QUESTION: Marty; I was rereading the Middle East report from the 2023 WEC. You had everything pointing to this starting in 2025. Even your Wave 10 on Islam pointed to 2025. Do you still see this ending bad for Israel and a broadening war? It is obvious, the press is told to stay far away from you because they do not like your computer’s forecast. They treat you like they did Kondratieff because Stalin did like his cyclical forecast either.
HG
ANSWER: Unfortunately, yes. Israel’s Iron Dome has failed. Netanyahu is a Neocon. He has over estimated his own position and assumes dragging in the United States ensures total destruction of Iran. The Neocon believe their own BS that the USA has the strongest military and nobody can defeat them. That arrogance is their downfall. They assassinated the Ayatollah following Israel’s policies which are dead wrong. The new Ayatollah is now much more anti-West and pro-nuclear weapons as the only deterent against Israel.
The hardline position of Iran has been made clear by the new Supreme Leader, Ayatollah-ul-Uzma Mojtaba Khamenei, following his ascension to power after the US and Israel assassinated his father. In a formal statement delivered via Swiss intermediaries, Iran presented a three-point ultimatum to the United States, demanding:
The deadline for compliance is April 10, 2026. If unmet, Iran threatens to:
The arrogance of the Neocons who judge the world through the eyes of their perceived power like some bully in the school yard, completely fail to understand not just what they have done, but the very soul of their adversary. Iran’s new leadership has shown ABSOLUTELY no willingness to soften its stance toward the West, despite significant onslaught of this military attack. I have warned that I would turn this into a proxy war to drain the United States. Reactions have been swift as both China and Russia have publicly backed Iran’s “legitimate security concerns.” Indeed, this is about regime change and the destruction of the Islamic Republic. As always, the Neocons in their mind paint their adversary as ruthless and the people will rise up to overthrow their government. That did not happen in Iraq and the spun the same exact nonsense.
Global markets reacted sharply, with oil prices surging nearly 20% and the S&P 500 has entered the correct phase the computer projected. Trump has been suckered into this quagmire and there is no victory on the horizon. A leaked White House document acknowledges that military strikes have achieved tactical but NOT strategic success. It is absolutely IMPOSSIBLE to win this war from the air. The Neocons know that Trump does not like to lose and will use this character trait against him to send in boots on the ground. They do not care how many soldiers die and they will always lie just to win like the Weapons of Mass Destruction.
Iran has issued its own ultimatums:
These moves reflect a broader pattern of using diplomatic and economic leverage amid military vulnerability, with Tehran attempting to shift pressure onto global powers while maintaining a defiant posture. The US now stands to risk the entire Middle East and this war will by no means be short and sweet.
Every empire in decline has a moment where it CHOOSES between strategic restraint (accept limits, preserve strength) and imperial overreach (one more war to prove dominance). Rome chose overreach (endless Germanic wars, Persian campaigns) → collapse. Britain chose restraint (post-WWII, liquidated empire peacefully) → survived as smaller power. USSR chose overreach (Afghanistan) → collapsed. The U.S. is at that choice point RIGHT NOW. Iraq and Afghanistan were warnings. Iran is the test. Choose overreach → follow Rome and USSR into history’s graveyard. Choose restraint → painful but survivable transition to multipolar world. The cycles are clear. The choice is ours. The Neocons always choose power, never wisely. Israel is making the same fatal mistake. Its future looks grim post-2028 for it is always the arrogance of power that ensures history buries all such empires in a common grave.
First, some background context is needed. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and USTR Jamieson Greer are in Paris to meet with Chinese government officials ahead of a scheduled meeting between Chairman Xi Jinping and President Trump.
The main objective of the pre-summit assembly before President Trump goes to Beijing, is to hammer out the actionable agreement details that can be signed off by Xi and Trump. Bessent and Greer are looking to put a deal together with their Chinese counterparts so that Trump and Xi can announce mutually beneficial outcomes during their summit.
Second, President Trump has already indicated the March 31/April 1 meeting with Xi will be all business. The traditional pomp and splendor will not be present, and Trump will only be visiting Beijing – no sidelines.
Third, Secretary Rubio will be accompanying Trump on this trip to Beijing, which might seem ordinary were it not for the fact that in 2020 China sanctioned and banned Rubio from entering China for criticizing Xinjiang and Hong Kong.
Fourth, there are rumors that President Trump is going to announce a significant weapons deal with Taiwan at some point immediately following the trip. If those rumors are true, it would be a top priority for the Chinese advance team in Paris to stop that from happening.
Regardless of what happens in the next few weeks, President Trump will be meeting with Chairman Xi with full Eagle eye confrontation toward the returning dragon stare. There will be no panda mask on this trip whatsoever; this face to face is an apex predator showdown, while the world watches intently.
Everything President Trump does between now and his arrival in Beijing, should be contemplated through this adversarial position. With strong moves in Venezuela and Iran President Trump has already pulled Chairman Xi into the jianshu circle, showing the soul of his blade.
Chairman Xi does not have anything resembling a retreat position. He has a highly focused domestic audience, and the eyes from the Great Hall of the People will be watching intensely.
In the next two weeks we will likely see critical probes of both Trump and Xi’s wills surface in ancillary stories connected to each stakeholder, most likely swirling around the Iran conflict. Do not be surprised if we see all of the advanced USA influence purchasing by China now activated with very specific anti-Trump narratives.
That is the context for President Trump to call out many of the oil dependent countries:
TRUTH SOCIAL – “Many Countries, especially those who are affected by Iran’s attempted closure of the Hormuz Strait, will be sending War Ships, in conjunction with the United States of America, to keep the Strait open and safe. We have already destroyed 100% of Iran’s Military capability, but it’s easy for them to send a drone or two, drop a mine, or deliver a close-range missile somewhere along, or in, this Waterway, no matter how badly defeated they are.
Hopefully China, France, Japan, South Korea, the UK, and others, that are affected by this artificial constraint, will send Ships to the area so that the Hormuz Strait will no longer be a threat by a Nation that has been totally decapitated. In the meantime, the United States will be bombing the hell out of the shoreline, and continually shooting Iranian Boats and Ships out of the water. One way or the other, we will soon get the Hormuz Strait OPEN, SAFE, and FREE! President DONALD J. TRUMP
There is a significant overlay here.
First, any nation that sends supportive military ships into the Strait of Hormuz is openly taking a position against the Iranian regime. China cannot take that position, and President Trump knows it – so he’s calling out the dragon’s alignment for the world to see.
Remember, Japan has a very limited military, and their post-World War II constitution was blocking them from building one. Changing that position was the goal of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, a friend of Trump, and he was traveling throughout Japan with that message when he was assassinated. That objective now falls to the protege’ of Abe, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.
Japan is included on that list of countries specifically to antagonize the dragon, with President Trump saying I have a strong industrial friend in your back yard.
For the rest, notice the countries Trump did not name: India, Thailand, Vietnam, Philippines or any of the Asian countries that are dependent on oil from the middle east. Trump is not asking the dependency allies of the United States to participate. Instead, President Trump is calling upon the fake-ally countries that oppose the United States but hide behind a friendly smiling mask.
This is a bold underline for President Trump’s former statement where he publicly doubted the NATO allies would ever come to assist the USA (ie. Greenland), even though they are dependent on the security the USA provides.
In this Iranian conflict, the Europeans are dependent on oil from the middle east, but they will not put their military into the fight even if it secures their own economic future. Opening the Strait of Hormuz benefits the Europeans, but they only want to pontificate grand prose about it; similar to how they pontificated about the threat Iran presented, then lost their supportive tongue when Trump finally did something about it.
A few hours later, President Trump drives home the point:
TRUTH SOCIAL – “The United States of America has beaten and completely decimated Iran, both Militarily, Economically, and in every other way, but the Countries of the World that receive Oil through the Hormuz Strait must take care of that passage, and we will help — A LOT! The U.S. will also coordinate with those Countries so that everything goes quickly, smoothly, and well. This should have always been a team effort, and now it will be — It will bring the World together toward Harmony, Security, and Everlasting Peace!” President DONALD J. TRUMP
Now we wait to see who steps up.
¹And that’s the point Trump is making.
I also concur with this point:
Last September, the Trump administration designated ANTIFA as a domestic terror group. Shortly thereafter the first charges of domestic terrorism were filed against a network of ANTIFA members who attacked an ICE facility in Texas. Yesterday a jury found them guilty.
[Full Story from CBS] – Eight defendants were found guilty Friday of providing material support to terrorists for their roles in the antifa attack on the Prairieland ICE detention center in 2025, marking one of the most sweeping terrorism‑related convictions in the case to date.
The verdicts came as nine defendants stood accused in the July 4, 2025, plot targeting the facility in Alvarado, Texas, following weeks of testimony from investigators, law enforcement, and cooperating witnesses.
“Antifa is a domestic terrorist organization that has been allowed to flourish in Democrat-led cities – not under President Trump,” Attorney General Pam Bondi said in a news release. “Today’s verdict on terrorism charges will not be the last as the Trump administration systematically dismantles Antifa and finally halts their violence on America’s streets.”
[…] Prosecutors said that the group launched a premeditated terror attack on the Prairieland detention center inspired by antifa ideology, by setting off fireworks, vandalizing property, and shooting at police officers who responded. One officer was struck in the neck with a bullet and survived.
[…] The nine defendants faced a total of 65 charges that included attempted murder, aiding terrorists, and weapons charges.
[…] Song faces a minimum of 20 years and up to life in federal prison. Arnold, Evetts, Morris, Rueda, Batten, Elizabeth Soto, and Ines Soto each face between 10 and 60 years. Sanchez Estrada faces up to 40 years, according to federal prosecutors.
Seven additional defendants pleaded guilty to a single count of providing material support to terrorists, and each faces up to 15 years in federal prison. (read more)
While the original focus was on questions about the Iran war, at the tail end of an impromptu presser yesterday, President Trump was asked about Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and the status of U.S. national security.
President Trump said he was very disappointed that President Sheinbaum refused his offer of assistance in eliminating the cartels in Mexico. Ultimately culminating in the statement, “the cartels are running Mexico.”
Considering everything President Trump is doing to secure the Western Hemisphere objective, it must be very frustrating to eliminate various narcotraffickers, human smugglers and transnational agents of chaos, and yet still have one of the closest geographic nations unwilling to address the biggest criminal elements near our borders.
The bilateral USMCA discussions between the U.S. and Mexico are ongoing, I think we can expect this element of friction and ultimately leverage to be present in the overall outcome.
Personally, I think if the government of Cuba flips, there will be exceptional pressure on Mexico to finally address the issue.
A man who went by the name Mike King was the lead security officer for Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett. However, Mike King was an alias, and his real name was Diamon-Mazairre Robinson; a convicted felon with a lengthy criminal background.
According to police, King was wanted for impersonating a law enforcement officer. He reportedly fled into a hospital parking garage and barricaded himself inside a vehicle. King was then forced out of the car with tear gas and pulled his gun on officers.
“Multiple law enforcement sources tell CBS News Texas the man, known publicly as Mike King, had been using aliases while running a business that placed officers in off‑duty jobs,” CBS reported. King reportedly drove a replica undercover police vehicle and used stolen license plates from cars at a military recruiting office.
(VIA CBS) – […] CBS News Texas has been researching Robinson’s criminal history, which includes seven arrests for theft in Dallas, Duncanville, Irving, Dallas County and by the Texas Department of Public Safety.
All of the arrests were between 2009 and 2012, as many as six of them at the felony level.
It appears his sentences for those convictions, which he pleaded guilty to all, led only to fines no more than $2,500 and sentences of probation from 1 to 5 years, and in one case, 10 years.
Despite that criminal background, sources said Robinson was able to forge a new identity as Mike King, where he not only became a prominent figure as a security officer for Rep. Crockett while in office and during her recent U.S. Senate campaign, sources said the convicted felon was also able to run a business placing North Texas law enforcement officers in off duty jobs through his business called Off Duty Police Services. (read more)
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