Onward marches the Great Pause


The mean of the various GCM models is .5 degree C higher than the mean of the current values in NASA table LOTI, even with their inflated values. The GCM models also have the increase as a more geometric increase (more and more CO2) so the separation between the models and the actual values is growing every year now. My model shows this growing separation will continue until 2035 such that it will be over 1.0 degrees C by then.

Earth proton events as a solar activity measure


very interesting and looks like a ten year cycle?

tchannon's avatarTallbloke's Talkshop

A recent Talkshop comment led me to look at a data directory where something tripped a thought

There is an earth affecting proton event dataset running from 1976, named SPE (Solar Proton Event). These are rare and erratic in time.

A very difficult maths problem is pulse density integration, one of the reasons why producing a statistical distribution shape is very hard where the data is sparse and spasmodic.

Image

I’ve faked up some kind of meaningful plot. Far from ideal so don’t be misled.

SSN is from SIDC

Taking the natural log of the energy value produces something sane looking, intuitively would be something like that. Added in some missing points for years with no events. Event data is provided to the second via NOAA.

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No Record Temperatures According To Satellites


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Global Temperature Report: November 2014


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Sea Ice Extent – Day 336 – Big Jump


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sunshinehours1's avatarsunshine hours

Interesting jump in Arctic and Global Sea Ice Extent.

Global_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2014_Day_336_1981-2010

Arctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2014_Day_336_1981-2010

Antarctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2014_Day_336_1981-2010

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Claim: CO2 effects felt on decadal time scales, rather that centuries


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At least one person at FERC doesn’t like the Clean Power Plan


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Bob Greene's avatarJunkScience.com

Clean Power plan to cut reliability and be costly according to letter from FERC.

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CO2 As A Coolant


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Tony Heller's avatarReal Climate Science

The greenhouse effect near the surface is completely dominated by water vapor, but in the upper atmosphere there is little water vapor – so the greenhouse effect is dominated by CO2, which radiates out into space and cools the planet.

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Arctic Gives The Finger To Nobel Laureate


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Tony Heller's avatarReal Climate Science

We are just one week away from the Al Gore Nobel Prize winning ice-free Arctic forecast, and Arctic sea ice extent is at a record high for the past decade, and rising at record pace.

ScreenHunter_4874 Dec. 03 04.37COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

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Mastodons Killed By Climate Change: They Froze To Death


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sunshinehours1's avatarsunshine hours

“Despite popular belief that North American mastodons were hunted to extinction by Ice Age humans, a new Canadian-led study is claiming that the prehistoric beasts simply froze to death.

“To think of scattered populations of Ice Age people with primitive technology driving huge animals to extinction, to me is almost silly,” said Grant Zazula, chief paleontologist for the Yukon Territory and the study’s lead author.

What the research found was that mastodons died out in the Yukon and Alaska long before humans were even on the scene. Not only that, but northern mastodons died out a full 65,000 years before their cousins in warmer climes to the south.”

http://news.nationalpost.com/2014/12/01/mastodons-werent-hunted-to-extinction-by-ice-age-humans-they-simply-froze-to-death-new-study-finds/

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