Posted originally on Oct 1, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, can you give me an update on Iran? Your target for war was October. Here it is, October first, no less. Do you still see the war extending into 2027?
ANSWER: For the next two weeks, this should intensify. This will escalate into 2027, and I do not see a diplomatic solution as possible. This is all just coming to a head. Iran is moving into its peak due in 2027. The reorganization appears to be coming by mid-2031.
The computer projected October in both Iran and Israel, so beware that volatility will rise in December/January when the halfway mark of this Iran ECM cycle is reached heading into 2027. The first quarter of 2025 does not look very good globally. We will address this at the WEC. There will be streaming. Over 40 countries have already signed up, which exceeds our normal 37 countries for the WEC.
The real question is whether Iran has yielded to the Arab world. Or has Iran gotten approval from Russia because Europe wants World War III? Even the Latvian President Edgars Rinkēvičs has called for a harder line on Russia and keeps up the nonsense that Russia is afraid of NATO and will not attack in the traditional sense.
Posted originally on the CTH on October 1, 2024 | Sundance
ran has fired over 200 missiles into Israel in a retaliatory attack after Israeli strikes against Hezbollah and Hamas, including assassinations of top commanders. The ballistic missiles are reported to have been launched from inside Iran.
U.S. and Israeli Iron Dome counter measures were deployed along with a dozen interceptors fired from U.S. warships located in the Mediterranean. However, multiple strikes were reported within Israel. The war against Hamas has escalated significantly.
Israel has vowed to hit back against the direct attack from Iran. In a video statement, Israel Defense Forces Spokesperson Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari said the “attack will have consequences.” He added: “We have plans. We will act at the time and place of our choosing.”
(Via Politico) – Iran launched a ballistic missile attack targeting Israel on Tuesday as tensions between the two long-time foes ratchet up in the Middle East.
The Israel Defense Forces said on Telegram that “missiles were launched from Iran towards the State of Israel” and ordered Israeli civilians to obey air raid sirens and shelter in place. “The IDF is doing and will do everything necessary to protect the civilians of the State of Israel,” the statement said.
[…] Iran fired nearly 200 missiles at Israel, according to national security adviser Jake Sullivan at a Tuesday White House briefing after the attacks. It was not clear if any of them successfully hit their targets and there were not immediate reports of Israeli casualties.
Iran’s strike was in part thwarted by two American guided missile destroyers in the Mediterranean, which fired a dozen interceptors to knock down Iranian missiles Pentagon spokesperson Maj. Gen. Patrick Ryder told reporters on Tuesday. As far as where the ballistic missiles came from, Ryder said the military is still studying the attack and its fallout, but the early assessment was that all of the missiles were fired from inside Iran. (read more)
Posted originally on Sep 25, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I have listened to your geopolitical analysis for the past couple of years. You have recently said that Putin instructed Iran to “sit on its hands.” Nobody else has ever said provided that account. Here, the Telegraph has reported that Hezbollah urged Iran to attack Israel, but it refused because the “timing isn’t right”, two Israeli officials have said. People have told me that your sources are superior to everyone. I was told that even Margaret Thatch asked you if you had information on some underground project Russia was constructing when even MI6 could not find out. Others said they put you in contempt of court because you knew too much.
I appreciate your honesty in a world that is shrouded in darkness.
FD
ANSWER: Look, when the West lied to Putin with the Minsk Agreement, they played him for a fool. They have lost all credibility now, and I do not know if it is ever possible to have a negotiated settlement. Putin told Iran to sit on its hands and NOT take the bait as he did in Ukraine. The time will come, but do it on their terms, not those of the Neocons.
I have stated that Turkey will be the nation to destabilize NATO after numerous conflicts within the bloc. Turkey then became the first member nation of NATO to join the BRICS alliance with Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, and the United Arab Emirates. Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan would now like to form an alliance with other Arab nations to counteract Israel.
Erdogan and Fattah al-Sisi met for the first time in 12 years last week to discuss Israel’s growing power in the Middle East. Former foes are banning together against a common opponent. Syria and Turkey have had difficulties with diplomacy ever since the 2011 Syrian civil war, but Erdogan said he’s speak to al-Assad “any time.”
Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz has accused Erdogan of supporting Hamas. “Erdogan continues to throw the Turkish people into the fire of hatred and violence for his friends from Hamas. Today, he calls on the Islamic countries to form an alliance against the State of Israel. This is incitement,” the minister posted on X. “Israel defends its borders and its citizens against the murderers of Hamas and the Shiite axis of evil led by Iran. Erdogan and the Muslim Brotherhood have been working together with Iran for years to stamp out the moderate Arab regimes in the Middle East,” he continued. “It is better for Erdogan to shut up and be ashamed.”
An alliance against Israel is an alliance against the West as all Western nations and NATO have pledged unwavering support for Israel, their last stronghold in the Middle East. So not only is Turkey unsettling NATO by supporting Russia, but now he is attempting to form a bloc that is in direct opposition of Israel.
Erdogan’s dream was to resurrect the Ottoman Empire, which ended when it was defeated and dissolved in 1908—1922. Now, with the economic conditions being deplorable, Erdogan has found an external enemy that can be used to build Turkey’s power in the Middle East. The nation already boasts the largest army in the region and has been carefully forming alliances against the West on two war fronts.
Posted originally on Aug 22, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
Turkey will be the nation to destabilize NATO. The nation has had discrepancies with the EU, US, and most nations within the bloc. “In an environment where 32 allies are together, it is unthinkable to have the same views on every issue,” defense minister Yasar Guler warned. Turkey’s continued diplomatic relations with Russia are raising concerns among NATO members who simultaneously do not want to lose their connection to the Arab world.
Erdoğan has expressed interest in joining BRICS as soon as this year. This would make Turkey the first member nation of NATO to join the alliance with Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, and the United Arab Emirates. NATO is focused on defeating Russia, while one member is focused on aligning itself with Moscow and increasing trade. Russia remains Turkey’s largest energy supplier, with the two nations cooperating on numerous pipelines, such as the TurkStream Natural Gas Pipeline. The two also share nuclear energy power through the Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant. Russia has been able to use these key items to bypass sanctions.
Additionally, Turkey is sympathetic to the Palestinians over Israel, which certainly goes against NATO’s goals. Turkey sees an opportunity to become the mediator of the Arab world. Erdogan even considered invading Israel to help Palestine — a move that certainly would have sent NATO into upheaval.
Turkey does not need to abide by the rules of the European Union or the United States. Turkey would be required to fight under Article V, but technically, the war has not begun as Ukraine is not a member of NATO. Turkey did not join the European Union as it did not meet the criteria laid out under the Copenhagen Criteria Agreement of 1993. Greece and Turkey both joined NATO in 1952, but the two have been sworn enemies for centuries. Both nations claimed Cyprus and have disputes over the Aegean Sea. Other EU members like France and Germany have been outspoken about their distrust of the Turkish government and the prospect of having a Muslim nation join their liberal cabal. Turkey may be a NATO member, but it is akin to the black sheep of the bloc.
Turkey has the second-largest standing army of all member states. It has a strategic position in the Black Sea that is of the utmost importance to NATO. NATO is focused on mobilizing troops and financial aid against Russia in an ongoing proxy war. Then there’s Turkey who is hoping to align with Russia and join BRICS. Erdoğan has grand dreams for Turkey reminiscent of the glory of the Ottoman Empire. His nation was shunned from alliances with other Western nations and kept at arm’s length. Now, Turkey is flipping the script and seeking to side with the perceived enemy. How will NATO respond if Turkey is invited to join BRICS? China and Russia would be wise to permit Turkey to join as it will absolutely destabilize the NATO alliance.
Posted originally on the CTH on July 30, 2024 | Sundance
It seems like this has now been confirmed. Two Sources:
IRAN – Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh and one of his bodyguards were killed after his residence was targeted in Tehran, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) confirmed in a statement.
A statement by the IRGC’s Public Relations Department said the attack was carried out early Wednesday, adding that a probe is underway to find the cause of the incident.
The statement offered condolences to the people of Palestine, the Muslim world, and the Resistance Front’s fighters over the Hamas leader’s death.
A statement by Hamas says an “Israeli” raid killed the Palestinian group’s leader Ismail Haniyeh in his residence in Tehran.
Earlier on Tuesday, Haniyeh had attended the inauguration of Iran’s new president and met Iran’s Supreme Leader. SOURCE
REUTERS – CAIRO, July 31 (Reuters) – Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh was killed in Iran’s Tehran, the Palestinian militant group Hamas said in a statement on Wednesday.
In a statement, the Islamist faction mourned the death of Haniyeh, who it said was killed in “a treacherous Zionist raid on his residence in Tehran”. SOURCE
Posted originally on the CTH on July 24, 2024 | Sundance
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivered a strong speech to a joint session of the U.S. congress earlier today. The main thrust of PM Netanyahu’s speech was about Israel’s ongoing effort to fight back against Hamas terrorists in Gaza.
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