Posted originally on Nov 13, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
(The above photo depicts President Ahmed al-Sharaa at the White House in 2025; below is a picture of terrorist al-Sharaa in 2016)
US President Donald Trump hosted Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa at the White House this week. The year 2025 has certainly been an interesting one. In May, the United States announced it would lift sanctions on Syria after Trump’s historic meeting with Ahmed al-Sharaa, a former Sunni jihadist and known terrorist. Now, Al Qaeda is shaking hands with the president of the United States in the Oval Office as the US aims to profit from its investments in Syria.
Trump agreed to suspend sanctions on Syria for 180 days and offered Syria a place in the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS. Syria is committed to continuing to fight ISIS, and more importantly, reducing Russian and Iranian influence in the nation. Syria said it will destroy all remaining drug stockpiles and chemical weapons from the Assad regime. Al-Sharaa is open to allowing the US to open an air base near Damascus. Relations have warmed to the point where the US may remove Syria from its black listing as a State Sponsor of Terrorism.
Now, the current Syrian president had a $10 million bounty on him prior to his sudden meeting with the POTUS in May. America captured Ahmed al-Sharaa while he was fighting for Al Qaeda in Iraq for over half a decade. He was a powerful high-level terrorist in the organization who secured vast power and influence. Then the US simply released him, or so we are told. The truth of the matter is that he was almost certainly compromised and turned into a CIA asset during this time period.
Syria has an estimated 2.5 billion in proven oil reserves, according to the US Energy Information Administration. Pre-war, Syria was producing 385,000 barrels of oil daily, but that slowed drastically to 24,000 to 34,000 per day from 2019 to 2025. At present, Syria has been generating 110,000 barrels per day, with 100,000 barrels from the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and only 10,000 from the new administration. This is far from a recovery since the nation needs about 150,000 bpd to meet demand domestically.
Russia intervened in Syria back in 2015 at the guidance of Assad. Russia’s 49-year relationship with the Assad government has come to an end, and along with it, its stronghold in Syria. Syrians have been critical of Russian forces in the region and blame them for numerous civilian casualties, demanding reparations. Syria is not about humanitarian concerns. It’s about energy routes and Russian influence in the region. Washington had been trying to remove Assad for years because he refused to allow the Qatari gas pipeline that would have undermined Russia’s dominance in supplying gas to Europe. This is what the neocons never tell you. They want war—plain and simple—because it lines their pockets and advances their ideological dream of reshaping the world in their image.
Obama and the CIA funded opposing radical groups to topple the government, but it backfired and gave rise to ISIS. We now have the declassified documents from 2012 that show the US intelligence community knew this would happen and did it anyway. Ahmed al-Sharaa is exactly who the West needed to install an interim puppet government and force their way into Syria.
The United States now owns Syria through its ties to Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Turkey. More importantly, the interim government has been freshly established with a new Constitution promising diversity and a change from Sharia law to appease the West, although the president is a known jihadist terrorist who was captured by American troops and released in order to overthrow Syria’s last regime. All of this was planned out long ago.
Posted originally on Nov 13, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The Democrats may have walked away from this shutdown with their tail between their legs, but the fight is not over. The paper-thin deal will fund the government until January 30, 2026. Congress must agree on long-term funding before the end of January to prevent another shutdown.
Republicans will not waver on Obamacare subsidies. The Democrats must save face by pushing forth pieces of their initial proposal, namely Obamacare, but it seems unlikely that a deal would be made in such little time. Congress effectively passed the measure to take the holidays off.
The public can believe that the government is up and running from Thanksgiving through Christmas and New Year’s. Federal workers can have a temporary sense of job security, and holiday travel can continue largely uninterrupted. Most importantly, it will prevent the public from losing trust in the US government. The federal government should not risk yet another debt downgrade due to the misbehavior of politicians.
Congress should NOT receive payment during a shutdown. Their inability to reach a bipartisan agreement added tens of billions to the national debt.
Two sides of the aisle cannot agree on anything. I explained at the 2024 World Economic Conference that the Democratic Party was on the brink of extinction. Our computer has forecast that the Democratic Party will split and collapse just as the Federalists did for pretty much the same reason – dictatorial power from a centralized government. Initially, there were the Federalists v the Democratic-Republican Party. After the Federalists were defeated, the Party of Jefferson eventually split in two, becoming the Democrats and the Republicans. The Democrats became the South and supported Slavery. The Republicans were once known as the Party of Lincoln. They switched roles somehow when the Republicans opposed the rising Marxist policies of the late 1800s.
The Democrats reached their peak with our model in 2021, following that election, and we have been in a bearish decline for five years, continuing into 2026. They do not appear viable by the time we reach 2030. We may see a split for any election in 2028, fragmenting the political process. The United States itself may become a completely divided nation by 2036 if not earlier.
Posted originally on Nov 13, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
Over 90% of rare earth global production occurs in China. The materials are needed for absolutely everything, namely the production of military equipment, which is why China has imposed new restrictions to prevent the United States from military expansion.
China is preparing to implement a “validated end-user” (VEU) system to forbid any corporation with ties to the US military from purchasing rare earths. The VEU system will facilitate trade to civilian corporations, as outlined during Chinese President Xi Jinping recent meeting with US President Donald Trump. The two sides may have agreed to ease restrictions on rare earth trade, but the silent Cold War between the two continues.
The US and its allies have been prohibiting China from purchasing semiconductor chips and intellectual property that could be utilized in military expansion. Both sides have implemented
end-user \verification and approval systems. In fact, the US first implemented an end-user verification system specifically to weed out Chinese companies back in 2007.
Companies must first register to purchase any item that could be used by the Chinese or US military. Potential buyers must now be carefully vetted to ensure they are in compliance with national security standards. If approved, in the case of China, firms will receive a validated end-user certificate to confirm that they are authorized to purchase materials that will be used for civilian purposes. These certifications must be periodically renewed, and the government will be carefully monitoring companies granted approval. Exporters must verify that shipments will only be sent to verified end users. There will be ongoing monitoring and audits, shipment tracking systems, and careful record reporting.
The two nations are ultimately attempting to decrease their trade alliance. The US is completely banking on Japan to begin extracting rare earths to meet demand. Taiwan is the hot spot for all semiconductor chips, with the US and China both claiming rights to the island in various ways.
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