Posted originally on Oct 15, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESSTION: Netanyahu has told Lebanon to purge themselves of Hezbollah and Iran to overthrow their religious government. Do you think regime change is the target objective in this conflict?
NS
ANSWER: Regime Change tends to be more of a wish than an actual military goal. Largely this is the old saying the king is deal, long live the king. Regime Change depends upon the people. Far too often some assume that if you just take out the head of state, you will get regime change. You may get a change far worse. The goal of Israel for their response would break down to three strategies.
(1) Attack Military Targets (that produce the missiles
(2) Economic Targets, such as the oil production
(3) The nuclear targets
The first would be a proportional response. The second would disrupt the world economy sending energy prices higher which Biden is against before the election, and the third is far more difficult for they are underground and Israel lacks bunker attack type bombs that the US does possess.
In Japan, it was the military government that seized control and made the emperor subservient to them. The Japanese blamed their military for causing the war so you have had a deep concern about them ever again seizing power. That is the regime change that can take place after a military confrontation.
Posted originally on Oct 5, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
The Middle East is far more complicated than the Western Media reports. Quietly, Saudi Arabia and Jordan support Israel, for they see Iran as a threat even to their sovereignty despite their populations often taking the opposite position. Iran is Shite and maintains that the religion should rule, not kings. If Iran were taken down, they would quietly be celebrating.
As the world waits for Israel’s response to Iran, the two main targets remain their nuclear facilities and their energy production. The problem with the nuclear facilities is that Iran has placed them deep under the ground. Israel lacks bunker-type weapons, but the US has such weapons. Suppose they lent them to Israel to attack the underground facilities in Iran. In that case, that will most likely divide the region and perhaps result in China and Russia coming into the area.
Attacking Iran’s oil facilities would send oil rising. The Biden Administration does NOT want that to happen before the election. Hence, we have had this paused response from Israel. Before the election, it would seem that the only major target would be nuclear development. However, this would not terminate their capability and could accelerate their move to nuclear capability.
The Biden Administration has allowed more than 1,000 terrorists to enter the country. As we head into October 7th, we should expect terrorist attacks domestically inside the USA, and Israel will be under pressure to take some action by Monday 7th – the 1st anniversary of the Hammas attack.
Posted originally on Oct 1, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, can you give me an update on Iran? Your target for war was October. Here it is, October first, no less. Do you still see the war extending into 2027?
ANSWER: For the next two weeks, this should intensify. This will escalate into 2027, and I do not see a diplomatic solution as possible. This is all just coming to a head. Iran is moving into its peak due in 2027. The reorganization appears to be coming by mid-2031.
The computer projected October in both Iran and Israel, so beware that volatility will rise in December/January when the halfway mark of this Iran ECM cycle is reached heading into 2027. The first quarter of 2025 does not look very good globally. We will address this at the WEC. There will be streaming. Over 40 countries have already signed up, which exceeds our normal 37 countries for the WEC.
The real question is whether Iran has yielded to the Arab world. Or has Iran gotten approval from Russia because Europe wants World War III? Even the Latvian President Edgars Rinkēvičs has called for a harder line on Russia and keeps up the nonsense that Russia is afraid of NATO and will not attack in the traditional sense.
Posted originally on the CTH on October 1, 2024 | Sundance
ran has fired over 200 missiles into Israel in a retaliatory attack after Israeli strikes against Hezbollah and Hamas, including assassinations of top commanders. The ballistic missiles are reported to have been launched from inside Iran.
U.S. and Israeli Iron Dome counter measures were deployed along with a dozen interceptors fired from U.S. warships located in the Mediterranean. However, multiple strikes were reported within Israel. The war against Hamas has escalated significantly.
Israel has vowed to hit back against the direct attack from Iran. In a video statement, Israel Defense Forces Spokesperson Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari said the “attack will have consequences.” He added: “We have plans. We will act at the time and place of our choosing.”
(Via Politico) – Iran launched a ballistic missile attack targeting Israel on Tuesday as tensions between the two long-time foes ratchet up in the Middle East.
The Israel Defense Forces said on Telegram that “missiles were launched from Iran towards the State of Israel” and ordered Israeli civilians to obey air raid sirens and shelter in place. “The IDF is doing and will do everything necessary to protect the civilians of the State of Israel,” the statement said.
[…] Iran fired nearly 200 missiles at Israel, according to national security adviser Jake Sullivan at a Tuesday White House briefing after the attacks. It was not clear if any of them successfully hit their targets and there were not immediate reports of Israeli casualties.
Iran’s strike was in part thwarted by two American guided missile destroyers in the Mediterranean, which fired a dozen interceptors to knock down Iranian missiles Pentagon spokesperson Maj. Gen. Patrick Ryder told reporters on Tuesday. As far as where the ballistic missiles came from, Ryder said the military is still studying the attack and its fallout, but the early assessment was that all of the missiles were fired from inside Iran. (read more)
Posted originally on Sep 25, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I have listened to your geopolitical analysis for the past couple of years. You have recently said that Putin instructed Iran to “sit on its hands.” Nobody else has ever said provided that account. Here, the Telegraph has reported that Hezbollah urged Iran to attack Israel, but it refused because the “timing isn’t right”, two Israeli officials have said. People have told me that your sources are superior to everyone. I was told that even Margaret Thatch asked you if you had information on some underground project Russia was constructing when even MI6 could not find out. Others said they put you in contempt of court because you knew too much.
I appreciate your honesty in a world that is shrouded in darkness.
FD
ANSWER: Look, when the West lied to Putin with the Minsk Agreement, they played him for a fool. They have lost all credibility now, and I do not know if it is ever possible to have a negotiated settlement. Putin told Iran to sit on its hands and NOT take the bait as he did in Ukraine. The time will come, but do it on their terms, not those of the Neocons.
I have stated that Turkey will be the nation to destabilize NATO after numerous conflicts within the bloc. Turkey then became the first member nation of NATO to join the BRICS alliance with Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, and the United Arab Emirates. Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan would now like to form an alliance with other Arab nations to counteract Israel.
Erdogan and Fattah al-Sisi met for the first time in 12 years last week to discuss Israel’s growing power in the Middle East. Former foes are banning together against a common opponent. Syria and Turkey have had difficulties with diplomacy ever since the 2011 Syrian civil war, but Erdogan said he’s speak to al-Assad “any time.”
Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz has accused Erdogan of supporting Hamas. “Erdogan continues to throw the Turkish people into the fire of hatred and violence for his friends from Hamas. Today, he calls on the Islamic countries to form an alliance against the State of Israel. This is incitement,” the minister posted on X. “Israel defends its borders and its citizens against the murderers of Hamas and the Shiite axis of evil led by Iran. Erdogan and the Muslim Brotherhood have been working together with Iran for years to stamp out the moderate Arab regimes in the Middle East,” he continued. “It is better for Erdogan to shut up and be ashamed.”
An alliance against Israel is an alliance against the West as all Western nations and NATO have pledged unwavering support for Israel, their last stronghold in the Middle East. So not only is Turkey unsettling NATO by supporting Russia, but now he is attempting to form a bloc that is in direct opposition of Israel.
Erdogan’s dream was to resurrect the Ottoman Empire, which ended when it was defeated and dissolved in 1908—1922. Now, with the economic conditions being deplorable, Erdogan has found an external enemy that can be used to build Turkey’s power in the Middle East. The nation already boasts the largest army in the region and has been carefully forming alliances against the West on two war fronts.
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