Posted originally on Feb 26, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Trump is not responsible for egg prices. Reminiscent of those who put Biden’s sticker on gas pumps, Americans are now seeing Trump stickers in the egg section of their local grocery store. Over 108 million chickens have been killed since 2022 to prevent the spread of the bird flu, according to the USDA. About 13 million were culled in recent months leading to a 15% uptick in egg prices this January. Egg prices in Canada have remained relatively stable despite the bird flu due to the egg supply management system and a different method of farming.
American egg farms can host millions of chickens, and while this usually leads to lower prices, it has become detrimental during the bird flu outbreak. The USDA will kill every chicken on a farm if the bird flu is detected. Now, Canada does not have this problem as commercial egg farms are not widespread, with the average egg farm hosting only 25,000 hens. Multiple Canadian farms could get hit with the bird flu, and it would not dent the overall industry.
Established in 1972, Canada’s supply management system was implemented to maintain prices. Production control is used to determine quotas and match egg supply with demand. Tariff Rate Quotas (TRQs). Provincial organizations often set prices. Yet, this system means Canadians typically pay more for egg prices in an average year and prices will vary by province. No one is profiting more from a fruitful harvest so to speak. Canada’s Food Price Report 2025 predicts a 6% increase in egg prices this year but that is nothing compared to the 20% uptick the USDA is forecasting.
The Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA) also evaluates each flock of chickens for infection. The agency does not always demand that every bird be culled but it is far easier to quarantine and separate flocks on smaller farms. You simply cannot do that in giant commercial operations. These commercial farms are yet another reason so many animals are injected with antibiotics and vaccines since we are talking about MILLIONS of animals here.
It is not in America’s capitalistic nature to limit boom-bust periods with a supply management system. However, the industry may need to rethink farming practices. Absolutely everyone is complaining about egg prices, and there is little the US can do. Turkey has signed a deal with the US to ship a total of 15,000 tonnes of eggs or 700 containers until July. Eggs are more likely to be available as a result of this deal rather than seeing a notable price decrease. The issue really is that when a few commercial farms in the US are hit, the entire egg supply plummets. It is not an issue of farming practices rather than politics.
“Legendary financial and geopolitical cycle analyst Martin Armstrong has new data on how well the Biden economy is doing. Spoiler alert: It’s not doing well, and the financial system is about to tank. I asked Armstrong if the US government could default on its debt if countries around the world continue to stop buying it? Armstrong explained, “I think the US could default on its debt as early as 2025, but probably in 2027. We have kicked the can down the road as far as we can go. It’s not just in the United States. Europe is in the same boat. So is Japan. This is why they need war. They think by going into war, that’s the excuse to default on the debt. They simply will not pay China. If they try to sell their debt–good luck. We are not redeeming it. The same thing is happening in Europe. So, once that happens, you go into war, and that is their excuse on this whole debt thing to collapse, which wipes out pensions etc. Then they can blame Putin. This is the same thing Biden was doing before saying this was Putin’s inflation. Then, with the whole CBDC thing (central bank digital currency) . . . . the IMF has already completed its digital coin, and they want that to replace the dollar as the reserve currency for the world. . . . These people are desperately just trying to hang on to power. Nobody wants to give it up, and nobody wants to reform.”
I asked Armstrong what should the common person be doing now? Armstrong surprisingly said, “I think you need, safely, two years’ worth of food supply. . . .This is what I have. It’s not just prices will go up, but mainly because there will be shortages. Then, you do not know what they are going to do with the currency. . . . They will do whatever they have to do to survive. That’s what governments always do.”
Armstrong says his most recent data suggests that government approval ratings in the USA are worse that Biden’s 8% approval rating. Congress, according to Armstrong, is dragging the bottom with a 7% approval rating. Armstrong has long said that people will buy gold and silver when faith in government crashes. That is exactly what Armstrong is seeing around the world today. Gold is bouncing around the $2,300 level, and Armstrong sees “a new gold and silver rally coming soon.” War is also coming sooner than later with the announcement that Ukraine will be joining NATO as early as July. When the next war starts, Armstrong warns, “You are going to have to watch the bank because long term interest rates are going to go up. Nobody wants to buy government debt, and you are going to have to hunker down at that stage in the game.”
Armstrong is also predicting a big turn on or about May 7th of next week. Armstrong predicts a recession will start then and go on until 2028. GDP will continue to fall, and inflation will continue to rise. Armstrong says it is the perfect storm for a dreaded “stagflation economy.”
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