Former President Jair Bolsonaro Sentenced to 27 Years


Posted originally on Sep 15, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro has been sentenced to 27 years in prison for allegedly plotting a coup to overturn the presidential election. Politicians who defy the new world order are silenced through assassination or imprisonment. This has become a worldwide phenomenon, from Germany to Brazil, as politicians who rebuke the globalist agenda are receiving massive support from the people, and eliminating opposition is the only way for current regimes to remain in power.

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The Brazilian people independently denied the results of the 2022 election and stormed government buildings on January 8, 2022, a week after Lula was inaugurated. The Federal Police uncovered a draft of a coup announcement at the home of former Justice Minister Anderson Torres. After months of detainment, Torres maintained that the document, which he received from a private citizen, was taken out of context and held no legal validity. The plans outlined in the document never occurred, but the establishment maintains that Bolsonaro is a threat to Brazilian democracy.

As our computer warned, there would be intense, politically motivated civil unrest worldwide in November 2022. Ahead of the election, Brazil’s leftist opposition Workers’ Party (PT) Marcelo Arruda was enjoying his birthday celebration in the city of Foz de Iguacu, Parana, when he was shot dead. The vote of 49.1%-50.9% was the closest Brazilian presidential election in history since 1985 and marked Bolsonaro’s first political defeat. Bolsonaro supporters held mass protests across the nation to protest Lula’s victory and blocked hundreds of major roadways. Bolsonaro first sided with the protestors, saying they felt “indignation and a sense of injustice.”

The intense backlash from across the globe caused Bolsonaro to change course. “I know you are upset… Me too. But we have to keep our heads straight,” Bolsonaro said in a video posted online. “I will make an appeal to you: clear the highways.” Bolsonaro confirmed with Brazil’s Supreme Court that he would willingly hand over power to Lula. “I have always played within the four lines of the constitution,” he said, without declaring defeat. Bolsonaro is already barred from running for office until 2030. The establishment wants to ensure that he is never up for reelection.

Bolsonaro of Brazil

The Brazilian Supreme Court rules in a 4-5 vote to convict Bolsonaro on all five charges, carrying a sentence of 27 years and 3 months in prison. There is no concrete evidence against Bolsonaro. There was no coup. No election was overturned and Bolsonaro did not attempt to take power after his defeat. Bolsonaro has evaded assassination in the past. Lula was desperate to find a reason to prevent Bolsonaro from running for office before the probationary period ended, and the Brazilian courts acted as weapons of the state.

The Brazilian government did not deter unrest; rather, they ensured it.

The Division of the United States is in Motion


Posted originally on Sep 14, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

America Divided

I have been getting a ton of emails asking if this assassination of Charlie Kirk is what the computer has been forecasting about the great divide in the United States. Multiple companies across the United States are now issuing warnings to employees that they won’t have a job to go back to on Monday if they post comments celebrating or mocking the assassination of conservative commentator Charlie Kirk.

Shockingly, even MSNBC analyst Mike Dowd, on Sept. 11, the day after Kirk was fatally shot at a Utah university, was fired. Appearing on MSNBC Live with Katy Tur, he was asked about “the environment in which a shooting like this happens.” Dowd responded by describing Kirk as “one of the most divisive, especially divisive younger figures in this” political landscape, who was “constantly sort of pushing this sort of hate speech or sort of aimed at certain groups.” He then added:

“Hateful thoughts lead to hateful words, which then lead to hateful actions… You can’t stop with these sort of awful thoughts you have and then saying these awful words and then not expect awful actions to take place.”

Dowd also speculated before it was confirmed that Kirk was the target that the shots might have been fired by “a supporter shooting their gun off in celebration,” noting the lack of details at the time and Kirk’s strong Second Amendment advocacy. These remarks aired shortly after initial reports of gunfire but before Kirk’s death was publicly confirmed by then-President Trump on Truth Social.

The comments of Dowd illustrated the raw hatred in this country, and MSNBC has been a champion of dividing the country, along with CNN. If Trump said the sky is blue, they will call him a liar because it is red. They have championed Russiagate, protected Hillary’s emails, and done everything they could to be one-sided and hateful. Not that FOX is an angel. When the media pushes their one-sided agendas, they divide the people. Dowd’s definition of hate speech is anything he disagrees with.

Hitler’s rise was entirely predictable in 1933, thanks to the oppression of the German people with the reparation payments demanded by France out of hatred, seeking vengeance to punish the common people for the previous leadership. The common people are NEVER asked whether we should go to war. Throughout history, wars have ALWAYS been created by the leadership. The French hatred of the Germans caused World War II.

German 1918 Revolution

The German press during the Weimar Republic began to hate Jews by blaming Jews for the corruption of the Weimar Republic. The Sklarek Jewish brothers bribed mid-level city officials to win extremely lucrative contracts to supply uniforms for the Berlin police, fire department, and other city employees.

The Barmat Scandal (1924-1925) involved two Jewish brothers from the Netherlands, who used their political connections to engage in large-scale fraud. Using their high-level political friendships as leverage, the Barmats secured enormous loans and lines of credit from Germany’s state-owned postal bank (Reichspost) and the Prussian State Bank (Seehandlung). They essentially used their political “pull” to convince bank directors that they were a safe bet. That all collapsed.

The corruption was widespread after the overthrow of the monarchy in 1918. It led to the resignation of the Berlin mayor, Gustav Böß (1873-1946), and severely weakened the SPD’s hold on the capital. The right-wing press sensationalized these to paint the entire Republic as corrupt and “Jew-ridden.”

The constant perception of corruption delegitimized democracy in the eyes of many Germans. Parties on both the far left and far right could credibly argue that the Weimar system was a corrupt, self-serving failure. This made the public more receptive to extremist solutions, most notably Adolf Hitler’s Nazi Party, which promised to break the corrupt “system.” It was the press and their division that led to the hatred of the Jews as they promoted the conspiracy that Communism was a Jewish Plot. The German press divided the country, and this is what the American press is doing to America, ensuring it too cannot stand united.

Dowd’s comments essentially justified the assassination of Kirk because he disagreed with what he said. This drew immediate backlash on social media and from conservative figures, who interpreted them as victim-blaming—implying Kirk’s rhetoric had provoked his own assassination. Fox News host Jesse Watters, for instance, called for Dowd’s immediate firing, labeling the remarks “disgusting” and dangerous. MSNBC President Rebecca Kutler issued a statement denouncing them as “inappropriate, insensitive and unacceptable,” emphasizing that “there is no place for violence in America, political or otherwise.” The network fired Dowd by the end of the day, marking the first high-profile consequence in a wave of professional repercussions for inflammatory statements about Kirk’s death.

Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy on Sept. 13 said that multiple pilots employed by American Airlines have been immediately grounded and removed from service, and Delta Airlines employees have also been suspended pending investigation. “This behavior is disgusting, and they should be fired,” Duffy wrote on X in response to the American Airlines news. “Any company responsible for the safety of the traveling public cannot tolerate that behavior.”

Civil Unrest 2023

Our computer pinpointed the shift that began with Ukraine in 2022. You can see that 2024 was a turning point, and this trend will continue to rise into next year, 2026. This type of division will increase in intensity during economic declines. Our computer also warned that from May 2024, we are headed into a recession that will not bottom until 2028 and is more likely to end up as a depression in Europe.

Interview with Daniel Estulin


Posted originally on Sep 14, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Interview: The Old World Order is Collapsing – The Death of Europe and the Rise of China


Posted originally on Sep 13, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Poland Sends 40,000 Troops to the Border


Posted originally on Sep 12, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

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Poland is deploying about 40,000 soldiers on the borders with Belarus and Russia amid rising tensions after the Russian drone attack on September 10. Still, there are rumours that they have captured Russian drones and have deployed them to instigate a false flag. We cannot verify this rumour, but it is getting traction.

Poland ECM 1989 2041

Based on the ECM for Poland, we can see that October 26, 2023, was a significant turning point. Unfortunately, this aligned with our war cycles and then turned into 2028. The parliamentary elections in Poland were held on Sunday, October 15, 2023. The election was a decisive victory for the opposition parties, who together won a majority of seats in the parliament. This resulted in a significant shift in Polish politics.

Poland Asks to Invoke Article 4


Posted originally on Sep 12, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

WAR DRONE

Multiple Russian drones were reportedly shot down in Polish airspace earlier this week, and now, the Polish government is urging NATO to respond. The violation of Polish airspace marked the first time that a NATO member directly engaged in combat with Russia. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated that Poland has never been closer to enter a conflict since World War II. Polish President Karol Nawrocki believes that Russia is testing its limits. The government has called on NATO allies to invoke Article 4: “The Parties will consult together whenever, in the opinion of any of them, the territorial integrity, political independence or security of any of the Parties is threatened.”

Not to be confused with Article 5, Article 4 is merely an agreement to discuss the security of a member nation. “The Russian provocation was nothing more than an attempt to test our capabilities and response. It was an attempt to check the mechanism of operation within NATO and our ability to react,” President Nawrocki commented.

Russia believes that the drone spotting was a false flag, and a “myths repeatedly spread by Poland in order to escalate the Ukrainian crisis further.” US President Trump questioned Russia’s actions on social media. Secretary General Mark Rutte affirmed that “allies expressed solidarity with Poland and denounced Russia’s reckless behavior.”

Article 4 is often the prelude to Article 5. It is the emergency meeting that takes place ahead of action. Poland has deployed 40,000 troops to its border with Belarus, where the drones were shot down. Russia and Belarus have planned to execute a joint military exercise named Zapad 2025 that will involve tens of thousands of troops.

“Poland has been preparing for the Zapad 2025 maneuvers for many months,” Cezary Tomczyk, a deputy defense minister, told broadcaster Polsat News. “The Polish Army has conducted exercises in which over 30,000 Polish soldiers, as well as soldiers of the [NATO] alliance, took part in order to adequately respond,” he said. “Let’s remember that Zapad 2025 is an offensive exercise.”

Was it a false flag? Belarus claims it provided Poland with advance notice that drones would enter its airspace. “The Belarusians warned us that drones were heading towards us through their airspace,” General Wiesław Kukuła, Chief of the General Staff of the Polish Armed Forces, said. “It was surprising to me that Belarus, which is really trying to escalate the situation on our land border, decided to cooperate in this way.”

Belarus’ Chief of the General Staff, Pavel Muraveiko also claims that the drones veered off course and unintendedly entered Poland. “As the Russian Federation and Ukraine exchanged blows using unmanned aerial vehicles this night, duty forces and assets of the air defense system of the Republic of Belarus constantly monitored the unmanned aerial vehicles that veered off course due to electronic jamming from both sides,” Muraveiko said.

Drones should not have entered Polish airspace. The incident does appear accidental, as Belarus notified Poland in advance; however, sending unmanned weapons into a NATO nation is asking for trouble and a miscalculation that neither Russia nor Belarus can afford, with the neocons in NATO eagerly awaiting a reason to ignite World War III.

August CPI – USA


Posted originally on Sep 12, 2025 by Martin Armstrong | 

CPI Formula

Consumer prices are up 2.9% in August on an annual basis after rising 2.7% in July. CPI doubled from July’s reading at 0.4%, with inflation now sitting at 2.9%. Core CPI excluding food and energy rose 3.1% YoY.

Food prices are 3.2% higher this year, rising 0.5% from July 2025. Food at home rose 3.2% YoY (0.6% MoM), while food away from home rose 3.3% YoY (0.3% MoM). Vegetable prices rose 1.6% from the month prior. Meats, fish, poultry, and eggs rose 1% in August, with beef prices continuing to rise at 2.7%. Dairy products increased slightly by 0.1% and nonalcoholic beverages rose 0.6%.

There was an uptick in the price of medical care services with a 4.2% annual increase. The medical care index overall decreased by 0.7%.

Shelter costs spiked 3.6% in the past year as well, with household goods and furnishings rising 3.9%.

The tariff price adjustment can be felt in the auto sector as prices are up across the board. Even used cars have increased 6% in price from August 2024, and motor vehicle insurance is up 4.7% over the same timeframe. Transportation services in general rose 3.5%. Airline fares are up 5.9% on a monthly basis after rising 4% in July.

The energy index rose 0.2% over the past 12 months, although there seems to be a bit of reprieve on gas (down 6.6% YoY), and general energy commodities (-6.2% YoY). The cost of electricity spiked 6.2% in the past 12 months, energy services rose 7.7%, and utilities are up an alarming 13.8%.

Inflation continues to rise faster than wages, with the average urban wage earner seeing a 2.8% annual increase in pay. The Labor Department noted in a separate report that weekly unemployment reached 263,000 on a seasonally adjusted basis, with 27,000 additional job losses from the prior period.

Prices are up, employment is down, and overall GDP is declining. The mainstream analysts are finally recognizing that we are in a period of stagflation.

US Unemployment 1902 2024 Array 8 10 25
US Unemployment 1902 2024

Our computer is demonstrating that volatility in unemployment will rise from 2026, peaking first in 2028 with a Panic Cycle in 2029. This also confirms our War Cycles for 2026. What we MUST come to grips with is that there is far more to understanding the economy from a single statistic perspective. However, we are also undergoing two significant factors that the classic economic models fail to incorporate, aside from the fact that 99% of the rhetoric and the economic models overlook the leverage in the banking system that creates money outside of the Federal Reserve through lending.

RIP Charlie Kirk (1993-2025)


Posted originally on Sep 12, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

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Political activist Charlie Kirk was murdered while speaking at Utah Valley University. Kirk, 31, leaves behind a wife and two small children. Violence against conservatives must come to an end.

Democrats have been encouraging violence against their political opponents and their supporters. The world watched the gruesome death of Iryna Zarutska, whose killer was let out on cashless bail with no fewer than 14 arrests, as there are two tiers of justice in the US. There was an attempt on the president’s life during his campaign as his opponents repeatedly called for violence against Donald Trump and anyone who supported him. Trump and Vance released a list of the dangerous, ongoing rhetoric promoted by the left and legacy media during his campaign. Conservatives have become a hated class.

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“Trump parrots Hitler,” Joe Biden stated in December 2023, later adding that MAGA conservatives were the “largest threat to democracy.” Hillary Clinton called conservatives a “basket of deplorables” and suggested imprisoning conservative voices for spreading propaganda. “Adolf Hitler was elected chancellor of Germany. He worked to discredit institutions to the point where people believed it … This is the same type of propaganda we heard in the 1920s and during World War I against Jews,” Rep. James Clyburn stated in 2019.

“You could put half of Trump’s supporters into what I call the basket of deplorables. Right? The racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamophobic—you name it. … He has given voice to their websites that used to only have 11,000 people. Now how many millions?” Hillary Clinton stated in 2016.

Leftist rhetoric over the years determined that Donald Trump is Adolf Hitler and his supporters are hateful Nazis. America’s dictator is dismantling democracy and replacing it with fascism, only beholden to the billionaire class. Conservatives are intolerant racists who hate the gay community and want to ban same-sex unions. The right hates women as a whole, although women only exist as a concept, as they aim to turn America into Margaret Atwood’s “Handmaid’s Tale.” MAGA conservatives are deliberately removing rights from the American people.

Millions of people believe the rhetoric played on a loop across every media platform. Divisive politics has caused a near civil war in America. The left has been encouraged and permitted to act out violently in support of their causes from the George Floyd Black Lives Matter riots that burned down cities to the calls to burn down Tesla cars over ties to Elon Musk. These people believe they are on “the right side of history” and freeing imaginary prisoners from future concentration camps by attacking conservatives.

Freedom of speech is also a concept. It is dangerous to voice conservative viewpoints. Conservatives genuinely fear retribution for voicing their opinions with good reason. Charlie Kirk bravely represented conservative beliefs, co-founding Turning Point when he was 18. He visited college campuses to engage in thought-provoking dialogue and political discourse. Agree to disagree.

“When someone takes the life of a person because of ideas or ideals, that very foundation is threatened. We need to stop hating our fellow Americans… I say unite us as a country,” Utah Governor Spencer Cox stated.

Before he was declared dead, the mainstream media suggested that one of his supporters could have fired the shot into the crowd. Democrats like AOC used his death to promote repealing the Second Amendment, urging gun control. The US House of Representatives proved that they are unwilling to end the violence. During a moment of silence for Charlie Kirk, neither Republicans nor Democrats could contain their anger and erupted into a shouting match.

Civil Unrest 2023

Washington has ordered flags to be flown at half-mast. The violence must be condemned, but unfortunately, the computer model has not been optimistic about the unity of the United States of America. Tensions will continue to rise as the division has reached a point of no return.

Kirk

The Motive for Nepal’s Revolution


Posted originally on Sep 11, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

The final straw for the revolution in Nepal was the government’s attempt to stifle free speech by banning social media platforms. These events did not take place because a few kids had their tablets taken away. Extreme government corruption ran rampant for years while the elite lived luxurious lifestyles in spite of the people they ruled over. The Nepalese government attempted to prevent the people from freely voicing their growing discontent, and then, when the people attempted to protest, the government murdered over 20 school-aged children in cold blood.

The media has poorly portrayed the cause of events by calling it the “Gen Z” revolution, sparked by a social media ban, which is entirely misleading, as the culprit was corruption and poverty. One in four citizens lives below the poverty line, with the average Nepali earning $1,400 USD annually. The poorest 20% spend around 67% of their income on food, and, much like most nations, in 2025, the majority is struggling to maintain the cost of living.

Then you have over 20% unemployment among the youth. In contrast, there is a “Nepo Kid” online trend where the children of the wealthy elite flaunt their luxurious lifestyles. The hashtags #PoliticiansNepoBabyNepal, #NepoKids, and #NepoBaby began circulating online during the protests. “The leaders’ children return from abroad with Gucci bagsthe people’s children in coffins,” read a placard held by a protestor. The “coffin” remark may allude to the return of deceased Nepali citizens who work as mercenaries in the Ukraine-Russia war.

The parents of these Nepo Kids are extremely corrupt and have sold out their fellow countrymen in favor of their own self-interest. Transparency International, a nonprofit connected to the World Economic Forum and World Bank, deemed Nepal as the one of the most corrupt nations in Asia. The scandals are numerous. At least $71 million USD was embezzled during the construction of the international airport in Pokhara city. The New York Times reported that Nepali government leaders were preying on the youth through a scheme where they’d promise to secure them refugee status in the United States for a fee.

In January 2025, FORMER Prime Minister Oli’s administration declared an ordinance amending 29 laws, which reversed prior Supreme Court verdicts mainly against illegal land swaps and hoarding. The ruling protected corrupt government officials facing corruption charges. National property was transferred to private ownership for the government elite. Over the summer, there was a massive scandal connected to state-run enterprises issuing fraudulent contracts. The corruption is endless, and the children of these corrupt politicians openly flaunted their family’s unearned wealth online.

The protests began peacefully. The government quickly acted to silence the voice of the people. Social media is one of the last free platforms of speech that permits people to connect instantaneously. The revolution will not be televised, but it will be live streamed across all social media platforms. As the protests grew, the government began to panic and authorities became increasingly aggressive toward protestors until tensions rose to a head and the police began shooting into the crowd. The people of Nepal watched as a young boy in his school uniform was shot in the head by the police.

Revolts are swift and violent. Fueled by anger, the people began to destroy the government at its source. The Parliament building was infiltrated and burned to the ground before Former PM Oli could issue his recognition. Thousands of people livestreamed the event. Angry mobs sought out the politicians whom they believed were responsible for their economic hardships. PM Oli’s residence in Bhaktapur was set on fire, as was the residence of President Ram Chandra Paudel. The wife of Nepal’s largest political party, who also serves as the minister of foreign affairs, was ambushed and beaten in her home. The wife of Nepal’s former prime minister was unable to flee when her home was set ablaze and burned alive. I reported how the minister of finance was chased through the streets, beaten, and paraded around in his underwear before the people tossed him into the river.

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(Foreign Minister Arzu Rana Deuba was attacked in her home)

History has shown that these revolutions become extremely violent. Look at what the people did to Benito Mussolini, hanging his disfigured body in the public square. Or in France where the people executed Marie Anointenne who was known for flaunting her wealth in a perceived mockery of the poverty-stricken public. Civil unrest grows, government attempts to contain it with force, and the collective anger of the people implodes like a nuclear weapon. Violence is inevitable when the people feel unheard and have nothing to lose.

Reports are stating that certain dissenting political groups are using the revolution to push their own agenda. Former Prime Minister Prachanda went into hiding when the protests erupted and has been accused of employing bad actors to incite violence and kill his political rivals. Criminal court cases are being destroyed. Prisons have been infiltrated and hundreds of people have been released.

Franklin war v Revolution

The mainstream media is portraying this as a Gen Z protest over social media because the political elite are scared. In reality, the people collectively rose up against government tyranny and toppled the government within 48 hours. Revolutions are the product of failed governments, corruption, and the refusal of those in power to yield when the cycle has already turned against them. The youth are the first to stand up because they have no vested interest in preserving a corrupt system. They see no future in servitude to debt or a political class that only serves itself.

Nepal’s revolution is a foreshadowing of what is to come elsewhere. It is always the smaller, weaker nations that flip first, sending shockwaves through the system. This is not about left versus right, rich versus poor, or even democracy versus authoritarianism. It is about the collapse in confidence in government itself. That is the real cycle, and it is in motion now.

The Freedoms Lost Under the Patriot Act


Posted originally on Sep 11, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |

Surveilence

The Patriot Act was drafted and pushed through with lightning speed, something that could not have been written overnight. This was the beginning of warrantless surveillance, indefinite detention, and a wholesale reversal of constitutional rights. I have said many times: governments do not waste a good crisis. They wait for the right moment to impose measures that would never pass during normal times. Americans may be unaware of the freedoms that have been stripped away from them after October 26, 2001, when the Patriot Act was signed into law.

The Patriot Act, officially titled “the Uniting and Strengthening America by Providing Appropriate Tools Required to Intercept and Obstruct Terrorism Act of 2001,” provided the government with unlimited surveillance powers. Terrorism became the premise to bypass the checks and balances of the legal system. Need a warrant? One could be obtained in any district or area where terrorism was suspected. Of course, warrantless searches were permitted under the guise of terrorism and deemed “sneak and peek” searches, where the government could enter a business or personal residence immediately and without warning to conduct an investigation.

NSA Chip

Neither party has repealed the Patriot Act, and politicians on both sides of the aisle will NEVER relinquish these powers. The Patriot Act destroyed the Fourth Amendment and legally permitted the NSA to spy on all Americans. October 26, 2001, marked the day that the United States of America officially became a surveillance state. We The People were branded as potential terrorists, and “the land of the free” was permanently placed under the watchful eye of government. “The War on Terror” has no clear end or defined enemy. The real target was always domestic — the American people themselves. By creating an atmosphere of fear, Washington justified trillions in spending, the invasion of foreign countries, and the slow strangulation of the very liberties the terrorists supposedly hated.

911

Surveillance spread to the financial sector, naturally, as the government can control the masses by controlling their spending. The government is legally permitted to seize funds from foreign and domestic bank accounts if terrorism is suspected. As we saw under the Biden Administration, banks openly share transaction data with the government, and the government can mandate that banks halt any activity under the premise of money laundering or terrorism. The government requires banks to file Suspicious Activity Reports (SAR) to FinCEN to track any “suspicious” financial activity. The scope is deliberately vague. As mentioned, under the Biden Administration, purchases of Bibles or donations to conservative parties were cause for “suspicion.”

Law enforcement agencies have no barriers to sharing information. In Florida, for example, all law enforcement agencies can see every citizen’s personal data, including medical history and any pharmaceuticals they have been prescribed. They can see where a person lives, has lived, and where they commonly visit. Law enforcement agencies can monitor phone calls, text messages, emails, and internet searches. GPS and cell tower tracking can pinpoint an individual’s current location and any previous movement. As the law as progressed, law enforcement agencies have been provided access to social media activity.

AI technology has enabled the government to utilize facial recognition to identify individuals in crowds or track their day-to-day whereabouts. It is not an exaggeration to say that there are cameras everywhere. Some nations openly promote the use of public surveillance cameras, but most Americans are unaware that they are constantly under the government’s watchful eye.

The Patriot Act was far more than merely increased security at the airport. The true nature of the act was to provide the government with unrestrained power to spy on the people. The government can obtain any banking record without judicial oversight and freeze funds without notice. “Terrorism” or “money laundering” can be used to attack citizens for any reason or without reason. Suspicion is the only criterion, and under the Patriot Act, everyone is considered a terrorist and a threat to the established order.