Are States & Provinces Destined to Default by 2034?


Posted originally on Apr 2, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

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You have to wonder why we have the most incompetent people in government, perhaps in history. While there is not a single leader in Europe who I would even want to have a drink with or shake hands, we see the same on the LEFT in the United States. No matter how often they want to rob anyone who produces and works for a living, they seem incapable of learning from experience. What is this? The triumph of hope that Marxism will work one day?

Seattle_mayor_Bruce Harrell

The mayor of Seattle, founded on November 13th, 1851, of this fictional land they call the Emerald City, admitted that the city collected $47 million less in payroll taxes last year as large companies continue to flee this Marxist waterhole. According to the Seattle Times, he said that the expected the tax per head to bring in over $400 million in revenue instead brought in only $360 million in 2024, leaving a deficit of $47 million payroll tax deficit that is added to a $260 million budget deficit pushing Seatle over the dge.

Citizens Bank LA 1830 Broken Bank Note

Retailers understand that they sell less if they raise prices without improving quality. The LEFTIST Marxists REFUSE to look at human nature because they are too busy stuffing their pockets. DO NOT BUY DEBT from Seattle. We are sliding into a Sovereign Default once again, as in the 1840s, which was a period known as the Hard Times because of the Sovereign Defaults of the States. That was set in motion by Andrew Jackson, founder of the Democratic Party, who shit down the central bank and that led to every state allowing banks to issue their own money. That led to fraud and Wildcat Banking. It was 1866 when the U.S. Government levied a 10% tax on the bank notes of state and private banks, effectively forcing them to retire their currency. Jackson also demanded only gold for the purchase of federal land, which also undermined the private currency.

While everyone points to the Federal Reserve and the Federal Debt, the Feds also have the authority to create money. The states DO NOT!!!! While in theory the Feds can monetize their way out of a debt crisis, states CANNOT! We have just witnessed here in Seattle the mindset of Blue states and how dangerous they have become when we look forward in time. Recent analyses that we have undertaken up to 2023 have revealed that several U.S. states face significant fiscal stress that could elevate their risk of default.

As seen in Seattle, states are confined to adjusting budgets and raising tax revenues. Key factors contributing to risk include high debt burdens, unfunded pension liabilities, structural perpetual budget deficits, weak economics as the great migration from high-taxed states to lower-taxed states dominates post-2020, and the demographic trends of reduced population. Young girls are told to enjoy life, and the world has too many people, so we see the birth rates collapsing throughout the West. The states that are often highlighted as having elevated default risk:

Pension Liabilities: Illinois, Kentucky, and New Jersey have the worst-funded pension systems.

Debt Load: Connecticut and Massachusetts lead in per-capita debt.

Economic Volatility: Alaska, Louisiana, and Hawaii face sector-specific risks (oil, tourism).

Demographics: Illinois and West Virginia struggle with population loss and shrinking tax bases.

1937 Provbince default Canada

We are told that default is unlikely. However, the states’ tools to avoid default, namely tax hikes, have reached their limits. People and companies are migrating. While they like to say no state has defaulted since the Great Depression, the city of Detroit suspended its debt payment in 1937 and finally made good with the devaluation thanks to inflation in 1963. This was NOT confined to the United States. Canada also defaulted on its national debt in 1931. By 1937, they were also concerned about a widespread default by the provinces.

The Democrats are still in denial about the cause of losing the election to Trump. They are not reforming or surrendering their WOKE agenda. This is what guarantees that we are headed toward a massive state default on debts. We are looking at a complete default by 2034.

As I wrote recently about how states are trying to seize power from municipalities, this is also about lining their pockets with more money.

Republicans Retain Two House Seats with Florida Special Election Victories


Posted originally on CTH on April 2, 2025 | Sundance 

Republican Randy Fine, a state senator, defeated Democrat and teacher Josh Weil in a special election that attracted national attention and millions of dollars. Leftist candidate Josh Weil raised almost 10 times as much money as Fine; however, with the votes counted Randy Fine won by 14 points [DATA].

Republican Jimmy Patronis also won a special election to hold this panhandle-based seat for the GOP.  The seat was formerly occupied by Matt Gaetz.  Patronis defeated Democrat Gay Valimont, who was also the party’s nominee in the 2024 general election. Patronis also won by 14 points [DATA].

Media and political punditry are noticing that neither district was won at the same margin as President Trump (roughly +30 points).  As the narrative is spun by Leftists and their professional GOPe allies, the closer margin indicates doom for republicans in the mid-term 2026 election.

BOTH FLORIDA HOUSE SEATS HAVE BEEN WON, BIG, BY THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE. THE TRUMP ENDORSEMENT, AS ALWAYS, PROVED FAR GREATER THAN THE DEMOCRATS FORCES OF EVIL. CONGRATULATIONS TO AMERICA!!!  ~ President Donald Trump

Kid Rock Gives His Impression of President Trump Dinner with Bill Maher


Posted originally on CTH on April 2, 2025 | Sundance 

Kid Rock appears on Stuart Varney show to discuss a dinner he helped organize between President Trump, Bill Maher, Dana White and himself.

According to Kid Rock the dinner went great, and everyone participating talked about the commonality of the things at the core of MAGA, economic security, border security, elimination of cultural Marxism and non-interventionist foreign policy. WATCH:

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It’s also a little funny, because Stuart Varney is apoplectic inside about the auto tariffs.

Former Speaker Gingrich Outlines Judicial Coup D’etat to Congress


Posted originally on CTH on April 1, 2025 | Sundance 

At today’s House Judiciary Committee hearing, former Speaker Newt Gingrich spoke about judicial overreach in lower federal courts blocking President Trump’s actions.  WATCH:

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Now, to the stuff that really matters.  Congress wants to vote from home.

Looks Like Wall Street and GOPe Has Picked Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick to Attack for Tariffs They Hate


Posted originally on CTH on April 1, 2025 | Sundance 

Wall Street, the Bankers, the Hedge Funds, the multinational corporations, K-Street Lobbying firms, Democrats, Republicans, leftists, globalists, and every other segment of the financial media who define themselves through the prism of their bank accounts, need someone else to blame for the Trump tariffs; because Trump doesn’t care.

It looks like the professional political class have decided to focus all financial firepower against Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.

With the anticipated reciprocal tariffs announcement tomorrow, Liberty Day as President Trump calls it, the high-finance multinationals and Wall Street crowd are going bananas. Here come the hits against Lutnick.

(Politico) -‘I don’t know anyone that isn’t pissed off at him’: Trump world turns on Lutnick. As ‘Liberation Day’ nears, patience for the Commerce secretary is wearing thin across the Trump administration. (read more)

(New York Post) – Frustration grows with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick ahead of Trump tariff announcement: ‘Loose cannon with half-baked ideas’ (read more)

Two people close to the administration, overheard the brother of someone who works at the White House saying something about tariffs.  Therefore, it has to be Howard Lutnick’s fault, or something.

Another source “familiar with the situation,” because he looked up The White House on Google to see a map of the area, said it was “100%” accurate that annoyance with Lutnick is growing, reiterating concern about him talking too loosely in public as well as inserting himself into the administration action.

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