Tag Archives: War in the Ukraine

Jul 21 2025

The Treaty of Versailles Part II?


Posted originally on Jul 21, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

treaty of versailles.MAP_

Vladimir Putin has 580 billion additional reasons not to end the war. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz entered office with a clear intent to usher Germany into World War III. Not only has Merz mobilized troops and the largest military spending package in modern European history, but he is now demanding that Russia pay reparations amid an ongoing conflict.

“Growth, market freedom, our energy security, as well as the extraordinary strain on our social systems caused by war refugees: all of this is linked to the war in Ukraine,” Merz said ironically, as Europe would not have these problems if it didn’t embed itself in the middle of the conflict. “The reconstruction of Ukraine is not just a matter of the future… Day after day, we are ensuring that life in Ukraine can continue despite all of Russia’s daily and especially nightly attacks.”

Merz believes that Russia must pay at least 500 billion euros ($580 billion USD) in reparations. His comments were made at the same July 10 conference where European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced “the largest equity fund globally to support (Ukraine’s) reconstruction” worth 2 trillion euros.

The Treaty of Versailles 1919

The G7 nations have already seized $300 billion in foreign Russian assets. Perhaps Merz forgets the repercussions of the Treaty of Versailles after the first World War in 1919. France and Britain, still obsessed with revenge for their own wartime losses, forced Germany to accept total responsibility for a war that was triggered by a single assassination in the Balkans. Germany was stripped of territory, disarmed, and then burdened with reparations so astronomical they could never be repaid.

The German people were humiliated, starving, and desperate. Hyperinflation destroyed their savings and created a depression felt through the generations. The Weimar Republic was a puppet regime enforced by foreign powers. That anger fermented into nationalism, and history repeated — as it always does. This is precisely what gave rise to Adolf Hitler, and if the people think Vladimir Putin is malicious, they are ill-prepared for the hardliners standing behind him, eagerly awaiting their opportunity to take on NATO. Putin has been attempting to end this conflict, but has been prevented from doing so by the Western neocons who removed the possibility of peace.

When you back a nation into a corner, destroy its economy, and humiliate its people, you guarantee a future war. The Russia-Ukraine war has been escalating and neocons like Merz are ensuring that the embers ignite until a fire roars through Russia and Ukraine before engulfing the rest of the world.

Jul 19 2025

Medvedev Advises Putin Start WWIII Before Trump’s 50 day Ultimatum


Posted originally on Jul 18, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

2025_07_17_23_16_49_Russia_s_former_president_tells_Putin_to_strike_US_now_while_he_still_can_and_5_

QUESTION: After reading you for more than 10 years, I understand that you are the best at geopolitics because you honestly know history. Medvedev has called on Vladimir Putin to consider pre-emptive strikes against the US and its allies in response to Donald Trump’s ‘theatrical’ 50-day deadline. What would your advice be to Putin, since no leader can do what Trump has demanded and remain in power?

PD

Minsk Agreement Head of State

ANSWER: I would give the West 31 days to (1) remove Zelensky & hold an election in Ukraine, (2) honor the Minsk Agreement as the West guaranteed, and let the Donbas vote on separation as took place in Czechoslovakia and the breakup of Yugoslavia. If that is not carried out, the Ukrainian people have 2 weeks to vacate Kiev, and it will be nuked.

Nuclear Launch Button R

NATO will claim that they will target Moscow, and I would then lock in every capital of Europe. If Trump intervenes, I would target Washington, NYC, Chicago, and LA without dropping leaflets. Maybe then the people will get off their ass and remove the leaders of Europe, and the American Neocons should be hauled out and imprisoned for a usurpation of power, and that would be using the West’s tactics of REGIME CHANGE in reverse.

Let us not forget that the Neocons of the US and Europe deliberately created this civil war in Ukraine. John McCain and Victoria Nuland overthrew the Ukrainian government and installed a puppet regime. They lied to the Ukrainian people, telling them this was their moment for peace and it was just about them. What bullshit!

Nuland FUCK EU

Victoria Nuland decided who would run Ukraine, not the people. Her gaffe was “F the EU”, she was deciding the fate of Ukraine. She installed her UNELECTED puppet and instructed Turchynov to attack the Donbas. The Ukrainian people were lied to by Zelensky, who ran on a promise of peace.

War drummer_clear

Our press always condemns Putin and will never tell the truth because the Neocons pay them to drum up the war at all costs. WAR, WAR, WAR. Why? That leads to massive death, the destruction of our economic future, and war never ends as expected. The bulk of our national debt is the cost of the endless wars of the Neocons, which Trump promised to stop, so much for democracy.

2019 Zelensky win Russia Hopeful

The death toll was 130,000 when Zelensky was running, and he promised peace. It is now approaching 1.5 million, and over 8 million have fled the country. Russia was optimistic that Zelensky’s election would end the war. He has suspended the election, assumed a dictatorial role, and takes his orders from NATO. No major country suspended elections during World War I or World War II.

The Ukrainian people have been played as fools, denied any democratic process. What I hear behind the curtain is that nobody cares about the Ukrainian people, what the hell, they were all communists and Nazis before anyhow.

Boris_Johnson_We_are_in_a_proxy_war_against_Russia_
Zelenskyy Johnson

It was Boris Johnson who flew to Kiev and instructed Zelensky that he was not allowed to sign any peace deal. The Ukrainians I speak to ask, are they allowed to have peace without permission from London, Paris, Berlin, and Washington?

Chess war blood

The Neocons only care about winning. They do not care about the cost, the people who die on the battlefield, nor the “collateral damage” to civilians. World War II was the deadliest conflict in history, with massive casualties on both the military and civilian sides.

Total Estimated Deaths in WWII: 70–85 million

Military Deaths: 21–25 million

Civilian Deaths: 50–55 million

Merkel_Minsk_Buy_Time_to Prepare for wart

Europe lied and signed a peace treaty, and Merkel admitted that they had no intention of honoring that agreement. It was only to buy time for Ukraine to raise an army to start World War III against Russia.

table_meeting_greeting_300_clr_18314 1

The West wants this War. There is no possible way for Putin to come to any peace terms with the West. They will not honor it, for the Neocons have spent their entire lives dreaming about the conquest of Russia. The West is infected with these warmongers. There is no dealing with them. It is up to us to get off our ass and demand their removal!!!!

MA War Cycle 2011 WEC

Our computer has been correct all along. I stood up at the 2011 WEC in Philadelphia and warned that the war cycle turned up in 2014. That was correct, and it was the Ukrainian Revolution. In 2013, the year before, I warned that the computer had targeted Ukraine as the hot spot. These are NOT my personal forecasts. Nobody can be that correct from a “I think” perspective.

2022 Intl War Index

The computer has been forecasting World War III, and 2026 is a Panic Cycle. With Trump’s absurd 50-day ultimatum, we can expect that this will indeed start to heat up from August onward.

Sun Tzu

Jul 9 2025

Steve Bannon: “On September 30th You’re Going To Be Sucking On A CR, A Big Ugly CR.”


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: July 8, 2025, at 2:00 pm EST

Jul 9 2025

Steve Bannon: “If You’re Providing Defense For Somebody In An Open Kinetic War, You’re A Combatant.”Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: July 8, 2025, at 1:00 pm ESTSteve Bannon: “If You’re Providing Defense For Somebody In An Open Kinetic War, You’re A Combatant.”


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: July 8, 2025, at 2:00 pm EST

Jun 30 2025

The Four Faces of War


Posted originally on Jun 30, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

2025 Cycle of War

QUESTION: You are pessimistic about a resolution in the Iran-Israel conflict. Why is this different from Ukraine or even Vietnam?

Jake

Kaganovich Lazar 1893–1991

ANSWER: This conflict between Iran and Israel is far more serious because it is Religious, not Ethnic, philosophical, or Conquest. The Ukraine conflict is ethnic. Ukrainians wrongly hate Russians because Stalin took their food and starved millions. What they REFUSE to admit was that this was retribution by Stalin’s right-hand man Kaganovich, who was from Kiev and was a Jew who was in charge of the operation that most saw as retribution for Ukrainian neo-Nazis who were slaughtering Jews.

There are four primary distinctions between war and its underlying causes. I will address this in a report on the 2025 Cycle of War, many have asked for an update. I will address how each can be resolved and what history teaches us. Wars unfold for different reasons internationally, whereas civil wars, more often than not, unfold because of unfair and oppressive taxation that favors one group over another.

Lucius Verus AR Parthia Victory

There is also a strong correlation between migrations and civil war, as well as disease. Many plagues have followed invasions by the Mongols, bringing the Black Plague to Europe. Alternatively, returning Roman soldiers from waging war on Persia brought the Antonine Plague, which even claimed the life of Emperor Lucius Verus. Here is his coin celebrating his victory over Parthia (Persia).

Trebonianus Gallus AR Ant Plague

The Plague of Cyprian (249-262 AD) most likely originated in Ethiopia. Evidence strongly suggests it was brought into the Roman Empire via troops returning from campaigns on the eastern frontiers, once again involving Persia. It was probably the war against the Sassanid Persians or conflicts in the region. Here is a coin of Trebonianus Gallus (251-253AD) appealing to Apollo Salvtari, who they hoped would protect society. Descriptions by St. Cyprian (Bishop of Carthage) suggest symptoms consistent with a viral hemorrhagic fever (like Ebola or a filovirus) or possibly a severe form of influenza or typhus. Some scholars also propose a re-emergence or mutated form of smallpox or measles. The exact pathogen remains uncertain.

Hostilian Caesar AU Aureus

Bishop Cyprian of Carthage, whom the plague is named after, and Dionysius of Alexandria) report that bodies were being piled in the streets. There was widespread fear and social disruption. The worst was the significant depopulation of cities and countryside, with an estimated loss of between 10% and 20% of the entire population—the impact on the Roman army and government function was profound. Even the emperor Hostilian died from this plague.

This catastrophic pandemic hit during the tumultuous Crisis of the Third Century. This caused massive mortality, further crippled the economy and military, fueled social unrest, and contributed to the empire’s near-collapse. It coincided with barbarian invasions and political instability.

Columbus Landing

The Europeans who invaded America brought diseases, and we cannot pinpoint a single exact percentage of the Indian population that died from disease. However, the overwhelming consensus among historians, anthropologists, and epidemiologists is that introduced European diseases killed somewhere between 80% and 95% of the Indigenous population of the Americas within roughly a century to a century and a half after contact. This represents a loss of tens of millions of lives and constitutes one of the most profound demographic disasters ever recorded. It fundamentally reshaped the societies, cultures, and landscapes of the entire hemisphere. (Sources: Alfred W. Crosby Jr. The Columbian Exchange; Noble David Cook Born to Die; Charles C. Mann *1491*; William M. Denevan The Native Population of the Americas in 1492)

1918 Influenza Depot

The returning soldiers from World War I also brought back the Spanish Flu. In summary, roughly 675,000 Americans died from the Spanish flu, representing about 0.65% of the population at the time, with the majority of deaths occurring during the final stages of WWI and the immediate months following the Armistice. Again, just

Jun 28 2025

Russian President Vladimir Putin Delivers Remarks About President Trump Following Iran/Israel 12-day War


Posted originally on CTH on June 27, 2025 

Russian President Vladimir Putin answered questions from the media earlier.  One of the questions was about President Trump against the backdrop of peace efforts, the middle-east conflict and Ukraine.

President Putin’s response is very interesting.  I am placing here as a datapoint for my own analysis without reading too much into it at the moment.  All of the points are converging in one direction.  WATCH: 

Congratulations Treepers.  If you have followed the discussions [SEE HERE] you can see how we are on the cusp of a big geopolitical change.  GET THE BBB PASSED and things begin to unfold.  All of the datapoints go in one direction.

Jun 28 2025

U.S. Ambassador to Russia Exits at Critical Stage


Posted originally on CTH on June 27, 2025 | Sundance

U.S. Ambassador to Russia, Lynne Tracy, who was appointed by Joe Biden, has departed her position in Moscow as U.S. Ambassador to Russia.  There has been no announced name for replacement. [¹Get the friggin’ BBB passed!]

Remember, in the last 20+ years, no American official has spent more face-to-face time with Vladimir Putin than U.S. Special Envoy, Steve Witkoff.  On behalf of President Trump Witkoff has held multiple meetings and discussions with Russian President Vladimir Putin lasting more than 4 and 5 hours at a time.  U.S. Ambassador Lynne Tracy was not present.

Do not forget, nor overlook this baseline fact.

MOSCOW, June 27 (Reuters) – Lynne Tracy, the U.S. ambassador to Russia, is leaving Moscow, her embassy said on Friday, noting she had served through one of the most strained periods in relations between Moscow and Washington.

The departure of a career diplomat appointed under the administration of former president Joe Biden comes as Russia and the United States discuss a potential reset in their ties which sharply deteriorated after Moscow launched its full-scale war in Ukraine in 2022.

[…] “I am proud to have represented my country in Moscow during such a challenging time. As I leave Russia, I know that my colleagues at the embassy will continue to work to improve our relations and maintain ties with the Russian people,” the embassy cited Tracy as saying in a statement.

Her successor has not been publicly named. (more)

Trust is a valuable commodity!

[¹We anticipate that once the BBB is completed, obviously there will be a celebration – a news cycle for the White House and legislative leadership to promote & celebrate, and then President Trump will likely shift straight into the details of the trade agreements being constructed in the background by Secretary Lutnick, Secretary Bessent and USTR Jamieson Greer.

As the trade aspect is underway from the oval office, expect Secretary Rubio and Steve Witkoff to be reengaged with Ukraine-Russia. By mid July we should see multiple announcements of trade agreements, while simultaneously the foreign policy focus of Rubio and Witkoff should start to materialize into substantive change.]

Jun 27 2025

Obama Dropped Over 26K Bombs Without Congressional Approval


Posted originally on Jun 27, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

Iran has been the target for decades. Biden, Harris, and Clinton—all the Democrats have said that they would attack Iran if given the opportunity. It appears that Donald Trump is attempting to mitigate a potentially irresolvable situation. As he bluntly told reporters: We basically — we have two countries that have been fighting so long and so hard that they don’t know what the f‑‑‑ they’re doing.”

A portion of the nation believes Trump acted like a dictator by attacking Iran without Congressional approval. I explained how former President Barack Obama decimated the War Powers Resolution Act when he decided Libya was overdue for a regime change. The War Powers Act, or War Powers Resolution of 1973, grants the POTUS the ability to send American troops into battle if Congress receives a 48-hour notice. The stipulation here is that troops cannot remain in battle for over 60 days unless Congress authorizes a declaration of war. Congress could also remove US forces at any time by passing a resolution.

Libya is one of seven nations that Obama bombed without Congressional approval, yet no one remembers him as a wartime president, as the United States was not technically at war. Over 26,000 bombs were deployed across 7 nations under his command in 2016 alone. Libya, Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen, Somalia, Iraq, and Pakistan were attacked without a single vote. Donald Trump’s recent orders saw 36 bombs deployed in Iran.

The majority of those bombings happened in Syria, Libya, and Iraq under the premise of targeting extremist groups like ISIS. Drone strikes were carried out across Somalia, Yemen, and Pakistan as the Obama Administration accused those nations of hosting al-Qaeda affiliated groups. Coincidentally, USAID was also providing funding to those groups.

Trump Obama Neocon War Bombs

The 2001 Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) was initially implemented to hunt down the Taliban and al-Qaeda after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Obama broadened his interpretation of the AUMF and incorporated newly formed militant groups that were allegedly expanding across the entire Middle East. The Bureau of Investigative Journalism believes there were up to 1,100 civilian casualties in Pakistan, Yemen, and Somalia. Thousands of civilians died in Syria and Iraq but the death toll was never calculated. At least 100 innocent people died in the 2016 attacks in Afghanistan alone.

The government will always augment the law for their personal agenda. The War Powers Resolution was ignored and the AUMF was altered. Congress was, however, successful in preventing Obama from putting US troops on the ground and fighting a full-scale war. In 2013, Obama sought congressional approval for military action in Syria but was denied. Obama again attempted to deploy troops in 2015 but was denied. Congress has to redraft the AUMF to specifically prevent Obama from deploying troops in the Middle East. “The authorization… does not authorize the use of the United States Armed Forces on the ground in Syria for the purpose of combat operations.” Obama attempted to redraft the AUMF on his own by insisting he would prohibit  “enduring offensive ground combat operations” or long-term deployment of troops. He was met with bipartisan disapproval as both sides believed he was attempting to drag the United States into another unnecessary war.

The United States should not be involved in any of these battles, but here we are. Those living in fear that Donald Trump is a dictator fail to recognize that past leadership had every intention of sending American men and women into battle unilaterally without a single vote cast.

Jun 26 2025

The Oreshnik Missile


Posted originally on Jun 26, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Oreshnik Missile

Russia is increasing production of its Oreshnik missile system as NATO pledges an additional $40 billion to Ukraine. The nuclear-capable Oreshnik missile is a powerful system with the capacity to travel 3,415 miles, effectively enabling Russia to strike anywhere in the West from Europe to the United States.

“Serial production of the latest Oreshnik medium-range missile system is under way,” Putin told a graduating class of military cadets in televised comments. The system became operational on November 21, 2024, and used in an attack whereby it carried multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRV) payload and six warheads that were each capable of releasing submunitions. The first use of the system involved dummy warheads that still caused destruction due to hypersonic kinetic energy. It is widely believed that the first use of the Orsenhnik system was more of a psychological move than an actual strike. In fact, Moscow notified Washington 30 minutes before deploying the missile. Moscow wanted to reveal to the world that it is ready to employ this new lethal technology.

This technology effectively intimidates the West with its long-range capabilities, although Moscow states it is only ramping up production of its mid-range missile system. Moscow needs the West and NATO to know that it has the capacity to attack if cornered. Putin has claimed that this weapon cannot be intercepted and has the capacity to evade missile defense systems. Traveling at 3 km per second, existing defense systems simply would not have the time to act. The Oreshnik can also be controlled mid-flight through aerodynamic control surfaces or gliding warheads, which masks its route. Putin has also stated that this system has the power to ruin underground targets without using nuclear payloads.

It remains to be seen whether the Oreshnik missile system is “impossible to intercept,” as Putin claims. The weight behind the increased production is a clear indicator that Russia is preparing to defend itself against NATO if needed. These weapons would benefit Russia in a global conflict and are not necessarily strategically necessary for its current battle in Ukraine.

Jun 23 2025

Russia Strikes Boeing


Posted originally on Jun 23, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Russian TU 95 Bomber

Russia’s recent strike on Boeing facilities in Ukraine has been portrayed as an attack on American business. The Dow-listed company has maintained operations in Ukraine despite the ongoing war and partnered with Ukrainian aircraft manufacturer Antonov in 2023 on joint defense projects.

“This is not just an attack against Ukraine, but also an attack where American business is being hit,” Andy Hunder, President of the ACC in Ukraine, which represents nearly 700 U.S. and international investors and corporate members, told the Kyiv Independent. “This is a war against a world where American businesses are making money and thriving,” he added.

The strike took place after Ukraine’s massive attack during Operation Spiderweb that destroyed hundreds of Russian drones and 41 war planes across four Russian airbases.

The media is portraying the strike on Boeing as an attack on American business. Similarly, the media portrayed the attack on German defense company Rheinmetall, which opened a new facility in Ukraine last year to produce military vehicles, as an attack on German business. The fact of the matter is that this is a time of war, and Russia is targeting defense manufacturing facilities.

War Tank Assault

If nations began opening or expanding defense manufacturing operations, say in Iran, then Israel and the US would take that as a sign of aggression, if not a direct threat to national security. Russia has repeatedly stated Western aggression is escalating tensions and prolonging the war. So not only are the EU, UK, and US sending countless funding and equipment to Ukraine, but private ventures from these nations are developing almost every piece of warfare equipment there.

The target was not America or Germany; rather, the target was defense manufacturing facilities. Several Western arms manufacturing facilities have opened joint ventures in Ukraine. Germany plans to open additional Rheinmetall facilities. Flensburger Fahrzeugbau Gesellschaft is working with a private Ukrainian weapons manufacturer to build a service center in Ukraine. The KDNS is another German-Franco joint venture in Ukraine that is mass producing weapons to kill Russians. Denmark opened MyDefence to produce counter-drone technology. The United Kingdom has joint ventures BAE Systems and Babcock.

The United States remains the top supplier of arms to Ukraine through private arms manufacturers, supplying around 43% of the weapons used in warfare. However, the majority are produced domestically and imported to Ukraine. The Western-backed military-industrial complex has had a stronghold in Ukraine since the war began. These manufacturers were not operating in Ukraine before 2022. Russia naturally has an incentive to destroy these facilities, but that certainly does not indicate Russia is targeting European nations or the US.