Armstrong Economics Blog/Civil Unrest
RE-Posted Feb 19, 2019 by Martin Armstrong
The Make America Great Again was actually a slogan used by Ronald Reagan who became one of the more popular presidents in postwar history. A Tennessee man is in jail after being accused of pulling a gun on a Sam’s Club customer Saturday 16th of February because he was wearing one of these hats. The joke used to be if you wanted to commit suicide you just had to confront a cop. Now the cop is being replaced by just a Democrat.
Of course, violence is rising on both sides. The irony is that the left is supposed to be non-violent by their self-proclamation. In South Carolina, a man’s car was shot up in a parking lot for having a Trump sticker. In Boston, a woman rammed into a car simply because they had a Trump sticker. In Gig Harbor, a man’s car was vandalized also because he had a Trump sticker.
The3 number of incidents are rising dramatically. Unfortunately, our computer is forecast a sharp rise in violence in 2020. On June 5th, 1968, presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy was mortally wounded shortly after midnight at the Ambassador Hotel in Los Angeles during his presidential campaign. Earlier that evening, the 42-year-old junior senator from New York was declared the winner in the South Dakota and California presidential primaries in the 1968 election. Every aspect we run on our models concerning the 2020 election shows a sharp increase in violence that should rise to what we saw during 1968.
Even the Robert F Kennedy assassination running a 51.6-year wave aligned with the peak in the ECM in 2015. The ECM was 2015.75 and the Kennedy Assassination was due 2015.72 for a peak. No matter what we look at, 2020 is not going to be a quiet year. It appears that all this political obstruction and constant hatred being poured out by the press against Trump will fuel less intelligent people to see him as the Devil incarnate who must be stopped at all costs. This is not going to end nicely and the politics have crossed the line becoming more hate speech with deadly consequences. Neither side will accept the result.
Interesting interview between Senate Judiciary Chairman Lindsey Graham and CBS’s Margarget Brennan. The primary topic is the latest revelations of Andrew McCabe and his crew of ‘soft coup’ plotters.
One of the interesting parts to this interview is the new excerpts from the 60 minutes that Brennan shows during the discussion. [Remember, CBS is Team Obama] Senator Graham discusses his intent to call both Andrew McCabe and Rod Rosenstein to testify about the plan to eliminate President Trump.
Chicago investigators continue to share stunning evidence about the hate-crime hoax carried out by actor Jussie Smollett with the assistance of two brothers. It appears the trio even rehearsed the attack.
Re-Posted Feb 18, 2019 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Western Civilization will collapse by 2032.
I didn’t expect such a strong comment from you.
Specifically, what does this mean?
On the level of ancient Rome? Followed by the dark ages or just mediocrity and the rise of the East?
ANSWER: There is a serious risk that after 2032, this will be very much like the fall of Rome. Nonetheless, it is my personal hope that is we understand that risk, we can avert it and move to a new type of wave formation and learn from the past just once. At the lower threshold of risk lies that reality whereby at the very minimum we are looking at the collapse of centralized governments as took place in 1989 with communism. That will result in greater separatist movements and the breakup of national states as we know it today. The USA could break into four main regions. Britain would find it too splits and Scotland, as well as Wales and Ireland, revert back to their origins. The idea of centralized power in Europe will fail. There are even separatist movements in Germany beginning to rise with Bavaria against the north.
The fall of Rome moved back into a separatist trend. Even when Rome fell, that barbarians were imitating Roman traditions. They began to issue coins in the name of the East Emperor just to try to pretend that they were the rulers of the West.
Eventually, gold vanished from the money supply for nearly 600 years. It did not reappear until 1232 with the first coin being issued in Brindisi. This was issued in order to conduct trade with Byzantine and Arabs.
So what the computer is showing is the rise in civil unrest and the risk of war. Just look at what took place at the State of the Union – there is no UNION. This nonsense the Democrats have engaged in has fired the first shot that will be heard around the world. They opposite absolutely everything that Trump says or does and when the political tide switches, the Republicans will do the same to them. It is over. There is no common ground or going back.
This is part of what the computer is forecasting – the collapse of governments as we have known. NEVER before has anyone dared to say that the president was not “their” president. We always accept the winner even when it was someone we voted against. That acceptance no longer exists. Furthermore, we are looking at the collapse of socialism the same as communism. Both were derived from Karl Marx. They are both unsustainable economically. The pension system is collapsing. Just look at Illinois as an example. The state, provincial, and municipal levels of government cannot create money. All they can do is raise taxes to force people to pay state employees that were promises endless money for life.
Re-Posted Feb 18, 2019 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION #1: Thank you for choosing to live the strength of your convictions – especially through the terrible dark days of your solitary confinement. Thank you for all that you are doing for those of us who choose to watch, think and learn.
For over a decade I have been reading that China will replace the US as the world power in 2032 – not the early 30s or the decade of the 30’s, but that exact year. How is it that sources such as the Economist have been predicting this year as the year of change for such a long period of time? It looks like your computer is saying the same thing, when you state that “Western society will crumble by 2032.” What information is causing so many disparate reputable sources to cite this specific year?
QUESTION #2: It seems very odd that many others are starting to claim 2032 is the turning point. A friend of mine works at a magazine in London who has used that 2032. I asked him if they relied on your work. He smiled and just said they can’t mention you for political reasons. What is that about? Do you know?
ANSWER: The computer projects 2032. It is not my opinion or premonition. How they justify 2032 from an “opinion” perspective is beyond me. I do not believe anyone can give such a date with conviction from any current economic theory. It is strange that they will not cite our work. I think they fear repercussions from the governments that stick their foot into everything. Yet, governments are monitoring this perhaps out of their own self-interest. Shutting me up will not stop the clock from ticking.
I have no idea how it is possible to arrive at such a date off the top of your head. Even if you look at economics, the crisis begins 2020/2021. The year 2032 is by no means the beginning of the process, but rather the end.
Details are now starting to surface that Empire actor Jussie Smollett not only fabricated a hate hoax crime, but that he actually staged the crime and paid assistants to help him.
Earlier today it was revealed that detectives discovered the two Nigerian brothers questioned by police had purchased the rope found around Smollett’s neck at an Ace hardware. The two co-conspirators are now cooperating with police who are investigating.
Adding more likelihood to the attack being staged, Mr. Smollett has hired high-priced defense attorney and former federal prosecutor Michael Monico to defend him.
CHICAGO (CNN) – Two law enforcement sources with knowledge of the investigation told CNN that Chicago Police believe Jussie Smollett paid two men to orchestrate the assault.
The brothers, who were arrested Wednesday, were released without charges Friday after Chicago police cited the discovery of “new evidence.” The sources told CNN that the two men are now cooperating fully with law enforcement.
The sources told CNN that there are records that show the two brothers purchased the rope found around Smollett’s neck at an Ace Hardware store in Chicago.
Smollett gave his first detailed account of what he says was a hate crime against him, and the aftermath, in an interview with “Good Morning America” that aired Thursday. During the interview he expressed frustration at not being believed. (read more)
Armstrong Economics Blog/Opinion
Re-Posted Feb 17, 2019 by Martin Armstrong
What is true and what is false? Do those things even exist or are they simply subjective opinions? Naturally, if we look at politics there is a wholesale denial of the existence of any objective reality and moral values. Each side sees only its own reality and proclaims the other is wrong. Is the glass half-full or half-empty? Is there any absolute definitive truth in describing this glass pictured here?
This becomes a problem in politics. We cannot clearly distinguish good from bad, knowledge from ignorance, or dominance from submission. Who is the ruler and who is to be ruled? It’s a critical theory that is reduced in reality to the conclusion that there is no universal truth. No matter what we define, there is always an opposing opinion. Hence, this is my theory of why cycles MUST exist. There is never some one-size fits all. Such attempts by one side to impose their demands only leads to civil unrest. There can be no single truth in life for there will never be an agreement as to what is true or false.
It is wrong to kill someone. But what about crimes of passion that would not reflect the same act as someone who was a serial killer? What about a soldier who kills in a war? Is this not distinguished from someone who kills people in a nightclub rage? What about someone who defends themselves in a store robbery and kills the intruder? There emerges qualifications that will always call into question what is true and what is false.
Armstrong Economics Blog/Civil Unrest
Re-Posted Feb 17, 2019 by Martin Armstrong
Karl Marx’s grave was selectively vandalized. Someone used a hammer to deface the monument. No other graves were attacked so it is clear this was a politically motivated incident in line with the rising economic tensions between the left and the right. The tomb of Karl Marx is located in London’s Highgate Cemetery. Marx had been exiled from Germany and then the rest of continental Europe following the failed Revolutions of 1848, which engulfed most of Europe.
Marx did his research in London. This is his pass to the British Library. The Revolutions of 1848 were essentially a democratic movement and an uprising against the political elite. In 1848, Karl Marx published “The Communist Manifesto” with Friedrich Engels, and was exiled to London as a result. In London, where he lived the remainder of his life, he wrote the first volume of “Das Kapital.” This undoubtedly influenced the revolutions that opened the door to communism/socialism. This also inspired the collapse of the old feudal structures and created independent national states. The revolutionary wave began in France in February 1848, when the French monarchy was overthrown. Communism actually began in France as a “commune” where people lived in one shared community with no individual property rights. It was the French who convinced Marx that communism would work better than just socialism, which he had advocated initially.
This 1848 Revolution spread like a contagion, similar to what the American Revolution had done during the previous century. The contagion of 1848 spread to most of Europe and parts of Latin America. In total, it impacted over 50 countries. This was by no means a cooperation between various revolutionary trends around Europe.
Generally, a contagion is attributed to six factors:
- (1) widespread dissatisfaction with political leadership, as we have today;
- (2) demands for more participation in government and democracy, as republics have once again robbed us of our right to vote;
- (3) demands for freedom of the press, which is manifesting today on the internet;
- (4) the demands of the working class, whom today have been oppressed by huge tax rates combined with income taxes and VAT at 20%+;
- (5) the upsurge of nationalism, which we are again watching unfold thanks to terrorism; and finally,
- (6) the regrouping of the reactionary forces based on the royalty, aristocracy, army, church, and peasants, which is again unfolding as class warfare.
Many believe that the Yellow Vest Movement is unfolding in the very same spirit, and it too has spread like a contagion. Ironically, the cycle of civil unrest based upon economics discontent should rise in 2020. Indeed, the Yellow Vest movement appears to be right on schedule.
Published on Apr 12, 2018
Published on Dec 5, 2016