Bonds & Climate Change


ubcbt-q-1-2-2017-gmw

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Your Global Market Watch picked the high in bonds perfectly and called it a major high. I have to say, the system you have created monitoring everything is an incredible teaching tool. I can see what you are saying. There is a major global trend that politicians cannot alter and that is why communism fell and socialism is falling now. Do you believe we can advance this time around when it crashes and burns?

Thanks

BM

ANSWER: Believe it or not, I am an eternal optimist; foolish at times. I gave up trying to help behind the curtain because I came to witness how politics works. You can tell a politicians to do this or there will be a crash. They will not listen for a simple reason. No politician can run for office saying, “Vote for me, I saved your job.” You would ask, “How do I know I would have lost it?” Politics is about winning. It is far better to run for office by promising change but never delivering. The political situation is simple. They like the crisis for then they launch investigations to get the guy who caused it. They will never prevent it, for that does not have the same impact at the polls.

sixth-wave-ecm-2032

Society goes through these convulsions roughly every 309 years or so. They build in intensity and that is what we now face — the Sixth Wave. On the cyclical time line, we are at the point where the collapse of Rome came about with the Sixth Wave back then.

sixth-wave-ecm-greek-roman

 

Before that, there was the Minoan Collapse.

sixth-wave-ecm-minoan

This is the third major wave. Either we go into a Dark Age, as took place after the last two groups, or we advance. I would like to think we can do this and reform the way things work. Maybe I am just wrong and we will fail. I realize the only way to take that one giant leap for humankind is if the PEOPLE understand why we never advance and say enough is enough.

So the more people we can move to understand the business cycle and DEMAND change, the better chance we have of taking a leap forward instead of backwards.

ECM-Dynamic

The ECM will still exist. We cannot alter that. The volatility (intensity) we can influence perhaps. Of course, the Minoan collapse was instigated by one of the largest volcanic eruptions in history — Thera (Santorini). The fall of Rome came with climate change when everything turned down much colder and resulted in the invasions of the barbarians who were migrating South.

global-warming-cyclical

These groups of Six Waves tend to coincide with the collapse in the energy output of the sun. The climate change we are heading into is by no means global warming, it is back down to record cold. That is not good in the least for civilization.

Machine Learning


machine-learning

QUESTION: Hi, how are you? I hope you fine. I work with business intelligence for 9 years until now, and I’m decided improve my skills on Machine Learning field. I have searched for studies programs in universities, etc, but have found nothing, honest and simple, to be compared by thoughts, oppnions and views from Mr. Armstrong on his website. I would like to know whether there is Artificial Intelligence study program by Armstrong Economics available. I’m REALLY INTERESTED on it.

Cheers from Brazil.

JS Data Analyst

ANSWER: Machine learning is the cutting-edge science of programming computers to act without being expressly programmed to act in a specific manner. Over the last decade, machine learning has opened the door to efficient speech recognition, effective web searches such as Google, and self-driving cars. Machine learning is changing the way we interact with computers and has become so embedded in many aspects of technology today that you probably use it numerous times each day without even knowing you are using it.

True machine learning is the way to the future where we can achieve human-level computers without emotion. There are machine learning techniques I have developed that are strictly proprietary, and I am implementing them to accomplish a comprehensive way of managing the understanding of the global economy and how everything fits together to create a dynamic working composite that has moved beyond theoretical underpinnings of learning. Trying to expand these techniques into other fields including medicine would be a nice long-term goal. I do not offer any course on how to do this. The practical know-how is extensive and attempting to apply these techniques to new problems in other fields is time consuming. I’m not even sure I could get to all these in one lifetime.

Once we launch, then we may be open for some apprenticeships. Right now, unfortunately, we have space only for those who have some experience in this field of machine learning. We are functioning at probably light years ahead of anyone in the field of finance or economics. Trying to write something from scratch would take years if not more than a decade. Then you have to have the track record for serious money to even think about using it. We have the reputation, track record, and the outright experience in this field. These are not things that can be duplicated so easily.

So right now, unfortunately, experience is necessary in machine learning to join our team. We do not offer courses just yet. Perhaps one day.

An Engineer Dies and goes to Hell!


An Engineer dies and goes to Hell. Dissatisfied with the level of comfort, he starts designing and building improvements.  After a while, Hell has air conditioning, flush toilets and escalators.  The engineer is a very pretty popular guy.

One day God calls and asks Satan, “So, how’s it going down there?”

Satan says, “Hey things are going great. We’ve got air conditioning and flush toilets and escalators, and there’s no telling what this engineer is going to come up with next.”

God is horrified. “What? You’ve got an engineer? That’s a mistake – he should never have gone down there! Send him up here!”

Satan says, “No way. I like having an engineer on the staff. I’m keeping him.”

God says, “Send him back up here or I’ll sue.”

“Yeah, right,” Satan laughs, “and where are you going to get a lawyer?”