Posted originally on Oct 15, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

QUESSTION: Netanyahu has told Lebanon to purge themselves of Hezbollah and Iran to overthrow their religious government. Do you think regime change is the target objective in this conflict?

NS

ANSWER: Regime Change tends to be more of a wish than an actual military goal. Largely this is the old saying the king is deal, long live the king. Regime Change depends upon the people. Far too often some assume that if you just take out the head of state, you will get regime change. You may get a change far worse. The goal of Israel for their response would break down to three strategies.

(1) Attack Military Targets (that produce the missiles

(2) Economic Targets, such as the oil production

(3) The nuclear targets

The first would be a proportional response. The second would disrupt the world economy sending energy prices higher which Biden is against before the election, and the third is far more difficult for they are underground and Israel lacks bunker attack type bombs that the US does possess.

In Japan, it was the military government that seized control and made the emperor subservient to them. The Japanese blamed their military for causing the war so you have had a deep concern about them ever again seizing power. That is the regime change that can take place after a military confrontation.

Posted originally on Oct 5, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

The Middle East is far more complicated than the Western Media reports. Quietly, Saudi Arabia and Jordan support Israel, for they see Iran as a threat even to their sovereignty despite their populations often taking the opposite position. Iran is Shite and maintains that the religion should rule, not kings. If Iran were taken down, they would quietly be celebrating.

As the world waits for Israel’s response to Iran, the two main targets remain their nuclear facilities and their energy production. The problem with the nuclear facilities is that Iran has placed them deep under the ground. Israel lacks bunker-type weapons, but the US has such weapons. Suppose they lent them to Israel to attack the underground facilities in Iran. In that case, that will most likely divide the region and perhaps result in China and Russia coming into the area.

Attacking Iran’s oil facilities would send oil rising. The Biden Administration does NOT want that to happen before the election. Hence, we have had this paused response from Israel. Before the election, it would seem that the only major target would be nuclear development. However, this would not terminate their capability and could accelerate their move to nuclear capability.

The Biden Administration has allowed more than 1,000 terrorists to enter the country. As we head into October 7th, we should expect terrorist attacks domestically inside the USA, and Israel will be under pressure to take some action by Monday 7th – the 1st anniversary of the Hammas attack.