A Technical Study in the Relationships of Solar Flux, Water, Carbon Dioxide and Global Temperatures, August 2021 Data


From the attached report on climate change for August 2021 Data we have the two charts showing how much the global temperature has actually gone up since we started to measure CO2 in the atmosphere in 1958? To show this graphically Chart 8a was constructed by plotting CO2 as a percent increase from when it was first measured in 1958, the Black plot, the scale is on the left and it shows CO2 going up by about 32.0% from 1958 to July of 2021. That is a very large change as anyone would have to agree.  Now how about temperature, well when we look at the percentage change in temperature also from 1958, using Kelvin (which does measure the change in heat), we find that the changes in global temperature (heat) is almost un-measurable at only .4%. As you see the increase in energy, heat, is not visually observably in this chart hence the need for another Chart 8 to show the minuscule increase in thermal energy shown by NASA in relationship to the change in CO2 Shown in the next Chart using a different scale.

The next chart is Chart 8 which is the same as Chart 8a except for the scales. The scale on the right side had to be expanded 10 times (the range is 50 % on the left and 5% on the right) to be able to see the plot in the same chart in any detail. The red plot, starting in 1958, shows that the thermal energy in the earth’s atmosphere increased by .40%; while CO2 has increased by 32.0% which is 80 times that of the increase in temperature. So is there really a meaningful link between them that would give as a major problem?

Based to these trends, determined by excel not me, in 2028 CO2 will be 428 ppm and temperatures will be a bit over 15.0o Celsius and in 2038 CO2 will be 458 ppm and temperatures will be 15.6O Celsius. This is what the data shows no matter what the reasons are, so I have no idea how the IPCC gets to predict that the world will end in ten or even twenty years.

Carbon Dioxide CO2 is not making “ANY” dangerous changes to the global temperature!

The numbers tell us — there isn’t any problem!

The full 40 page report explains how these charts were developed and why using NASA and NOAA data that are used without change to prove that The New Green Deal is not required and any attempt to complete that plan will be a worldwide disaster.

Click on the link below for the full report that you can download.

La Palma Volcano & 6th Wave


Armstrong Economics Blog/Nature Re-Posted Sep 22, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Marty, if I understood your forecasts on volcanos, you said this would increase post-2020 but the big one was not until after 2032. Is this all hype about La Palma Volcano?

GV

REPLY: There is normally a rise in volcanic activity with solar minimum. There is a plain correlation with that. I have written about how Napoleon was defeated by a Volcanic Winter. This eruption of La Palma Volcano seems to be on target. There is roughly a 22-year cycle to that particular volcano.

The known eruptions have been 2021 (Sep – ongoing), 1971, 1949, 1712, 1677-1678, 1646, and 1585. This volcano conforms to the 8.6-year frequency. It has been 51.6 years from 1871 to 2021 so it is on target. This one can build bigger. There is a risk it could extend into 2022 since this is the 6th wave from 1712.

There are a number of volcanos on the watch list right now. The main threat of volcanos is creating volcanic winters.

Climate Always Changes


Armstrong Economics Blog/Uncategorized Re-Posted Nov 4, 2015 by Martin Armstrong

Atacama Desert

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I want to commend you for standing up against the covert agenda of global warming. It is dumbfounding how decades of research into geology can just be ignored. You are correct that everything changes. The magnetic polls move continually so places that were tropic became covered in ice and places that are ice will become tropic. The rain in the desert that miraculously created flowers from nowhere demonstrates how dynamic our climate truly is far beyond this narrowed view of climate. No one who is a real scientist would ever ascribe to this theory suggesting those advocating this theory are bribed or ignorant. Take your choice.

PD

Siberian Rare Flower 32000 yrs old

REPLY: Correct. The Atacama desert experienced a burst of flowers springing to life after El Niño brought the heaviest rainfall in two decades earlier this year. The Atacama desert is normally one of the driest places on Earth. The flowers normally bloom every 5 to 7 years in cycles.

Then in Siberia, Russians discovered ancient seeds of a plant long extinct that they managed to bring back to life. It is the oldest plant to ever be regenerated after 32,000 years. This demonstrates that there was fertile land in Siberia and it was not always cold.

antartica-no-ice

The Piri Reis map was accidentally discovered in 1929 in a Turkish museum. There is no logical explanation for a map that shows the detailed outline of Antarctica without ice unless there was no ice -– ancient global warming. In 1513, Turkish admiral Piri Reis designed the map of the world. This map then included Portugal, Spain, West Africa, Central and South Atlantic, the Caribbean, the eastern half of South America, and a part of Antarctica. It is also believed that there was North America, but the rest of the map was destroyed.

north-south-magnetic-pole-movement-sml
global_warming

The point is that there is abundant evidence that the climate hasALWAYS changed; the magnetic poles have always moved, and with them, the ice. This is the picture that they use to sell their idea of global warming. A new NASA study of Antarctica has also shown that there is more ice than what has been alleged, quite frankly because the poles do move. The very same result has been shown at the North Pole – there is more ice today than when Al Gore first brought up the issue.

Instead of investigating and objectively understanding (1) that the poles move, and (2) climate has always changed, we have turned this into a justification for taxes by creating an alarming issue that is total nonsense. Changing the environment by throwing garbage in the water or diesel fuel in buses so you cannot breathe is a SEPARATE issue from changing the climate of the Earth. To achieve one is to exaggerate the other. Those who refuse to even consider alternates to the propaganda demonstrate that they have closed minds and cannot survive the turmoil of what is coming.

Energy Ban Before There is an Alternative


Armstrong Economics Blog/Energy Re-Posted Sep 15, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

A House committee last week advanced serious legislation to combat climate change. Biden already went to OPEC to ask them to increase production because gasoline prices have jumped. These people are hopeless. They are passing legislation for an agenda and cutting off the supply BEFORE there is a system with renewable energy, which is only a theory. Nobody believes that we can create enough electricity to provide everyone with a car as if nothing changed. That is what this COVID lockdown is really about — altering the economy, destroying jobs, and ending commuting. They are not telling people straight up, for why would you still have major office buildings when that is part of the plan to end commuting to save the planet? California has already passed legislation banning natural gas in new buildings.

Now Congress is pushing to end all oil drilling in most US offshore waters, thwart potential mining in the western part of the country, and invest billions of dollars in conservation. The $31.7 billion measure, approved 24-13 by the House Natural Resources Committee, would also impose new fees on oil and mining companies while funding drought relief, conservation, and other programs. It is now set to be folded into a broader multi-trillion-dollar social reform and climate change bill that is taking shape in the House. They will attach it to that so it is buried in a seven-foot stack of paper.

They are pushing this agenda in what they are calling “a once-in-a-generation opportunity to advance a bold, ambitious investment in the people of the United States.” The legislation “will confront the damage being done by climate change, put our country on a more sustainable and equitable economic and environmental path, and create millions of jobs,” according to the Democrat chairman.

This is like saying the medicine you are taking now will be replaced maybe in five or ten years, so we will outlaw it now to prepare. This is the greatest example of total mismanagement, perhaps in history. All of this renewable energy is theory — that’s it. Fine, I am installing solar panels on the roof. But if there is a storm and clouds for several days, you have no energy, all your food goes bad, and you could even starve. That’s why you cannot simply throw everything else out now and think you can live off the sun forever.

New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell Claims Not Enough Time for a Mandatory Evacuation


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on August 27, 2021 | Sundance | 120 Comments

This seems a little odd to me.  Citing the time it takes to implement contra-flow traffic as a problem, New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell stated there is not enough time for the city of New Orleans to execute a mandatory evacuation.   Additionally, she is asking all residents who do not evacuate to shelter in place for Hurricane Ida.

Contra-flow traffic is the process of turning inbound lanes into outbound lanes and depending on the metropolitan area takes around 8 hrs for local and state DOT to get set up.   The mayor is asking for a voluntary evacuation saying “time is not on our side.” “The City can not issue a mandatory evacuation because we do not have time, Cantrell continued. WATCH:

Yikes… and Biden’s team is running FEMA.

Additional News Report….  WATCH:

Head’s up, Ida Expected to Be Major Hurricane Targeting Gulf Coast Sunday Night, Louisiana, Alabama, Mississippi Coastal Region


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on August 27, 2021 | Sundance | 147 Comments

Ida is currently a tropical storm headed into the Gulf of Mexico. However, the conditions are perfect for Ida to quickly become a major hurricane as it heads toward the Louisiana coastal region.  Everyone along the gulf coast from East Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi and western Alabama should be making preparations right now.  Do not delay.

In the background several Civilian Emergency Response Teams (CERT) have been activated.  Due to the confluence of events, everyone is taking this storm very seriously. Any Treeper in the coastal area of Louisiana and Mississippi should be taking preparatory action today. Those in the forecast areas are strongly advised to pay close attention to local officials and heed all evacuation orders.  [National Hurricane Center]

Check your hurricane supplies of shelf-stable food, water, medicine and don’t forget pets.  Prepare for the worst and hope for the best.  Everything is replaceable, except you and your family.  We have a lot of Treepers in the path of this storm. If you need assistance, use the comments section of any ‘Ida Update thread’ to reach out, or use the email address in the upper right of the site.

Right now you are in control.  Have a solid plan, work that plan – stay busy, and don’t get caught up in the hysteria.  Try to avoid national media hype. Stay updated via your local news stations. Sunday morning looks like the key day impact zones will be identified.  Reach out to your neighbors; touch-base and check to see if they are okay or need anything.  Community restoration begins before the storm arrives. Look out for each-other.

Additionally, I hate to note this, but Joe Biden is in charge of FEMA… So plan accordingly.

Regarding any evacuation plan, please pay attention to your local officials who will be coordinating with state Dept. of Transportation.  As the path and impact zone of the storm becomes more predictable your local officials will alert to best route(s) for evacuation.

For those in the cone of uncertainty; remember, planning and proactive measures taken now can significantly reduce stress in the days ahead.  Plan when to make the best decision on any evacuation (if needed) consider Sunday morning the decision time-frame. As a general rule: take cover from wind – but evacuate away from water.

DAY ONE (Friday)

  • Determine Your Risk
  • Make a Written Plan
  • Develop and Evacuation Plan
  • Inventory hurricane/storm supplies.
  • Withdraw cash based on plan/need.
  • Get gas and storm supplies

DAY TWO (Saturday)

  • Get Storm Update
  • Assemble and Purchase Hurricane Supplies
  • Contact Insurance Company – Updates
  • Secure Important Papers.
  • Update/upload your phone data.
  • Strengthen and Secure Your Home
  • Discuss Evacuation Decision with your Family.
  • Fill freezer with 3/4 full water jugs.

DAY THREE (Sunday/ Morning)

  • Get Storm Update
  • Re-Evaluate your Supplies based on storm update
  • Finish last minute preparation
  • Plan for a minimum of THREE DAYS without power
  • Assist Your Neighbors
  • If Needed – Evacuate Your Family

.

Communication is important.  Update your friends and family contact list. Stay in touch with family and friends, let them know your plans. Select a single point of contact for communication from you that all others can then contact for updates if needed.

Today/tomorrow are good days to organize your important papers, insurance forms, personal papers and place them in one ‘ready-to-go’ location.

Evaluate your personal hurricane and storm supplies; update and replace anything you might have used. Assess, modify and/or update any possible evacuation plans based on your location, and/or any changes to your family status.  Fill car with gasoline. Review prescriptions, refill if needed.

Check your shutters and window coverings; test your generator; re-organize and familiarize yourself with all of your supplies and hardware. Check batteries in portable tools; locate tools you might need; walk your property to consider what you may need to do based on the storms path. All decisions are yours. You are in control.

Consider travel plans based on roads and traffic density. Being proactive now helps to keep any future stress level low. You are in control. If you have pets, additional plans may be needed.

One possible proactive measure is to make a hotel reservation further inland that you would consider evacuating to.  Follow updates of the storms’ progress; make reservations tonight or tomorrow if determined; you can always cancel if not needed.  It is better to have a secondary evacuation place established in advance.  Being proactive reduces stress.  Even if you wait until much later to cancel, it is better to pay a cancellation fee (usually one night charge) than to not have a plan on where to go.   Trust me, it’s worth it.  Protect your family. Make the booking decision in the next 24 hrs.

♦ Look over the National Hurricane Center resources for planning assistance.
♦ Also a great resource – CREATE A PLAN

A Technical Study in the Relationships of Solar Flux, Water, Carbon Dioxide and Global Temperatures, July 2021 Data


From the attached report on climate change for July 2021 Data we have the two charts showing how much the global temperature has actually gone up since we started to measure CO2 in the atmosphere in 1958? To show this graphically Chart 8a was constructed by plotting CO2 as a percent increase from when it was first measured in 1958, the Black plot, the scale is on the left and it shows CO2 going up by about 32.0% from 1958 to July of 2021. That is a very large change as anyone would have to agree.  Now how about temperature, well when we look at the percentage change in temperature also from 1958, using Kelvin (which does measure the change in heat), we find that the changes in global temperature (heat) is almost un-measurable at only .4%. As you see the increase in energy, heat, is not visually observably in this chart hence the need for another Chart 8 to show the minuscule increase in thermal energy shown by NASA in relationship to the change in CO2 Shown in the next Chart using a different scale.

The next chart is Chart 8 which is the same as Chart 8a except for the scales. The scale on the right side had to be expanded 10 times (the range is 50 % on the left and 5% on the right) to be able to see the plot in the same chart in any detail. The red plot, starting in 1958, shows that the thermal energy in the earth’s atmosphere increased by .40%; while CO2 has increased by 32.0% which is 80 times that of the increase in temperature. So is there really a meaningful link between them that would give as a major problem?

Based to these trends, determined by excel not me, in 2028 CO2 will be 428 ppm and temperatures will be a bit over 15.0o Celsius and in 2038 CO2 will be 458 ppm and temperatures will be 15.6O Celsius. This is what the data shows no matter what the reasons are, so I have no idea how the IPCC gets to predict that the world will end in ten or even twenty years.

Carbon Dioxide CO2 is not making “ANY” dangerous changes to the global temperature!

The numbers tell us — there isn’t any problem!

The full 40 page report explains how these charts were developed and why using NASA and NOAA data that are used without change to prove that The New Green Deal is not required and any attempt to complete that plan will be a worldwide disaster.

Click on the link below for the full report that you can download.

The Threat of an Ice Age is Real


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Aug 6, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

Most people have NEVER heard of the Beaufort Gyre, a massive wind-driven current in the Arctic Ocean that actually has far more influence over sea ice than anything we can throw into the atmosphere. The Beaufort Gyre has been regulating climate and sea ice formation for millennia. Recently, however, something has changed; it is not something that would create global warming but threatens a new Ice Age.

There is a normal cycle that appears to be about 5.4 years where it reverses direction and spins counter-clockwise, expelling ice and freshwater into the eastern Arctic Ocean and the North Atlantic. The 5.4-year cycle is interesting for it is two pi cycle intervals of 8.6. The immediate cycle has suddenly expanded to two 8.6-year intervals, bringing it to 17.2 years as we head into 2022.

What you must understand is that this Beaufort Gyre now holds as much freshwater as all of the Great Lakes combined. Why is that important? Saltwater freezes at a lower temperature than the 32 degrees F at which freshwater freezes. The difference between the air temperature and the freezing point of saltwater is bigger than the difference between the air temperature and the freezing point of fresh water. This makes the ice with salt on it melt faster, which is why we salt the roads in an ice storm.

Now, think of the Beaufort Gyre as a carousel of ice and freshwater. Because it is now spinning both faster and in its usual clockwise direction, it has been collecting more and more freshwater from the three main sources:

  1. Melting sea ice
  2. Runoff from the Arctic Ocean from Russian and North American rivers
  3. Lower saltwater coming in from the Bering Sea

Indeed, Yale has warned that this current could “Cool the Climate in Europe,” which is precisely what we are witnessing. Cyclically, the Beaufort Gyre will reverse direction, and when it does the clear and present danger will be the natural expulsion of a massive amount of icy fresh water into the North Atlantic. Remember now, freshwater freezes faster than saltwater.

This is not a theory. We have previous records of reversals in this cycle of the Beaufort Gyre from the 1960s and 1970s, where there was a surge of fresh Arctic water released into the North Atlantic that resulted in the water freezing. There has been a lot of work done on this subject, which, of course, is ignored by the climate change agenda that only seeks to blame human activity. Nevertheless, AAAS, of which I am a member, states plainly:

“Arctic sea ice affects climate on seasonal to decadal time scales, and models suggest that sea ice is essential for longer anomalies such as the Little Ice Age.” 

Socrates has been given just about every possible database I could find over the past 50 years. Because of the extended 17.2-year cycle in the Beaufort Gyre, the risk that a larger than normal expulsion of freshwater into the Atlantic can disrupt the Gulf Stream, which is the sole reason why Europe has been moderate in climate. But that has NOT always been the case. We know that the Barbarian invasions into Rome during the 3rd century were primarily driven by a colder climate in the north. The invasion of the Sea Peoples ended the Bronze Age and those from the north migrated into the South storming Mesopotamia and Northern Africa.

CLIMATE CHANGE IS REAL

It is just not created by humans.

Perhaps we are now at the tipping point and they cannot keep saying that the extremely cold winter is also caused by CO2 and global warming. The collapse of the gulf stream has nothing to do with CO2. This may result in a major confrontation that these people have been seriously wrong and what they are doing to the economy in trying to shut down fossil fuels at this point in time could result in tens of millions of deaths if the gulf stream collapses.

The CO2 Propaganda Agenda


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Aug 3, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: You are misleading everyone. Climate Change is real, and the danger is CO2 must be eliminated. Everyone knows that.

HV

REPLY: Obviously, you just read the propaganda. Do you remember science class? CO2 is vital to the planet. They assume that everyone is a moron. If there were zero CO2, there would be no plant life. You should commit suicide now and save the planet; every breath of oxygen you take in, you exhale CO2. You are the threat they are talking about.

That is why Gates wants to reduce the population. You cannot ever get to zero CO2 without reducing the population. Even the founder of Greenpeace admits this was all contrived as a leftist agenda and that zero CO2 is not attainable.

The United Nations Climate summit was so rigged that it was criminal. Joe Biden rushed to have the USA support this corruption. Not only did the United Nations block countries that it deemed were uncooperative, but NO scientist was allowed to speak to give the other side. This has been a deliberate agenda, which was the prelude to this agenda 2030 for the Great Reset.

You better wake up. You are the problem in their eyes and they intend to keep you locked up, unemployed, and hoping you die to save the planet.

There is No Danger from Carbon Dioxide Causing a Global Catastrophe!


This ad was in the Wednesday July 28, 2021 Washington Times Newspaper

The properties of carbon dioxide have been mischaracterized and distorted by leftist politicians, professors, and even scientists who are influenced by left-leaning institutions that provide funds for research. Be aware of reporting from your favorite conservative sources to see if they use this information to set the record straight. Essentially, the information contained in the attachment effectively contradicts with accurate scientific facts the long-running media narrative about humans causing climate change with the use of fossil fuels which add carbon dioxide to Earth’s atmosphere. The information that you will see is self-explanatory and will likely make it more difficult for the human-caused climate change narrative to persist.

Pass this on to your friends …

Sam Horowitz