Socrates & its Forecast of Shortages in Food for this 8.6-Year Wave


COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; I am beyond impressed with the forecast your computer puts out. More than a year in advance you forecast that this wave would be inflationary but due to shortages in food. I do not know how it makes such an interesting forecast, but nobody out there can even come close which is obviously why they try to mimic you while ignoring you and hope nobody lands on your site.

Thank you for bringing clarity to this chaos

All the best


ANSWER: Yes, Socrates was projecting this would be a wave of inflation coming from SHORTAGES of food. We are already witnessing rising food prices. It was picking up all the subtle shifts in the world economy and I could see that something strange was in the development by last August 2019. Obviously, like war, it cannot forecast the precise person but it does reveal their actions. This is the same forecast ability. It was showing a shortage of food for this cycle, but it could not tell me it would be instigated by Bill Gates and the World Economic Forum trying to push their Great Reset.

Nevertheless, there are serious shortages of food on the horizon. Those who are attempting to destroy the economy so they can recreate it in their image are clueless about how the world economy functions. All they have looked at is their stupid models on CO2 when CO2 is 0.04% of the atmosphere. They have wiped out crops by destroying the food chain and either they are totally ignorant of their actions, or they have deliberately also tried to invoke starvation to reduce the population. Nobody will investigate either and I am sure they would claim to be ignorant of the impact on the food supply by pushing for lockdowns. There is ample evidence that this excuse is BS and they must know what they are doing which would bring up the question of crimes against humanity. They will then probably blame global cooling.

The Forecaster Will be Available for Streaming on Amazon Soon

European Civil Unrest Erupting in Germany & the Netherlands

Riots are erupting all over Europe. In Stuttgart, a total of 400 to 500 people participated in the riots since Sunday night with 19 police officers injured. The same is unfolding in the Hague in the Netherlands. These politicians know nothing about human nature. Our studies of time and riots warned that a simple correlation provided a forecast that the civil unrest would turn violent after 4 to 6 weeks. We have even provided a listing of US civil unrest incidents.

These politicians are clueless as to what they are trying to do, using this virus as the excuse to civilly imprison people until they destroy all CO2 producing companies. They are fully conspiring with the climate change people by using the virus as the excuse to destroy the world economy.

Will the Dollar Crash?

QUESTION: Good morning from Greece Martin!! It will be very interesting to have your comment on Steven’s Roach interview at CNBC about an upcoming dollar collapse due to the ballooning US deficit.

My respect for your job,

ANSWER: This is the typical myopic nonsense. All they ever do is look at the quantity of money and focus exclusively on the United States. There is a dollar shortage because around the world people fear their own governments. About 70% of all paper dollars are outside the USA. With the prospect of Europe canceling their currency and their inability to sell debt, they will push to convert all debt to perpetual bonds without notice; the dollar will be the LAST to crack. Make no mistake about it — the dollar will crack for that is the Monetary Crisis Cycle. But this comes in stages.

These economists look at domestic numbers and always rely on the Quantity Theory of Money, and they have been dead wrong ever since 2009. The dollar would crash if Trump lost the election, for then the Democrats would join the socialists of Europe. Pelosi already tried to slip in the “digital dollar” in preparation of also canceling the currency to enforce raising taxes.

New Interview: The Mid-March Bottom and Rising Civil Unrest

Click here to listen to “The Mid-March Bottom and Rising Civil Unrest” interview with Cris Sheridan from Financial Sense (June 16, 2020)

This interview confers Socrates forecasting the mid-March bottom followed by a strong rally. Only an advanced computer system capable of viewing every market simultaneously while comparing past patterns, timing, and pricing could make such a forecast. Additionally, the interview discusses how our models pinpointed the beginning of the rising civil unrest that we are currently witnessing on a global scale. This is an organized attempt to reconstruct the world economy. Stay informed.

To view all of Martin’s latest interviews, visit the “Media” tab on the homepage of our website.

Is Socialism Dying?

QUESTION: Good day Marty. Thanks for your work and assistance at trying to remain sane during these times. Question; you’ve stated many times that socialism is dying. From where I sit it appears the opposite. Do you think these are the signs of an extinction burst, or do we expect even more insanity ultimately leading to the complete loss of freedom and liberty at the hands of these lunatics?

Thanks, be well and please live long!!


ANSWER: It is dying because the social programs can no longer be funded from pensions to the size of government employment. Because this is dying, it also results in aggressive fighting back in the system to try to save it. In part, this has been the intense hatred of Trump, and the Democrats feel they must take the White House to save their agenda. Consequently, the rise in activity is the direct result of it declining. If nothing was at risk, there would be no need for this intense rise in resistance. So they are reacting ONLY because it is failing. We see this in Europe where they are moving to cancel all currency to force people back to the banks where they will be charged negative interest rates for daring to save.

Unfortunately, we have the last twelve years left. Marxism never works. They have tried it so many times. It fails because they try desperately to change human nature. They constantly portray someone having more than they do as evil and unjust. We are all created equal in rights, but not in talents. Some people faint at the sight of blood and others can be doctors. Some are great athletes and others can’t run 20 yards. We should see the end of Marxism with the collapse of governments beginning in 2032 moving into 2037/2038.

Global Unemployment

COMMENT: Dear Mr. Armstrong,

According to a survey done by an online HR/recruitment firm (link attached above), 1 in 5 of Malaysians lost their job due to MCO aka lockdown arising from the COVID.

This is a stark contrast from what mainstream media reports or official numbers. It looks like things are getting ugly when reality sets in.

Stay safe and stay healthy. God bless America!


REPLY: It appears that on average, the global unemployment rate is around 20% thanks to COVID-19. Certain places where they rely on tourism has reached 50%+. This is so profound. Governments in Europe are telling people to stay home for vacations and not travel to southern Europe. Americans have been terrorized by the media not to take cruises or travel by plane. This summer will only heighten the sovereign debt crisis as we head into August.

What is Different This Time Between 1987 & 2020 – 33 years Later?

QUESTION: Marty, I was there at your 1987 conference on the weekend of the crash. I was amazed, with many others, that you were able to say the futures would drop 10,000bp and bottom with the ECM and then make new highs. I don’t have to say many did not believe that forecast. What is the difference you see this time since it does feel different?

Your loyal follower on this quest for knowledge.


ANSWER: The 1987 Crash took place on the day of the ECM on October 19, 1987. So we have the low on the turning point, which confirmed that we should make new highs by the next turning point 1989.95.

The cause was termination from the foreign exchange markets set in motion by the stupidity of the G5 in trying to manipulate the dollar lower for trade AFTER they sold 1/3 of the US national debt to the Japanese.

By attempting to manipulate the dollar lower to gain trade benefits, they fail to understand that foreign investment in the US would also be repelled. You cannot lower the value of a currency by 40% to help trade without causing losses to foreign investors. So the 1987 Crash was currency driven and not economic. When Rubin was trying the same stupid nonsense in 1997, 10 years later, that is when I warned them this was a stupid idea that created the 1987 Crash. They responded, but more importantly, they backed off.


This time we have brain-dead epidemiologists who are as corrupt as a $3 bill and should be thrown in prison for the global damage they have done deliberately without regard to the people. They have sold their souls to the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, which should be investigated for covert activities. The economic patterns are distinctly different and reflect the actions of a terrorist organization. This was not the mere stupidity of unqualified people in government. We have billionaires acting like usurpers, seizing power to force their vision of the future upon the rest of society.

This has been a direct assault to destroy and redesign the economy from the ground up. The patterns are completely different and display a frontal attack upon the economy. This is not a result of an unintended consequence of manipulating one market without comprehending the interconnectivity throughout the entire system. This has been a deliberate attempt to destroy the economy and our way of life as we have known it. Therefore, the stark difference has been the collapse of many sectors that have been set in motion deliberately. We then see European politicians gleefully looking at this as an opportunity to rebuild the economy from a green perspective. You have Spain introducing basic income which is all designed to move Europe into a full-blown Marxist state by eliminating paper currency. Soon, they will default on all debt by transforming all government debt to perpetual bonds when they realize they cannot sell debt anymore.


When we look at the 1987 Crash, the entire event was 8.6 weeks. It bottomed with the ECM, which was not the case this time.  Moreover, there was a set of Double Weekly Bearish Reversals at 286.10. Once they were elected, there was nothing on our system models, including technical, that would reflect any support until we reached the Monthly Bearish Reversal. Hence, the forecast we would drop 10,000 points and then bottom wit the ECM.

The Monthly Bearish Reversal was 180.30 and the low was 180.00. That met all our criteria perfectly. But look at the pattern for the recovery. We do not see the strong immediate bounce as we have seen this time. In fact, it took 41 weeks to elect the first Weekly Bullish Reversal. There was a slow but steady advance which was reflecting the underlying strength within the economy. There was no Paradigm Shift, but a disruption to the foreign exchange markets which is the foundation of international capital investment.

The G5 was created at the Plaza Accord in 1985, calling for the dollar to decline by 40% to reduce the US trade deficit. As the dollar fell too far, other members complained and this led to the Louvre Accord in February 1987, when they declared the dollar had declined far enough. The dollar kept falling, the sentiment shifted, and everyone began to question if the central banks were capable of doing anything. Hence, by October 1987, there was a massive panic selling in the dollar which led to selling dollar assets.

Energy & the Stock Market


QUESTION: Marty; Your energy model seems to be warning that the bounce is not going to last. I have followed the reversals and they have been great for the bounce. What I have noticed is your energy model peaked two weeks before the low but as the market has rallied, energy has been declining. The 2018 December low your energy bottomed with the low and that was a good rally. This seems to be the opposite. Is my interpretation correct?


ANSWER: Yes. We have a divergence on the weekly level with the typical novice rushing in to buy based upon the fact the market has simply rallied. They will always judge the next 5 years by a few weeks of price action. When we look at the monthly level, the peak in price was very high in energy which has been declining ever since. This also warns of caution. Keep in mind that we had a nice 11-year rally in the Dow & S&P500 from the 2009 low. That is a traditional bull market. But the NASDAQ bottomed in 2002, not 2009, so that was an 18-year rally, which is significantly different.

Cyclical v Linear Analysis Special Report $4.95

A lot of people have inquired as to how our Computer System has been so accurate in forecasts not just markets and economic booms & busts, but political like the Trump victory and Brexit to the latest that the Coronavirus would peak in April ideally the week of April 6th,2020 when scientists, they claimed, were forecasting it would last for 18 months of longer. This special report dives into the methodology of academics in  all fields other than physics who use the assumption that if the temperature rises by 0.1% last year, they extrapolate that out and project we will all die in 20 years because a 1.5 degree increase will destroy the planet.

All of these forecasts have been simple linear progressions which are absurd. This is like saying the Dow rose 1,000 points last years so it will do the same for the next 20 years. We all know that such forecast are a joke. Even the Wall Street Journal would never publish such a forecast. They published a cycle back in 1933. Nevertheless, we have politicians imposing regulations all based upon this analysis that is not just a joke, it is an outright fraud.

This report has gathered all these forecasts since the beginning of the 19th century that mean we should all be dead by now. Despite these forecasts always being wrong, the press continually prints them all the time. The United Nations said entire nations would be wiped out by 2000. I think the data is 2020 if I am correct and nobody manipulated the calendar.


In 1932, they predicted the glaciers would melt and the water would rise to the 15th floor in New York City. You just can’t make up this stuff.  This is the methodology being used by all of these academics and in disease, this is what Gates has been funding to change the world based upon total nonsense.

This Report is Available for Download ….. $4.95