Jul 1 2026

LIVE: Speaker Mike Johnson, Other House Republicans Hold News Conference…


Posted originally on Rumble on Bright Bart News Network on: June 30, 2026

Jul 1 2026

European Taxpayers Spend 3.9B Euros on Drones for Ukraine


Posted originally on Jul 1, 2026 by Martin Armstrong 

Wartime Assistance to Ukraine from the US and EU - CEPA

The European Union just sent another €3.9 billion to Ukraine to buy drones. This is not humanitarian aid. This is war financing. Reuters reported that the latest transfer is part of the EU’s new €90 billion loan program designed to keep Kyiv funded through 2026 and 2027. The money is being directed toward Ukraine’s drone procurement, meaning European taxpayers are now openly financing the weapons system that has become central to this war.

Do not let anyone pretend Europe is a neutral party. The EU Council itself says support for Ukraine has reached €211.3 billion since the war began. That figure includes military, financial, humanitarian, and refugee-related support. Now Brussels is adding a €90 billion loan on top of that to cover Ukraine’s budget and defense needs for the next two years. This is not charity. This is Europe admitting it intends to keep the war going because Ukraine cannot finance it on its own.

The EU sent nearly €2.8 billion earlier in June, Reuters reported another €3.2 billion tranche under the broader loan structure, and now another €3.9 billion is being pushed out for drones. Ukraine’s reconstruction costs are estimated at $588 billion over the next decade, while Kyiv is signing more than 160 recovery agreements worth over €10 billion. Europe is no longer merely supporting Ukraine. It is building the financial architecture for a permanent war economy.

The Ukrainian problem | Globecartoon - Political Cartoons - Patrick Chappatte

This is precisely what I have warned about with the War Cycle. Governments buried under sovereign debt always need an external enemy. Europe cannot pay for its welfare state, its green agenda, its migrant crisis, its collapsing pensions, and now a permanent military commitment to Ukraine. Yet Brussels keeps borrowing, spending, and pretending this is sustainable. It is not. Debt becomes the weapon. War becomes the excuse.

They told the people this was about defending democracy. Then they censored dissent. They told taxpayers this would be temporary. Now they are financing Ukraine through 2027. They told everyone sanctions would collapse Russia. Instead, Europe entered depressionary conditions while Russia adapted. Now they are funding drones because the battlefield has shifted into a technological meat grinder.

The most disturbing part is that Europe is already acting as if it is at war. It is restricting Ukrainian men of military age from receiving new refugee protections, increasing defense spending, discussing conscription, and financing weapons production. The European Commission wants temporary protection extended until March 2028, but newly arriving Ukrainian men of military age without authorization from Kyiv may be excluded.

Europe is not trying to end this war. It is funding the next phase. The computer has warned that 2026 is a Panic Cycle, 2027 carries the serious risk of broader war, and 2028 brings the economic consequences. This latest €3.9 billion is not just another payment. It is another step down the road to a conflict Europe’s leaders seem determined to create.

Jul 1 2026

Open Borders Contributed to Real Estate Inflation


Posted originally on Jul 1, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

MigrantCrisis

Politicians continue insisting that mass migration carries no economic consequences. Anyone who questions the policy is immediately accused of being anti-immigrant. That has always been the tactic. Rather than debate the economics, they attack the person asking the question. Yet reality eventually catches up with political slogans, and now even economists are beginning to quantify what common sense should have told us years ago.

A new working paper from economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas examined the unprecedented surge in unauthorized immigration between 2021 and 2024. The researchers estimate that unauthorized immigrant workers accounted for roughly 30% of employment growth in the average metropolitan area during that period. More importantly, they found that in markets where housing supply could not expand quickly enough, a 1% increase in unauthorized worker inflows was associated with approximately a 2.2% increase in home prices and about a 1.4% increase in rents.

California.Migrant.FreeHousing
migrantcrisis.sanctuarycities.democrats

When population rises rapidly while housing construction fails to keep pace, prices climb. More people competing for a limited number of homes means higher prices. Demand rises faster than supply. The laws of supply and demand do not disappear because politicians prefer open borders. The Federal Reserve researchers also noted that housing construction did not expand sufficiently to absorb the additional demand, leaving existing residents competing for the same inventory. This is basic economics that governments have chosen to ignore.

The numbers illustrate just how severe the housing shortage has become. Freddie Mac estimates the United States remains short roughly 3.7 million housing units. The National Association of Realtors has repeatedly reported that existing home inventory remains well below historical norms, while the median existing-home price reached another record high during 2025. Meanwhile, mortgage rates have remained around 6% to 7% for much of the past two years, dramatically increasing monthly payments and pushing homeownership further out of reach for younger Americans. The result has been exactly what our computer projected years ago, employed adults increasingly remaining with their parents because housing has become unaffordable.

Politicians will inevitably try to blame investors, landlords, or speculators. Those factors exist, but they are only part of a much larger picture. Housing costs have also been driven higher by inflation, elevated interest rates, soaring insurance premiums, rising construction costs, zoning restrictions, and years of underbuilding following the 2008 financial crisis. Mass immigration adds another layer of demand on top of an already constrained market.

Civil unrest rises whenever governments ignore economic reality. Housing affordability has become one of the defining issues across the Western world, not just in the United States but throughout Canada, Britain, Australia, and much of Europe. You cannot continue adding demand while restricting supply and expect prices to remain stable.

Jul 1 2026

The Drone Has Replaced the Tank


Posted originally on Jul 1, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Hi Tech World War III

Military strategists are still fighting the last war while the battlefield has already changed. Every major conflict throughout history has been defined by a technological revolution. Gunpowder ended the age of castles. Tanks transformed World War II. Precision missiles reshaped modern warfare. Now we have entered the age of the drone. The military that cannot dominate the skies with unmanned systems will lose, regardless of how many tanks, aircraft, or soldiers it possesses.

South Korea has reached the same conclusion. Its Defense Ministry announced that it will train approximately 500,000 soldiers, sailors, airmen, and marines as “drone warriors.” Defense Minister Ahn Gyu-back said every service member should become as proficient with drones as they are with their personal weapons. The plan calls for procuring 11,000 commercial drones by the end of 2026, expanding to 60,000 training drones by 2029, while also acquiring more than 20,000 low-cost combat drones by 2030. Seoul is accelerating production of loitering munitions, AI-enabled drone swarms, laser weapons, and microwave systems designed to destroy incoming drones.

They are responding to the lessons of Ukraine, where inexpensive FPV drones costing only hundreds or thousands of dollars routinely destroy tanks worth millions. The battlefield has become saturated with unmanned aircraft. Ukraine plans to manufacture roughly 7 million military drones in 2026 after producing about 4 million in 2025. According to Ukrainian officials, drones now account for the overwhelming majority of battlefield strikes, fundamentally changing military doctrine. Entire branches of both the Ukrainian and Russian militaries are now dedicated solely to unmanned systems.

A modern drone operator can eliminate armor, artillery, supply convoys, or individual soldiers from miles away while sitting in relative safety. Fiber-optic drones have largely defeated electronic jamming. AI-assisted targeting is reducing operator workload. Swarm attacks can overwhelm traditional air defenses that were designed to intercept aircraft, not hundreds of inexpensive autonomous systems arriving simultaneously. Ukraine has even developed interceptor drones whose sole mission is to hunt other drones, creating an entirely new layer of aerial combat.

South Korea is not alone. Russia formally established its Unmanned Systems Forces, with Ukrainian military estimates claiming the branch could expand from roughly 80,000 personnel today to more than 165,000 during 2026 and perhaps over 200,000 by 2030. NATO countries are pouring billions into drone production, counter-drone technologies, autonomous weapons, and electronic warfare. The United States, China, Israel, Turkey, and Europe are all racing to build domestic drone industries because they understand the next war will not be won by the side with the largest army. It will be won by the side that can produce, replace, and innovate faster than its opponent.

This is precisely why I have warned that the War Cycle is changing the global economy. Wars no longer require decades to build fleets of battleships or thousands of heavy tanks. A nation with sufficient manufacturing capacity can produce tens of thousands of drones every month. The barriers to entry have collapsed. Software updates now matter as much as ammunition. Engineers have become as important as infantry.

The defense industry is no longer limited to traditional contractors producing aircraft carriers and fighter jets. Semiconductor manufacturers, AI companies, battery producers, optics firms, communications specialists, robotics companies, and rare-earth miners have all become part of the defense sector. This is why governments are scrambling to secure critical minerals, expand chip production, and protect supply chains. They are preparing for a world where industrial capacity determines military survival.

Our computer has consistently projected that 2026 marks the acceleration of the international War Cycle. The military transformation unfolding before our eyes confirms that forecast. The next great conflict will not resemble Iraq, Afghanistan, or even the opening stages of Ukraine. It will be fought by autonomous systems, artificial intelligence, electronic warfare, and millions of inexpensive drones operating continuously across every battlefield. The drone has become what the machine gun was in World War I and what the tank became in World War II. Anyone who fails to recognize that reality is preparing for a war that no longer exists.

Jul 1 2026

Trump Blamed for Killing 1300 Frenchmen?


Posted originally on Jun 30, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Pulvar Audrey

Audrey Pulvar, deputy mayor of Paris for international relations, on social media.

Blames Trump for the 1300 deaths in France from the Heat Wave

She wrote:

“Dear American journalists and social media ‘influencers’: for days, some of you have been criticising and making fun of Paris because the city does not have A/C in every room…OMG, this is so rich!”

“As the second-largest emitter of greenhouse gas emissions in the world, you bear a significant amount of responsibility for global warming and the consequences we, in France, are experiencing. Your cities, which are 90 per cent air conditioned, are not unrelated to this.”

No wonder Macron wants WWIII. Perhaps Russia will nuke all the air conditioning in the US to save France

Categories:France

Jul 1 2026

Site Update – Subscriptions: ISP Controls Over Information Still the Biggest Issue


Posted originally on CTH onJune 30, 2026 | Sundance

Ever since we encountered the first and second wave of information control, a background battle has waged on multiple fronts around the internet.  CTH users may encounter disruptions; some information about ‘Subscription Notifications” follows.

I am currently working through another layer of background problem-solving directly related to CTH requests for subscriber notifications.  At the core of the problem are decisions on what terms and conditions we are willing to accept.

Currently people can subscribe to have a notification of a new article post.  Many people have written over the past several months saying they are no longer getting those notifications.  The problem is multi-layered, and at the core is something no one is willing to discuss, because the biggest control mechanisms in your online travel try to keep this information hidden.

Internet Service Providers (ISPs), they’re the entity who you select to use to access the internet (ATT, Comcast, Verizon, or whatever service you pay), long ago began a process to control the content of the information that is processed by their service.

This issue has become more problematic as various nations and governments have also gone beyond their geographic boundary controls with demands upon ISPs to filter information based on determinations of their various bureaucracies.

As an example, the govt of China, Russia, Europe and even Canada may restrict the flow of information available to citizens within that country.  Traditionally, they would put control mechanisms in place to block websites or traffic they deemed averse to the interests of that government.

However, as you might have realized with the Social Media restrictions in the USA based on COVID-19 (example), the issue is not always limited to “hostile” countries but can specifically be determined by the subject matter of interest.

With the advent of Virtual Private Networks (VPNs), the need for control creates ever-increasing tentacles.  One of those tentacles for internet content control extends to ISP companies, who now find themselves subject to terms and conditions of operation; that means they must also adhere to the fiats of the country from which, or to which, the dataflow is connected.

ISPs now create ‘terms and conditions’ for internet traffic. This may be, often is, invisible to you.  However, if ATT (example only) complies with the terms (legal requirement), that means putting blocks in place for the traffic. [This is also part of the age verification and digital id stuff.]

How does this apply to email and/or service subscriptions?  Well, in order to send you information, a third-party subscription (or even an email service itself) needs to ‘authenticate’ with the ISP.

The authentication is part of the agreement to the terms and conditions.  If the information provider does not authenticate, the information transmission can be blocked – you never get the email or the notification.

The ISP demand for authentication or registration is sold as a need to ‘eliminate spam’ or unwanted/harmful content. The ISP is protecting you. However, we have moved way beyond that issue, and now the ISPs are adhering to regulation, and compliance demands on the content itself. This, as you can easily imagine, is a big deal.

The EU has moved beyond blocking sites to blocking content – the actual information itself.  [This issue is not isolated to the EU, only provided as an example.]

If an ISP company wants to sell internet access services to the EU, they must accept EU terms and conditions on the content of their service.  That ISP company then demands anyone who transmits information through their internet service to authenticate or register with the ISP.  If Gmail doesn’t authenticate with the ISP, then Gmail will not work on the network.  The terms and conditions from the ISP are now forced upon the information providers.

As an outcome of this mess, in order to send you an email notification, we must now be compliant with the terms and conditions of each ISP. Those multi-hundred-page legal terms and conditions are now determined by rules and regulations that may have nothing to do with the country of origin from where the information originates.

This is a hot mess, but in the era where anonymous internet traffic is now viewed as a threat, it is a natural outcome. My response to all these demands and conditions is….

CTH did not build a battle tank website of information only to later agree to remove the tracks and drive only on rails that other people (ISPs) put into place.  Nope. Not happening.

While most information websites in the website universe began forcing registrations and/or deleting their comment systems, CTH built a comment system from the ground up that is specifically designed for you to remain anonymous. I know this can also be annoying at times, but there’s a big picture reason for it.

Here’s the bottom line.  I’m looking at options, but I am not going to agree to terms and conditions that ultimately control content – regardless of the pontificating pretenses from those who say, “It’s not about controlling content.”  Yes, it is, and I will fight it like hell.

If your email notifications stop coming, first check your spam folder.  If it’s not there, it is more than likely your internet service provider has deemed the information too dangerous for your mind to absorb.

In fact, and I’m not kidding about this, 90+% of all internet user issues, problems, blocks and website issues, can ultimately be traced back to this increased control system by ISP providers…. who are ultimately -in my opinion- adhering to government dictates and fiats.

The only thing I can guarantee is that CTH will transmit the signal.  The rest of the process is becoming incompatible with the free delivery of information, when contrast against the interests of those who wish to block that signal.

If I figure out a subscriber solution that: (a) does not come with content restrictions, and (b) safeguards your privacy upon subscribing; I will let you know.  In the interim, we will keep transmitting as much as possible.

Love to all,

~ Sundance

Jul 1 2026

Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump Executive Order and Establishes Birthright Citizenship


Posted originally on CTH on June 30, 2026 | Sundance 

Like many of you I am profoundly angered by the Supreme Court decision that fractures our nation and conveys citizenship to the children of illegal aliens born in the United States.  [PDF HERE] In fact, I was so angered to my core, I went for a long walk before doing any further commenting on the matter.

U.S. Citizenship is now determined by how good at violating our nation’s borders, by conniving, by scheming and by deception to create a qualified child where no adult qualification exists.  This is the most detrimental decision by the Supreme Court in generations and will profoundly impact our nation.

There is no longer an apple, it’s all worms.

Today, the Supreme Court on Tuesday struck down President Donald Trump’s executive order seeking to end birthright citizenship – the guarantee of citizenship status to everyone born in the United States.

In a decision authored by Chief Justice John Roberts, five supreme court justices agreed with the challengers saying Trump’s order cannot be reconciled with the 14th Amendment to the Constitution, which confers citizenship on anyone “born … in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof.”

(6-3) Writing for the majority, Roberts emphasized that the “children born of parents unlawfully or temporarily present in the United States” “satisfy both elements of the Citizenship Clause.” “Under the Constitution,” he concluded, “they are citizens at birth.”

Roberts was joined in the majority by Justice SOTOMAYOR, KAGAN, BARRETT, JACKSON and KAVANAUGH.

Justice THOMAS filed a dissenting opinion with GORSUCH and ALITO.

SCOTUS BLOG – In his dissenting opinion, Justice Samuel Alito called the ruling, “one of the most important decisions in the history of the Court” and “a serious mistake.” “Careful analysis of the text of the Fourteenth Amendment and the process that led to its adoption,” Alito argued, “shows that it does not degrade the concept of United States citizenship in this way. Instead,” he contended, “the Fourteenth Amendment confers citizenship on only those children who, at birth, owe allegiance solely to this country.”

Justice Brett Kavanaugh agreed with the result that the court reached – that the president’s executive order is invalid – but not its reasoning. In his view, Trump’s order “does not violate the Fourteenth Amendment” but does violate a federal law providing that children who are “born in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof” are U.S. citizens. Congress, Kavanaugh suggested, “could amend” that law “or otherwise enact new legislation establishing exceptions to birthright citizenship for children born to foreign citizens unlawfully or temporarily in the country. But,” he noted, “Congress has not yet done so.”

Justice Clarence Thomas penned a lengthy dissent, which Justice Neil Gorsuch joined. He called the majority’s account “not historically accurate” and said that it “adds to the sad history of the Fourteenth Amendment, which was designed and understood to secure equal rights for the freed blacks but has instead been repurposed for political projects that the Reconstruction Congress did not support.”

Gorsuch also wrote a separate brief dissent, in which he appeared to suggest that Trump’s executive order might violate the Constitution as it applies to the children of undocumented immigrants who intend to live in the United States permanently. “If those parents are not domiciled here,” Gorsuch queried, “then where are they domiciled? And if the answer is nowhere,” he continued, “how can we reconcile that conclusion with this Court’s longstanding recognition that every person is domiciled somewhere?” Because the challengers in this case have argued that Trump’s order is invalid in all circumstances, rather than just some, Gorsuch explained, “these questions may not be properly before us. But their answers are undeniably important to a Nation committed to a view of citizenship open to all children born here to parents who can call this country their home.” (SOURCE)

Consequences and possibilities to come in the next few articles on the matter.

Jul 1 2026

The Roberts Requirement – Pregnancy Tests for U.S. Travel Visas


Posted originally on CTH on June 30, 2026 | Sundance 

What is proposed below is regulatory, lawful and entirely intended to create hardships and burdens.  Thus, a new era in State Department visa requirements respond to newly established guidelines by the Supreme Court.

As a pragmatic and patriotic American I respectfully suggest and recommend the U.S. State Department immediately institute the “Roberts Requirement” following similar visa entry protocols previously used for COVID-19 tests prior to U.S. admittance.

The Roberts Requirement: Each female visa applicant must present a valid negative pregnancy test taken no longer than 10 days prior to travel to the United States.

The certified document, negative pregnancy test, together with all related visa approvals must be presented to Customs and Border Patrol at each port of entry. Failure disqualifies the traveler.

This is the same protocol as COVID-19, only using pregnancy status as the disqualifying health issue. It is a lawful regulation, born from a new standard established by the Supreme Court, that does not need congressional approval.

Don’t get stuck on details about why it will not work, it will.

Start thinking like a person who realizes the goal is to create severe antagonism through regulation.  That antagonism can then be directed.

Aim isolation, ridicule and marginalization at those who created the problem.  This can be done without visible vitriol.

The objective is not just making sure pregnant women do not get visas; that is one small element. The bigger objective is to make it extremely difficult to come to the USA and THEN pin that global compliance requirement on Chief Justice John Roberts, making him live every day with the consequences of his blinded American stupidity; facing him, belittling him, ridiculing him, sitting on the front pages of his peers and global friends.

Chief Justice John Roberts created this mess, now put it on his doorstep every day.

But people will lie – doesn’t matter.

But people will create fake documents – doesn’t matter.

But people will still overstay their visas – doesn’t matter.

You are putting the emphasis on the wrong aspect.

Make every overburdensome visa rule and travel permit regulation specifically attributable to John Roberts decision. Pre-screenings, pregnancy tests, supplemental bond requirements for 15-to 45-year-old females, shortened visa terms and much more.

No exclusions for diplomats, sports figures, foreign actors, employees, H1Bs, student entry or any other visa type – the works. Make the total visa entry system subject to a regulatory and compliance nightmare at a scale that is unheard of.  That is the scale of the problem Roberts has created.  Now blame John Roberts for it.

This ‘Roberts Requirement’ applies to all visa types.

The objective, and it can accompany many other requirements such as a “bond” attachment required for 15- to 45-year-old females to travel, is to create such an overwhelmingly restrictive visa process that it creates ridicule on the SCOTUS decision.

Make every regulation specifically cited to the Supreme Court decision and make it exceptionally burdensome.

Make SCOTUS own the outcome.

Canadians and Mexicans also need to comply.  The same rules apply to every nation and no longer are visas determined by timeline, but by the number of extensions required or allowed within it.

Every visa has a maximum duration of 3 months, with various extensions possible.

A one-year visa becomes a three-month visa with 4 extensions allowed. At each extension the same origination requirements must be fulfilled.

A two-year USA visa, is now a U.S. visa with 7 extensions allowed, etc.

Student visas carry the same requirement for 3-month extensions.

Require a – refundable at exit – surety bond purchase valued at $500,000 for any non-tourist visa. [Later the bond issuer, sell those non-refunded bonds and release the bounty hunters.]

No visas are exempt from the entry requirements.

This is a new era with new rules that specifically come as an outcome of new judicial rulings.  This is not a White House or State Department issue.  This is an issue created by the Supreme Court that needs an immediate response.

Congress can fix it, but in the interim – maximum regulatory pressure is applied directly to the wound.

♦ Example of point and counterpoints.

POINT: Canada, Mexico, India or [XXX] will scream this is unfair given the nature of our collaborative visa designations.

Counterpoint: Yes, you are correct.  That was then; this is now.  The nature of our visa system has changed because SCOTUS has just codified new distinctions on citizenship that now become new visa factors. Your nation does not convey birthright citizenship, so I understand your inability to accept our new terms. Unfortunately, our nation now does convey birthright citizenship, and as a consequence changes are needed.

Don’t back down. Make SCOTUS own it.

Sure, there will be legal challenges, all the way up to the same SCOTUS, and what are they going to do?

Think about it!

Make everyone live by the new rules – that are created by those who didn’t think about the consequences.

Jul 1 2026

The Canadian Dollar is Collapsing – Here’s What to Expect Next


Posted originally on CTH on June 30, 2026 | Sundance 

The Canadian dollar is starting to feel the effects of long-term uncertainty. It will get worse.

...”Since the start of June, the currency has weakened 2.9%, which would be its steepest monthly decline since October 2024, as Canadian bond yields fell further below U.S. yields.”… {source}

Now, this is where you really need to pay attention to details.  Remember, the U.K and EU have a vested interest in protecting Canada from economic collapse.

President Trump doesn’t want immediate collapse either -because Xi will move in fast- but Trump is not going to provide the same financial and economic lifelines that the other four-eyes will trigger.

Reuters is reporting that tomorrow the U.S. will formally declare a “non-extension” of the USMCA trade agreement {ARTICLE} and that triggers a 10-year period to decoupling.  It is very important to understand there is a difference between announcing a “non-extension” and announcing a “withdrawal“.  The Canadians are completely confused about what is about to happen.

In a non-extension announcement, the USA is saying they do not want to extend or renew the terms of the agreement beyond the current trade agreement terms.  Yes, this is a 10-year exit.  However, that’s not the part that matters.  Announcing a decision to exit the USMCA (CUSMA), a full withdrawal from the trilateral deal, triggers a six-month countdown to exit.

The deadline to announce the decision to extend is tomorrow, July 1st.  There is no deadline on the timeline to announce an exit or withdrawal from the USMCA. That announcement can happen at any time.

Put simply, announcing a non-renewal is a 10-year exit.  Announcing a withdrawal is a 6-month exit.  The announcement to withdraw can come at any time after the statement of non-renewal.

You can see the confusion in this article:

WASHINGTON, June 30 (Reuters) – U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration is expected to formally declare on Wednesday that it will not extend the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement on trade, starting a decade-long clock to wind down the 32-year-old North American free trade zone as the three countries haggle over proposed changes.

That declaration will kick off a six-year review session, part of a “sunset clause” negotiated by President Donald Trump’s first administration. However, it will do little to alter contentious negotiations over the pact’s future, including sweeping demands to boost U.S. and regional content in North American automotive production and trade protections to block Chinese goods from benefiting from USMCA. (read more)

The most likely scenario is Trump/Greer first say the USA is not renewing (not extending).  Then, at a later date determined by them (in my opinion it will be after the U.S-Mexico agreement is finished), Trump and Greer will then announce the withdrawal, which will trigger the 6-month countdown to exit.

There is no rush to announce the withdrawal; the only immediate action is to announce a USMCA renewal is not happening.

What this scenario does is put maximum pressure on Canada.  As soon as President Trump says the USA will not extend the agreement, all investment into Canada becomes extremely tenuous.  The Canadian dollar will weaken further; a slow contraction will begin.  However, Canada will still be oblivious to what comes next because their media will tell them they have a decade to work things out. They don’t.

At a time determined by President Trump and USTR Jamieson Greer, they will announce a decision to exit the USMCA which then triggers a 6-month phase before the agreement is terminated.

This is where Canada will be caught off guard and the economic collapse will likely be rapid and catastrophic.

Canada will only just begin to think about the “exit” scenario, once the non-renewal announcement is made.  It will take them a while to realize how vulnerable they are – they are currently in full denial mode.

During this period, President Trump carries massive leverage against Canada.  He will likely probe their trade position and willingness to comply with reciprocity after the non-renewal announcement.  The outcome of those probes will determine the timeline of his exit announcement.

During this non-renewal phase, we may even see President Trump tease the exit, then retract, then tease the exit again.  Each time Trump tests the Canadian government with statements, the Canadian economy will pulsate and weaken; it will drive the Canadian government to either extreme anger, or defeated compliance.

Timing the completion of the U.S-Mexico deal within the probes of Canada will be super interesting.  At some point as the U.S. closes in on the deal with Mexico, Canada is going to realize they are naked without any agreement.

The worst-case scenario for Canada is President Trump announcing the USMCA exit on the same day he announces a completed bilateral deal with Mexico.

It would be the worst-case scenario for Mark Carney because the ignored voices of those few people in Canada who have been trying to warn about this would suddenly get a lot of attention.

P

Jun 30 2026

Commander Greg Bovino: This is survival of the species. This is survival of America. So my advice is get to those mass deportations now.


Posted originally on rumble on Bannons War Room on: June 29, 2026