Spotless Sun


Recently, NASA’s photo of the sun showed ZERO sunspots. The previous and current solar cycle has been declining significantly in solar activity beyond what has been known before. There still remains the risk that we will see a further decline in the next cycle that will begin in 2020. This may have a significant impact upon weather and could be a significant reason why the computer is projecting an inflationary cycle ahead that will be created by a cost-push effect rather than a speculative boom.

Of course, Global Warming advocates who support government raising taxes to prevent this fictional disaster they have created like AOC says we will all be dead in 12 years, refuse to ever do REALscientific research and backtest their theories before 1850. They simply ignore history and nature which just so happens to move in a cyclical fashion with everything. BTW, the reason we are born, live, and then die, just so happens to also be because of a cycle. OMG – cycles do exist? No way! According to their theories.

Climate Change Has Not Impacted Polar Bears


There are too many polar bears in parts of Nunavut that it is posing a risk to humans. Climate Change hasn’t yet affected polar bears and reports are to be released which defy the Global Warming agenda. As long as government funds only Global Warming research to support new tax schemes, we run the risk of a rise in disease and famine around various parts of the globe.

Climate Change is a reality. There is insufficient data to forecast that we are headed toward an ice age. It appears more that we will retest the former lows and then resume a warming trend after 2032. The Little Ice Age should be a major low based on our computer models.

Most people have no idea that it was Climate Change which began the entire investigation into cycles. I have called this the clash between catastrophe and uniformity. The idea that systems just collapse in a catastrophic manner can be disquieting, to say the least. For this reason, uniformitarianism (linear thinking) soothes the senses and brings order to the future dominated by uncertainty. Yet, these two clashing schools of thought that lie at the core of just about everything from the Big Bang to Charles Darwin’s (1809-1882) Theory of Evolution, began with the discovery first in 1772 near Vilui, Siberia of a intact frozen woolly rhinoceros followed by the more famous discovery of a frozen mammoth in 1787.

You may be shocked, but these discoveries of frozen animals with grass still in their stomach, set in motion these two schools of thought since the evidence implied you could be eating lunch and suddenly find yourself frozen to be discovered by posterity.

This entire period of the late 1700s sparked a truly profound Intellectual Revolution that erupted in every field. In 1821, there was a Swiss engineer Ignaz Venetz who took a bold position also inspired by the Siberian discoveries, that there had been a former Alpine glaciation on a massive scale. His 38-page report was published posthumously in 1859. It was the birth of the idea of an Ice Agetheory. A Norwegian geologist Jens Esmarch also argued that the Norwegian glaciers had been much greater in size.

What was emerging was a view that history was in fact non-linear. The weather was not a static progression of uniformity. Just as there was a cycle to the seasons, the idea that cycles existed on a much larger scale began to emerge. The very idea of an ICE AGE implied a change in weather patterns. History was perhaps not linear even within the context of nature.

In 1832, Professor A. Bernhardi argued that the North Polar ice cap had extended into the plains of Germany. To support this theory, he pointed to the existence of huge boulders that have become known as “erratics” he suggested were pushed by the advancing ice. This was a shocking theory for it was certainly a nonlinear view of natural history. Bernhardi was thinking out of the box. However, in natural science people listen and review theory unlike in social science where theory is ignored if it challenges what people want to believe. In 1834, Johann von Charpentier (1786-1855) argued that there were deep grooves cut into the Alpine rock concluding, as did Karl Schimper, that they were caused by an advancing Ice Age.

The catastrophists could claim greater influence in the birth of the field of physics all based upon this idea of cycles. Sir Isaac Newton (1642-1727) developed his laws of gravity and was inspired by his friend to publish the work who underwrote the project, Edmund Halley (1656-1742). This was the same Halley who discovered the cyclical nature of comets. Halley believed that the comet that carries his name was the same comet reappearing throughout history at regular intervals recorded by contemporary historians of all ages. Halley saw hidden within history, the same periodic intervals of a comet.

Why do these people insist that Climate Change is manmade when all the historical evidence shows it has always changed and there are cycles to it? The answer is simple. Money! They will sell out the human race to get their hand on money. They are not scientists for they distort the history for personal gain.

 

Big Govt Publishes New Cooling Standards: Thermostat Should Be Set to 82 Degrees When Sleeping…


Fresh from the same Dept. of Energy and EPA that gave us: toilets that don’t flush; light bulbs that don’t light; dishwashers that don’t wash; plant-based fuel that burns like carrots; and paper straws that dissolve in liquid….  Now we get this:

[…] Energy Star, the federal program from the DOE and the Environmental Protection Agency, said the coolest you should keep your home is 78 degrees when you’re home.

When you’re at work or away, the program recommends setting it at 85 degrees. When you’re sleeping, Energy Star said to set the thermostat at 82 degrees. (link)

Setting the thermostat at 82° at night is well recognized grounds for divorce. I swear these administrative state progressives are going to have us force-fed sustainable algae cakes if this keeps up.

Some journalist-type person published these new cooling standards on twitter, and the responses are quite funny.

“I see we’ve decided to give up on sleeping. Or going home for that matter. Or having pets that aren’t native to the rain forest.” (link)

“I’ve already embraced a dying Earth, so I keep my central air between 67-72 at all times.” (link)

“I’d be laying there making a giant sweat angel in my bed” (link)

“New report shows these as the recommended temps for smelling like an onion.” (link)

I have no idea how my ancestors survived deserts. If the thermostat in my house showed a number that started with an 8 I would call the police” (link)

But seriously…. given the track record for current energy efficient standards and how they end up being actually applied to life (toilets, dishwashers, lightbulbs etc.) it’s darned frightening to think the Feds believe 78° (when home), 85° (when away) and 82° (when sleeping) is a reasonable cooling standard.

Insta-misery; aka living in hell.

Watch out California….  Pretty soon you might not have options when the proletariat mandates the installation of compliance regulators inside the A/C system.

 

Finland & Japan Confirm Global Warming Data is not Supported


COMMENT:

Hi Martin,

Being 100% in agreement with you about Climate Change I thought you might be interested in 2 newly released research projects one from Finland and one from Japan: The Finnish researchers conducted by Turku University, state in one among a series of papers, see: (https://arxiv.org/pdf/1907.00165.pdf)

“During the last hundred years, the temperature increased by about 0.1°C because of carbon dioxide. The human contribution was about 0.01°C”. This has been collaborated by a team at Kobe University in Japan, which has furthered the Finnish researchers’ theory: “New evidence suggests that high-energy particles from space known as galactic cosmic rays affect the Earth’s climate by increasing cloud cover, causing an ‘umbrella effect’,” the just-published study has found, a summary of which has been released in the journal Science Daily.

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2019/07/190703121407.htm

These findings are extremely significant in that both groups have identified the ‘umbrella effect’ as the prime driver of climate warming rather than anthropogenic (human) factors.

I look forward to this information reaching your blog so that other readers can be informed.

Many thanks for all your work which you so generously share and for the huge body of work you have put into Socrates, which is of inestimable value to all those involved in finance and investment.

Thank you.
SF

REPLY: I have spoken with many in the field and all say the same thing. The data is altered and there is just no evidence that human activity has changed the cyclical nature of climate. Pollution is a separate issue which they use to confuse the weak-minded. We all want clean air and water. I lived in London when the busses were still diesel. It was horrible in the summer. I would have to hold my breath when walking near a bus. That does not equate to altering the climate cycles. They cleaned up the air and that no longer is the case. But then stench from the busses back in the ’80s is not responsible for the natural cycles in the climate that date back millions of years.

1177 BC – The Year Civilization Collapsed


QUESTION: I do not believe you have ever commented on Eric Cline’s book 1177BC, the year civilization collapsed. Do you think this is likely what we face or is this different?

WL

ANSWER: There were about eight civilizations that all collapsed with the exception of Egypt post-1250 BC. It was caused by a major shift in climate that led to droughts which resulted in the widespread famine which inspired migrations/invasions. This event of 1177BC was the Bronze Age equivalent to the fall of Rome, for they both were followed by a Dark Age.

Many have attributed this collapse of the Bronze Age to the Sea Peoples, which were most likely northern Mediterranean mass migrants due to the climate getting colder in Europe. Cline has put together a nice assembly of sources, but he missed the climate change. He assumed there was a migration southward. However, we can see the first dip to cold came about 1,800 years ago. We can see that the all-time high temperature was about 3,300 years ago.

The collapse of the Bronze Age was mostly complete by about 1100-1000 BC. Our computer has identified a 1720-year cycle beginning in the Dark Ages with the fall of Rome in 476 AD when the last pretend Emperor reigned (Romulus Augustus (575-476AD)). Our model highlighted the cycle between the Dark Ages of 1720 years which brings us to 1244 BC — right on target for the beginning of the collapse of civilization.

How Civilization Collapses
1) Collapse in centralized government
2) The rich flee and economic growth declines
3) The economy implodes without investment
4) Birth rates decline with population
5) People migrate and abandon urbanization

There were clearly natural disasters and invasions as well as civil unrest. But climate change was probably the primary cause of mass migration. The danger we have today is once again the mass migrations into Europe and the United States. However, if the climate turns sharply colder, we will have famine and that undermines the social structure. We already have the centralization of government & central banks on the ropes. The hunt for taxes will result in the hoarding of wealth and the decline in investment.

The birth rate has been collapsing and the final stage will be abandoning cities because of taxation like Chicago, Philadelphia, New York City, etc. Keep in mind the collapse will unfold over the course of probably 51.6 years before you reach rock bottom. It all depends upon the climate looking forward.

New Video : Erasing America’s Hot Past


This video is a must watch for anyone wanting to understand the climate crisis scam.

 

Democrats Using Climate to Create Fear Votes


Democrat presidential candidate Andrew Yang made a wild claim without any evidence whatsoever that “we’re too late” in addressing climate change. Yang even said that people need to be evacuated to higher ground immediately. This is just astonishing to have such nonsense in a presidential election.

Yang admitted that the U.S. is responsible for only 15% of total global emissions. He said that even if the U.S. makes drastic changes in climate policy, it is not going to do much in the grand scheme of things.

“This is going to be a tough truth but we are too late,” Yang said. “We are 10 years too late.”

This is really amazing. So since we will all die in 12 years, eliminate all taxes, and empty all pension funds that have money — we should just party until the end comes.

 

A Technical Study in the Relationships of Solar Flux, Water, Carbon Dioxide and Global Temperatures, June 2019 Data


From the attached report on climate change for June 2019 Data we have the two charts showing how much the global temperature has actually gone up since we started to measure CO2 in the atmosphere? To show this graphically Chart 8 was constructed by plotting CO2 as a percent increase from when it was first measured in 1958, the Black plot, the scale is on the left and it shows CO2 going up a bit over 30.0% from 1958 to June of 2019. That is a very large change as anyone would have to agree.  Now how about temperature, well when we look at the percentage change in temperature from 1958, using Kelvin (which does measure the change in heat), we find that the changes in global temperature (heat) are almost un-measurable. The scale on the right side had to be expanded 10 times (the range is 40 % on the left and 4% on the right) to be able to see the plot in the same chart in any detail. The red plot, starting in 1958, shows that the thermal energy in the earth’s atmosphere increased by .30%; while CO2 has increased by 30.0% which is 100 times that of the increase in temperature. So is there really a meaningful link between them that would give as a major problem? The numbers tell us no there isn’t.

The next chart is Chart 8a which is the same as Chart 8 except for the scales which are the same for both CO2 and Temperature. As you see the increase in energy, heat, is not visually observably in this chart hence the need for the previous chart 8 to show the minuscule increase in thermal energy shown by NASA in relationship to the change in CO2. Based to these trends, determined by excel not me, in 2028 CO2 will be 428 ppm and temperatures will be 15.0o Celsius and in 2038 CO2 will be 458 ppm and temperatures will be 15.6O Celsius. This is what the data shows no matter what the reasons are, so I have no idea how the IPCC gets to predict that the world will end in ten or even twenty years.

The full 37 page report explains how these charts were developed and why using NASA and NOAA data are used without change to prove that The New Green Deal is not required and any attempt to compliment that plan will be a worldwide disaster.

Click on the link below for the full report that you can download.

BLACKBODY TEMPERATURE 2019-06

3,000 People Died in French Heatwave of 2003


Back in 2003, about 3,000 people died in France of a heatwave when high temperatures swept across Europe. It was found that nearly 180 people were dying of the heat in hospitals because of the lack of air conditioning. More people want to blame people driving to work rather than investigating the cyclical nature of our climate long-term. The longer this thinking persists, the greater the risk of being totally unprepared for the threat of famine and disease.

Antarctica Use to Have no Ice?


 

Research is surfacing that shows Antarctica may have been without ice during the Medieval Warming Period some refer to as the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) which took place between 1000–1200 AD. Mapping the MCA across the Antarctic region based on the analysis of published palaeotemperature proxy data from 60 sites has revealed something which defies the global warming hysteria. They have used ice core data, temperature proxy records from marine and terrestrial sediment cores, as well as radiocarbon dating. They have discovered that there was in fact warming of Antarctica contrary to the belief that if the ice melted we would all drown.

Back in 1773, the well-known explorer James Cook passed through the Antarctic circle for the first time. Cook officially discovered Antarctica which was generally believed to have been unknown. Later in 1929, a map was discovered in Istanbul that suggested it had been known before and has subsequently raised confirming evidence that Antarctica, at least in the West, was without ice and was noted as being a warm climate.

The chart was originally discovered in Istanbul while the German theologian Gustav Deissmann was cataloging the contents of Istanbul’s Topaki Palace’s library. He came across bundles of maps and charts that had been hidden within piles of disregarded materials. He was apparently stunned after realizing the staggering importance of this find for it was long understood that even Christopher Columbus possessed maps from the ancient world whose last capital was Constantinople – Istanbul. Constantinople fell to the Turks in 1453 and the scholars fled to Europe and to Russia and began teaching lost knowledge. This is what inspired Columbus to set sail in 1492.

Deissmann understood the importance of this map and he immediately brought it to an expert. The map was identified as the Piri Reis Map, taking its name from the medieval cartographer Piri Reis, who signed the bottom. The Piri Reis Map was astonishing for it apparently identified Antarctica at least 200 years before Cook’s discovery.

The Piri Reis Map is a world map compiled in 1513 from military intelligence. Only about one-third of the map has survived displaying the western coasts of Europe and North Africa as well as the coast of Brazil with reasonable accuracy. There are also various Atlantic islands, including the Azores and Canary Islands. Naturally, academics tried to call it a fake because it disturbed their idealized linear timeline of discovery. Nonetheless, Gregory McIntosh, who is a historian of cartography, examined the map in detail in his book “The Piri Reis Map of 1513″ (University of Georgia Press, 2000). McIntosh was able to discover the sources for much of the map in Columbus’s writings. There were some errors, such as the Virgin Islands in two locations which he attributed to the use of multiple maps as sources. Nevertheless, McIntosh traced the accuracy of the depiction of the Antarctic coast. He noted that there were two errors insofar as the coast was shown perhaps hundreds of kilometers north of its proper location and that the Drake Passage was completely missing.

Of course, with Google Maps, people have uncovered what they are claiming are man-made pyramids in Antarctica, claiming that it was once inhabited perhaps 6,000 ago and a polar shift changed the landscape of the world. This is an interesting theory, but it remains just speculation. Sure, something like that could have happened. However, there is no way to prove such a theory at this point in time, leaving it as a plot for a speculative movie.

Still, the Piri Reis Maphas baffled many because it stands in direct contrast with our perception today that the Antarctic is frigid but the notes on the map describe the region as having a warm climate. However, the map corresponds to the Medieval Warm Period that followed the Dark Ages and the Black Plague which wiped out about 50% of the population during the cold period.

However, the extreme swings from heat to extreme cold (Panic Cycles) appear to be indicative of a precursor to Climate Change. Another piece of historical evidence for the Medieval Warming Period which has been ignored by the Global Warming crowd is known as the Hunger Stones. Pictured here is a Hunger Stone from 1616 which has been exposed by the low level of water in the Elbe River in 2018. This is at Decin, in the Czech Republic. Throughout the centuries, there have been these cycles of extreme heat followed by extreme cold. Such events have been recorded when drought has resulted in the low level of water in the Elbe river.

Then there is what many call the Christopher Columbus Map which is undated, but there are clues it was created in 1491: The Smithsonian reported that the map quotes a book published that year, and Christopher Columbus may have consulted the map (or a copy) before his great voyage. When he landed in the Bahamas, he believed he was close to Japan, for this map did not show the Americas. The map, made by a German working in Florence named Henricus Martellus, has been another map which has been ignored by academics.

Scientists at Yale University have been using multispectral imaging on this 15th-century map believed to have been used by Christopher Columbus. They have uncovered hundreds of place names and more than 60 written passages. I have written before that roman-swordRoman artifacts have been discovered also in Canada. This clearly establishes that the ancient Romans may have sailed across the Atlantic long before Columbus or the Vikings. This discovery in Canada has created a storm for it rewrites history. The unquestionable discovery of a Roman sword in Canada is rather stark evidence that history is different from what academics believed. Yet Roman coins have been also discovered in Japan. Then there was the discovery of the Cocaine Mummies from Egypt which have confirmed there was trade between Africa and South America, although it could have been through the Pacific to India and off to Egypt.

Only two historical cases of pre-Columbian contact are widely accepted among the scientific mainstream. They have accepted maritime explorations by Norse peoples from Scandinavia during the late 10th century which led to the Norse colonization of Greenland and of L’Anse aux Meadows in Newfoundland which predate Columbus’ arrival in the Americas by some 500 years.

From China, we have historical evidence that the Roman Emperor Marcus Aurelius sent a diplomat envoy to establish contact with China, which they were long trading with through intermediaries on what was called the Silk Road. The history of Rome that it claimed to rule the world (orbis terrarum) stood at the opposite end of the globe from the strikingly similar Han Dynasty (206BC-220 AD) in China, which also claimed to have ruled the world (tianxia). There is the History Book for Tang-Dynasty in China covering the period 618-907 AD. Yet the text mentions 17 times what appears to be the Roman Empire. It also describes an envoy that was sent by the Roman Emperor to China. The Roman Emperor was recorded to have been “Anton.” The account of such an envoy who visited the older Han Dynasty predates the Venetian traveler Marco Polo (1254-1325) by more than 1,000 years. This envoy has been attributed to 166 AD during the reign of Marcus Aurelius Antoninus (121-180 AD). It is the death of Marcus Aurelius that has marked the peak in the Roman Empire and the turning point that begins the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire where the monetary system collapses just 72 years thereafter. This envoy established diplomatic contact at the peak in the Roman Empire from which a disastrous decline begins. Any political-economic aspirations to further such a relationship would then die with Marcus Aurelius. Yet also, both empires would suffer the same fate of barbarian invasions. The Han Dynasty falls in 220 AD from which emerges the chaotic period known as the Three Kingdoms (220-280 AD ) – the division of the once unified Chinese Empire.

The Minoan society began the Bronze Age. To make bronze, they needed tin. Low and behold, the Minoans traded with the British of Stonehenge Age period prior to 1650 BC, sailing into the Atlantic and they too must have created maps of the areas they sailed to. It was essential to sail into the Atlantic for trade giving birth to the Bronze Age.

The Minoans were perhaps the first International Economy. They traded far and wide even with Britain seeking tin. Their civilization was of the Bronze Age rising civilization that arose on the island of Crete and flourished from approximately the 27th century BC to the 15th century BC. Their trading range and colonization extended to Spain, Egypt, Israel (Canaan), Syria (Levantine), Greece, Rhodes, and of course to Turkey (Anatolia). Many other cultures referred to them as the people from the islands in the middle of the sea. However, the Minoans had no mineral deposits. They lacked gold as well as silver or even the ability to produce large mining of copper. What has survived are examples of copper ingots that served as MONEY in trade.

The fall of the Minoan Civilization coincided with the eruption of Thera (today it is known as Santorini). This destroyed their ships and commerce and allowed the barbarians, then the Greeks from Mycenae, to plunder their society and also that of Troy before collapsing into a Dark Age due to climate change and global cooling. What is very clear is that there must have been maps which long predated the Piri Reis Map which apparently relied on numerous maps which had previously existed.

The latest is again they assumed the ice will all melt and the seas level will rise by 25 meters. They claim that if emissions don’t start to fall until 2030 and the world does not abide by the 2015 Paris Agreement, where anyone who disagreed was not allowed to present anything or speak, then the sea level will rise by 25 meters by 2050. This all opinion and no proof or historical evidence has ever been presented to show what would happen.