Posted originally on May 28, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
German troops have been permanently deployed for the first time since World War II. A brigade of 4,800 German soldiers is now positioned in Lithuania on NATO’s eastern flank. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is eager to wage war on Russia, stating, “The security of our Baltic allies is also our security.”
“Anyone who threatens an ally must know that the entire alliance will jointly defend every inch of NATO territory,” Merz said. The 45 Armored Brigade, headquartered in Rudninkai, will also include hundreds of civilian staff members and is expected to operate at full capacity by the end of 2027 with over 5,000 soldiers. Lithuania announced earlier this month that it is increasing its military spending to 6% of GDP, or approximately $1.2 billion.
Germany firmly believes it has unlimited funds to spend on the war. Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul announced that Germany will spend 5% of its GDP on NATO, claiming the nation was offering “the five percent that President Trump demanded.” Merz, who served in the Bundeswehr, declared that “the government will in the future provide all the financing the Bundeswehr needs to become the strongest conventional army in Europe.”
Germany has already allocated a billion to the war in Ukraine. Two-thirds of the Bundestag Parliament voted to remove military spending from the Constitutional debt brake. The AfD opposed this plan, as did their opposite, Linke. The nation had implemented strict spending guidelines in its Constitution. They have been fearful of accumulating debt and previously had a fixed debt brake at 0.35% of GDP. Now, any amount over 1% of GDP will not face a borrowing cap. Therefore, Germany can now spend any amount on defense with no concern for the future.
History repeats because the desires of man never change. Unfortunately ,the models indicate that the third time will NOT be a charm.
Posted originally on May 28, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Questioning the mRNA COVID-19 vaccine was illegal until now. The dawn of Make America Healthy Again has pulled back the curtain on the insidious Big Pharma industry’s human experiments on the general population during the pandemic. The FDA notified Pfizer and Moderna that they must expand warning labels to note the side effects of the vaccine.
Not only was it incomprehensible to the establishment to question the validity of the vaccine, but one could not mention the blatant side effects that were occurring worldwide after the untested vaccine was pushed onto the masses. The FDA, the same industry that mocked people for looking into holistic alternatives, has been forced to admit that people are dying as a result of the largest bio experiment in human history.
Vaccine manufacturers must now reveal the risks of myocarditis, inflammation of the heart muscle, and pericarditis, inflammation of the sac-like lining surrounding the heart. Specifically, males aged 16-25 are at risk of serious complications. Insurance claims found that myocarditis and pericarditis occurred in 1 in 125,000 doses from 2023-2024 in children and adults under 65. For males under 25, one in 250 recipients experienced complications.
These are merely the insurance claims, and rest assured, insurance will attempt to cite any other factor besides the COVID-19 vaccine. The “experts” still believe that the benefits of the vaccine outweigh the risk of heart failure, which is only one of numerous reported side effects.
The Department of Health and Human Services will no longer recommend the vaccine to children, teens, and pregnant women. Unbelievable that we permitted the “science” and government to force the global population to undergo this dangerous experiment. Those of us who refused to accept the vaccine were banished from society.
Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard declassified information that found the Biden Administration had officially labeled vaccine skeptics “domestic violent extremists.” “Prominent narratives include,” the report stated, “the belief that COVID-19 vaccines are unsafe, especially for children, are part of a government or global conspiracy to deprive individuals of their civil liberties and livelihoods, or are designed to start a new social or political order.” Those who did not blindly follow the narrative were thought to be aligned with “QAnon” and a danger to national security. Free speech, especially online, was to be censored to protect the narrative, as the Biden Administration insisted that skeptics would become violent.
“Some of the examples that are focused on here have to do with those who oppose the COVID vaccine mandates, those who oppose the mask mandates, and parents who were concerned that their children going to school may be forcibly vaccinated with the COVID vaccine without the consent or awareness of parents,” Gabbard stated, as all independent thought surrounding COVID was considered dangerous.
The FDA will no longer automatically approve vaccines without clinical safety trials. We were told that we were endangering the public, conspiracy theorist right-wing extremist anti-vaxxers, and yet, those at the top deliberately misled the world and coerced them to put this unknown substance in their bodies. Biden pardoned Fauci, and the pharmaceutical companies were granted immunity. No one has been charged with a crime.
Posted originally on May 28, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
The two certainties in life are death and taxes. The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) recently discovered that the living are paying taxes to the dead. In fact, the agency recently eliminated a staggering 12.3 million Social Security recipients who would be over 120 years old if they were still alive today.
In March 2015, authorities were alerted that the Social Security database had not been updated for 6.5 million Americans over the age of 112. There were, in fact, only 35 Americans at or over the age of 112 in 2015. The Social Security Administration’s Office of Inspector General (OIG) believed that some Social Security numbers (SSNs) were being illegally used to open bank accounts, apply for jobs, and report wages. Over 4,000 E-Verify employment checks were sent out to people allegedly over the age of 112, and tens of thousands of false wage reports were used with these SSNs.
Ten years ago, when the matter made headlines, the Social Security Administration claimed it would be too costly to update its electronic database to create a death master file. The SSA would have needed to manually match death reports against current Social Security benefit recipients and input findings in an electronic file called Numident.
The Inspector General (IG) found that from 2008 to 2012, not a single death was recorded on the Numident. “SSA did not establish controls to annotate death information onto the Numident record of number holders who exceeded maximum reasonable life expectancies and were likely deceased,” the IG stated in its report.
This has been a massive waste of funds. In one example, from 2006 to 2011, SSNs assigned to people over the age of 112 accounted for $3.1 billion in wages, tips, and self-employment income. Lawmakers and regulators were aware of the problem but failed to act.
The issue received bipartisan support in 2015, although now it has become a partisan issue as Elon Musk and DOGE are involved. This issue has been costly. When the Paycheck Protection Program and Economic Injury Disaster Loan programs came out, the SBA issued 3,095 loans to borrowers over 115, as they were marked as alive in the database. In one instance, a 157-year-old requested and received $36,000 in federal loans.
DOGE spent 11 weeks investigating the matter and finally marked 12.3 million individuals as “deceased.” Around 7.2 million were between 120 and 139 years of age, 4.8 million were between 140 and 159, and 124,000 SSNs were over the age of 160. It took only 11 weeks to correct a known issue that had been permitted to occur for a decade.
DOGE is still investigating, as there are “complex cases” where individuals have numerous birth dates on file. Removing migrants from Social Security will follow. This move comes after DOGE cut 7,000 positions at the Social Security Administration. Reports state that these 12.3 million Americans were only receiving a small portion of funds, as if that is acceptable. Taxpayers are monitored and patted down annually to ensure they’re reporting every penny of their earnings, while the government spends what they collect unchecked. Negligence is sugar-coated as oversight, as bloated governments cannot function properly.
Posted originally on May 27, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
We know we are approaching a major high in Bitcoin when Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG), a publicly traded media company controlled by the U.S. president’s family, announced a plan to purchase $2.5 billion worth of Bitcoin on Tuesday. This is a warning that we are in the throes of a typical bubble that will not end nicely.
As a trader, you come to understand that every market, no matter what, acts the same because it is NOT the instrument, be it tulips, stocks, commodities, or bonds – it is human nature and the madness of crowds. A crash becomes inevitable when 97% of the people are all long and they run out of fresh buyers. Like the Russian collapse, because all the bankers were long and the hedge funds, then they tried to sell and discovered that they were the market. When they try to sell, the broker says there is NO BID! Bitcoin is a trading vehicle like everything else. It is no exception to the rules of markets. It is just the next Tulip or Dot.COM or AI craze.
I would NOT invest in Trump Media and Technology Group. It appears to be a brief rally, but this decision is misguided and emotional. They are risking the company on a speculation and are all caught up in the typical bubble, assuming the majority is correct. Why not convert your cash to yuan or euros when your expenses and revenue are in dollars? I can’t even recall the number of companies that came crawling to me for help after making the same risky FX trades.
The problem remains, the majority is ALWAYS wrong, and that is why no market is ever exempt from the inevitable boom and bust cycle. This is also when it only takes a minority to bring down a government or a market.
Posted originally on CTH on May 27, 2025 | Sundance
I’m sorry, but when I finally got around to review the appearance of King Charles in the Canadian Parliament, I could not get past the optics on display.
My background thoughts are HERE, but boy howdy does this picture encapsulate the dynamic.
And yes, King Charles waxed eloquently in both French and English about the terrible issue that Canadian sovereignty is facing.
The same issue, albeit to a lesser -but increasing- extent, is the core impetus between U.S. President Trump’s manufacturing policies in the USA. President Trump is urgently attempting to rebuild a collapsed industrial manufacturing base. However, from the leftist position of Canada, the easier route that affords them the ability to chase the green energy rainbows is to retain a dependency manufacturing model. These are political decisions.
At the core of this dynamic you will find the reason why President Trump is likely to dissolve the U.S/Mex/Canada (USMCA) trade agreement and instead turn toward two independent bilateral trade agreements between the USA-Mexico and USA-Canada. Extend this reasonably accurate predictive economic reality to its logical conclusion and you see why the U.K wants to help bolster Canada.
In the battle against President Trump’s economic ferocity, Canada is relying on the friendly, duplicitous and influential mask work by Great Britain.
Posted originally on CTH on May 27, 2025 | Sundance
Eventually both sides have to get past the talking points and start putting demands to paper.
According to President Trump’s envoy to Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, Ukraine has put forth a draft proposal outlining their general terms for a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia. Now the Trump administration is awaiting a similar draft from the Kremlin.
Once both drafts, what they are calling “term sheets”, are received and reviewed it appears that President Trump will reengage the process and seek to bring both parties to the negotiation table. At least that looks like the general outline.
Retired Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg, notably an anti-Russia leaning participant in the construct (worked for Mike Pence), appeared on Fox and Friends earlier this morning to discuss the current status of the issues, against the backdrop of President Trump’s frustration. WATCH:
(Via MSM) – […] “We have received everything we need. The facts are sufficient for action. We do not need any more evidence,” Kellogg said he said on Fox News, speaking about recent developments in Russia’s war against Ukraine.
Following the first direct meeting between Ukraine and Russia since the war started in Istanbul on May 16, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said the Kremlin would draw up a draft proposal listing its conditions for a lasting peace, which is due to be released this week.
Once the White House has both documents they will coordinate between the two sides. According to the Ukraine envoy, another round of talks will happen afterward.
‘There is going to be another meeting, and we believe it will probably be in Geneva,’ he said. Ukraine’s allies want the meeting before the June meeting of the G7 countries in Canada, the newspaper La Repubblica wrote.
Russia wants to return to Turkey for a second round of talks with Ukraine, Lavrov said during a joint press conference in Moscow with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan on May 27. Earlier, Lavrov dismissed the idea of holding negotiations at the Vatican as unrealistic.
[…] Kellogg previously served as National Security Adviser to former US Vice President Mike Pence and is currently a prominent voice among Republican foreign policy figures shaping Washington’s stance on Ukraine. Vedomosti reports that his statements reflect a broader shift among US officials towards Ukraine after the White House has been criticized for being too soft on Russia since the ceasefire talks kicked off in Riyadh on February 18. ((more)
Posted originally on CTH on May 27, 2025 | Sundance
CTH doesn’t follow the perverse Hollywood or entertainment industry debauchery much, there’s just a lot of evil inside the connections and factually it’s sick. The world of DC politics is filthy enough, we don’t need the sexual perversions of Hollywood and the music industry in our review cycle.
That said, I was sent this really good recap of the Sean Combs case by someone and Patrick Bet David gives a great 20-minute fact-filled summary of both the background and the current case. I found it interesting because PBD starts with the money aspect, then weaves the timeline while remaining focused on the money dynamic. It is well worth 20 minutes, and you will likely hear some things within his research notes you may not have known before. WATCH:
Posted originally on CTH on May 27, 2025 | Sundance
When you think about the office of the president and all of the functions that are required therein, against the backdrop of Joe Biden being mentally incapable of understanding complex decisions, it does make you wonder what else this “autopen” scandal could encompass.
My biggest question pertains to the Ukraine-Russia conflict that broke out in Biden’s second year, February 24, 2022. There were a lot of presidential powers flexed in the aftermath of Russia entering Ukraine including all of the sequential sanctions applied by the U.S. that required Biden’s authorization and signature.
Amid all of those presidential directives, we must also consider the CIA and Pentagon were immediately authorized to stand up operations in support of Ukraine. When the President issues a directive authorizing the Central Intelligence Agency to conduct an operation, the president signs a “finding memo.” Was that finding memo process also one of the uses for the non-Biden-dependent autopen?
I’m not sure how any review of the Biden “autopen” use could be successfully investigated or reviewed other than through the use of a special counsel from outside the DOJ. Certainly, Ed Martin is beginning to look into the issue, and he does have presidential authority within his appointment as lead of the ‘weaponization working group.’ However, it would seem that Martin would need specific charging instructions to take the investigation into what would likely be a very complicated dynamic.
Posted originally on CTH on May 27, 2025 | Sundance
Finally. Many people have been waiting for the COVID-19 vaccination to be withdrawn from the CDC recommendations. Today, a step in the right direction as HHS Secretary Robert F Kennedy Jr announces the removal of the vaccine from the schedule for healthy kids and pregnant women.
(Reuters) – The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has stopped recommending routine COVID-19 vaccinations for pregnant women and healthy children, U.S. health regulators said on Tuesday.
Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said in a video posted on social media platform X that the vaccines have been removed from the CDC’s recommended immunization schedule for those groups.
Kennedy, a long-time vaccine skeptic whose department oversees the CDC, has been remaking the U.S. health system to align with President Donald Trump’s goal of dramatically shrinking the federal government.
“We are now one step closer to realizing @POTUS’s promise to Make America Healthy Again,” Kennedy said.
The CDC had previously recommended updated COVID vaccines for everyone aged six months and older. (more)
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