Posted originally on Jul 9, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro was once deemed the Donald Trump of his nation. In a similar fashion, the establishment has accused Bolsonaro of orchestrating a coup to retain power after the 2022 presidential election against Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
The people independently denied the results of the election and stormed government buildings a week after Lula was inaugurated. The Federal Police uncovered a draft of a coup announcement in former Justice Minister Anderson Torres’s home. After months of detainment, Torres maintained that the document, which he received from a private citizen, was taken out of context and held no legal validity. The plans outlined in the document never occurred, but the establishment maintains that Bolsonaro is a threat to Brazilian democracy.
As our computer warned, there would be intense, politically motivated civil unrest worldwide in November 2022. Ahead of the election, Brazil’s leftist opposition Workers’ Party (PT) Marcelo Arruda was enjoying his birthday celebration in the city of Foz de Iguacu, Parana, when he was shot dead. The vote of 49.1%-50.9% was the closest Brazilian presidential election history since 1985 and marked Bolsonaro’s first political defeat. Bolsonaro supporters held mass protests across the nation to protest Lula’s victory and blocked hundreds of major roadways. Bolsonaro first sided with the protestors, saying they felt “indignation and a sense of injustice.” The intense backlash from across the globe caused Bolsonaro to change course. “I know you are upset… Me too. But we have to keep our heads straight,” Bolsonaro said in a video posted online. “I will make an appeal to you: clear the highways.” Bolsonaro confirmed with Brazil’s Supreme Court that he would willingly hand over power to Lula. “I have always played within the four lines of the constitution,” he said, without declaring defeat. Bolsonaro is already barred from running for office until 2030. The establishment wants to ensure that he is never up for reelection.
This is the precise move that they attempted after January 6 with Donald Trump, who posted on Truth Social: “The only Trial that should be happening is a Trial by the Voters of Brazil – It’s called an Election. LEAVE BOLSONARO ALONE!” Trump has stated that he believes Bolsonaro is “a legal aberration (lawfare), a clear case of political persecution that is now obvious to anyone with common sense.”
As we head into 2032, the United States has shown the world that you can rig elections using criminal law. I reported how Argentina was bringing criminal charges against the opposition simply for saying, do not save pesos because the currency is collapsing. Thus, the government has turned that comment into a crime. In Brazil, the leftist government is desperate to stop former president Jair Bolsonaro, alleging that he was the mentor of “a wilful and premeditated coup attempt,” copying the US on its desperate attempt to imprison Trump on the January 6th nonsense, calling it an insurrection.
Lula was the establishment candidate. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is a member of the World Economic Forum. His policies align with other WEF leaders and stand in stark contrast to Bolsonaro, who was hated by the globalists. Perhaps more importantly, Bolsonaro refused to align himself with the globalist neocons. He attempted to remain neutral in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and offered to host peace talks. Let us not forget Brazil’s strong economic ties to Russia. Also similar to Trump, Bolsonaro was the victim of a failed assassination attempt when he was stabbed in the abdomen during a political rally. Again, the deep state insisted the assailant was crazed and acted alone, bypassing all security measures to reach one of the most controversial political figures in the nation.
Our models for South America indicate potential civil unrest and even a Panic Cycle in 2025 in Brazil. Our target of 2023 for a Directional Change has appeared on time both in Brazil and in Israel. Brazil is divided like most countries today. The polarization is severe, and the government is desperate to maintain power. This is the total collapse of Republican forms of government as we head into 2032.
Attempting a coup in Brazil is punishable by up to 12 years’ imprisonment. Collectively, the charges against Bolsonaro could result in a prison sentence of up to 40 years, effectively barring him from reentering the political arena. Nations are no longer allowing people to vote for elected officials. It is too much of a risk as confidence in government has collapsed, and the people are increasingly eager to elect anti-establishment candidates who threaten grander plans.
Posted originally on Jun 23, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
The FBI under Kash Patel is unlocking secrets from the Biden Administration era every week. Any indication of election interference was met with extreme backlash. Former FBI director Christopher Wray refused to investigate glaring signs of corruption.
Senate Judiciary Chairman Chuck Grassley has insisted that numerous cases of FBI corruption be reopened, such as the FBI’s program to spy on Catholic conservatives under the previous administration. US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) seized nearly 20,000 counterfeit driver’s licenses at Chicago O’Hare International Airport in 2020. All 20,000 came from China and Hong Kong, but Wray refused to investigate.
“In late August 2020, the Chinese government manufactured a large number of counterfeit U.S. driver’s licenses and secretly transported them to the United States,” adding, “Thousands of Chinese students without voting eligibility and immigrants cooperating with the Communist Party were able to vote for candidate Biden at the time using these counterfeit licenses,” the FBI documented noted.
The FBI, under the direction of Wray, withdrew from investigations, and the media stated that the licenses were intended to bypass age restrictions. Would criminals rely on China to create 20,000 fake driver’s licenses for American kids to bypass drinking laws? This is a serious matter of national security that the FBI deliberately hid from the public and failed to investigate.
“China collected personal information from U.S. users, including names, identification numbers, and addresses, from millions of TikTok accounts,” and added, “This enabled the creation of counterfeit licenses using real Americans’ information,” the FBI document states. The debate on whether TikTok should be permitted to operate in the US is back on the table. Trump recently extendedthe latest deadline for parent company ByteDance to decide if they are willing to sign over the rights to a US owner. Attempts to ban the app have been met with extreme backlash, as 170 million Americans currently use the app, with the president himself having more than 5 million followers on TikTok. Beijing has not commented on the potential sale of TikTok. As for claims that the CCP interfered in the election, China insists that it had no involvement.
It was considered a far-right extremist conspiracy theory to question foreign interference in the 2020 US election. Biden simply secured more votes than any other president in national history. Were these 20,000 licenses intended to become 20,000 votes for Joe Biden? “These claims have been proven true, but were suddenly retracted (by the FBI leadership at the time) and buried,” Patel admitted. “The FBI has located documents which detail alarming allegations related to the 2020 U.S. election, including allegations of interference by the CCP. I have immediately declassified the material and turned the documents over to the Chairman Grassley for further review,” Patel also posted on X.
The majority of dangerous misinformation and conspiracy theories have proven to be true with time. How far did the deep state go to weaponize American intelligence agencies under Biden? What incentive did China have for Biden to win the presidency?
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, we greatly appreciate your courage, and it’s apparent that you have contacts that nobody else has. You said China takes 80% of Iran’s oil. I assume they get that through the Straits of Hormuz. If Iran were to shut down the Strait of Hormuz, wouldn’t that significantly impact their sales to China? You have explained the Middle East better than anyone I have ever read or watched on TV. Iran warned of “everlasting consequences” after the U.S. bombed three major nuclear sites. I can see what you’re laying out: that this is the beginning rather than the end. Do you think China or Russia will enter this conflict soon?
Bret
ANSWER: The reason Iran can attack the Straits of Hormuz is that the media has unreported the completion of the China-Iran railway link, which is a significant milestone within China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), specifically reviving the ancient Silk Road through modern infrastructure. By the way, the ancient city of Antioch became so wealthy because it served as a key link to the Silk Road, where all goods entered the Greek and Roman world. The term assumed the “PURPLE” was associated with a Roman emperor because it was a dye from Asia that arrived via Antioch. It was decreed that only the emperor could wear it.
Antioch was the port city in Syria. It was strategic throughout history. I have explained, perhaps not in great detail, but China has been reestablishing the ancient Silk Road. Iran can shut down the Straits of Hormuz, and it will NOT impact the export of oil to China. The China-Iran railway link, part of the broader China-Central Asia-West Asia Economic Corridor, primarily relies on the Kazakhstan-Turkmenistan-Iran (KTI) Railway as its critical connector. The agreement was signed between China, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Iran, finalizing the KTI Railway agreement in 2013. The construction began in December 2014. The first direct freight train from China to Iran arrived in Tehran on February 15, 2016.
Now, look at this from a geopolitical perspective. You have the Houthis attacking ships in the Red Sea. With this rail line, Iran can shut down the Strait of Hormuz, and the Houthis keep the pressure on, stopping the traffic through the Suez Canal. They have the ability to impact the energy flow out of the Middle East significantly.
The Shia Muslims do not control “most” of the oil in the Middle East, though they live in regions with significant reserves. Control is primarily held by national governments and state-owned companies, not by sects directly. Nonetheless,
Saudi Arabia 267 billion barrels (17% od global proven reserves) Iran 208 billion barrels (4th largest globally) Iraq 145 billion barrels (5th largest globally) Kuwait 102 billion barrels reserves. Sunni-led monarchy United Arab Emirates (UAE) 98 billion barrels reserves. Sunni-led federation. Qatar Major gas producer, also has oil. Sunni-led monarchy.
Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE, and Qatar (all Sunni-led monarchies) hold a significantly larger portion of the region’s proven oil reserves combined than Iran and Iraq. However, the Shia-Majority Regions are Important. Iran and southern Iraq (Shia heartland) have massive reserves and are crucial producers. Iran is a founding member of OPEC. While control is national, not sectarian, this can be volatile in times of war, as we saw during the 1970s.
What I believe is significant here is the railway between China and Iran. The primary rail corridor connecting China to Iran became fully operational in recent years. Trains now run regularly from various Chinese cities (like Yiwu, Xi’an) through Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, terminating in Tehran. The final section crossing Turkmenistan into Iran was finalized, making the entire route viable. This now facilitates significantly larger volumes of trade between Iran and China. China exports electronics, machinery, textiles, and industrial goods. Iran exports petrochemicals, minerals, agricultural products (like saffron, pistachios), and potentially more oil/gas in the future (though sanctions complicate this).
This provides China with a crucial overland route to access Middle Eastern markets and resources, reducing dependence on vulnerable sea lanes like the Strait of Malacca. It also offers Iran a vital alternative trade corridor, mitigating the impact of Western sanctions and reducing its isolation. Access to the vast Chinese market and Eurasian rail network is crucial.
Keep in mind that this has now introduced a geopolitical alignment between Iran and China. Both China and Iran are acting as a counterbalance to US influence in the region. It integrates Iran more firmly into China’s Eurasian connectivity vision. This railway is now a critical national security issue for China.
The US sanctions on Iran remain a significant hurdle. International banks and companies are wary of facilitating transactions, limiting the route’s full potential. China uses workarounds, but sanctions create friction and risk. They have only further divided the world economy, giving the incentive for the establishment of BRICS, which has undermined the global economy as a whole, dividing the world in half, all for the geopolitical instigation of the Neocons.
China has indeed completed and operationalized major rail links to Iran via Central Asia. This represents a transformative achievement for the Belt and Road Initiative, offering a faster, land-based trade artery between East Asia and the Middle East. While challenges such as sanctions and logistical hurdles persist, the link significantly boosts trade, provides Iran with an economic lifeline, strengthens Sino-Iranian ties, and enhances Eurasian connectivity. It is a concrete realization of the modern Silk Road vision. The Neocons have dominated American foreign policy, and they have NEVER given economic policy a second thought.
I was the first advertiser to help Bill Kristol launch The Weekly Standard. We took the back cover every week, until I realized he was NOT an economic conservative, he was a Neocon. They were focused purely on the geopolitical aspects of redesigning the Middle East and defeating Russia and China. I do not speak from speculation. I had a front-row seat to the plans and objectives that never took into account the global economy. This is what created BRICS – their arrogance. I have even attended White House dinners.
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