CNN Iowa Poll: Creepy 24%, Crazy 16%, Dopey 14%, Spank Me 7%, and How 15%…


Making the assumption that Iowa voters are the most engaged current Democrats; and considering that all candidates have spent the most time there so far; it’s worth taking a look at how Iowa Democrat voters are aligning with their field of candidates.

According to the latest CNN Poll of likely Iowa voters, Creepy Joe leads the way with 34%; followed by Crazy Bernie at 16%; Indian Liz sneaking up with 15%; Dopey Buttigieg jumping to the four position with 14%; and media darling Spank-Me Harris at 7%.

(Full Poll pdf Here)

All other candidates, including Booker and Beto, are not attracting much Iowa support beyond their campaign team paychecks.  Down twinkles…

WASHINGTON (CNN) – Joe Biden leads as the top choice of likely participants in the first-in-the-nation Iowa Democratic caucuses, but his advantage there is smaller than the one he has held in recent national polling, even as just five candidates out of a field of 23 crack 5% support.

A new CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll conducted by Selzer and Co., finds Biden leads among both those who plan to participate in the caucuses the traditional, in-person way, or via a new process for caucusing virtually.

Overall, 24% say they favor the former vice president, with 16% backing Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, 15% Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and 14% South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg. California Sen. Kamala Harris rounds out the five over 5% with 7% support.

Biden has regularly been above 30% in national polling since announcing his candidacy in April, with his nearest competitor trailing by double-digits. But there hasn’t been high-quality polling in Iowa since his entry to the race. (read more)

Obviously it’s still early, but barring an unforeseen late entry, it looks like the Iowa final tier is going to be Biden, Sanders, Warren, Buttigieg, and Harris.

Statistically, barring some unpredictable event, however the polling data aligns July 1st, 2019 through August 1st, 2019, will be the exact same line-up outcome when the first 2020 primary is held seven months later. It won’t change much (if at all) between August 1st 2019, and the 2020 Iowa caucus.

The DNC has a LOW-ENERGY problem, and a lack of authenticity problem, and they know it. Yes, it’s still a hot mess….

.

Knowing it’s likely the ♦UniParty DNC is following a similar ♦UniParty RNC strategy, we can combine the personal characteristics and political traits together and contrast them against the similarly sized GOP field in 2016. Here’s the way it looks:

  • ♦Governor Jeb Bush was to 2016 as…. Vice-President Joe Biden is to 2020
  • Senator Ted Cruz was to 2016…. as Senator Elizabeth Warren is to 2020
  • Governor John Kasich was to 2016… as Senator Bernie Sanders is to 2020
  • Senator Marco Rubio was to 2016… as Mayor Pete Buttigieg is to 2020
  • Dr. Ben Carson was to 2016… as Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke is to 2020
  • Governor Rick Perry was to 2016…. as Senator Kamala Harris is to 2020
  • Senator Lindsey Graham was to 2016 as… Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is to 2020
  • Governor Mike Huckabee was to 2016… as Senator Corey Booker is to 2020
  • Senator Rand Paul was to 2016…. as Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard is to 2020
  • Governor Chris Christie was to 2016 as… Governor J. Hickenlooper is to 2020
  • Governor Scott Walker was to 2016 as… Governor Jay Inslee is to 2020
  • Senator Rick Santorum was to 2016…. as Senator Andrew Yang is to 2020
  • Governor George Pataki was to 2016 as…. John Delaney is to 2020
  • Governor Bobby Jindal was to 2016…. as Julian Castro is to 2020
  • Carly Fiorina was to 2016 as…. Senator Amy Klobuchar is to 2020
  • Governor Jim Gilmore was to 2016 as… Rep. Tim Ryan is to 2020
  • Gas Station Sushi was to 2016 as… Eric Swalwell is to 2020
  • Eating Steak with a Spork was to 2016 as… Michael Bennet is to 2020
  • Drinking a bucket of sweat was to 2016 as… Steve Bullock is to 2020
  • Inhaling a fly was to 2016 as…. Marianne Williamson is to 2020
  • Free Chinese WiFi was to 2016…. as Wayne Messam is to 2020

Resistance is futile…

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Does Biden Dominance Show that Moderate Democrats Still Own DNC?


Published on May 21, 2019

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The presidential polling dominance of former Vice President Joe Biden contradicts the narrative that Democrats want the DNC to tack hard Left. Despite Socialist-wannabe insurgencies — from Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Beto O’Rourke, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and others — the rise and rule of Biden seems to show that moderate Democrats still own the DNC. If identity politics really matter, why are Democrats so enamored of an old, white, heterosexual, male? Meanwhile, in an exclusive enclave secured from the clamor of mindless social media, a band of liberty lovers hones the skills needed to save America — reasoned thought, civil dialogue and a principled approach to the pursuit of happiness. These happy warriors engage in mutual encouragement as they analyze the news, politics, culture, education and more. Perhaps you should join them. Find your people. Become a Member now at https://BillWhittle.com/register/

IPSOS Poll: Sleepy 32%, Crazy 14%, Spank Me 7%, How 7%…


Reuters/Ipsos national polling shows there are only four or five viable Democrat candidates in the race.  Biden and Bernie lead, and everyone else is way far behind.

With this level of inability to gain traction, if there isn’t another walk-on ‘chosen’ candidate, the 2020 primary is going to be a complete mess. [Poll pdf here]

(Via Reuters) […] The poll released on Wednesday found 29% of Democrats and independents said they would vote for Biden in the state nominating contests that begin next year. That is up from 24% who said so in a poll that ran in late April, days before Biden announced his bid.

[…] Biden, 76, remains in the strongest position for the top of the ticket despite questions about his age and centrist positions. He also has faced criticism over his unwanted touching of women and his treatment of law professor Anita Hill three decades ago during Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas’ confirmation hearing.

The monthly survey showed 29% of women who identify as Democrats and independents said they backed Biden, up 4 points from last month.

And among registered Democrats, those who supported other candidates still listed Biden as a top alternative if their choice dropped out of the race, according to the poll.

“That means that there is not a significant anti-Biden block of voters split between the other candidates,” said Chris Jackson, a polling expert at Ipsos.  (read more)

Today is the first time I’ve dug into polling data… and things are seriously goofy on the DNC club side of the 2020 election.  What’s really surprising is the lack of support for anyone other than Bernie or Biden.

Bernie Sanders

@BernieSanders

55.2K people are talking about this
Statistically, barring some unpredictable event, however the polling data aligns on July 1st, 2019 through August 1st, 2019, will be the exact same line-up outcome when the first 2020 primary is held seven months later.  It won’t change much (if at all) between August 1st 2019, and the 2020 Iowa caucus.

The DNC has a LOW-ENERGY problem, and a lack of authenticity problem, and they know it.   It’s a hot mess.

DNC Club Activity – Stacey Abrams Announces Not Running for Senate…


Rule #1, the Club activity is predictable; they follow a well worn guide. Rule #2, when it appears they are changing strategies, refer back to Rule #1.

The Joe Biden/Stacey Abrams club ticket was visible months ago; discussed in March. Standing between the club’s pre-planned designs and the visibility therein is a great deal of smoke and mirrors.  Everything is done purposefully. Planning and strategy is all they do.

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The media; and more importantly the manipulated polling to feed the media narrative; have been pushing the Biden ticket hard. Very hard. The club spends major cash; this is where the mega-donors and the Corinthian wing-back chairs of the professional consultants, political brokers, come in.  Political polling is a business.

Within the Club’s boardroom, tradeable currencies are cash and power.  Affluence breeds influence.  Finance purchases membership messaging.  This is how Bernie is controlled.  The inability of a similar RNC Club to use that approach was a significant reason Donald Trump was able to defeat the Club.

The grassroots leftist movement that hates the club has removed the element of “Super-delegates” from round #1 of the private Club’s nomination convention. All of the DNC Club primaries are proportional; therefore a brokered convention is possible.

Now start thinking about how the Club would move, with the forethought of the convention scenario, to pre-position their chosen one. An insurance policy of sorts.

Remember also, most of those insurance moves have already taken place (Buttigieg etc).

Rule #1, the Club activity is predictable; they follow a well worn guide. Rule #2, when it appears they are changing strategies, refer back to Rule #1.

Embedded video

Stacey Abrams

@staceyabrams