Posted originally on Jun 16, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Marty, are your sources confirming the reports that Iran is seeking a ceasefire in exchange for resuming nuclear negotiations?
FR
ANSWER: Yes. Tehran has asked the three central Arab states, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Oman, to apply pressure on President Trump to use his influence on Israel to agree to an immediate ceasefire in return for Iranian flexibility in nuclear negotiations. I am not sure Iran realizes that this is a Neocon operation that has circumvented Trump in both Ukraine and the Middle East.
Netanyahu is a Neocon and was friends with Bill Kristol. Both were in Philadelphia. I can confirm that Iran has no intention of attacking US bases or personnel. That would be a worst-case scenario that Iran wants to avoid. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is not the reckless type. He tends to be very cautious, and I do not see him considering a direct fight with the US. My concern is a Neocon false flag to blame Iran for an attack to get Trump to respond.
Netanyahu insisted on Monday that Israel’s campaign against Iran was “changing the face of the Middle East“, as the two countries traded heavy strikes for a fourth day. This is the end goal of the Neocons – the destruction of Iran or to reduce it to an insignificant state. There is no exit strategy since Israel is incapable of exterminating the Iranian nuclear facilities. This is why the Neocons are really trying to get Trump to commit to taking out Iran.
This is by no means an isolated event. This is all connected with the Neocons pushing Ukraine as the sacrificial lamb on their objective, also to destroy Russia.
A US attack would likely have the ability to destroy Iran’s most well-protected nuclear sites, and give the Israelis a far stronger position. The more sensible approach would be for Iran to shut down the Strait of Hormuz, which lies between itself and Oman, immediately stopping the transit of millions of barrels of oil a day. That would send oil prices skyrocketing, and that would be the more practical approach economically. If crude point continues to make new highs AFTER this week, it may yet test the $100 level by July.
Given the desires of the NEOCONS, they will fight tooth & nail to destroy Iran utterly. They have been waiting their entire life for this moment and pray to drag in Russia or China, if not both, to then force Trump to go to war.
Posted originally on Jun 16, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
There is no better predictor of future warfare than capital flows. We have witnessed capital fleeing danger time and time again, nearly always indicating a significant event was underway before the headlines could capture the moment. The internet is buzzing with a new tongue-in-cheek predictor of US warfare—the pizza index.
The pizza index or pizza meter theorizes that there is an uptick in pizza orders from Washington D.C., namely near the Pentagon, during major crises. America maintains it had no involvement in Israel’s attack on Iran. On June 12, social media users began reporting that the Pentagon pizza index was rising as there was a surge in deliveries surrounding the Pentagon and other defense buildings. At least four pizzerias reported a surge in orders one hour before the first strike.
With about an hour left before close, the 2nd closest Dominos to the Pentagon (about 8 min drive) is experiencing EXTREMELY high levels of traffic compared to a normal Thursday at about 11:00pm ET. pic.twitter.com/TnItUDysyq
— Pentagon Pizza Report (@PenPizzaReport) June 13, 2025
The Soviet Union was the first to develop this theory, which they called, Pizzint, during the Cold War. Soviet intelligence began tracking pizza orders near the Pentagon and CIA headquarters with intense scrutiny. The Soviets were known for thinking outside the box and developing unconventional strategies for warfare that were often dismissed by other nations. The Soviets believed that a sudden spike in deliveries indicated officials were working extended hours, and Americans’ love for pizza became their tell.
The phenomenon does carry some accuracy. Prior to the Gulf War in 1990, a Domino’s franchise owner by the name of Frank Meeks reported that he received a massive uptick in orders for pizza to the Pentagon and CIA headquarters. Other pizzerias noted a similar pattern, especially on the night that led to Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait. Nighttime pizza orders rose from 3 to 101 per night in the week leading up to hostilities. The night before the battle began, pizza orders to US intelligence offices surpassed 300.
The same phenomenon occurred numerous times, such as the night before US interventions in Grenada (1983) and Panama (1989). The meter proved accurate for other significant political events, such as the impeachment hearings for President Bill Clinton in 1998.
With less than an hour to close, the Domino's nearest the Pentagon is experiencing abnormally high traffic. pic.twitter.com/RZ5r5EJc1V
— Pentagon Pizza Report (@PenPizzaReport) June 2, 2025
Socrates noted that June 1 would lead to a significant global event. Sorry, we do not have pizza tracking in our algorithm. Interestingly, an X account called Pentagon Pizza Report noted that the Domino’s closest to the Pentagon was experiencing abnormally high traffic that day, which coincided with Ukraine’s massive attack on Russia.
Officials are required to work late, tethered to their desks. An uptick in pizza orders before important events is quite an interesting theory and there are now hundreds of social media accounts dedicated to tracking pizza deliveries in the D.C. area. Perhaps intelligence officials should begin ordering takeout elsewhere.
Posted originally on Jun 16, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Pope Leo XIV hosted Argentina’s President Javier Milei at the Vatican. The head of a Catholic nation, Milei, clashed with former Pope Francis on social reforms, with Milei publicly bashing the pope and the Vatican. This did not sit well with the people of Argentina, and despite being the first Argentine pope, Pope Francis never returned to his homeland during his 12-year papacy.
Pope Leo XIV announced that he plans to visit Argentina in the near future. President Milei presented the pope with two books before their departure: “The Fatal Conceit” by Friedrich Hayek and a Spanish book by Libertarian economist Jesus Huerta de Soto. The latter advocates for free markets, private ownership, and voluntary cooperation. The author emphasizes non-coercive methods for giving compared to state interventions. Friedrich Hayek believes that society cannot be controlled through centralized planning. Fatal conceit is the belief that reason alone can control a society, yet no human has the ability to control society or the economy.
The Catholic Church has never embraced the concept of socialism. The pope’s namesake, Leo XIII’s 1891 book Rerum Novarum, condemned centralized control while supporting worker rights. The poor are to be protected and served from one’s own goodwill. The church believes that denying people the right to own private property threatens the family unit.
There is a reason that the far left hates Christianity and Catholicism. Joe Biden went as far as to order the FBI to spy on Catholics during his regime. Marxist philosophy is anti-Christian and anti-family. Friedrich Engels, a pioneer of Marxism, argued that the nuclear family was merely a “unit of consumption.” He advocated polygamous group marriage and the abolishment of private property and generational wealth.
Hillary Clinton recently admitted that she fears a return to the nuclear family. “It’s all in there,” Clinton said of the debunked project 2025, “The return to the nuclear family, the return to being a Christian nation, return to producing a lot of children, which is sort of odd since the people who produce a lot of children are immigrants.”
Father Mike, a popular online sensation for the younger generation of Catholics, has come out to explain that the Catholic Church does NOT support socialism. He acknowledged that both Christians and Socialists believed in giving to the poor, however, there is a key difference. “’The Christian says ‘Where can I give my stuff to help the people in needs?’ And the socialist says, ‘Where can I take someone else’s stuff and help the people in need?’”
“One is charity and one if theft,” the priest explained, calling socialism “genuinely evil.”
The Vatican has famously clashed with governments over its stance on immigration, taking the “Welcome the stranger” stance. The Catechism stated that developed nations are “obliged, to the extent they are able, to welcome the foreigner in search of the security and means of livelihood which he cannot find in his country of origin.”
Yet, the church does not believe that governments should usurp all power, as we see in socialism and communism. Why does it matter what the Vatican believes? Well, the Catholic Church is one of the most powerful and influential institutions in the world, with over 1.4 billion followers across every continent. The pope is not only a spiritual leader but a global diplomat whom heads of state treat with respect (besides Milei regarding the late Pope Francis). It is no coincidence that the church is asking influencers like Father Mike to expose the cruelties of socialism at this particular moment.
Posted originally on Jun 16, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
A billion-dollar company went bankrupt nearly overnight when it was revealed that their AI software was simply a group of 700 Indians in a data center providing users with responses. Builder.ai was valued at $1.5 billion and attracted major investors such as Microsoft.
The company engaged in what is known as “round-tripping” with VerSe Innovation, an Indian social media firm, where each company billed the other for similar amounts in order to inflate sales. Investors were misled, as they believed the company was performing well.
Builder.ai declared their 2024 revenue to be $220 million, which was later revised to $55 million. In 2023, they initially claimed to gross $180 in sales, but later revised this to $45 million. The company’s AI service “Natasha” was said to be a revolutionary development in AI. It turns out that Natasha was barely functional, and 700 Indian engineers performed most of the coding.
The company is facing insolvency hearings in jurisdictions across India, the US, and the UK. The company now has significant outstanding debts for unpaid cloud services, owing Microsoft $30 million and Amazon $85 million.
We are amid an AI start-up boom where countless companies are claiming to offer real AI services. This is a cautionary tale, as not all startups are operating on real AI platforms. Builder.ai was able to deceive even Microsoft. Proceed with caution.
Posted originally on Jun 16, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I attended your 2011 conference in Philadelphia. I was dragged there by a friend. You mentioned the war cycle resurfacing in 2014, and I didn’t believe it. I have read your criticism of Ukraine, and now Israel has not been trying to get Trump to attack Iran. You are correct, Zelensky is trying to get NATO to strike Russia first, claiming they are planning to invade the Baltic using a military drill in Belarus. Between the Neocons, Zelensky, and now Israel, all trying to get the US into war, any doubt I had about your models was ill-founded. You have paid with years of your life trying to help society. As is often said, no good deed goes unpunished.
You have demonstrated that there is a cycle to everything. I was told you are not married because you never found your companion, like Milton Friedman, whom you envied, is what I heard. Perhaps you will one day find that person who understands and appreciates your calling in life.
Thank you for your courage and endurance.
WP
ANSWER: Thank you for the cartoon of Milton and Rose. Milton had a very special relationship with Rose, who, by the way, was born in Ukraine when it was the Russian Empire before the USSR. They met in school and had the same interests – economics. I seriously doubt I would ever find such a person; it’s getting too late in life anyway.
I believe that Zelensky is such a piece of shit, he is beyond description. He is a traitor to Ukraine for he was pretending to be Christian and was a NeoNazi. He became Jewish ONLY after he became president to hide the fact that he was a NeoNazi.
The New York Times even published this piece about Ukrainian Nazis how they killed here a Jewish mother holding the hand of her child. They killed her, but threw the child in the grave because they did not waste bullets on children. They cut the babies out of pregnant women and sewed a live cat into the womb. What the Ukrainians were doing even horrified the German Nazis. the CIA protected the Ukrainian Nazis only because they hated Russians as well. That is where we are today with the press cheering every blow against Russia and refusing to look at the facts.
The Ukrainisn NeoNazi’s hated anyone who was NOT Ukrainian. They carried out genocide against Poles, Hungarians, and Russians as well as Jews. Like George Soros who pretend to be Christian to also hide from the Nazis, Zelensky was the same.
Here is Zelensky before becoming president, joking about confiscating the assets of Jews and Russians. He became a Jew only to hide his past.
Biden’s Neocons were all Ukrainian Jews claiming that their families were persecuted by Russians. So all three supported Ukrainian NeoNazis all because they hated Russins. Garland brought all sorts of charges against Trump, trying to prevent him from taking office because he was anti-war.
This ethnic hatred produced World War I when a Serbian assassinated the heir to the throne of Austria. This hatred will bring us into World War III. The hatred is surfacing everywhere. I do not see a way out – sorry.
Posted originally on Jun 15, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Thank you, sir, for everything you do. You just wrote: “A major conflict can weaken a regional power or create a power vacuum. ” Being from the region, the fall of Saddam resulted in such a power vacuum, and we saw sectarian violence and the rise of ISIS. If Iran were to collapse, would this not create a nightmare in the Middle East? What is being reported is that Israel also wanted to assassinate the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. I think you said that killing the head of state is bad in war. I don’t remember where you said that. I think it was regarding Zelensky trying to kill Putin.
RV
ANSWER: Mr Trump’s policy to keep America out of foreign entanglements is being strained to the breaking point. If Iran’s regime were to fall, indeed, a corresponding power vacuum would emerge and could make the entire region extremely dangerous. This could drag the US into battle, but not with formal governments, but with ethnic clans. It would be difficult for America to remain neutral as rival powers also rushed to take advantage, assuming they stood by and did not prevent the fall of Iran. You don’t need much imagination to contemplate what would erupt also between shite, sunni, and even kurds in addition to the anti-Israel and anti-American sentiment that would erupt.
Just over two decades ago, when Iraq’s government was toppled, as the world celebrated, a power vacuum emerged. Then came immense, bloody upheaval. Terrorist groups, rather than national states, would not leave the Middle East in peace, but utter chaos. The West has been involved in Iran’s government for a long time. It was Mossadegh, who became Prime Minister of Iran, who nationalized the Iranian oil industry, expelling APOC/British interests. In 1953, CIA/MI6 Coup (Operation Ajax) orchestrated a coup to overthrow Mossadegh because he was leaning toward communism. This is precisely on our war model target, 72 years later, bringing us to 2025. This is highly dangerous.
The assassination of a head of state during wartime carries severe, often catastrophic dangers that frequently backfire strategically, politically, and morally. Killing the Supreme Leader will transform him into a martyr, which would most likely unify fractured populations and harden resistance against Israel and the West. For example, the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand ignited WWI. Such assassinations often lead to surges in public support after the fact. The same took place with the assassination of Julius Caesar, stabbing him 23 times.
The assassination of the Supreme Leader would only result in a power vacuum and unintended consequences, resulting in global chaos. This could easily be taken as a religious war. Removing centralized authority can also fragment command structures, leading to warlordism, civil conflict, or extremist takeovers (e.g., Libya post-Gaddafi). This complicates peace efforts and the delivery of humanitarian aid. There would be nobody to negotiate peace with.
Such acts often provoke extreme retaliation—chemical, nuclear, or indiscriminate attacks. In 1942, Hitler ordered brutal reprisals after Reinhard Heydrich’s assassination, including the Lidice massacre, which was a brutal Nazi war crime committed during World War II in retaliation for the assassination (Operation Anthropoid) of the high-ranking SS official and key architect of the Holocaust on May 27, 1942. The retaliation took place on June 10, 1942. Lidice was a village in Nazi-occupied Czechoslovakia (now Czech Republic). Although Lidice had no proven connection to the attack, Nazis linked it to resistance activity based of coerced intelligence and all buildings were systematically demolished with explosives. The ruins were bulldozed, and the land was even salted to prevent regrowth as the Romans did to Carthage. Some 173 men (ages 15+) were executed on-site, while 19 women were sent to concentration camps and later executed. Some 198 women and children were sent to Ravensbrück concentration camp; most died from abuse, starvation, or gassing. 82 children were forcibly “Germanized” (given to SS families) or murdered in gas vans at Chełmno extermination camp. Only 17 survived the war. Lidice became a symbol of Nazi brutality and a rallying cry for resistance.
Removing the head of state cuts off all possible Diplomatic Pathways, which is why the neocons advise against communication with the enemy. Eliminating a leader destroys potential negotiation channels. Figures like Slobodan Milošević (Yugoslavia) were ultimately tried for war crimes—an option removed by assassination.
Perceived “tyrannicide” only fuels propaganda, recruiting insurgents against the assassin state. The U.S. killing of Qasem Soleimani (2020) intensified anti-American sentiment and Iranian proxy attacks. This does violate ethical and legal precedents. Both Zelensky and Israel would also violate all international norms (UN Charter Article 2(4) on sovereignty). This sets a highly dangerous precedent for extrajudicial killings, which in the end eroded global stability and removed all the rules of war, resulting in barbarism.
Unintended Successors Replacement leaders may be more radical. Assassinating Julius Caesar ended the Republic and ushered in his heir, Augustus (27BC-14AD), as the first Roman emperor. Be careful for what you wish for, for you can end up with exactly what you are trying to prevent. Indeed, decapitation rarely ends wars—it typically prolongs or intensifies them. Stable resolutions require systemic change (e.g., institutions, treaties), not isolated strikes. As Sun Tzu warned: “Kill one, terrorize ten thousand.” The true cost is measured in cycles of vengeance and instability.
Israel’s targeted assassinations of the leadership in Iran may have the opposite effect. High-level families have been airlifted to Russia, anticipating Israel’s actions. Mohammad Pakpour, the newly appointed commander of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), issued a stark warning in response to Israel’s strikes that killed former IRGC leader Hossein Salami. Pakpour vowed retaliation, saying, “In retribution for the blood of our fallen commanders, scientists and citizens, the gates of hell will soon be opened upon this child-killing regime.”
Israel has been trying to drag the US into this conflict just as Zelensky tried with Trump, but is now attempting to get NATO to also do a “re-emptive” strike against Moscow. Israel cannot eradicate Iran’s nuclear facilities, and that is dependent on bringing the US into the conflict. That is a huge gamble for Tel Aviv given the number of critics of US interventionism among the top ranks of Trump’s advisers. The American people are tired of endless wars. The US president himself has attempted to make reversing US interventionism a key part of his legacy.
Israel’s actions are already harming world economic interests by pushing global oil prices up and complicating relations with the Gulf states that have much to lose if the conflict disrupts shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Posted originally on Jun 15, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Lindsey Graham is up for election, and his polls are down to 34%. Do you support him, or would you vote Democrat? And where do you stand on the Big Beautiful Bill? You have been silent.
LK
ANSWER: I do not support Lindsey Graham. If there were no other choice, yes, I would even consider voting for a Democrat. He is a dangerous Neocon in my book. Look, I have criticized Trump for threatening China publicly in trade. There are some conversations you cannot have in public. I have been silent publicly on this Big Beautiful Bill, but not behind the curtain. I have delivered my warnings, albeit too late for the House. I was just too busy with the world in total chaos. Needless to say, I will publish my objections in due course. But I cannot reveal some criticism in public if I am also trying to effect change behind the curtain. I’m too well-read to be cavalier about certain things if I’m serious about helping.
Posted originally on Jun 15, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Israel has asked the Trump administration over the past 48 hours to join the war with Iran to eliminate its nuclear program, according to two Israeli officials. Israel has admitted that it cannot destroy Iran’s nuclear facility, and only the USA has the power to do that. Israel simply lacks the bunker buster bombs and large bomber aircraft needed to destroy Iran’s Fordow uranium enrichment site. As shown here, it is built into a mountain and deep underground.
This is a reconstructed image purporting to show a central secret Iranian nuclear facility, based in part on information acquired by Israel’s Mossad in a famed 2018 operation. The website of the intelligence firm the Intel Lab has stated that the images of the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant codenamed Al Ghadir were three-dimensional reconstructions put together with an analyst with the code name @Orion__int on Twitter. The firm said they are based on the Israeli-acquired and public documents, as well as photographs and video images. “This multi-disciplinary effort is based on Civil Engineering knowledge, Nuclear Fuel Enrichment Cycle basics, Intelligence Analysis, and advanced skills in realistic modeling and rendering,”the Intel Lab said.
The Trump administration has so far distanced itself from Israel’s operation and argued that it would be illegitimate for Iran to retaliate by striking U.S. targets. The problem here is that any direct UNPROVOKED attack on Iran will bring the US into conflict with both China and Russia. Directly attacking Iran, even if the U.S. involvement is limited to bombing a single site, would pull the U.S. directly into the war, and this could lead to WWIII.
The hard reality is that if the Fordow nuclear facility remains operational, assuming there is an end to this operation, it means that Israel will have failed in its goal to “eliminate” Iran’s nuclear program after all of this. What they may have inspired is that North Korea becomes the proxy to just hand a nuke to Iran.
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This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America
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