Category Blogger Martin Armstrong

Jun 26 2025

Britain Warns Its People Prepare for War


Posted originally on Jun 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Britain Big Ben Flag

The UK government has warned that the nation must “actively prepare for the possibility of the UK coming under direct threat, potentially in a wartime scenario”, following a tense 12-day war between Iran and Israel, which threatened to spill over at any moment. The UK has also acknowledged, as has the US Department of Homeland Security, that domestic terrorism is likely because of the Iran-Israel War, but also war with Russia. The UK government said that “confrontation with those who are threatening security,” with Russia’s war in Ukraine described as “the most obvious and pressing example of this.” They added “Iranian hostile activity on British soil” is to be expected and that they will attempt to disrupt critical supply lines and energy infrastructure.

Jun 25 2025

NATO Pledges $40 Billion to Ukraine


Posted originally on Jun 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Rutte Mark with Zelensky

The neocons would never permit a true ceasefire. The war in the Middle East must continue in order to broaden the West’s conflict with Russia. Russia is not permitted to remain neutral, despite Putin’s insistence. Follow the money—NATO has assembled $40 BILLION to prolong aggression against Russia.

“Let’s not forget, Iran is heavily involved in the fight of Russia against Ukraine by, for example, their drone deliveries, which are killing innocent Ukrainians every day, in cities, in communities, without any respect for life,” Rutte said. Russia has paid Iran for defense and drones throughout the conflict in Ukraine, and therefore, the neocons believe Russia should be held responsible for the war in the Middle East.

Russia has successfully fended off NATO and the weaponization of Ukraine by the West. The messaging put forth by NATO aligns with Socrates’ predictions—the worst is yet to come and we have mass panic cycles occurring in nearly every major economy in 2026. The reason cannot be provided by the computer, but historically, we only see such an uptick in activity during times of global conflict.

NATO North Atlantic Terror Organization

“You will see important language about Ukraine, including connecting the defense spending up to 2035 to Ukraine, and the need for Ukraine to stay in the fight,” Rutte said. “This is a clear commitment by allies.” They likely expected Russia to fold earlier, but they will not give up their battle. Rutte specifically mentioned that Europe and Canada, and not the United States, are aligned in their unwavering financial support for Ukraine. “And we have – I can announce that now – new estimates showing that our European and Canadian Allies have stepped up and have already pledged – where we originally would have been able to announce €20 billion over the first three months of this year, it is now they will provide over €35 billion ($40.6 billion) in additional security assistance to Ukraine for the year ahead.”

Rutte said that Ukraine’s path to NATO is “irreversible.”

The next player up to bat is China. The neocons WILL find a method to break Beijing’s neutrality. It matters not that everyone is a trade partner; the specific trade deals that displease the neocons will be highlighted as a reason for war.

“The most significant and direct threat facing this Alliance remains Russia. Moscow continues to wage war against Ukraine with the support of North Korea, Iran, and China as well as Belarus.” NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte.

China will partner with Russia when they are forced out of neutrality. The West has never desired diplomatic relations with China as it has always been an enemy nation. China’s growing global influence is a direct threat to the West’s power and those moving the chess pieces genuinely believe that NATO can decimate Russia, China, and Ukraine. Our computer does not agree with them.

Jun 25 2025

Spain Requests NATO Spending Leniency


Posted originally on Jun 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

NATO vs. Russia

Spain will be unable to meet NATO’s new 5% of GDP membership requirement. In the latest round of a nation rebuking a globalist entity that dampens its sovereignty, Spain has broken step with the European Union and NATO by admitting that Russia poses no immediate threat.

“Spain will continue to fulfil its duty in the years and decades ahead and will continue to actively contribute to the European security architecture. However, Spain cannot commit to a specific spending target in terms of GDP at this summit,” Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez told NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte.

NATO is set to meet for the first time since Donald Trump’s re-election and Rutte is insistent that member nations up their contributions to appease the bloc’s largest contributor. Trump has repeatedly warned that the US would reduce or pull funding from NATO if other nations failed to meet their 2% of GDP requirement. Trump declared that Russia posed no immediate threat to the US and accused Europe of over-relying on America for protection.

Rutte would now like to raise that 2% target to 5%, which is a significant increase. The new budget proposal will allot 3.5% of spending on military expenditure,s and 1.5% will be spent on defense-related items like cybersecurity and military mobility.

Spain contributes the least to NATO in terms of GDP compared to other members, spending an estimated 1.28% of its GDP. Spain is the fourth-largest economy in the Eurozone, and other members do not believe it should get a free pass. Spain’s economy grew by 3% last year, far surpassing the Eurozone average of 0.08%. Yet, the government sees no value in spending on NATO when the war is isolated to Ukraine.

2023_07_08_11_17_17_Spain_says_cluster_bombs_should_not_be_sent_to_Ukraine_Reuters

“Our threat is not Russia bringing its troops across the Pyrenees,” Sanchez said, referring to the mountain range dividing France and Spain. “When we talk about Russia it’s more a hybrid threat. It’s the threat of cyber attacks. So what we have to do is not just talk about defense, but fundamentally talk about security.” He admitted that he does not believe Putin has plans to conquer Europe, breaking from the ongoing EU neocon narrative.

Previously, nations would need to unanimously vote on new spending policies. “Of course, it is not our intention to limit the spending ambitions of other allies or to obstruct the outcome of the upcoming summit,” the Sánchez letter reads. It no longer matters what one member nation believes, as unanimity is no longer required among any centralized power, be it the European Union or NATO. All members must adhere to the plans of the unelected bureaucrats, and those plans clearly detail an escalation in warfare.

Jun 25 2025

US Supreme Court Green Lights Deportations


Posted originally on Jun 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Supreme Court Building

Those deeming deportations as unconstitutional will regret to hear that the US Supreme Court disagrees. In a 6-3 vote, the US Supreme Court rules that America’s ongoing deportation campaign may temporarily proceed without notice.

The SCOTUS declared that notice is not required before deportation. Noncitizens are not granted the right under the United States Constitution to seek due process or appeal their case before they are deported to third-party nations.

Justices Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, and Ketanji Brown Jackson dissented. It would take decades and countless resources for the courts to process every single removal after open border policies caused a record number of people from throughout the world to cross into the US. The vote comes after a district judge attempted to prevent mass deportations under the Alien Enemies Act. Biden permitted over 11 million people to enter illegally and this is a matter of national security. Pam Bondi admitted that sleeper cells are lurking throughout the nation and plotting against the American people. Terrorism aside, the American taxpayer cannot afford to subsidize the lives of 11 million people.

The left did not demand due process for migrants deported under the Obama Administration. No one demanded that migrants face their day in court before removal. Even Hillary Clinton was championing deportations, and her husband carried out a deportation campaign during his time in the White House that was met with bipartisan approval. An estimated 75% and 83% of the 3 million migrants deported under Obama were carried out under summary removals. The Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigrant Responsibility Act (IIRIRA) of 1996 permitted Congress to streamline the deportation process. Expedited removals and reinstatement of removals permitted immigration officers to act as the judge and juror to determine citizenship status on the same day.

Former President Bill Clinton praised “the rule of law by cracking down on illegal immigration at the border, in the workplace, and in the criminal justice system — without punishing those living in the United States legally.” The measure also expanded the definition of aggregated felonies, which removed all protections for anyone convicted of a crime that carries a sentence of one year or more. The IIRAIRA also strictly forbids illegal aliens from voting in US elections. Now, all of this is controversial because a Republican is in charge.

The meal ticket has expired. If you are here illegally, you must leave. We cannot risk national security, or the national economy, for that matter, to appease the liberals who believe American lives are worth less than blue votes.

Jun 25 2025

The Hidden Order We Cannot See


Posted originally on Jun 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

CRUDE W Array 4 14 25

COMMENT: Marty, you have shown that capital flows shift, and the computer has been able to predict wars by monitoring the entire world. The forecasts on Crude were unprecedented. I just had to remark how your computer handled this entire 12-day war and its cyclical forecast with your arrays. It is so apparent why so many want to know what Socrates is projecting. What you say that you stumbled on this unintentionally still deserves more than a Nobel Prize. While people sensationalize stories to get clicks, only Socrates handled this event correctly without fanfare.

Thank you for the education.

BB

CRUDE W Tech 6 23 25

REPLY: Yes, the Crude market did illustrate that the economics and markets were not matching the sensationalized reports. The May 5th turning point picked the low, then three Directional Changes created the sideways consolidation for three weeks. The Panic Cycle, the week of June 9th, targeted the breakout and the June 13th Israel attack of the three key Iranian nuclear facilities – Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordow – and a number of top scientists involved in nuclear research and development to decapitate the government. It did not show a continued trend.

Quantum_Mechanics Cycles

This is the opening to one chapter. I am trying to finish the book on the Economic Confidence Model and the Geometry of Time. There is a specific order hidden behind the veil of randomness, and our most significant problem in history is that we conduct analysis using the Classical Physics approach of linear analysis, which reduces everything to a single cause and effect. That prevents us from seeing that the world around us functions within a three-dimensional world, and TIME is not a single dimension. Therein lies our most significant error. Our inability to see what dictates the world of Quantum Physics, which unfolds before our eyes, also applies to the world of Classical Physics, causing us to believe in randomness and chaos rather than a hidden order.

Order v Chaos
Jun 25 2025

Middle East Ceasefire


Posted Jun 24, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
War Zone 2

Our sources in the region say that there are still bullets being shot from both sides. Israel accuses Iran of violating a ceasefire, but Tehran denies the claim. President Donald Trump said Israeli jets had turned back from their planned strikes on Iran and that the ceasefire remains in effect. There were reports of an explosion in Tehran, and Iranian state media said a radar station had been hit. Meanwhile, Trump sharply criticized Israel for preparing a heavy retaliation against a ceasefire violation by Iran that he said involved a single rocket missing its target.

The Neocons have long held that their goal was the overthrow of the Revolutionary Government. While our computer was clearly showing that the markets would pull back before any ceasefire, even oil ran up, but could not get through our Weekly Bullish Reversal. The markets are always the best indicator of the future. As I have said, when I created this model, I never expected it to forecast war. However, someone always knows in advance, and the capital flows begin to shift. Here, despite all the headlines, the computer was NOT showing a significant rally in gold or oil. This is why we should never trade based just on the emotional headlines.

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The likelihood of this ceasefire becoming permanent is probably ZERO. The real question is whether Russia or China can afford to let the Iranian government collapse. Would the replacement then be a US proxy, such as Ukraine? What would happen to China’s energy source? Then there is the Neocon objective to topple the Iranian government. Are they willing to surrender their lifelong quest to defeat Russia?

Only a sublime fool would think this is over.

As the computer was forecasting, this was the lull, and the markets were confirming this outcome.

Then comes Resurgence.

Jun 24 2025

The Strait of Hormuz – Incoming Global Energy Crisis?


Posted originally on Jun 24, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Strait of Hormuz

Supply chain constraints are inevitable during wartime. Shippers are actively avoiding the Strait of Hormuz that connects the Persian Gulf to the Arabian Sea amid the Iranian nuclear tensions. This is a significant disruption as around 20% of global oil is funneled through this passageway.

Oman’s Musandam Peninsula hosts a narrow passageway with Iran that is only 30 miles wide but large enough for mass oil tankers to navigate. These strategic route allows for the shipment of around 21 million barrels per day. One-third of global liquefied natural gas (LNG) primarily from Qatar, rely on this crucial route. An estimated $1.7 billion of oil can pass through this channel on an average day, and any disruption has the ability to cause ripples throughout the global economy.

The United States, India, China, Japan, and South Korea are among the many developed economies that rely on this strait for its energy needs. Even a temporary pause in shipments would cause oil prices to skyrocket and disturb international trade. Iran has repeatedly used this passageway as leverage in negotiations. The Iranian government is well aware of the power it wields and have threatened to prevent passage during times of unrest and sanctions.

Ben Gurion Canal Project R

I provided the declassified documents for the Ben Gurion Canal Project—a trade route through Palestine and Israel that could only be created by obliterating Gaza. Declassified documents reveal that the US Department of Energy was planning to take extreme measures to make this canal possible. On July 1, 1963, a plan was outlined to create the Israeli Canal by detonating 520 underground nuclear explosions throughout the Negev Desert. “Such a canal would be a strategically valuable alternate to the present Suez Canal and would probably contribute greatly to the economic development of the surrounding area,” the declassified document stated.

The West does not want Egypt and, therefore, Russia to have control over world trade and the movement of goods. Disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz would amplify the need for a Western-controlled trade route through the Middle East.

The U.S. Navy’s Fifth Fleet is closely monitoring the situation and has found that the number of ships passing through the strait has drastically reduced in a matter of days since the US first attacked Iran. Bimco, a corporation that represents major global shippers, reported a notable downtick in movement. “Before the US attack, the impact on shipping patterns was limited,” Bimco’s Larsen said. “Now, after the US attack, we have indications that the number of ships passing is reducing. If we begin to see Iranian attacks on shipping, it will most likely further reduce the number of ships transiting through the [Strait of Hormuz],” he added.

The incentive for a false flag event or attack is tremendous. Again, the United States has been concocting methods to implement the Ben Gurion Project for nearly 60 years. Detonating underground nuclear weapons in Gaza is not something that the international community would permit. Unless, of course, countless nations began facing energy shortages, the price of oil soared to the point of imploding government budgets, and trade as a whole began to plummet. A full-scale global energy crisis could be exactly what the US and Israel need to explode ground on the Ben Gurion Canal Project.

Jun 24 2025

Putin to Avoid Proxy War in Iran


Posted originally on Jun 24, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

IsraelRussiaPutinBibi

The international community met America’s attack on Iranian nuclear sites with overwhelming praise. Everyone from NATO to the European Union and Ukraine spoke of the importance of disarming Iran. The true intention has always been a proxy war with Russia, hence why US President Trump and Russia’s Vladimir Putin spoke prior to the nuclear attack.

Russia and Iran have shared close relations for decades, leaving many to wonder why Russia is not defending its ally and BRICS partner. Netanyahu and Putin have also remained diplomatic. The International Criminal Court wants both leaders to avoid directly criticizing one another for their perceived defensive attacks.

“I would like to draw your attention to the fact that almost two million people from the former Soviet Union and the Russian Federation reside in Israel. It is almost a Russian-speaking country today. And, undoubtedly, we always take this into account in Russia’s contemporary history,” Putin said during the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum.

In the same breath, Putin also noted that 15% of Russia’s population is of the Islamic faith. Putin has taken a neutral stance by insisting that the Russian people must come first, and support for Iran would equate to an attack on a nation with a significant Russian population. He is a strategic man who knows NATO is eager for Russia to enter the battlefield. Putin will not take the bait.

Putin may have good relations with Ali Khamenei, but that has not interfered with his ties with Nethanyu. At the same time, Nethanyu has good relations with Zelensky. Zelensky is now voicing his support for Israel with the hope of appeasing the US and condemning Russia for its neutrality. “After the strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, there was an uproar from Moscow,” Zelensky said. “The Russian leadership demonstratively condemned the ‘missile and bomb’ actions. Today, Moscow is silent — after its own army launched a cynical attack using Russian-Iranian ‘Shaheds’ and missiles on civilian infrastructure in Kyiv and other cities.”

Ukraine is calling for NATO to paint Iran as an aggressor in a move to involve the military alliance in Israel’s war. “Iran is complicit in the crime of aggression against Ukraine,” the ministry said in a June 22 statement. “The Iranian regime is providing military assistance to Russia, including the supply of UAVs and technologies that Russia consistently uses to kill people and destroy critical infrastructure.”

Putin has offered to host peace talks. “Do me a favour, mediate your own. Let’s mediate Russia first. You can worry about this later,” Trump rebuked. The neocons will do everything in their capacity to force Moscow’s hand. It is of no coincidence that the US installed a puppet government in Syria ahead of this conflict to expel Russian forces. For now, Russia is focusing on its prolonged war at home, but it is a matter of time before the forces that be push Russia into battle in the Middle East.

Jun 24 2025

Neocons Trying to Rule the World


Posted originally on Jun 24, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Obama G8 Micky Mouse Crimea Russia

While the Democrats will scream and yell, Obama was a pawn of the Neocons. He wanted to invade Syria and got the Nobel Peace Prize. When the Neocons started the civil war in Ukraine, instructing the UNELECTED interim government installed by Victoria Nuland, who was then directed to attack the Donbas, it was Obama who wanted SWIFT to expel Russia. They refused. Bide did that one. But it was Obama who instructed that Russia should be removed from the G8 in a classic RULE #1 in the Neocon Handbook, to make sure that there could be no peace discussions with Russia, only – WAR, WAR, and more War.

book_upright_9425971

The Neocon handbook has Rule #1 – DO NOT TALK TO THE ENEMY. This is what we see with all the world leaders refusing to talk with Putin, for that just might lead to peace, and that would stop their agenda. This is why all the European leaders have been stabbing Trump in the back because he broke the rules and engaged in communication with Putin.

Donald_Trump_on_Potentially_Adding_Russia_and_China_to_G7 June 2025

President Donald Trump opened his time at the G7 summit in Canada, lambasting the heads of state, saying that Russia and possibly China should be included in the group. They were squirming in their seats, fearing that they would be scolded when they returned by NATO for daring to listen to him. Trump said, referring to former Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau:

“The G7 used to be the G8. Barack Obama and a person named Trudeau didn’t want to have Russia in.” 

Trump said that Russia would not have entered the war with Ukraine if it had been allowed back into the group by previous U.S. and world leaders.

“And I would say that was a mistake, because I think you wouldn’t have a war right now if you had Russia in, and you wouldn’t have a war right now if Trump were president four years ago.”

Obama expelled Russia from the G7 in 2014 after it annexed Crimea from Ukraine, following the Neocon Handbook. The Obama Administration was deeply involved in the entire Globalist-Neocon agenda. The mainstream media tries desperately to ignore the connections and the facts.

The Democrats were linked to advising Trudeau to help him get elected. James Carville, the famous “Ragin’ Cajun” Democratic strategist (Bill Clinton’s 1992 campaign), did provide advice to Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party. His involvement was primarily during Trudeau’s leadership of the Liberal Party before the 2015 election, specifically around the time of Trudeau’s leadership win in 2013 and the subsequent party rebuilding phase. He provided strategic counsel on messaging, campaign structure, and voter engagement.

Trudeau’s team actively sought advice from Obama’s successful campaign veterans. Figures like David Axelrod (Obama’s chief strategist) and David Plouffe (Obama’s 2008 campaign manager) also met with Trudeau’s key advisors (like Gerald Butts and Katie Telford) in 2013-2014. They shared lessons learned, discussed data-driven campaigning, and offered informal strategic perspectives. Like Carville, they were advisors but did not take PAID positions, so they were not officially running the Canadian campaign. Obama was part of the whole Neocon group, and they saw Trudeau as essential to their objectives.

OBAMA Spied on Trump – Confirmed by Special Counsel

The question of whether the Obama administration “spied” on the Trump campaign during the 2016 election involves complex investigations and significant controversy.  The official findings and investigations established:

Surveillance Did Occur on a Campaign Advisor: The FBI did conduct surveillance on Carter Page, a foreign policy advisor to the Trump campaign. This was done under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA), requiring court approval. The FBI sought FISA warrants based on concerns about Page’s prior contacts with Russian intelligence officers and suspicions he might be acting as an agent of a foreign power (Russia). The initial application and renewals were approved by the FISA court. Investigations later found serious flaws in the FISA application process regarding Page. I was in the middle of the Neocon/Democratic attempt to take over Russia and their blackmail of Yeltsin in 2000, trying to install their crony, Boris Berezovsky. I refused to put in $10 billion to fund this takeover.

Special Counsel John Durham Report (May 2023), concluded that the FBI opened the Crossfire Hurricane investigation without sufficient predication based on the raw, unanalyzed information they had at the time. He was highly critical of the FBI’s reliance on the Steele dossier and the handling of the FISA applications. The broader investigation (Crossfire Hurricane) was officially opened due to purported concerns about Russian attempts to interfere in the election and potential links to Trump campaign associates, triggered by information about George Papadopoulos.

The Obama Administration’s efforts to prevent Trump from becoming president were consistent with similar attempts under the Biden Administration. Both were pawns and in cahoots with the Globalist-Neocon Agendas. Obama’s engagement is best described as a counterintelligence investigation into Russian interference falsely targeting  Trump and his campaign associates, but which was significantly marred by serious procedural failures and faulty applications for surveillance warrants against one individual. We have witnessed similar events targeting the disruption of elections in Romania, and they have also sought to undermine Bolsonaro in Brazil. Anyone who stands in the way of the Neocons has been targeted.

Jun 24 2025

Iran – Israel – 12 Day War? – Zelensky Wants Nukes


Posted originally on Jun 23, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

Caesaefire 2025_06_23_18_25_31_Truth_Details_Truth_Social

Donald Trump thanked Iran for giving “early notice” of a missile attack on a US base in Qatar. As I reported, there was back-channel communication where Iran had to make a show, and the “early notice” was to provide the US with time to shoot down the projectiles.

Trump has then taken to Truth Social, declaring a ceasefire for 24 hrs, and hopefully this would end the “12-day War.” This was the result of more back-channel discussion that Israel is pushing the limit here, which may then drag in Russia and China.

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I reported that Iran’s Minister flew to Moscow this morning and met with Putin. The outcome of that meeting was that Putin said he would come to the aid of Iran. I have reported that the rail line connecting Iran and China is critical. I believe that Israel has been read the riot act.

I have reported that gold was turning down BEFORE this news because this outcome was coming, and I said on the private blog that next week is critical. The real question is that Trump is going against the Neocons who got him into this mess. Hopefully, he now sees clearly that Netanyahu is a Neocon.

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The computer was projecting a lull here, but it still looks to be turning back up in August. Then we have crazy Zelensky demanding NATO protection ASAP, or he too will pursue nuclear weapons. NATO does not allow anyone to join who is in a war, which would instantly invoke Article 5. Zelensky MUST be removed. He is a dictator, and the Ukrainian people should be allowed to vote, not the Neocons.