Posted originally on Jul 9, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro was once deemed the Donald Trump of his nation. In a similar fashion, the establishment has accused Bolsonaro of orchestrating a coup to retain power after the 2022 presidential election against Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
The people independently denied the results of the election and stormed government buildings a week after Lula was inaugurated. The Federal Police uncovered a draft of a coup announcement in former Justice Minister Anderson Torres’s home. After months of detainment, Torres maintained that the document, which he received from a private citizen, was taken out of context and held no legal validity. The plans outlined in the document never occurred, but the establishment maintains that Bolsonaro is a threat to Brazilian democracy.
As our computer warned, there would be intense, politically motivated civil unrest worldwide in November 2022. Ahead of the election, Brazil’s leftist opposition Workers’ Party (PT) Marcelo Arruda was enjoying his birthday celebration in the city of Foz de Iguacu, Parana, when he was shot dead. The vote of 49.1%-50.9% was the closest Brazilian presidential election history since 1985 and marked Bolsonaro’s first political defeat. Bolsonaro supporters held mass protests across the nation to protest Lula’s victory and blocked hundreds of major roadways. Bolsonaro first sided with the protestors, saying they felt “indignation and a sense of injustice.” The intense backlash from across the globe caused Bolsonaro to change course. “I know you are upset… Me too. But we have to keep our heads straight,” Bolsonaro said in a video posted online. “I will make an appeal to you: clear the highways.” Bolsonaro confirmed with Brazil’s Supreme Court that he would willingly hand over power to Lula. “I have always played within the four lines of the constitution,” he said, without declaring defeat. Bolsonaro is already barred from running for office until 2030. The establishment wants to ensure that he is never up for reelection.
This is the precise move that they attempted after January 6 with Donald Trump, who posted on Truth Social: “The only Trial that should be happening is a Trial by the Voters of Brazil – It’s called an Election. LEAVE BOLSONARO ALONE!” Trump has stated that he believes Bolsonaro is “a legal aberration (lawfare), a clear case of political persecution that is now obvious to anyone with common sense.”
As we head into 2032, the United States has shown the world that you can rig elections using criminal law. I reported how Argentina was bringing criminal charges against the opposition simply for saying, do not save pesos because the currency is collapsing. Thus, the government has turned that comment into a crime. In Brazil, the leftist government is desperate to stop former president Jair Bolsonaro, alleging that he was the mentor of “a wilful and premeditated coup attempt,” copying the US on its desperate attempt to imprison Trump on the January 6th nonsense, calling it an insurrection.
Lula was the establishment candidate. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is a member of the World Economic Forum. His policies align with other WEF leaders and stand in stark contrast to Bolsonaro, who was hated by the globalists. Perhaps more importantly, Bolsonaro refused to align himself with the globalist neocons. He attempted to remain neutral in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and offered to host peace talks. Let us not forget Brazil’s strong economic ties to Russia. Also similar to Trump, Bolsonaro was the victim of a failed assassination attempt when he was stabbed in the abdomen during a political rally. Again, the deep state insisted the assailant was crazed and acted alone, bypassing all security measures to reach one of the most controversial political figures in the nation.
Our models for South America indicate potential civil unrest and even a Panic Cycle in 2025 in Brazil. Our target of 2023 for a Directional Change has appeared on time both in Brazil and in Israel. Brazil is divided like most countries today. The polarization is severe, and the government is desperate to maintain power. This is the total collapse of Republican forms of government as we head into 2032.
Attempting a coup in Brazil is punishable by up to 12 years’ imprisonment. Collectively, the charges against Bolsonaro could result in a prison sentence of up to 40 years, effectively barring him from reentering the political arena. Nations are no longer allowing people to vote for elected officials. It is too much of a risk as confidence in government has collapsed, and the people are increasingly eager to elect anti-establishment candidates who threaten grander plans.
Posted originally on Jul 2, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
The PYMNTS Intelligence report “Financial Lifestyles Shape Credit Reliance” revealed that American consumers are struggling to afford the basic essentials. Prices have been elevated since the worldwide pandemic shutdown the global economy and have not gone down in a meaningful way. The study found that 43% of American households who are a paycheck away from poverty cannot afford the essentials without using credit.
The report surveyed 2,298 consumers and categorized them into three financial brackets: those who do not live paycheck to paycheck, those who live paycheck to paycheck comfortably, and those who live paycheck to paycheck and struggle to pay bills.
The 43% of households living paycheck to paycheck with difficulties are eight times more likely to depend on credit cards for the essentials. This group was also six times as likely to rely on credit cards for non-essential purchases. Consumers in this category are placing 41% of all essential purchases on credit and sinking deeper into debt. Around 56% of Americans who do not live paycheck to paycheck are also purchasing essentials with credit, albeit many are using credit cards for points and incentives offered through their credit agencies. Struggling households are far more likely to rely on personal or payday loans, with 31% reporting taking out a loan for the essentials.
“While financially stable individuals may use credit extensively to maximize benefits like rewards, those facing financial strain often depend on it simply to cover essential costs. Understanding the distinct behaviors and needs of the struggling paycheck-to-paycheck consumer is crucial for financial institutions,” the study notes
Those who are not living paycheck to paycheck use credit strategically to maximize incentives and credit scores. Those living comfortably paycheck to paycheck do not face significant financial stress and use credit as a financial mitigation tool. Then there is a segment of the population that needs credit as their lifeline.
Groceries are the top item that Americans are pulling out their cards to buy, with 44.1% reportingly needing to use credit to buy food. Approximately 27.5% reported relying on credit for clothing and accessories, 27% stated they needed credit for monthly bills, 18.6% for vehicle maintenance, and 15.3% for healthcare-related expenses.
America’s middle class has been shrinking for decades. According to Pew Research Center, 61% of adults were considered “middle class” in 1971, but that figure sank to around 51% by 2025. The issue here is that there is an increasing number of households falling into poverty who must rely on the government for essentials. This is what the globalists and Marxists want to see—You Will Own Nothing and Be Happy. Consumer behavior is a telling sign and credit can only be stretched so far until one can no longer borrow. The fact that most are reportingly needing to use credit to afford food indicates that the welfare state is likely to increase, and those costs are passed on to the taxpayers, who then may go from “comfortable” to “struggling.”
Posted originally on Jul 2, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
The United States has officially lifted sanctions on Syria via an executive order signed by Donald Trump. This historic achievement marks the end of a 45-year sanction period enacted back in December 1979 when Syria was declared a state sponsor of terrorism.
“The sanctions were brutal and crippling and served as an important — really an important function — nevertheless, at the time. But now it’s their time to shine … So, I say, ‘Good luck, Syria.’ Show us something very special,” Trump stated on May 13 when he first announced plans to remove sanctions. Trump further stated that he hopes the new Syrian government “will hopefully succeed in stabilizing the country in keeping peace,” which should not be a problem considering the United States installed the current government.
Investments are pouring into Syria, and the nation is officially debt-free. Syria is still in dire condition after its 14-year conflict and is fighting to rebuild its basic infrastructure. The people of Syria are living in atrocious conditions. Over half the nation is food insecure, half cannot access water, and the majority barely have access to electricity. An estimated 90% of the public lives well below the poverty line. GDP plummeted by two-thirds since 2011, and the Syrian pound also fell by two-thirds in 2023 alone.
Before the world cut off Syria through sanctions in 2011, Syria’s GDP was around $61 billion USD. The sanctions coincided with the outbreak of civil war. War produces absolutely nothing and only detracts from an economy. Syria’s economy shrank by 85% in the past 14 years, with GDP reaching a mere $9 billion in 2024.
Lifting sanctions is a massive step toward rebuilding Syria. Nations are eager to pour investments into the nation and begin profiting. All of this is dependent on peace. The US has the right to reimplement sanctions at any time if the current regime loses control.
Posted originally on CTH on June 30, 2025 | Sundance
White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett appears on Fox News to outline some of the background details of the Big Beautiful Bill. Interestingly, after happy Hassett outlines the specifics of the benefits within the bill, he dodges a question about possibly becoming the next Fed Chairman. 🤔… A Happy Fed Chair?
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