Posted originally on CTH on August 27, 2025 | Sundance

India is now facing a 50% import tariff against the majority of their goods (electronics and pharmaceuticals exempted). However, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has vowed not to yield to the pressure. Modi said the world was witnessing a “politics of economic selfishness.”

For approximately a decade many western countries including the U.S. have heaped effusive praise on India as corporations viewed the massive Indian population, the world’s largest democracy, as both workers and consumers.  However, after the western sanctions against Russia were delivered, India -a BRICS nation- began pulling back from western alignment and influence.

Western sanctions map against Russia (yellow = agree with USA).

What we are witnessing now is one of the ramifications of the U.S. forcefully putting an “us or them” aspect into the strategic economic relationship, where “them” is Russia.  Currently, India is not flinching.

One could make the argument that undeveloped regions in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) contain the majority of the valuable rare earth minerals and magnets the ‘western’ nations need for manufacturing.  BRICS has a pressure point to apply leverage, but no global trade currency, if the trade conflict escalates.

INDIA – Steep U.S. tariffs on a range of Indian products took effect Wednesday, threatening a serious blow to India’s overseas trade in its largest export market.

President Donald Trump had initially announced a 25% tariff on Indian goods. But earlier this month he signed an executive order imposing an additional 25% tariff due to India’s purchases of Russian oil, bringing the combined tariffs imposed by the U.S. on its ally to 50%.

The Indian government estimates the tariffs will impact $48.2 billion worth of exports. Officials have warned the new duties could make shipments to the U.S. commercially unviable, triggering job losses and slower economic growth.

India–U.S. trade relations have expanded in recent years but remain vulnerable to disputes over market access and domestic political pressures. India is one of the fastest-growing major global economies and it may face a slowdown as a result.

Estimates by New Delhi-based think tank Global Trade Research Initiative suggest labor-intensive sectors such as textiles, gems and jewelry, leather goods, food and automobiles will be hit hardest.

“The new tariff regime is a strategic shock that threatens to wipe out India’s long-established presence in the U.S., causing unemployment in export-driven hubs and weakening its role in the industrial value chain,” said Ajay Srivastava, the think tank’s founder and a former Indian trade official. (read more)

Keep in mind, India is a very poor albeit populated country with the average person living substantially below the poverty line.  That sounds like bad news for India until you realize if they lose export trade to the USA, the majority of Indians will not notice the difference in their life.

Politically President Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi always appeared to have a very good relationship.  However, on the issue of sanctions against Russia, President Trump is stepping into the middle of the BRICS relationship.

Modi feels strong due to a decade of effusive praise from all countries. Trump feels strong due to current effusive praise from all countries.  Two hippos are facing each other.

There are multiple dynamics at play including President Trump’s Indo-Pacific strategy, a counterbalance to the influence of China, which is dependent on India.  Prime Minister Modi appears to be calling President Trump’s bluff.

Posted originally on CTH on August 27, 2025 | Sundance 

The Sea Island banking and finance community are strategic.  They know how to hit the nerve of their opposition in tune with popular sentiment.  However, the key to seeing the strings is to notice the pattern.

When the Sea Island group are out of power or diminished influence, they wait for opportunities; then they dispatch their purchased voices to hum the sirens song.  DeSantis only has another year of high-visibility influence before he ends up in the dead space leading up to 2028.  He and his allies need to stay relevant after ’26.

Trump-Vance is currently aligned with the Silicon Valley tech team and Crypto community, the alternative to the traditional Sea Island confab.  However, Silicon Valley has a disconnect from populism on the issue of H1B visas.  Sea Island exploits the moment.  WATCH:

Beyond independent Trump, once you stop looking at the presented puppets and start focusing on the puppet masters, you start to clear the fog of the theatrics, and you can see the patterns.  The ‘out of power’ group promotes the issues that are popular as they seek to cleave the audience (classic splitter strategy).

Silicon Valley corporations and investors, emboldened by President Trump’s embrace of the technology and crypto industries, have pledged up to $200 million to two new super PACs that are aimed at forcing out politicians whom they see as insufficiently supportive of the push into artificial intelligence.

One of the new PACs, Meta California, is funded by tens of millions of dollars from Meta, which owns Facebook and Instagram and has been investing heavily in A.I. The second super PAC, Leading the Future, is backed initially with $50 million from the A.I. investor Andreessen Horowitz and $50 million from Greg Brockman, a co-founder of OpenAI, and his wife, Anna.

[…] The up to $200 million that is being committed is likely to immediately make the new groups, and the issue of A.I., somewhat central to the 2026 midterm elections. The groups promise to support both Democrats and Republicans.  (more)

Posted originally on Aug 27, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |

The National Guard’s deployment to Washington, D.C., was a successful endeavor. For the first time, the city went twelve days without a homicide. Carjacking decreased by 83%, robberies fell 46%, and overall violent crime fell 22%. The same program may be implemented in Chicago, Baltimore, Los Angeles, and New York, but Democratic leaders insist it is unconstitutional.

“Chicago is a killing field,” the POTUS commented, calling Mayor Brandon Johnson “grossly incompetent.” Governor JB Pritzker is threatening to sue if Trump sends troops to his state. “First thing we’re gonna do is take him to court because it’s illegal. It’s unconstitutional,” Pritzker said. “Frankly, it’s un-American to send troops into an American city the way that he wants to to fight crime. There is literally a law on the books that says he’s not allowed to do that.”

Insurrection Act, codified at 10 U.S.C. §§ 251–254 does permit the president to deploy federal troops or the National Guard to states. Now, D.C. is not a state and the National Guard answers to the president directly. Trump was easily able to mobilize troops into D.C. after declaring a “crime emergency.” Deploying troops to other states may prove difficult without a specific request from the governor or evidence of a rebellion or denial of civil rights beyond the scope of local authorities.

• 252. Use of militia and armed forces to enforce Federal authority

Whenever the President considers that unlawful obstructions, combinations, or assemblages, or rebellion against the authority of the United States, make it impracticable to enforce the laws of the United States in any State by the ordinary course of judicial proceedings, he may call into Federal service such of the militia of any State, and use such of the armed forces, as he considers necessary to enforce those laws or to suppress the rebellion.

Posted originally on CTH on August 26, 2025 | Sundance

Against the example of the U.S. Government taking a 10% stake in Intel, a private technology company who manufactures microchips, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick outlines the parameters where the Trump administration would consider taking a stake in private sector companies.

Secretary Lutnick notes that when a company comes to the U.S. government for assistance or benefit, the government -ultimately the taxpayer- should gain an equity stake in that company.  WATCH:

.

Posted originally on CTH on Secretary of State/National Security Advisor Marco Rubio talks about his perspective on Labor Day 2025.  WATCH:

.

August 26, 2025 | Sundance