Posted originally on Sep 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The NEOCONS are advising Trump. All is lost. The computer will be correct, so buckle up. If September proves to be the high for the euro, things can change starting in October. Trump may think he can put pressure on Russia to stop the war, but he may get a reality check. He has no idea what he is playing with. These NEOCONS will NEVER accept peace with Russia. Their entire lives have been filled with hatred of Russians. Putin is well aware. There will NEVER be peace with the West, and Trump has just signed the death warrant for the United States. China will emerge as the Financial Capital of the world after 2032. Just like the London bankers couldn’t see that World War I would end the domination of Britain, they voluntarily got into a war that destroyed them all because of the ethnic hatred in the Balkans. History repeats. This is our turn.
Posted originally on Sep 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
QUESTION: I heard you on a Podcast say you would meet with Trump if asked. If that could be arranged, would you do it?
OP
ANSWER: I seriously doubt that the powers that be in DC will EVER allow me to get close to Trump. I will be suicided if I step foot close to the White House. The NEOCONS have completely compromised Trump. I am very disappointed to say the least. The computer has never been wrong. He is being led by the nose to take us into World War III.
This is the total BS that NEOCONS put out – SANCTIONS, SANCTIONS, SANCTIONS. This strategy has NEVER worked, and Trump is following their direction. Cutting off buying energy from Russia will not stop the war. The end goal is always the same. Hurt the Russian people so much that they will rise up and overthrow their government, and then have a ticker tape parade and pin the highest medals on Dick Cheney, John Bolton, Bill Kristol, Tony Blinken, Victoria Nuland, etc.
Russia might as well push the button because there is absolutely no way the WEST will ever accept Russia, no matter what. They are only interested in conquering Russia and stripping it of all its assets. Sorry, I am not sure I would even want to waste my time talking to Trump. He is going down the path of a warmonger that everyone voted against. The NEOCONS have won.
Posted originally on Sep 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
Trump hangs a picture of Biden’s autopen in the new “Presidential Walk of Fame.” Perhaps he should also remove Bush Jr. ‘s photo and replace it with Dick Cheney.
Hunter Biden actually was participating in the decision process regarding pardons signed with an AUTOPEN, ex-White House chief of staff Jeff Zients told a House committee. AUTOPENs should be outlawed. They are counterfeit and we if a President can authorize a signature then in that time it takes to make a decision, he can sign it.
Posted originally on Sep 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The European Central Bank (ECB) is urging citizens to “keep calm and carry cash.” The ominous message is a warning of trouble ahead. Bank runs, defaults, war, grid failures, pandemics—the current banking system cannot rely on what’s ahead. “Cash provides essential redundancy – a ‘spare tire’ – for the payment system,” the study’s authors write. “This redundancy is vital for any system, as no system is infallible.”
Indeed, no system is infallible. I have been consistently warning for decades that tangible assets are a necessity. Cash is freedom, which is precisely the reason that governments want to transition to digital and CBDC. Cash is anonymous, untraceable, and outside the immediate reach of bureaucrats. The entire fight against “money laundering” and the push to link biometric data to bank accounts is a direct assault on cash. Every penny will be tracked, and if they decide you owe taxes, they can simply deduct it without a trial.
However, you cannot simply flee with cash in a suitcase as the majority of nations consider that a crime and will seize your money. Customs agents do not need evidence of a crime, and even if the courts clear you of wrongdoing, there is no guarantee you will ever receive it back. Money is whatever someone is willing to accept as payment. I have long advocated for silver coinage that is easy to carry and identifiable as one such alternative, especially valuable if the currency fails.
“The sustained demand for banknotes has been amplified by sharp increases in public demand during major crises, which highlights the unique role and attributes of physical currency,” the ECB states. The 2014-15 sovereign debt crisis in Greece led to massive bank runs, and people had no access to their funds. There were surges in withdrawals during COVID and at the start of the Russia-Ukraine wa,r and the ECB knows that banks simply do not have the liquidity to provide customers with cash in the event of a true bank run.
Central banks are issuing specific instructions for civil protection. “For instance, authorities in the Netherlands, Austria and Finland suggest holding amounts ranging from approximately €70 to €100 per household member or enough to cover essential needs for about 72 hours. Some jurisdictions, like Finland, are even exploring “disruption-proof” ATMs to ensure access during digital failures.” The ECB is keenly aware that trouble is around the corner.
The recent power outages in Spain and Portugal led to a significant disruption in the financial system. Grids will be targeted during times of war. Nations bordering Russia have seen a much higher demand for cash withdrawals, “with issuance levels reaching six to ten standard deviations above their respective historical norms.” The ECB reports that this level of deviation is “highly unusual,” but in times of panic, people hoard as a survival tactic. There was a 36% spike in daily net banknote issuance during the first month of the war. Expect this figure to multiply when it becomes obvious that the war is expanding beyond Russia and Ukraine.
Keep cash on hand for day-to-day needs, but remember that its use will be increasingly limited, and its portability across borders almost impossible. The real hedge will remain tangible assets that cannot be canceled by government. Next year will be devastating. If you are in Europe, the best thing you can do is get your affairs in order and leave immediately.
Posted originally on Sep 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
Barack Obama will never miss an opportunity to juxtapose himself with Donald Trump as the pious president who preached peace. In reality, the extreme political divide of right v left began under Obama as he used divisive politics to split the nation into “us” vs “them.”
Obama was the first to label his political opponents as an “enemy,” as reported by the Washington Examiner. “Those extreme views were not in my White House,” Obama claimed in remarks to the Jefferson Society regarding the assassination of Charlie Kirk. “I wasn’t empowering them. I wasn’t putting the weight of the United States government behind them. When we have the weight of the United States government behind extremist views, we’ve got a problem.”
(Obama’s typical middle-class yacht)
Economic woes were blamed on the “top 1%,” a phrase that derived from Obama’s presidency following the 2008 financial crisis. “The gap between the wealthiest and the rest of us has never been wider,” he stated in 2011. He contrasted the struggles of “working families” with the “special interests” and “wealthy few” who benefited from tax loopholes and deregulation. “I believe in an America where opportunity is open to everyone—not just those at the top,” he preached during his first campaign against Mitt Romney. The Obama Administration was touted as the defender of ordinary “folks” who were suffering due to the greed of the “wealthy few,” a class that Obama himself is within.
“We don’t think government can solve all our problems, but we don’t think government is the source of all our problems—any more than are welfare recipients, or corporations, or unions, or immigrants, or gays, or any other group we’re told to blame for our troubles,” Obama stated during the 2012 Democratic National Convention where he pushed for Obama Care. “Government” was the same as marginalized groups like the LGBTQ+ community and immigrants, Obama declared, and anyone who disagreed with his policies was acting in a discriminatory manner. Closed borders? Racist! Voting against paying into Obamacare? Racist greed directed at marginalized communities.
Legacy media ran his rhetoric 24/7 across every platform, and that rhetoric has continued today into “progressive” ideology that aligns with socialist views. Donald Trump is certainly not the first nor the last president to take an “us” vs “them” stance. In contrast to Obama, Trump began his campaign by portraying government as the problem—drain the swamp and fire the judges. Notice how there has not been a wave of violent riots in the wake of Charlie Kirk’s assassination. The “MAGA extremists” are vocal but not violent.
Posted originally on Sep 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr issued a warning to the American public that there may be a link between Tylenol (acetaminophen) consumption during pregnancy and autism. Tylenol’s manufacturers, Kenvue and Johnson & Johnson, insist that there is no such link. The “anyone but Trump” crowd has taken it as an attack on women, with many liberals posting videos of themselves downing large doses of Tylenol on social media in what they believe is an act of defiance. Yet, Tylenol posted a message on X in 2017: “We actually don’t recommend using any of our products while pregnant. Thank you for taking the time to voice your concerns today.”
This liberal is not only PREGNANT, but she’s also a DOCTOR who is recording herself taking Tylenol and all to spite President Trump and RFK, Jr.
“Effective immediately, the FDA will be notifying physicians that the use of acetaminophen during pregnancy can be associated with a very increased risk of autism,” Kennedy declared. “Today, the FDA will issue a physician’s notice about the risk of acetaminophen during pregnancy and begin the process to initiate a safety label change.”
The public deserves to know of any possible side effects. Tylenol was previously considered safe to take during pregnancy in small doses, and that may still be the case for many women, but it is the FDA’s duty to warn consumers of any possible side effects. New guidelines will urge providers to suggest the “lowest effective dose.” Yet, there is absolute outrage surrounding questioning the science and the left is suddenly lobbying for Big Pharma for free.
Johnson & Johnson and Kenvue have quietly dealt with numerous lawsuits filed by parents who believe acetaminophen use during pregnancy led to autism and/or ADHD. Retailers like Walmart, CVS, Walgreens, and Target also failed lawsuits for selling the medication without the proper warning label. In re Acetaminophen – ASD/ADHD Products Liability Litigation (MDL No. 3043), was established in October 2022 in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, presided over by Judge Denise L. Cote. Hundreds of individual lawsuits were transferred there, with claims focusing on failure-to-warn under state laws. By 2023, there were 265 cases filed against the drug manufacturers, and that figure doubled by 2024. The majority of these cases were dismissed but one major federal MDL is ongoing.
Health has become political. No one is banning Tylenol or forcing women to experience unnecessary pain during pregnancy. The US health department is finally acting as an advocate for consumers and forcing transparency from pharmaceutical companies. If that offends you, you may also want to consult a doctor.
Posted originally on Sep 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I just wanted to thank you for your ground-breaking analysis. I was a gold-only bug, and you opened my eyes to capital flows, explaining that gold rises not due to inflation, but geopolitical tensions. You have been forewarned that when Europe is flirting with war, the capital will flee, and it will be on every boat to the USA. We have gold making new highs, and the Dow is also reaching new highs. Something the gold crowd always said the opposite. You said gold could test the $5,000 level due to war as soon as 2026, I believe. At the same time, others continue to claim that the stock market will crash and revise their forecasts with every new high.
I just wanted to say you are honestly making a difference. I know people steal your work and claim it as their own. I discovered some people created channels and pretend to be you on Telegram and elsewhere. I do not understand their game. You do not solicit money. I’m not sure if they are trying to ruin your reputation. I reported what I encountered to your staff.
I know you have more money than God because you don’t raise your prices, you don’t solicit money, and you don’t sell advertising.
Please do not get discouraged.
Cheers
FDS
REPLY: Thank you for bringing that to our attention. I am not sure what is going on with people pretending to be me. I DO NOT RECOMMEND ANY STOCK INDIVIDUALLY, AND I DO NOT MANAGE MONEY. If you want to know about an individual share that is on Socrates. Some funds trade based on Socrates, but sorry, – been there, done that. I am far too busy to manage money. I am honestly working seven days a week, from 7 AM to midnight, and I still can’t get ahead of the workload. Anyone pretending to be me, telling you to buy a specific stock or promising to manage your money, is a fraud. Let our staff know.
As far as the market is concerned, I will do a Private Post this week. There can be a brief correction in the share market after this week. But it still does not appear to be a major long-term bear market or crash. As far as gold is concerned, the key resistance is really $4500 for next year. Gold has to pass that, and then it would test the $5,000 level. Exceeding that level, the expectations will then jump to $10,000. It gets dicey after $5,000.
If I had more money than God, I suppose that means people wouldn’t contribute to any church.
Posted originally on Sep 24, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
.@GavinNewsom, stop the reckless threats and demonization of our law enforcement. America deserves better than this.
No amount of political fundraising or posturing to extremists and activists will make America better for our children. That is who we are fighting for: the next… pic.twitter.com/YLWleB7q9U
Democratic-run states and cities have waged war on ICE agents over migration policies. The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) reported a 413% increase in violent physical assaults on ICE officers back in June, but that number has more than doubled to 1,000% due to the ongoing political rhetoric that these agents are kidnapping innocent people. California’s Governor Gavin Newsom implemented the first legislation in the nation prohibiting ICE agents from wearing facial masks.
“What are you afraid of?” Newsom mocked ICE officers as supporters cheered. These men and women have been doxxed online. Home addresses, names of family members, and in some instances, where their children attend school, are circulating on the internet. Certain Republic-led states like Tennessee and Florida have introduced legislation to ban doxxing practices. Florida routinely conducts check-ins and patrols to ensure the safety of ICE agents and their families.
Mobs of angry protestors commonly surround ICE raids, and violence ensues. Pictures of agents circulate online forums where deranged individuals seek out their personal information to stalk and harass federal agents. Democrats have encouraged the aggression. “Every single ICE agent who’s engaged in this aggressive overreach and are trying to hide their identities from the American people will be unsuccessful in doing that,” House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) said.
The “No Secret Police Act” implemented by Newsom is intended to act as a counter to “lawless immigration raids.” Newsom claims there are anti-doxxing laws in place in California. “If you’re going to go down that path, do judges then start getting masked? Do elected officials start masking themselves? Does anyone that’s on the receiving end of modern day bullying as it relates to online activity?” Elected officials such as Newsom are surrounded by security at all times. ICE agents are offered no such protections and must physically protect themselves for assaults that seem inevitable in these blue-run areas that favor criminal behavior.
Newsom forgets that federal law will always supersede state law. The Supremacy Clause (Article VI) states that the US Constitution is the “supreme law of the land” that takes precedence over any and all state laws or constitutions.
His statements are purely political posturing and theater. No police officer would dare to arrest a federal law enforcement agent and risk public humiliation or potential criminal charges.
Posted originally on Sep 24, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
China declined to make an official statement regarding Donald Trump’s change to the H-1B visa. Around 12% of such holders in the US are Chinese nationals. Instead, China announced that it will launch a new K-visa, expanding its 12 existing visas, to attract global talent.
“In a globalised world, cross-border flow of talents is instrumental in global technological and economic advancement,” Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun stated. “China welcomes talents from various sectors and fields across the world to come and find their footing in China for the progress of humanity and career success.”
The visa will take effect on October 1, 2025, and is designed to attract skilled professionals in engineering, technology, mathematics (STEM), and science. Applicants must have a bachelor’s degree in STEM from a recognized university or research institution, and employer sponsorship is not required.
Sorry, but top talent is not eager to work in China. China is already experiencing record levels of youth unemployment at 18.9% as of August 2025. Around 12.22 million university graduates in China entered the workforce this year, up from 430,000 in 2024, and the competition is intensifying as the number of available jobs declines.
China also produces over 77,000 STEM PhD graduates each year, nearly double that of the US. Naturally China would like to attract Indian graduates as they are receiving the bulk of the burden of the H-1B visa change and 34% of all graduates in India have a background in STEM. India excels in IT services, electronics, biotech, and software. China has more opportunities in AI, semiconductors, manufacturing, and robotics.
However, China does offer a much higher salary for these workers than India. In fact, salaries in STEM in India are 2-3X lower compared to China despite working longer hours. China also offers more protections, such as medical benefits, paid leave, and retirement benefits.
The current flow of Indian graduates relocating to China is relatively low compared to those relocating to the US. Those who think US companies are xenophobic have not worked with China. The environment is not exactly welcoming to foreigners. China may take on additional workers who are denied access to the US workforce, but it will not be significant. Specific niches and fields may spark interest as China is becoming a superpower for clean energy and robotics. Yet, global talent will not flock to China for employment, and the K-visa in no way compares to the visa that provides a work opportunity in America–at this stage in time. The matter may be different as we approach the end of the Sixth Wave–2032–when China dethrones the US to become the financial capital of the world.
Posted originally on Sep 24, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The Federal Reserve should operate independently of Washington. It does not. Stephan Miran was appointed to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors by Donald Trump. Miran, who served as a top economic adviser to Trump and served as the chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, switched from controlling fiscal to monetary policy and now the lines between Washington and the Fed are completely blurred.
Miran believes interest rates should eventually be cut in half. He mistakenly believes the old Keynesian theories that lower rates will result in higher employment. “The Federal Reserve has been entrusted with the important goal of promoting price stability for the good of all American households and businesses, and I am committed to bringing inflation sustainably back to 2 percent,” he said. “However, leaving policy restrictive by such a large degree brings significant risks for the Fed’s employment mandate.”
“The upshot is that monetary policy is well into restrictive territory,” he said. “Leaving short-term interest rates roughly 2 percentage points too tight risks unnecessary layoffs and higher unemployment.”
I’ve explained numerous times why this line of thinking is flawed. Businesses are not eager to take on additional debt, albeit at a lower rate, if they do not see a decent ROI in the future. Not a single client has suggested that they were waiting for rates to drop to expand their business. Look what happened in Japan when they artificially lowered rates to zero for decades. The economy stagnated because confidence was lost.
The reason politicians love low rates is not to help the people but to help government. With the US national debt now spiraling out of control, every uptick in rates increases the cost of debt service. Trump knows this. Biden knew it too. Every administration eventually leans on the Fed to keep rates down because the alternative is insolvency.
Trump appointed Miran for a reason. Powell was unwilling to play into politics, but Miran, a voting member of the FOMC, is an installed loyalist who will ensure the government’s ability to borrow continues.
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This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America
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