Posted originally on Jan 20, 2026 by Martin Armstrong
Around 10% of all autos sold in Poland were manufactured in China, a sharp 427% annual increase. Governments have been leery of Chinese autos, fearing their ability to undercut the European market, but now a new concern has arisen—military security.
Chief of the General Staff General Wiesław announced a coming ban on all Chinese-manufactured cars in military facilities and units. “In 2025, the Military Counterintelligence Service issued guidelines on how to protect military facilities in connection with threats arising from the use of various devices manufactured in China,” the ministry stated.
Poland is not the first nation to ban Chinese-made vehicles from military bases. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) refuse to permit Chinese autos form entering military bases. Owners must park outside the perimeter as the Chinese government may be using cameras and sensors to acquire sensitive data. The IDF has already recalled 700 Chinese-made EVs, citing a “real concern of sensitive information leakage.”
The UK Ministry of Defense (MoD) has also banned certain Chinese vehicles from “sensitive military bases” and other sites that could be vulnerable to espionage. The MoD went as far as asking personnel to monitor their private discussions while driving in Chinese cars, and to assume that the Chinese government has the ability to monitor them at all times.
China has banned Tesla vehicles from entering their military bases and housing complexes for the same reason. All modern vehicles have advanced cameras, GPD, microphones, and the ability to log data. We cannot ensure we are in privacy even when we are inside our personal vehicles. The bigger concern becomes whether governments will begin rejecting foreign vehicles entirely.
Posted originally on Jan 20, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
QUESTION: Marty; Do you intend to endorse anyone for the midterm elections?
ER
ANSWER: No. The Neocons have their fangs very deep into Congress. I cannot in good conscience endorse anyone. Even if the actual candidate may not be on board with the Neocons, they install plants who give bad advice to support the Neocons, even when the candidate is unaware that they are being manipulated. I have tried my best, but it just is not good enough.
Europe’s Delusion: The Sixth March to Moscow The cycle of history reveals a pattern so consistent it borders on the absurd: Europe, clinging to memories of empires that no longer exist, repeatedly attempts to reassert dominance through the conquest or subjugation of Russia. We are now witnessing what may be the sixth iteration of this fatal attraction, and like all previous attempts, it is destined to fail—not because of Russian military superiority, but because Europe fundamentally misunderstands the nature of power in the 21st century and refuses to accept its own diminished position in the global order.
The cycle is clear. Europe’s time as a dominant force in world affairs ended 80 years ago. The sixth invasion of Russia is merely the final proof that Europe’s political elite class never accepted this reality. By the time the current crisis resolves, that acceptance will no longer be optional. The world is moving on, and Europe is being left behind—frozen in the Russian winter of its own making, one final time.
The idea that the Eurozone’s larger GDP would automatically make the euro defeat the dollar as the world’s dominant reserve currency was a popular hypothesis in the early years of the euro (late 1990s/early 2000s), but it has proven to be an oversimplification. This has always been about rising to the top of the world once again living in the glow of past memories of greatness.
The newspaper that famously claimed the “Pound’s days are numbered” and would decline because the UK was not joining the euro was The Independent. On June 5, 2000, The Independent ran a front-page headline stating “Pound’s days are numbered”, with the article arguing that the pound was doomed to fall sharply in value if Britain stayed out of the euro. This came during a period of intense debate in the UK about whether to adopt the single European currency.
The problem always stems from the failure to understand what is the backbone of a reserve currency that the Eurozone lacks. In times of global crisis, investors still overwhelmingly flock to U.S. dollar assets. The capitalization of just the NYSE is greater than all of European exchanged combined. Political & Military Power has always been key from ancient dats of Athens, Alexander the Great, to Rome and even Venice during the Middle Ages. The dollar’s role is underpinned by U.S. geopolitical influence and security alliances, which the EU does not match as a unified entity.
The prediction, however, turned out to be incorrect in the medium term. Instead of declining, the pound actually strengthened significantly against the euro for much of the following decade, reaching a peak in the mid-2000s. The journalists and economists who confidently declared the “pound’s days are numbered” in 2000 were catastrophically wrong. Yet most faced no professional consequences for such spectacular predictive failure—they simply moved on to the next confident prediction.
This is why I have consistently argued: ignore the consensus, follow the cycle, and question anyone who claims certainty about complex systems reduced to a single explanation. The euro prediction debacle is a textbook case of how political ideology, groupthink, and institutional bias can produce wildly inaccurate forecasts that are presented as inevitable economic truth.
This headline is often cited as a classic example of media misjudgment on major economic and political issues. A significant strand of argument in parts of the London press did claim that adopting the euro was a French-led project designed to challenge, and ultimately “defeat,” United States economic and geopolitical dominance. That dream failed for the Eurozone could not turn away from the Marxist Agenda.
The Neocons are working overtime telling their plants to inform their candidate not to listen to our forecasts. I have encountered this before and this time they are going all out. I find it strange how every intelligence agency wants this info, but members are Congress are being told to keep you distance. This obviously intended to make sure they get their World War III. We will be issuing an update to the Cycle of War for 2026. We will let you know when it shall be released.
Posted originally on Jan 19, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
QUESTION: Marty, you have said that every religion has undergone some schism. That implies that governments have also seen splits and even civil wars. Is this what Socrates has uncovered that unity cannot exit in ant group setting?
Greg
ANSWER: There have been major upheavals in religion, such as the Byzantine Iconoclasm, a profound religious and political crisis that rocked the Byzantine Empire for over a century (with two main phases: 726–787 and 814–842 AD). While the act of putting Christ’s image on coinage by Emperor Justinian II (c. 692 AD) was a highly significant and a controversial event that intensified theological debate and foreshadowed the coming conflict, it is not considered the beginning of Byzantine Iconoclasm. However, the Muslims were using the Byzantine coinage until this event. That is what caused Islam to begin to issue their own coinage.
Then there was the Great Schism of 1054 in Christianity between the East (Orthodox) and the West (Rome). Sunni-Shi’a divide, which originated in a succession crisis after the death of the Prophet Muhammad in 632AD. Martin Luther (1483–1546) was the Catalyst for the Protestant Reformation when he nailed his “95 Theses” to the door in 1517AD. Judaism has experienced major ideological fractures and the gradual emergence of distinct movements, particularly in the modern era. Buddhism has a clear history of major schisms, often formalized by councils. Hinduism is inherently pluralistic, so “schism” is less applicable. Daoism in China split primarily along liturgical and lineage lines. The major schism in Shinto is a modern, politically engineered one. Sikhism experienced a major, definitive schism after its 10th Guru. We find that religions have split as we see politically in nation-states.
To me, this demonstrates that there will ALWAYS be a division among nations for politics is even more divisive. If religions split, the division of a nation into groups of political views is much more possible than religion.
Posted originally on Jan 19, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
South Korea sentencing former President YoonSuk Yeol to five years in prison over his martial law attempt is a major historical event because it cuts straight to the heart of what always happens when a leader believes he personally IS the state. The court found him guilty of abuse of power, obstruction of justice, and falsifying official documents, all tied to that failed martial law move.
Martial law exists in most constitutions as a last-resort mechanism because once a head of state tries to invoke it for political survival, it is no longer governance. It becomes the weaponization of government against the people. Yoon panicked when it became apparent that he was facing impeachment. Blaming North Korea, Yoon declared emergency martial law for a full three hours before it was overturned by Parliament.
The former president was sentenced to five years in prison, a small price to pay considering there were calls for the death penalty. South Korea has not carried out a execution in three decades. “Calling for the death penalty for Yoon is not a matter of choice but a necessity and cannot be considered excessive,” said Moon Geum-ju, a Democratic Party floor spokesperson. Executing a former head of state does not inspire confidence to say the least.
When we look at the Monthly Array from 2023, we can see that the major turning point would be April 2024, which the computer was projecting from November 2023. The April 10, 2024, election, when all 300 members of the National Assembly were elected, 254 from first-past-the-post constituencies and 46 from proportional party lists. The two largest parties, the Liberal Democratic Party and the conservative People Power Party, once again set up satellite parties to take advantage of the electoral system.
The election served as a “mid-term evaluation” of President Yoon Suk-yeol’s administration, which is nearing its third year. The question became whether the ruling party could surpass the constraints of the ruling coalition, which did not secure a majority in the previous general election. The election saw opposition parties, primarily the Democratic Party, retain their majority in the National Assembly. We can see that the numerous Directional Changes thereafter ensured a divided political state.
South Korea has a long history of prosecuting former leaders after they leave office. But this case is uniquely important because it wasn’t just a bribery scandal or political persecution. Yoon is being held accountable for permitting his own ambitions to override the constitution and crossing a line that no leader in a constitutional republic is permitted to cross.
Leaders start thinking they can rule by decree. They silence opponents. They use state power to protect themselves. And when they fall, the entire system suffers the aftershock. The markets may shrug for a day, but society doesn’t.
Posted originally on Jan 19, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Governor Tim Walz threatened to command the state National Guard to attack federal agents. “We do not need any further help from the federal government. To Donald Trump and Kristi Noem, you’ve done enough. I’ve issued a warning order to prepare the Minnesota National Guard,” Walz said in a press event. “We have soldiers in training and prepared to be deployed if necessary. I remind you, a warning order is a heads-up for folks,” Walz said. “Minnesota will not allow our community to be used as a prop in a national political fight.” Now, Washington is considering invoking the Insurrection Act to deploy US troops to Minnesota.
“If the corrupt politicians of Minnesota don’t obey the law and stop the professional agitators and insurrectionists from attacking the Patriots of I.C.E., who are only trying to do their job, I will institute the INSURRECTION ACT, ” Trump said on his Truth Social platform.
We live in a world where states are openly defying the federal government, toying with the idea of separatism, as politics have become too divided for the states to remain united. The 1807 Insurrection Act permits US presidents to unilaterally deploy federal military personnel within the US to restore law and order.
Fifteen different presidents have invoked the Insurrection Act on 30 separate occasions throughout US history. The Insurrection Act was last utilized by President George Bush in May 1992 during the Los Angeles riots. President Trump has the authority to invoke the Act, and if chaos prevents federal agents from carrying out tasks, he may be forced to deploy the military. Shaken by the threat, Walz is asking Trump to “turn the temperature down,” and “stop this campaign of retribution.” Yet, Walz boldly declared he would command state troops to defy Washington.
The unrest in Minnesota is largely due to paid agitated actors who take orders from dark money NGOs controlled by the globalist elite, but I will discuss that matter in a separate post. Democrats like Walz are deliberately creating unrest ahead of the midterm elections. The plan has been to force Washington into a corner where force must be met with force to maintain order. Trump’s presidency will be met with resistance at every corner, as the computer warned, as Washington now faces enemies both domestic and international.
Posted originally on Jan 19, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Peace was never an option. The Russia-Ukraine war was plotted out over a decade ago by people unassociated with either nation. The Plot to Seize Russia explains everything in detail. Yeltsin handed Putin the reins to protect Russia from the oligarchs. The West installed Zelensky to quietly control Ukraine and position it for battle. Former German Chancellor Angela Merkel admitted that the Minsk Agreement was a lie, an appeasement to pass time to allow Ukraine to build its military.
World leaders continually declare that Russia shows no signs of accepting peace. “What we’ve seen is the huge commitment to work being done by Ukraine, with the US and supported by Europe to draw up plans for peace including security guarantees,” Britain’s Foreign Secretary, Yvette Cooper said. “But so far, I don’t see the evidence that Putin is yet willing to come to the table, or yet willing to have discussions.”
“Most importantly, we want peace and harmony to reign in Ukraine, and we are ready to work together with other countries to do everything to facilitate and support such a development,” President Putin stated on March 17, 2014, during his reunification speech.
“For eight years, for eight long years, we have done everything possible to resolve the situation by peaceful political means,” Putin said on a televised address on February 24, 2022, when Russia began its “special military operation” in Ukraine. Moscow was prepared to honor the Minsk Agreement, but Europe was not. The Minsk Agreement is paramount. Putin has repeatedly called for peace over the past four years.
“We are set on serious negotiations with Ukraine. Their aim is to eliminate the root causes of the conflict and to achieve a long‑term lasting peace for a historical perspective,” the Russian President said in May 2025 when he discussed a potential ceasefire. Dmitry Peskov, Kremlin spokesman, reiterated readiness for “a peaceful settlement to end the war.”
The headlines continue to spit out propaganda—peace is not an option. Peace IS an option for Russia, and perhaps Ukraine, but the neocon elite simply will not allow the war to end. Zelensky seemed willing to accept a peace deal in 2022, but the UK’s Boris Johnson promptly talked him out of accepting the deal.
I submitted my peace proposal to Washington in November 2025. The Trump Administration, perhaps with the guidance of my proposal, created a strategy for peace that only one side was willing to accept.
War is a great way to default on debts. You get to form a new government, and they always disavow the debts of the previous government. Europe has been committing economic suicide. Between the COVID-19 Lockdowns, the NET-ZERO Climate Change, and then the sanctions on Russia that doubled their fuel costs, you could not ask for a more brain-dead group of politicians who have ZERO comprehension of even how the economy functions.
Cycle targets that we provide are TURNING POINTS. This means an event normally takes place at that time be it a high or low. If ideally something should produce a low but does not and produces a high, it is typically extending the cycle to the next TURNING POINT. It looks at this time that the next important turning point is the week at the start of Sept. There is of course the Fed meeting. But then there is trouble among debt ridden nations and then there is Iran.
Keep in mind that for some strange reason, geopolitical events tend to also happen in the Aug/Sept time frame. Besides war, there was even 911. On 28 June 1914, ArchdukeFranz Ferdinand of Austria was assassinated. World War I began officially 28 July 1914 and lasted until 11 November 1918. It was August when things really got underway. World War II began when Germany attacked Poland on September 1, 1939. Most stock market crash events take place after highs in early Sept such as 9/3/1929. Even the 1987 Crash 10/19/1987.What it is about this time of the year who knows. Where December is the time to be jolly, Sept is the time for chaos. Never look for a particular event high/low. It is a TURNING POINT that sometimes can invert and produce the opposite largely because everything is connected. It is always an action/reaction.
Posted originally on Jan 17, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
What is really stunning in this conversation is how the WOKE LEFT are willing to go in order to pretend that they are never wrong. This doctor refuses to simply admit that “biological men cannot get pregnant.” The conversation had nothing to do with transgender. This is indeed a simple yes/no question can “BIOLOGICAL MEN” get pregnant. They they have the audacity to pretend that this is polarizing. It did not ask if a transgender woman can get pregnant. This is a straight up biological man meaning there is no medical alteration. Indeed, how can we take such people seriously?
Posted originally on Jan 16, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Thread: Ukraine’s Troubling Conscription Tactics
1/ Ukraine’s war effort depends on forced conscription, but its methods are alarming. Over 1M men drafted since 2022, now targeting ages 25–60. The government’s coercive tactics are undermining trust and morale. 🧵👇 pic.twitter.com/DsgJcsj1ok
Zelensky is forcing a generation to perish in this endless war with Russia and NATO. Recent reports indicate that 200,000 soldiers have gone AWOL (absent without leave), and for perspective, that is more soldiers than the entire UK military. Ukraine’s new Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov warned that the government is hunting down two million Ukrainians who are wanted for evading mobilization.
“Today, we cannot fight with new technologies, with an old organizational structure,” Fedorov said in a televised warning. “Our goal is to change the system, carry out army reforms, improve the infrastructure on the front, to eradicate lies and corruption, to instill leadership, and a new culture of trust.”
The age of conscription was lowered from 27 to 25 back in April 2024. Zelensky has demanded that men from 25 up to 60 years of age join mobilization efforts. Ukraine has a population of 40 million, and 2 million evaders represent a significant portion of men, but only six months ago, reports indicated that 6 million menwere wanted for evading the draft.
Everything comes with a price tag in Ukraine. The alleged cost for organized desertion begins in the $7,000 rage, and some reports have stated individuals were able to remove themselves from wanted registry lists for $3,500. Men have attempted to flee to neighboring Belarus, Romania, and Hungary. Romania reportedly detained over 10,000 attempted evaders in 2025 alone. There is little room for escape; everyone must comply with Zelensky’s death orders.
BRUTAL SCENES IN UKRAINE: Watch as a man fights back against forced draft—only to get beaten down by troops in broad daylight!
With massive front-line casualties, draft-dodging and illegal border runs have ballooned into a MULTI-BILLION $ underground empire
The punishment for going AWOL during wartime is five to 12 years imprisonment, but the Defense Ministry needs those men on the battlefield. Europe is eager to step in once Ukraine decimates a generation of men and permanently alters its demographic. The men in Europe have no say on the matter either. Governments can temporarily rely on the economic downturn to attract new recruits, but there simply are not enough men available to play in the neocon war games. Drafts will happen worldwide once World War III breaks out.
Conscripts receive two weeks of training before battle. The government has resorted to “busification” or kidnapping to force men to comply with the draft. Soldiers are expected to fight until they are killed to too badly injured to continue fighting. Reports state that there is little rotation from the frontlines as Zelensky has simply run out of men and plans to use the remaining troops as cannon fodder.
Sentiment is quite different when people believe in cause. The current war has dragged on for four years, no progress has been made on peace deals or treaties, and the scope has widened significantly due to the globalist neocons who have been patiently waiting to join the battle. The elites demand destruction from the safety of their glass castles while millions live in fear, hiding from the death and destruction that awaits them.
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