Understanding Iran


Posted  originally on Apr 23, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Sun Tsu Know your Enemy

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you said that Iran is the merger of Marxism and Islam. I believe you also said that the Shah did not realize that sending the youth to school in the UK and the US was a mistake, and that they returned to Iran, indoctrinated with Marxism. Was this the backdrop to Death to America?

Frank

REPLY: Absolutely. The Shah made the mistake of sending people to study in the West during the late ’70s when universities were taken over by the LEFT and indoctrinated students into this dangerous idea that has been behind the single most devastating upheaval in human history. No other theory has caused so much death as the LEFTISTS.

This merger of Marxism and Islam was unique to Iran. It involved revolutionary Shia clerics adopting Marxist language, leftist intellectuals reinterpreting Islam, and a tactical alliance against a common enemy. This collaboration was a key factor in the revolution’s success, though it proved to be short-lived. It has often been overlooked and just seen as an Islamic Revolution, which is NOT correct. This is part of the problem in negotiating with Iran currently. If we DO NOT understand that this is a merger of Islam reinterpreted by Marxists, good luck in trying to negotiate.

Armstrong on Social Justice

The common language of Anti-Imperialism and Social Justice was merged. The main bridge between these two seemingly opposed worldviews was their shared commitment to anti-imperialism and social justice. For many in Iran, the Shah’s regime was presented as a symbol of Western imperialism and gross economic inequality. That’s where Marxism came in, where everyone should have the same. Marxism provided a sharp critique of capitalism and imperialism, while a newly radicalized version of Shi’a Islam, often called “Liberation Theology,” framed the struggle against the Shah as a fight for the oppressed (mostaz’afin). This overlap in goals created the initial common ground for an alliance.

Shariati Ali

Ali Shariati was the Intellectual Architect. He is regarded as one of the most influential Iranian intellectuals of the 20th century. He has been referred to as the “ideologue of the Islamic Revolution,” and was the most important figure in forging this ideological blend of Marxism & Islam. Ali Shariati, of course, was a French-educated sociologist who was converted to Communism by Marx himself. Shariati was not a Marxist per se, but he was deeply influenced by Marxist concepts of class struggle, which he artfully integrated into his reinterpretation of Shi’ism. He argued that the original, revolutionary Shi’ism was a religion of the oppressed, which he called “Red Shi’ism,” in contrast to the passive, established “Safavid Shi’ism” of the religious establishment. By presenting Islam as a modern, revolutionary ideology, he offered a powerful native alternative to Marxism, making the anti-Shah movement both religiously authentic and socially radical.

Beyond Shariati’s intellectual synthesis, the revolution against the Shah was driven by a loose but effective alliance of convenience between various political groups. The Clergy & Khomeini: Although Ayatollah Khomeini was deeply anti-communist, he and his clerical followers were skilled politicians. They adopted popular Marxist slogans like “economic equality” and “struggle against imperialism” to tap into widespread anti-Shah sentiment, successfully channeling this energy into their own vision of an Islamic state.

Islamic-Marxist Guerrillas (MEK) became the most literal fusion of the two ideologies that occurred within the Mojahedin-e-Khalq (MEK). Founded in 1965, the MEK explicitly described its ideology as a “combination of Islam and Marxism.” The group argued that a “true Muslim” was naturally aligned with socialist and anti-imperialist goals. They fought alongside Khomeini’s forces during the revolution but were purged soon after.

Secular Marxists (Tudeh Party), was Iran’s largest communist party, and was originally wary of Khomeini’s religious movement. However, their fervent anti-Shah position eventually led them to support the revolutionary coalition, hoping to influence its outcome from within.

The alliance was purely pragmatic. Once the Shah was overthrown in 1979, the fundamental incompatibility between Marxism (which is atheist) and an Islamic state (which is theocratic) became immediately clear. Khomeini’s regime quickly moved to eliminate its leftist allies in what has been called a “counter-revolutionary” purge. Marxist and Islamic-Marxist groups, including the Tudeh party and the MEK, were ruthlessly suppressed, with thousands of members executed or forced into exile.

Pahlavi Shah 1950

It became a Revolutionary Synthesis, rather than a merger of Marxism and Islamic fundamentalism, which was a revolutionary synthesis, not a permanent fusion. For a brief period, their shared opposition to the Shah united them in a powerful coalition to achieve the revolution. However, their fundamental differences proved irreconcilable, leading to a violent and decisive break in the revolution’s aftermath.

Marx ten commandments socialism

Religion aside, what I find curious is that Marxism is expressly forbidden in the Ten Commandments, confirming that this has been an inherent problem within human civilization for thousands of years. Just counting Russia and China, the death toll thanks to Marxism and the LEFT is estimated at Deaths under regimes that identified with Marxism–Leninism (e.g., the Soviet Union under Joseph Stalin, China under Mao Zedong, Cambodia under Pol Pot, etc.) is estimated between 50 and 90 million deaths, and that is just China and Russia. It has been the deadliest theory ever promoted by formal education.

Sparta vs Athens Peloponesian War

Some argue that Sparta did not wage war against Athens because of communism vs. capitalism. They fought for power, fear, and security—as Thucydides documented—within the very different political and economic realities of the 5th century BC. However, the economics tells a different story. Sparta was a communist state. It never issued coins to discourage individual wealth.

Sparta Coinage Spears

Sparta never issued coins. All they had were iron “oboloi”, which were intended to be impractical to prevent the accumulation of wealth. Sparta did not issue coinage for centuries due to a deliberate set of ideological laws, known as the Lycurgan Reforms, designed to create a perfectly disciplined, militaristic, and egalitarian society. The state actively used its monetary system to enforce these values.

According to ancient historians like Plutarch, the legendary lawgiver Lycurgus banned the use of gold and silver coins, replacing them with heavy, cumbersome iron bars to stifle corruption, greed, and the pursuit of luxury.

The Spartan currency, called Pelanor (also referred to as ‘obeloi’ or spits), was deliberately made impractical. A single piece weighed around 1.5 pounds (0.68 kg) but had very little value, so even a small sum would require a cart to move.

The iron was deliberately made brittle by quenching it in vinegar while red-hot, rendering it useless for making tools or weapons. This ensured the currency had no purpose other than trade. This was an early communist state with “Anti-Money” by design.

This cumbersome system suppressed foreign influence, reduced theft (because of the difficulty of concealing the large bars), and curbed corruption by making bribery nearly impossible. More importantly, it discouraged the accumulation of private wealth and helped enforce the “equal” lifestyle of the Spartiate citizen class, which was essential for military discipline.

Hoard Darics

While the iron currency worked for internal trade among citizens, Sparta was not a closed economy. The Perioikoi (a subordinate class of free inhabitants) managed trade and used foreign currency, and the Spartan state itself famously used Persian gold coins to build its navy and ultimately defeat Athens in the Peloponnesian War.

Athenian Owl Hoard

While Athens was the power that defeated the Persians and rose to form its own empire, indeed, Sparta was jealous of that power. But at the root was also this difference in social theory. Athens was capitalist and free, with art, expression, and philosophy. These were characteristics that were at odds with the philosophy of Sparta.

The lesson here is that when dealing with Iran, we must understand that at the very basic core, they remain anti-capitalist/imperialist. This is how they see the USA and Israel. There is a basic fundamental difference in philosophy, and until we stop judging Iran by what we would do, we will never understand the adversary.

You can never achieve social justice where everyone earns the same, still have personal liberty and freedom even to speak, and economic efficiency all simultaneously. It has NEVER worked from ancient times to China and Russia, and it is suppressing Europe into an economic depression. It tore Iran apart at the seams. This Marxist interpretation of Islam destroyed Iran, which ranks in the top three energy reserves in the world for oil and gas, though it is undeniably a global energy superpower.

The Islamic Revolution was responsible for completing and solidifying the nationalization of Iran’s energy sector. The key to understanding this lies in the early 1950s. In 1951, the democratically elected Prime Minister, Mohammad Mossadegh, nationalized Iran’s British-controlled oil industry. However, this bold move led to a CIA and MI6-backed coup in 1953, which ousted Mossadegh and reinstated the Shah. After the coup, control of Iran’s oil industry effectively returned to Western companies

Pokémon Go — The Largest Mapped Data Collection Ploy in History


Posted originally on Apr 22, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Pokémon GO' the Future of Augmented Reality? – GeekDad

When Pokémon Go was released, it appeared to be a harmless game encouraging people to go outside and explore, yet beneath that surface was a far more sophisticated system that directed human movement into very specific locations where data was needed most, turning millions of users into mobile data collectors. The placement of Pokémon, Gyms, and PokéStops was not random, but concentrated around landmarks, businesses, and dense urban corridors, meaning players were repeatedly funneled into high-value mapping zones, often returning to the same locations over and over again, capturing them from multiple angles, at different times of day, and under varying conditions, which is exactly how high-quality spatial datasets are built.

For many reading this, particularly those who never played the game, it is important to understand what this actually looked like in practice, because this was not some passive background process, it required people to physically walk through neighborhoods, parks, shopping districts, and even residential areas while holding up their phones, actively scanning their surroundings to “catch” virtual creatures that did not exist. The game encouraged users to point their cameras at real-world objects, move around them, and interact with the environment. The system was capturing detailed imagery not just of public landmarks but also of surrounding areas, including streets, entryways, and private homes, all embedded in what appeared to be a simple entertainment experience.

Pokemon GO UK release date - and how to get it now on iPhone and Android | The Independent | The Independent

The scale of what was collected is staggering and now confirmed by the company itself, with Niantic stating that its system has been built on roughly 30 billion real-world images gathered through its augmented reality games, each tied to precise data such as GPS location, camera angle, and device movement. These images are not random snapshots but structured data points, captured repeatedly at more than a million key locations globally, many of which were photographed from multiple perspectives and under varying environmental conditions, enabling the system to build highly accurate three-dimensional models of real-world environments.

Niantic has been explicit about the purpose of this dataset, explaining that it is building what it calls a “Large Geospatial Model,” a system designed to allow machines to understand and navigate the real world. One executive stated, “We look at the player data as very high-quality ground training data,” making clear that the information gathered through gameplay is being used to train artificial intelligence systems.

The game was an immediate success as the Pokemon franchise has lasted throughout generations with both children and adults eagerly playing along. The reach of this operation is global, spanning nearly every major city on the planet and millions of individual locations, with new data continuing to be added at a rate of roughly one million scans per week. This was not a static dataset but a constantly evolving, real-time mapping system built through ongoing participation.

Companies like Google spent years deploying fleets of Street View vehicles equipped with specialized cameras to capture imagery from roads and highways, a process that was expensive, slow, and inherently limited to where vehicles could physically travel. Pokémon Go achieved something far more granular by using millions of people on foot, inside buildings, parks, and residential neighborhoods, collecting data from angles and locations that vehicles could never reach. Niantic even charged users to unlock advanced gaming features, profiting while secretly using the system to create a on-the-ground map of the world.

Did you play Pokémon Go? You didn't know it, but you were training AI to map the world | ZDNET

What Niantic created was effectively a pedestrian-level mapping system that surpassed traditional methods in density and perspective, because every image was captured at human height, from within the environment itself, rather than from a passing vehicle, and when those billions of images are layered together, the result is a dataset that can pinpoint a user’s position to within centimeters based on surrounding visual cues, a level of precision that conventional GPS systems struggle to achieve in dense urban environments.

The game itself was the mechanism that made this possible, because it incentivized behavior that would otherwise require massive investment, placing rare Pokémon and rewards in specific areas so that players would voluntarily travel to those locations, linger there, and capture detailed visual data, effectively turning curiosity and competition into a distributed workforce that operated at global scale.

This was perhaps the largest data collection operation in history. Participation was voluntary, and the implications were never fully understood; the result is a system that has quietly built a high-resolution, continuously updated model of the physical world using data supplied by hundreds of millions of users in every corner of the globe.

Niantic has outlined multiple industries where this data will be deployed, including logistics, warehousing, construction, and spatial planning, all of which rely on understanding physical environments in real time. The reality is that this data is now being commercialized, integrated into robotics, licensed for enterprise use, and positioned as the backbone for future AI systems that interact with the real world, meaning what began as a game has evolved into one of the most valuable spatial datasets ever created.

Remember: if something is free, YOU are the product.

Bank of Korea Vows to Create CBDC


Posted originally on Apr 22, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Bank of Korea Is Set to Keep Interest Rates Unchanged as Economy Surprises  - Bloomberg

The Bank of Korea has now made its position unmistakably clear, and this is precisely what I have been warning about for years. In his very first address, Governor Shin Hyun-song did not merely suggest innovation in digital finance, he explicitly prioritized a system built around central bank digital currencies and bank-issued deposit tokens, while deliberately omitting stablecoins entirely from the discussion. What you are witnessing is not competition in money, it is the consolidation of control.

They are trying to rebrand this as modernization, but behind the curtain this is about power. Shin outlined that CBDCs and deposit tokens will form the core of South Korea’s future monetary system, reinforcing a structure where the central bank and regulated banking institutions remain the gatekeepers of all financial activity. This is not accidental. Deposit tokens are essentially programmable bank liabilities tied directly into a centrally controlled system, ensuring that even when money becomes “digital,” it never leaves the institutional framework.

What stands out is not what he said, but what he refused to say. Stablecoins, which represent a competing form of digital liquidity outside direct state control, were entirely absent from his inaugural speech despite ongoing legislative efforts in South Korea to establish a domestic stablecoin market. That omission speaks volumes. Central banks do not fear volatility, they fear competition.

Even when pressed previously, Shin made it clear that stablecoins would only play a “supplementary” role, not a foundational one. In other words, private digital money may exist, but only within boundaries defined by the state. This is the same pattern we are seeing globally. Governments will tolerate innovation only to the extent that it does not threaten their monopoly over money and taxation.

The Bank of Korea is already expanding real-world testing through initiatives like Project Hangang, aiming to integrate CBDCs and deposit tokens into everyday transactions and even government spending. This is how it always unfolds. First comes the pilot program, then limited adoption, and finally full integration under the justification of efficiency and stability. By the time the public realizes what has happened, the infrastructure is already in place.

They will argue this is about improving payment systems, reducing friction, and enhancing transparency. But transparency for whom? Governments will gain unprecedented visibility into every transaction, every movement of capital, and ultimately every individual’s economic behavior. The original promise of cryptocurrency was decentralization and financial sovereignty. What is being constructed here is the exact opposite.

First, they marginalize private alternatives like stablecoins. Then they elevate bank-issued tokens tied directly into the regulatory system. Finally, they introduce CBDCs as the ultimate settlement layer, where all money flows can be monitored, restricted, or even reversed.

South Korea is simply one piece of a much larger global shift. The same debate is playing out in Europe, in the United States, and across Asia. The technology may differ, the language may vary, but the objective is consistent. Governments are moving toward a system where money is no longer just a medium of exchange, but a tool of policy enforcement.

This is why I have repeatedly stated that the future battle is not about inflation, it is about control. Once money becomes programmable, it ceases to be neutral. It can be conditioned, restricted, and weaponized. The danger is not that CBDCs will fail, but that they will succeed exactly as intended.

The public is being told this is innovation. In reality, it is the redesign of the monetary system from the ground up, and once implemented, there is no easy way back.

Categories:Central Banks

Pandering to Migrants Cost New York $73.5 Million in Federal Funds


Posted originally on Apr 22, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

NYC Mayor Adams' chief adviser urges feds to 'close the borders' amid migrant  crisis

New York is now set to lose roughly $73.5 million in federal transportation funding. The state refused to revoke nearly 33,000 questionable commercial driver’s licenses issued to non-domiciled immigrants. Many of these licenses remained active despite expired or unverifiable documentation. This is not just paperwork. This is a failure of basic regulatory integrity.

New York has been at the center of the migrant surge in the United States. Hundreds of thousands have entered the system, and the state declared itself a sanctuary. As pressure mounted, enforcement weakened and state government bended the rules to protect the occupiers.

These vehicles can weigh up to 80,000 pounds and require strict training, certification, and oversight. When the state cannot properly verify who someone is, it cannot verify their driving history, qualifications, or whether the license itself was issued based on valid credentials. There have already been incidents tied to improperly vetted commercial drivers, which is what triggered federal scrutiny in the first place. This is not about politics, it is about basic safety. If identity and documentation cannot be confirmed, then neither can competency, and putting unverified drivers behind the wheel of heavy commercial vehicles creates a direct risk to everyone on the road.

NYC taxpayers fleeced for millions with no-bid contracts for migrant  services, audit finds | Fox Business

This migrant crisis has strained every layer of the system. Housing has been overwhelmed. Public services are stretched. New York City alone has spent billions trying to manage the situation. Shelters are beyond capacity, and emergency measures have become permanent solutions. Yet the state continues signaling that it remains open.

The economic consequences are now beginning to surface. Losing federal funding shows that the federal government is willing to enforce compliance when safety standards are ignored.  Businesses and residents have already been leaving high-tax states like New York. That trend is accelerating as uncertainty rises.

The Trump Administration is prepared to continue withholding federal funds to pressure these states into complying with federal law. Taxpayers in every state are on the hook for the migrant crisis and denying federal funds is a point for “no taxation without representation.” There are discussions of revoking airport customs checks at airports in sanctuary cities. States that have gone rogue will be left high and dry, and perhaps then citizens will see that their elected leaders have pandered to open borders over their own constituents.

Iran – the Great Global Mess


Posted originally on Apr 22, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

2026_04_21_18_31_28_62_Truth_Details_Truth_Social

US President Donald Trump reversed himself again as he continues to look for a way out of this quagmire, which has become a deeply unpopular conflict that’s driven up gas prices and threatens to plunge Europe into its own Great Depression.  The Iranian government appears divided, and the military seems to be assuming power, declining to yield to the political faction.

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The Neocons, who lack the ability to engage in strategy beyond the tip of their noses, routinely see only myopically and are simply incompetent, incapable of even adding 2 + 2. They proved that the lack of strategy with Iraq. They only focused on removing Saddam and never gave a second thought to what came afterward. That was Tony Blair’s apology.

Trump is desperate to exit this war, but publicly, he will NEVER admit it was a mistake or that he was influenced by Netanyahu’s constant propaganda to annihilate all of his enemies using the US military and American soldiers to die for his persistent hatred of his adversaries. I would expect Netanyahu to now stage some sort of false flag to not only get Trump back in this war, but also because his own critics are now saying he lacks the courage to stand up to Trump. With elections in the wings, Netanyahu is not likely to go quietly into retirement.

IRAN ECM

As mentioned, we are seeing factions emerge internally within Iran. This should eventually expand, and we would expect Iran to fracture politically in early 2027. To some extent, this is why Trump’s latest turnabout. I do not believe that Trump is receiving realistic information about the future. The Neocons must be breaking out in a cold sweat and on the verge of foaming at the mouth.

Even General Wesley Clark confirmed that after 911, he was told that the Neocons intended to invade the Middle East and take 7 countries. This has been their deranged dream. These people never care about the country, the people, or the consequences. This is always about their agenda.

New Warefare of High Tech

I have previously warned how this war has left the United States vulnerable to being defeated. The US military has significantly depleted its stockpile of key missiles during the war with Iran. We are faced with a serious near-term risk of running out of ammunition, and we are extremely vulnerable to another confrontation, especially if Trump decides to bomb Iran into capitulation. The US military has expended at least 45% of its stockpile of Precision Strike Missiles; at least half of its THAAD missile inventory, which is designed to intercept ballistic missiles; and nearly 50% of its Patriot air defense interceptor missiles. If China were to invade Taiwan, we lack the firepower to defend the island. Other SE Asian countries are realizing that they cannot be defended by the USA, and behind closed doors, they are seeking consideration with China.

While the US likely has enough bombs and missiles to continue combat operations against Iran. However, if Trump gives the OK to try to eliminate the Persian Civilization, the US will not be able to defend a fishing boat in the near future. The US stockpiles are no longer sufficient to confront a near-peer adversary, like China or Russia, and it will likely take YEARS before the inventory of those weapons can be restored. This is what I warned was the downside of high-tech.

Iran has sent waves of cheap drones costing as little as $20,000 to force Israel to shoot two interceptors at a cost of nearly $7 million. Iran has cleverly fought a war of attrition. Something that the Neocons never even thought about.

Japan’s prime minister, Sanae Takaichi, said the country would lift the restrictions to help prevent the “outbreak of conflicts” and safeguard its own security by working with other nations, opening the door for deadly weapons sales with 17 countries sharing defense agreements with Japan. In other words, Japan is entering the arms race. They realize that the US has shot itself in the foot with the war against Iran for Netanyahu. There was no immediate threat from Iran and even if they had a nuke like Pakistan, it would be a deterent to prevent Netanyahu from attacking their country.

Now sorces confirm that 7 other countries are now going to pursue nuclear weapons including Poland. The lessen from Iran is that if you have nukes,  that is a deterent against an invasion like North Korea, which is far more of a threat than Iran.

Airline Jet Fuel Crisis
2026_04_21_19_42_02_Deutsche_Lufthansa_to_cancel_20_000_short_haul_flights_to_save_jet_fuel

The global airline industry is facing a significant disruption due to a sharp rise in jet fuel prices, driven by the conflict in the Middle East. This has led to flight cancellations, route suspensions, and the introduction of new fees by over 30 airlines worldwide. This is a severe crisis that will undermine summer vacations, even in the United States.

Air Canada suspended six routes, including to New York’s JFK. KLM (Dutch) canceled 160 European flights. Lufthansa canceled some 20,000 flights. United has cut 5% of its flights starting in the 2nd quarter, and most airlines are now imposing baggage surcharges.

Trump’s blockade will only make this situation worse. The ongoing closure of the Strait is increasing the risk of a global recession with a Depression in Europe. This conflict is sapping economic growth and oil demand, and we expect the situation to get even worse. Not only will renewed attacks ensure the Straut will not reopen, but Iran holds the cards, and they can attack the Gulf States to seriously prevent production, which will send oil prices over $200.  That is in addition to a brewing Sovereign Debt Crisis that will also undermine the global economy.

2032.95 World Ends Here

On top of all of this is the escalating Sovereign Debt Crisis that is undermining Trump’s policy of Making America Great Again. Jules ‘Jay’ Hurst, performing the duties of Pentagon comptroller, told reporters that the $1.5 trillion request from Trump was a budget that does not include the cost of Iran. Hurst to the press on Tuesday: “This budget was formulated, honestly, before we went into conflict with Iran.”

Canada Turns Against Its Lifeline While Its Leader Invests in It


Posted  originally on Apr 21, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Carney's Wealth Tests the Limits of Canada's Ethics Laws | The Walrus

Mark Carney has now openly declared that Canada can no longer rely on the United States, stating that the relationship has become a “weakness” rather than a strength. Roughly three-quarters of Canada’s exports go to the United States, tying the two economies together in a way that cannot simply be undone by political rhetoric. Yet what makes this far more revealing is not what Carney says publicly, but what his financial disclosures reveal privately.

Carney is not some outsider challenging the system. He IS the system. He spent over a decade at Goldman Sachs working across New York, London, and global capital markets before moving into central banking and later running investment strategies at Brookfield Asset Management. His entire career has been embedded in the very global financial structure he now claims Canada must distance itself from.

The real contradiction becomes clear when you examine his investment portfolio. His disclosures show hundreds of holdings across global markets, with a staggering concentration outside Canada. One analysis of his filings revealed that only about 3.5% of his equity exposure was tied to Canadian-listed companies, meaning the overwhelming majority of his capital is invested abroad. Even more striking, disclosures cited by political opponents indicate that roughly 91% of his holdings are tied to U.S.-headquartered companies or funds.

And what exactly is he invested in? Not small domestic Canadian industry. Not the local economy he claims to be protecting. His exposure is concentrated in large-scale global sectors that are deeply integrated with the U.S. economy and global capital markets. His holdings include major infrastructure, energy transition, and industrial firms tied to electrification, mining, and large-scale resource development. These are not nationalist investments. These are global capital plays. They depend on international supply chains, U.S. markets, and large institutional flows.

Mark Carney cannot be trusted to make decisions on housing, energy, or AI when he stands to make financial gains from those decisions. Canadians deserve a Prime Minister who is free to

He has also been directly tied to companies like Stripe, major global fintech firms, and Brookfield’s vast infrastructure and private equity network, which itself shifted significant operations toward the United States. This is not someone reducing exposure to America. This is someone whose financial future is deeply linked to it.

Conservatives call for Carney to sell Brookfield assets after questioning CEO

This is where the hypocrisy becomes impossible to ignore. Publicly, Carney is warning Canadians that the United States is no longer reliable. Privately, his capital is overwhelmingly positioned inside that very system. He is not divesting from America. He is invested in it at scale. That is not speculation. That is what the disclosures show.

Political leaders increasingly speak in terms of nationalism and independence while remaining fully dependent on global capital flows. They criticize the system publicly while benefiting from it privately.

Carney’s push to distance Canada from the United States is therefore not grounded in economic reality. Canada’s economy is structurally tied to the U.S. through trade, energy, manufacturing, and finance. Attempting to unwind that relationship would create immediate instability.

When the leader of a country begins signaling a shift away from its largest trading partner, uncertainty alone can slow investment and economic activity. Carney himself has acknowledged that uncertainty tied to U.S. relations is already weighing on business confidence. Yet his own policy direction risks amplifying that very problem.

In the end, this is not about whether Canada should diversify its trade relationships. Every country seeks diversification. The issue is credibility. You cannot argue that a system is unreliable while your own wealth is built within it and remains invested in it. Capital always reveals the truth. It shows where confidence actually lies, regardless of political messaging.

Canada is now being led in a direction that challenges its most important economic relationship, but the man leading that charge remains deeply tied to the very system he claims cannot be trusted. The truth is that Mark Carney cannot be trusted.

Zelensky Demands Ukrainian Men Abroad Return to Fight His War


Posted  originally on Apr 21, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Zelensky 3

Volodymyr Zelensky has stated that Ukrainian men of conscription age who left the country, many in violation of his wartime restrictions, should return to die in his war. He states it is only “fair” since the army needs them for rotation, which is nothing less than an admission that the war effort is running short of bodies.

“As regards young people who are currently not in Ukraine, but abroad. First of all, there are different groups of young people. I agree with you regarding those of conscription age who left Ukraine. They left temporarily but ended up staying away for years,” Zelensky stated, oblivious to the reason so many fled their homes. “And many of them left in breach of Ukrainian law. The relevant authorities in both countries should address this issue.

Our Armed Forces would certainly like them to return. Because this is a matter of fairness. We have people, soldiers on the front lines, who need rotations. These Ukrainian soldiers are as strong as iron, but let’s be honest: they have families; they are defending their homes, and more than that – the entire state. But this responsibility should be borne by every person who is a citizen of Ukraine who has the capacity to do so. It is both a constitutional duty and a matter tied to conscription age.”

Casualty estimates are running into the hundreds of thousands killed or wounded, while millions fled their homes to escape precisely this outcome. Zelensky continues to be portrayed in the Western press as a heroic figure, but the truth is that he is a madman prepared to see an entire generation sacrificed to maintain a war that cannot be won. When he speaks of “fairness,” what he is really saying is that no one should be allowed to escape. Millions have fled Ukraine to avoid his tyranny. The prospect of returning is slim as there will not be a “Ukraine” to return to once this conflict comes to an end.

From the standpoint of Ukrainian men living abroad, this becomes deeply personal because they are being told that their lives are secondary to the needs of the state. Their attempt to survive and protect their families is somehow unjust. How can any leader claim to represent his people while demanding that they walk back into a war zone?

Zelensky is no longer an elected leader. The people, per usual, have no say in the conflict. They can no longer choose who represents their nation since martial law was declared. Europe is hosting millions of Ukrainian refugees under the banner of humanitarian protection. But they now need protection from Zelensky, not Putin. There are countless videos online of men being abducted in broad daylight. Opting to go to jail, as was common in America during the Vietnam War for example, is not an option. To the frontlines you go.

Most would renounce their citizenship if possible, but here’s the catch: Zelensky has made it ILLEGAL to renounce citizenship during wartime. A person must already have another citizenship approved or guaranteed before they can give it up, and the process requires presidential approval and can take up to a year or more. The unelected president will not permit anyone to renounce their citizenship, but the press frames it as widespread patriotism as only a handful have managed to escape Zelensky’s claws.

It remains to be seen whether European governments will take the next step and begin deporting Ukrainians back to Ukraine in order to support the very policy they have endorsed. Once that line is crossed, Europe ceases to be a refuge and becomes an extension of the war machine itself, and that would expose the entire moral framework of this conflict.

The reality is that Zelensky is not seeking peace. Every attempt at peace has been outright rejected and Zelensky is willing to pay for this conflict with the blood of an entire generation. The propaganda machine will need to run in overdrive to continue painting Putin as the aggressor when Zelensky is actively sacrificing his entire country.

Russia Labels Hungary “Unfriendly” Nation with Orban Ousted


Posted Apr 21, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  
Hungary election: Orbán has been defeated – but will Orbánism survive? |  Chatham House – International Affairs Think Tank

Hungary voted on what the media calls a “return to Europe,” as if this were some noble democratic awakening. Viktor Orbán stood in opposition to the unelected bureaucrats in Brussels who have been pushing Europe into economic decline and toward a war footing. For that, Hungary was targeted, isolated, and economically strangled until the political structure finally gave way.

Brussels froze billions in funds owed to Hungary. They used regulatory pressure, political attacks, and financial isolation to force compliance. This is economic warfare within the European Union itself. The message is unmistakable: if you resist, they will cut off your access to capital until your government collapses.

Orbán represented one of the last voices in Europe arguing for national sovereignty. He opposed the confiscation of frozen Russian assets because he understood the precedent. Once governments begin seizing assets based on political disagreements, there is no rule of law.

The new leadership will fall in line. Hungary will now vote with Brussels, support continued funding for Ukraine, and stop resisting the escalation that is clearly building across Europe. Do not expect Hungary to suddenly send troops tomorrow, but the critical difference is that it will no longer stand in the way.

Russia has now labeled Hungary as “unfriendly,” although the new leadership recognizes that Hungary is still desperate for Russian energy. European leaders posture politically while remaining economically dependent on the very system they claim to oppose. That contradiction will intensify as we move closer to the next phase of the cycle.

The system rewards submission and frozen funds will begin flowing back to Hungary. Hungary has traded sovereignty for liquidity. That may buy time, but it comes at the cost of independence. The cycle into 2027–2029 is not pointing to peace or prosperity. It is pointing to rising conflict, financial stress, and civil unrest. Hungary has now tied itself more firmly to that trajectory.

Orbán’s defeat is not just about Hungary. It is a warning to every nation in Europe. Stand against Brussels, and you will be financially suffocated until your government falls.

Socrates – War- & Future


Posted originally on Apr 21, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

CRUDE D Array 4 19 26
CRUDE W Array 4 14 26

QUESTION: Marty, I do not know how the hell Socrates does this. It picked up the week as a Double Directional Change, and on the very day the Ceasefire was to end. Do you have any idea of how Socrates was able to forecast such events, even contrary to all the fundamental news that proved to be nonsense?

K

ANSWER: What I assume is that, as I have said plenty of times, someone always knows in advance of war and moves their capital accordingly. Socrates is monitoring everything from capital flows to weather and volcanoes. This is why I have no conflict of interest, because I cannot own a single share of stock, because they would never believe that the computer projected this, and they would swear it was insider trading. It is the ONLY reason I can speak to governments and central banks around the world because they KNOW I have no conflict of interest. I’m not married so there is nothing hidden on the side in a wife’s name as they do in politics.

Cyclical Analysis 2

I have more money than I can spend before Scotty beams me up, so I do not even sell advertising, nor do we send out 10 emails a day trying to raise money or sell swamp land in Florida. Sorry, I’m interested in accomplishments and what I leave behind, hoping for a better life for my posterity. What I hope to show the world is that cyclical analysis and the study of TIME are the way of the future in a new field of Behavioral Economics. I find it ironic that people plagiarize our forecasts and pretend they are their own opinions when they lack the very data required to make such forecasts. Others in social and mainstream media will NEVER acknowledge even my existence, typically because the forecasts may contradict their worldly opinions. They only stand in the way of trying to make the world survive post-2032, so they can keep their fame and power.

When I say it is Socrates and not my OPINION and that it has taught me a lot, I am not joking. Here is a video of the Market Finder on the Socrates Enterprise platform, which is why so many institutions rely on Socrates. There are at least 1400 instruments that Socrates is forecasting each day, producing timing arrays and writing reports. It covers the entire world, so it is not someone’s opinion, and it is the same system covering the entire world, so institutions prefer this to deal with their portfolios since otherwise you have to rely on different analysts around the world who each have different methods, systems, and terminology aside from personal opinions.

Here is a clip showing how to use the Market Finder at a weekly level to search the entire world and identify all markets with panic cycles this week and next. There is no system in the world that provides such technical and timing analysis globally in minutes. Our AI system has reduced the need for internal research departments, for no firm could possibly hire enough analysts to do what Socrates can do in minutes. We have more institutional clients perhaps than the top banks combined, which is why they were always trying to get me on their side.

Who Runs the Government


Posted originally on Apr 20, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |