Good analysis but I would expect nothing less here!
Personally I think is less than 50% but 50% is way more accurate that 97% In poles the question format is very important and so without seeing the details all I can say is that its in the right direction!
Only 50% Of Scientists Blame Mankind For Climate Change In New Study
” Rather than claiming 97 percent of scientists believe in man-made global warming, hopefully now some media outlets will revise that number closer to 50 percent.
Contrary to the repeated insistence of both climate alarmists and the media, scientists do not all agree on the standard climate alarmism talking points. A Purdue University scholar, surveying scientists in the agricultural sector including climatologists, found surprising disagreement on humanity’s role in climate change. These findings, though contrary to popular narrative on climate change, are unsurprising to anyone familiar with the prevalence of dissent in the scientific community.
Linda Prokopy, a Professor of Natural Resource Social Science at Purdue University, surveyed more than six thousand farmers and scientists and found widespread disagreement on human contributions to climate change. While 90 percent of scientists and climatologists surveyed thought the…
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Greenhouse gases are “real” the only issue is what the real sensitivity value is? Hansen and the IPCC think it is 3.0 degrees C per doubling and more current work supports that it is less that half that value (I agree with the half crowd). If the half group is right than the entire concept goes away!
The principle is :
Heat can only flow from a warmer place to a cooler place
The heat source is the sun. The sun irradiates the the Earth’s surface. As a first order principle, all of this heat has to return to space.
One of the things controlling the temperature is the efficiency of the atmosphere at returning the heat to space. If the atmosphere completely blocked the passage of heat, the earth’s surface would keep heating from solar radiation and get extremely hot. If the atmosphere provided no resistance to the passage of heat, the temperature would be cold.
Greenhouse gases are one of the factors which influence the atmosphere’s efficiency at returning the sun’s heat to the upper atmosphere, and thus help regulate the temperature of the atmosphere.
The heat source is the sun. Greenhouse gases are part of the thermostat. An increase in greenhouse gases will tend to raise…
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Its my understanding that Hansen’s climate change theories are based on his work that height Carbon Dioxide levels on Venus are the sole reason that Venus is so hot (not with standing that hot women are cool) and that he translated that into the situation here on earth. Its also my understanding that the upper atmosphere where this “heat” was supposed to appear isn’t getting hot; so that would seem to me to dis create the whole concept?
Climate scientists blame the high temperatures on Venus on the greenhouse effect.
Given that Venus surface receives very little sunlight, and that nights there are months long with no drop in temperature, it is absurd to compare the Venusian climate to a greenhouse.
Venus has a similar lapse rate to Earth, despite a very different atmospheric composition. This shows that the lapse rate is due to the pressure gradient, not the atmospheric composition.
Sir Karl Raimund Popper (28 July 1902 – 17 September 1994) was an Austrian and British philosopher and a professor at the London School of Economics. He is considered one of the most influential philosophers of science of the 20th century, and he also wrote extensively on social and political philosophy. The following quotes of his apply to this subject.
If we are uncritical we shall always find what we want: we shall look for, and find, confirmations, and we shall look away from, and not see, whatever might be dangerous to our pet theories.
Whenever a theory appears to you as the only possible one, take this as a sign that you have neither understood the theory nor the problem which it was intended to solve.
S)cience is one of the very few human activities — perhaps the only one — in which errors are systematically criticized and fairly often, in time, corrected
Reflecting on then current scandals in psychology arising from non-replicable research, E. Wagenmakers, a prominent social psychologist, blamed many of the problems on “data torture”. Wagenmakers attributed many data torture problems on ex post selection of methods. In today’s post, I’ll show an extraordinary example of data torture in the PAGES2K Australasian reconstruction.
Wagenmakers on Data Torture
Two accessible Wagenmakers’ articles on data torture are An Agenda for Purely Confirmatory Research pdf and a Year of Horrors pdf.
In the first article, Wagenmakers observed that psychologists did not define their statistical methods before examining the data, creating a temptation to tune the results to obtain a “desired result”:
we discuss an uncomfortable fact that threatens the core of psychology’s academic enterprise: almost without exception, psychologists do not commit themselves to a method of data analysis before they see the actual data. It then becomes tempting to fine tune the…
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I agree that they have no clue its as if they never even went to collage — no I take that back it would be to much of an insult the HS grads. They are just educated idiots with no common sense!
Climate experts say that a wavy jet stream and harsh winters are caused by global warming.
There’s growing evidence that global warming is driving crazy winters
There’s growing evidence that global warming is driving crazy winters – The Washington Post
Forty years ago, climate experts used the same picture to prove global cooling.
More recently, the IPCC said “mild winter temperatures will reduce heavy snowstorms”
Just in case you forgot for a minute that climate experts have absolutely no clue what they are talking about.
Sadly today not many will understand this and with common core it will be even worse!
If you put your thumb over the end of the hose, the pressure at all points behind your thumb increases. Yet the water continues to flow the same direction. How can that possibly be?
ROFL
If you are a “real” scientist or engineer and run the numbers on the number of solar PV panels or wind turbines that would be required to actually make these numbers, they talk about, you would find it is impossible. If for no other reason that the up time for them is at best 1/3 verses 90% for coal and nukes. So even common core math would tell you that you need 3 times the name plate capacity of power generation to replace coal of nukes. Any country that actually tries to go green will be destroyed!
By Stephen Moore ~
President Barack Obama and Chinese President Xi Jinping. (Photo: Newscom)
That sound you’re hearing from across the Pacific is the Chinese rulers and Beijing laughing at us.
President Obama and the “green” lobby actually think China is going to honor the new U.S.-China climate-change agreement that pushes both nations to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions over the next 15 years.
China agreed to a “target” of deriving 20 percent of its energy needs from renewable resources “around” 2030. In exchange, Obama agreed that American families and businesses will aim to reduce carbon-dioxide emissions by at least 26 percent by 2025 from 2005 levels.
This is not a planet-saving climate-change pact. Rather, this plan represents unilateral economic disarmament by the United States as Beijing continues its quest to replace America as the globe’s economic superpower.
Raising China’s energy prices by transitioning to highly inefficient forms of electricity production conflicts…
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A must read and I agree the grid is likely to fail. Most if not all the reserve capacity has been shut down and solar and wind are incapable of reliable grid level power. the current EPA initiatives guarantees grid failure if not this year then very very soon.
HT to the Hockeyschtick for spotting this essay from Marine Biologist Walter Starck at Quadrant Online. More scientists are coming out to call the alarmist position for what it is.
Walter Starck: The Climate Scam’s Meltdown
The rent-seekers, opportunists, third-rate academics, carbon-market scam artists and peddlers of catastrophic prophecy can see the alarmist bubble deflating, so they’re trying harder than ever to sustain the scare. Problem is, Mother Nature isn’t cooperating.
This doesn’t mean the climate change “debate” will stop, the news media will cease reporting weather as a dire threat, or that the true believers will no longer be obsessed by it. However, the ultimate arbiter, climate itself, has made clear its decision by ceasing to warm for over 18 years. Despite the ongoing use of fossil fuels, a proclaimed 95% certainty of 97% of scientists and the high-powered projections of the world’s most advanced climate models, the…
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Spot on I agree 100% with the writer. But I would make one addition and that is we must stop the assault on carbon based fuels to eliminate CO2. However, this does not mean that the real pollutants and fly ash should be ignored and that is where we should be working at the global level.
Forget CO2 its a requirement for all life and levels three times where we are now would be beneficial to crop growth.
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