for girls as young as 12. Half of the population was instantly silenced. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Basij militia have dismantled any attempted protest or disobedience. There were protests earlier this year but the people cannot speak out without the threat of execution. The major nationwide protests that occurred in 1999, 2009, and 2022 were completely dismantled by Iranian forces. The people live under a complete dictatorship.
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei views America as the antithesis of Islamic culture. Relations with the West could expose Iran to cultural and political influence and ideology. His rhetoric has been anti-American for decades, no different from other adversaries, and he demonizes America to justify a stranglehold control over the nation. Ayatollah must exert power to protect his people from a hostile foreign nation. Sound familiar? Every government feeds its people similar lies.
The United States was Iran’s largest supplier of arms prior to the 1979 Islamic Revolution. US companies were significantly investing in the Iranian economy. US-Iran trade was blooming and the nations were discussing nuclear cooperation. The CIA did dismantle and install Iran’s government back in the 1950s after all, but that is a topic for another time. Relations deteriorated after the revolution. By 1995, US trade embargos blocked all trade with Iran and have remained in place for the past 30 years with transitory exceptions.
Fast forward to 2025, and Iran is facing a serious economic crisis after years of government mismanagement at the hands of a corrupt dictator. The currency has fallen by 50% in the past year and inflation is expected to soar from 35% to 50% in 2025. Poverty has become widespread as purchasing power has sharply declined. Infrastructure is failing, electricity outages are common, and basic goods are unaffordable. Some blame Western sanctions, while others blame the Iranian leadership for limiting economic growth and isolating Iran from the global markets.
The Iranian people are living under a harsh dictatorship that has resulted in a shrinking economy and a low quality of life. It remains to be seen whether Iran was close to becoming a nuclear power, but the concern did not exist until Israel’s attack on Iran. Is Iran the enemy? The one clear aspect is that the Iranian people are not the enemy, nor are the Russians, Ukrainians, Israelis, Chinese, etc. As Plato wrote in “The Republic” – “Only the dead have seen the end of war.”
Posted originally on CTH on June 20, 2025 | Sundance
Consider the final day of the G7 Summit in Canada that President Trump smartly avoided.
The G7 is supposed to be the assembly of seven leaders from Japan, Canada, Italy, Germany, France, the UK and USA. Essentially, an economic forum with some of the world’s most influential nations. However, instead of this focus, here’s the picture of who was invited to the G7 in Canada – the group President Trump avoided by leaving early.
Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney poses for a family photo with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, France’s President Emmanuel Macron, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Brazil’s President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, European Council President Antonio Costa, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, World Bank President Ajay Banga, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, President of South Africa Cyril Ramaphosa, India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres during the G7 Leaders’ Summit in Kananaskis, in Alberta, Canada, June 17, 2025
Does it make sense? A G7 assembly with a final day invitation list that brought Australia, Mexico, Ukraine, South Korea, South Africa, India, the United Nations and the World Bank into it. Why? Because President Trump, that’s why.
U.S. President Donald Trump smartly exited the G7 assembly a day early, he departed just before the crowd of interests arrived. If we drop the pretending we all know why Canada invited them and these nations came running – Tariff$!
Without retaining the status quo trade system of unlimited access to the USA consumer base, the exfiltration of American wealth is halted. A process to keep USA wealth inside the USA is against their interests. That’s why they came. That’s the only reason they came.
President Trump is resetting the global system of production and trade, focused exclusively on recapturing American wealth and using that economic power to rebuild and restore our nation. Unfortunately, all of those global leaders above stand in opposition to that objective.
Oddly and ironically, can you see through the noise to the singular absent voice who has no parasitic interest in this dynamic? Russia, Vladimir Putin.
Now, given the context of the language President Trump used during the 36 hours when he was present in Canada it starts to become very clear that he can see it also. However, all of those aforementioned characters need to keep President Trump and Vladimir Putin from forming a strategic geopolitical alliance.
CANADA – […] After the summit in the Rocky Mountain resort area of Kananaskis concluded, Carney issued a chair statement summarizing deliberations.
“G7 leaders expressed support for President Trump’s efforts to achieve a just and lasting peace in Ukraine,” the statement said.
“They recognized that Ukraine has committed to an unconditional ceasefire, and they agreed that Russia must do the same. G7 Leaders are resolute in exploring all options to maximize pressure on Russia, including financial sanctions.”
“There would be things that some of us, Canada, included, would say above and beyond what was said in the chair summary,” Carney said at a closing news conference.
Trump did agree to a group statement published on Monday calling for a resolution of the Israel-Iran conflict.
“We had a declaration given the exceptional, fast moving situation in Iran,” Carney said. “We concentrated on that as a specific one. I held this (Ukraine)for my chair summary.”
“I am returning to Germany with cautious optimism that decisions will also be made in America in the coming days to impose further sanctions against Russia,” German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said.
[…] A White House official on Tuesday said Trump explained that he returned to the U.S. because it is better to hold high-level National Security Council meetings in person, rather than over the phone.
Upon arriving at the summit, Trump said that the then-Group of Eight had been wrong to expel Russia after Putin ordered the occupation of Crimea in 2014.
The Kremlin said on Tuesday that Trump was right and said the G7 was no longer significant for Russia and looked “rather useless.”
Many leaders had hoped to negotiate trade deals with Trump, but the only deal signed was the finalization of the U.S.-UK deal announced last month. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent remained at the summit after Trump left.
Carney also invited non-G7 members Mexico, India, Australia, South Africa, South Korea and Brazil, as he tries to shore up alliances elsewhere and diversify Canada’s exports away from the United States. (read more)
Limbo.
Everything in the world of geopolitics is in a holding pattern until President Trump’s legislative priority The Big Beautiful Bill is completed in the Senate and then reconciled in the House.
Just like the global leaders and their delegations’ ulterior motives, so too does the Senate understand that once the BBB is completed, their self-importance, donor focused pontificating, media appearances and priorities become irrelevant to Godzilla Trump.
There is a closet full of targeted policy winnamins waiting to be unlocked as soon as the BBB noise concludes.
Look around, Chairman Xi Jinping is shrinking every day and President Trump isn’t really focused in his direction. This reality underpins the Chinese promotion of their “good talks” with European leadership. All of the geopolitical chess moves are right there for those who have clear eyes to see.
There’s really only two leaders in the world who matter.
Friday: • 11am: The president receives his intelligence briefing with the National Security Council • 1pm: The president signs executive orders • 2pm: The president leaves the White House for Bedminster, NJ • 7:30pm: The president attends a private fundraiser
Saturday: • 4pm: The president leaves Bedminster for the White House • 6pm: The president receives his intelligence briefing with the National Security Council
Sunday: • 6pm: The president receives his intelligence briefing with the National Security Council
And Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said yesterday the president will leave Monday morning for the NATO Summit in the Netherlands, June 24 and 25.
Posted originally on Jun 18, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
The Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov has now explicitly cautioned the U.S. against providing direct military support to Israel or even considering such “speculative options,” warning that doing so “would radically destabilise the entire situation.” according to Russia’s Interfax news agency. His statement reflects Moscow’s concerns that the conflict could spiral out of control, potentially affecting Russia’s interests in the Middle East, where it has strategic partnerships and a military presence.
Trump today said he told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, “Keep going.” He mentioned that he speaks with Netanyahu every day. “He is a good man,” Trump emphasized. Fox is pushing the same nonsense they did for the Iraq War, promoting this Neocon agenda of endless wars. The GOP messages sent to my phone claimed “79% of Americans agree with President Trump that Iran CANNOT have a nuclear weapon. Iran is looking for any signs of weakness from the United States. They want to test our resolve.” Absent from this is any consideration that this could spill over involving Russia and China, not to mention North Korea. This is about regime change, not merely nuclear weapons. Iran doesn’t have to build a nuke; Russia and China can move them in, as we saw in the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962, which was 63 years ago – (2 x 31.4).
Trump just put this out, and he is backing off from his threat to kill the Supreme Leader. That would set off a Holy War and piss-off both Russia and China. I hope to God that the Neocons pushing Trump forward here have a little common sense.
Bibi has come out and contradicted Trump, saying they have lost because Israel did not destroy the nuclear facility, which they knew from the outset they could not do. Bibi is another Neocon trying to create WWIII. He was on the ropes facing a no-confidence vote just 2 days before. The external enemy play sealed his position as it always does. This is trying to ensure that Trump will get directly involved in destroying that nuclear complex. This has been the intention from the outset. This is the timing array from February. It showed June was the start with high volatility, but August still remains a critical target.
Our War Index had been targeting June as a Directional Change and a Panic Cycle. This does not look to be a 6-Day War.
Trump now faces what will define his presidency. Forget MAGA. That will be forever gone if he directly attacks Iran for Israel. He had once hoped for the Nobel Peace Prize. He will be remembered as the individual who is often credited with starting World War III. Yet, they gave Obama the Nobel Peace Prize for authorizing covert operations to overthrow Syria. Perhaps that is the new criterion: peace through bombing and the annihilation of your enemies is the new way to achieve peace.
Posted originally on Jun 18, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
The firestorm that has erupted since Tulsi Gabbard testified on March 25, 2025, that WikiLeaks had released on X June 14th, 2025, that the Supreme Leader of Iran had suspended the nuclear bomb development back in 2003, and that it was the Intelligence Community that made that assessment. Gabbard’s March 25 testimony before the US Senate Intelligence Committee stating plainly: “The intelligence community continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon,” has exposed with a Neocon plot for another weapon of mass destruction, or the Intelligence Committee intentionally falsified information they handed to Tulsi to discredit her in hopes Trump would get rid of her.
Gabbard’s remarks, now resurfacing as Israel intensifies its offensive, have some casting doubts over the legitimacy of the IAEA’s findings and the geopolitical motivations behind the strikes. A report by Al-Jazeera suggested that the timing of the attack, amid ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, may indicate a strategic effort by Washington and Tel Aviv to mislead Tehran, expecting ongoing negotiations to enable Israel’s surprise attack.
Keep in mind that the Neocons also control the “IC” that Tulsi is informing Congress about their assessment. Tulsi did not pull this out of thin air. This is starting to smell more like a plot to get rid of Tulsi, whom they hate. If what she told Congress were true, then why does the Supreme Leader not say he had suspended the development in 2003 and offer UN inspectors to verify? Something does not smell right here.
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