Posted originally on Aug 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The German economy contracted 0.3% on a quarterly basis, according to the Federal Statistics Office. Germany’s stronghold on manufacturing is at risk. The government implemented new provisions to bypass the constitution and spend in perpetuity on the incoming war. Spending is up, revenues are down—the German economy is in a recession.
Annual GDP reached 0.2% in Q2, a 0.1% decline from Q1. Around 10% of all German exports are sent to the US, and some are blaming tariffs for the downfall without seeing that the trend was already in motion. Germany’s economy has been in a multi-year downturn caused by ignorant economic policies that directly damaged Germany’s mercantile stronghold in Europe.
Politicians suffocated automobile manufacturing through net-zero regulations. Sanctions on Russia caused Germany to lose 50% of its oil imports. Its willingness to bend to Brussels has reshaped the demographic landscape with a spike in the population due to migration. Lawmakers have adopted a war posture and are pushing to increase military spending while abandoning their austerity policy. Germany may be the wealthiest nation in the European Union, but individual households are not experiencing any benefits. In fact, the average German has far less than those living in countries with a smaller GDP. The cost of living has never meaningfully dropped since the pandemic and lockdowns.
Germany has not experienced such economic weakness since post-World War II. Estimates believe that the economy will decline 0.3% for the year or remain stagnant at best. Manufacturing has dropped 10% below pre-pandemic levels. Construction has shrunk by around 3% in recent quarters due to high costs. Exports, which are 34% of Germany’s GDP, are down as demand from the US and China wanes. If Germany tanks, then the entire European Union will sink, as Germany alone comprises nearly a quarter of the Union’s entire GDP.
Posted originally on Aug 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The motives behind the open border policy are numerous, but one undeniable motive was encouraging an influx of potential voters who would vote for the party subsidizing their lives. Pew Research recently conducted a poll and looked at the illegal alien population between 2021 and 2023. Not so coincidentally, the Biden Administration resettled over one million migrants in swing states during the two years leading up to the US Presidential Election.
The number of illegal migrants residing in the US peaked in 2023 at 14 million, according to Pew Research Center estimates. Over 3.5 million migrants surged into the nation during the two years leading to the election. There has never been such a drastic influx of illegal migrants in the history of the United States. It took a deliberate and calculated effort from the Biden Administration to permit MILLIONS of people to enter at such a rapid pace without any checks or balances. Around 6 million or 43% of illegal migrants received legal protections from the past administration to prevent their deportation, up from only 2.7 million in 2021 when Biden took office.
Mexico accounted for only 30% of migrants living in the US in 2023. Other top nations included Guatemala (850,000), El Salvador (850,000), Honduras (775,000), Venezuela (650,000), and India (680,000).
Around one million migrants surged into swing states. Democrats held false hope that Florida was turning into a purple state. The illegal alien population grew by 700,000 in the two years before the election, but that did little to help the DNC. New Jersey, not even a border state, experienced a rise of 150,000 migrants, and New York saw a surge of 230,000. Georgia’s migrant population rose by 100,000, as did North Carolina’s. Texas took in 45,000 migrants, while Pennsylvania and Michigan each experienced an increase of 80,000 migrants. Arizona saw its illegal alien population rise by 50,000, Wisconsin by 30,000, and New Hampshire by 5,000.
One must understand the sheer number of people these states took in. New Hampshire, for example, has a population of only 1.4 million. These are merely the people who were accounted for as the government admitted they had no idea of the true figure. There was a coordinated effort to fly and bus migrants to key swing states, and the Democrats fought tooth and nail to repeal voter ID and increase mail-in voting availability. The outrage over foreign election interference was misplaced as our own politicians attempted to sway the election—and still lost.
Posted originally on Aug 23, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
John Bolton is one of the most entrenched Neocons in Washington. The FBI raided John Bolton’s home and office yesterday, August 22, 2025, as part of a national security investigation focused on classified records. This investigation is linked to potential leaks of classified documents to the media and began during the Biden administration. Bolton, naturally being a staunch Neocon, never likes such a peace meeting with Russia. He predicted that Putin would win, and afterwards he commented that “Trump did not lose, but Putin clearly won.“
Bolton’s book, which constantly bashed Trump for not starting WWIII, was ultimately cleared for publication. It heavily criticized Trump’s behavior while president. In the years since, Bolton has continued to bash Trump on television. In his book, he claimed that Trump was addicted to chaos, who embraced our enemies and spurned our friends, and was deeply suspicious of his own government.
Being sent in to meet people who wanted to run for President, then watching as they hand-picked everyone and stuffed Bush Jr’s cabinet, installing DFick Cheny as the real president running the show, and being offered the position of Chief Economic Advisor, even General Flyn in his documentary said the same ting, that Trump was naive the first time. They stuffed his cabinet as they did to Bush Jr., and everyone was stabbing him in the back, as was John Bolton. That is why the second time around, Trump picked his cabinet BEFORE even getting to Washington. Bolton is part of the sinister Deep State of unelected people who think they have a right to rule the country for their personal objectives.
This is NOT a question of retribution. This is a question of a Deep State usurpation of power that has been an effective coup that was staged with the help of the media to constant bash Trump and hail people like Bolton as true unelected Americans.
This is what our computer has forecast. We are looking at the collapse of this Republic that has become the Deep State in all its glory. When Caesar crossed the Rubicon, he did not have to fight his way to Rome. All the cities opened their gates and cheered. The Senate and its fake news operation fled to Asia. This coin, issued by Julius Caesar, displays the elephant crushing the corrupt Republican Senate, which appears symbolically as this dragon-headed snake. The reverse is just priestly implements. This is what 2032 will be all about – ending the corruption.
Posted originally on Aug 22, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
California has been repelling capital through overregulation. The energy sector high-tailed out of the state in recent years under Governor Gavin Newsom’s net-zero policies. Now, even retailers feel forced to evacuate as California becomes increasingly anti-business.
Bed Bath & Beyond announced that it must close all retail stores within the state of California. “This decision isn’t about politics—it’s about reality,” company head Marcus Lemonis said in a social media post. “California has created one of the most overregulated, expensive, and risky environments for businesses in America. It’s a system that makes it harder to employ people, harder to keep doors open, and harder to deliver value to customers.”
Newsom’s office commented that Bed Bath & Beyond was already a dead business, failing to take any responsibility. To begin, California’s minimum wage continues to rise year after year at a pace unsustainable for businesses. Automation is replacing the human workforce, and some studies have shown that minimum wage workers in California are simply receiving fewer working hours as employers aim to cut costs.
Newsom believes he can continue spending and rescue the state from the debt through taxation. Fleeing businesses can’t pay taxes, and California forces both businesses and residents to pay some of the highest taxes in the nation. All corporations operating in the state must pay a flat corporate income tax rate of 8.84% on net income. Banks and financial institutions pay a bit more at 10.84%. There is an annual franchise tax of $800 for businesses as well. But wait—corporations are still beholden to the 21% federal corporate income tax, which means businesses are paying roughly 29.84% on corporate income taxes alone.
Payroll taxes in California are higher than the national average, largely due to social programs like State Disability Insurance (SDI) and the Employment Training Tax (ETT), which must be paid in addition to Unemployment Insurance (UI). There is a personal income tax withholding of up to 14.63% that employers must withhold from employees as well.
The state was forced to overturn its policy regarding shoplifting and burglary after criminals used the minimum $950 amount for petty theft to avoid felony charges. Countless businesses shuttered their brick-and-mortar locations as a direct result of light-on-crime policies.
Capital flees excessive regulation and it’s almost a no-brainer for corporations to move beyond state lines where operating costs are drastically lower.
Posted originally on Aug 22, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The most human of experiences has been automated as China unveiled a new AI robot that is capable of carrying a fetus to full term, replicating the entire pregnancy process from conception to birth. Kaiwa Technology in Guangzhou plans to release these robots in 2026 for $1,400, or a small fraction of what couples pay for surrogates. Has science gone to far in the quest to play God?
These “pregnancy robots” are vastly different from traditional incubators that are utilized for premature or at-risk newborns. The fetus develops within the robot’s artificial womb in synthetic amniotic fluid. Scientists have developed artificial placentas equipped with a tube system operated by AI, which can feed the baby oxygen and nutrients during gestation. Humans have never procreated through an artificial womb nor has a robot replicated the whole gestation process.
Surrogacy was deemed unethical, and the Chinese government banned the practice in 2001. The government prohibited the trade of ova, sperm, embryos, and other related reproductive items. If not outright banned, most nations have a complicated legal framework surrounding surrogacy and parental rights. The Chinese government believes gestational surrogacy exploits women in poverty, and the law recognizes the birthing mother as the legal mother. Still, repealing the one-child policy and infertility have caused a spike in interest.
Some believe this technology will be a breakthrough for couples suffering from infertility. Outside China, same-sex couples could also benefit from AI-driven surrogacy that costs a fraction of the price. Women may not be exploited for their wombs, but what about the babies born to non-human figures?
The mother-child relationship is the genesis of life and creation. The age-old debate of nature v nurture always concludes that both are essential. Scientists conducted a number of unethical studies during the last World War to see what would happen if a baby were deprived of nurture. Naturally, these studies could never be replicated again.
The Third Reich was keenly interested in eugenics and expanding the Aryan race. In 1935, Heinrich Himmler implemented selective breeding programs for “racially pure” women. Lebensborn homes were developed to discreetly provide unwed women the opportunity to procreate. The Christian society villainized unwed mothers, and so the program operated in secrecy. After birth, biological parents were forced to surrender all parental rights to the German government who assumed full parental guardianship. Thousands of children were born under this program that lasted nine years and expanded to all Nazi-occupied territories.
As a reportfrom the Ministry of Justice stated: “Leaders of the [League of German Girls have] intimated to their girls that they should bear illegitimate children; these leaders have pointed out that in view of the prevailing shortage of men, not every girl could expect to get a husband in future, and that the girls should at least fulfill their task as German women and donate a child to the Fuhrer.”
Newborns were deprived of maternal bonding and nurturing, a crucial factor that the Nazis failed to consider. “Racially and genetically valuable” babies experienced severe cognitive issues. Some of the children were placed in mental facilities for the remainder of their lives. Children showed signs of impaired memory, attentional deficits, emotional dysregulation, and delayed learning. Countless children experienced intense trauma regarding their true identities.
Obviously, there has never been a study to determine development within an artificial womb. Animal studies have shown that maternal hormones such as prolactin (PRL) are excreted during late pregnancy and activate neural brain circuits responsible for the biological nurturing response for both the mother and newborn. The biochemical communication between the mother and child determines fetal outcomes. Could an artificial placenta create the same experience?
Developmental issues are one major area for concern. Countless dystopian tales discuss what could happen if governments could control the population. The Nazis may have attempted to expand the Aryan race, but what could other governments do with this same power? Governments and globalist entities are constantly determining ways to control the population. The majority of developed nations are experiencing a severe decline in birth rates coupled with an aging population. The government could create a subset of humans to act as future soldiers, workers, or worse. Scientists need a human egg and sperm for these devices, and those born to robotic mothers would be humans. Bad actors could easily hide their misdeeds by pretending robot-born humans are AI. We may need to not only prove our identity but our actual existence as sentient homo sapiens in the future.
Japan experienced a contraction in exports for the first time in four years this July. Exports declined 2.6% on an annualized basis, falling beneath the median forecast of a 2.1% contraction, according to the Ministry of Finance.
As with Canada, tariffs have caused a downturn in the auto sector. Autos, auto parts, and steel saw the steepest decline since February 2021. “Car shipments to the US have started to decline in volume, suggesting that the impact of tariffs is finally starting to show,” said Taro Saito, head of economic research at NLI Research Institute. “In the US, prices of Japanese exports began rising around June or July, so we’re now seeing the effects of Japanese goods gradually losing their price competitiveness.”
Japanese exports to the US fell 10.1% in July YoY, with vehicles sharply falling by 28.4% and auto parts by 17.4%. Tariff discussions are ongoing, with some progress made in July. However, nothing has been set in stone, and the uncertainty is clearly reflected in trade.
The decline expanded beyond the US—tariffs are not the only culprit. Exports from Japan to China fell by 3.5%, with orders to Europe falling 3.4%. Demand is waning. Europe is experiencing a recession already, and China has boosted its manufacturing capacity to the point where it does not need to rely as strongly on exports. US tariffs are certainly playing a TEMPORARY role in world trade, but we must look at the macro trend rather than singling out a momentary policy adjustment.
Posted originally on Aug 21, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
Congressman Matt Gaetz proposed a radical peacetime solution – allow Russia to join NATO. “Before you suggest I’m crazy for thinking about NATO and Russia as partners, the idea has been floated by foreign policy thinkers on the right and left for some time,” Gaetz added.
“In 1997, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee held a hearing on NATO expansion. President Clinton’s secretary of state, Madeleine Albright, reflected on groundbreaking cooperation between NATO and Russia.” The concept never came to fruition as NATO decided that encircling Russia was of paramount concern, and partnering with its greatest enemy was of no interest to the neocons who WANT war. “Michael McFaul was President Obama’s ambassador to Russia. In 2006, he wrote an article entitled, ‘Why a Democratic Russia Should Join NATO,’” Gaetz went on. “Again, this reinforces that NATO membership is an earned reward, not an entitlement, but why not give Russia a chance to earn it?”
McFaul’s piece on Russian NATO membership was published in July 2006. But you must read between the lines, as the ambassador was suggesting more than mere integration. “In Russia, they are represented by the corrupt bureaucracy and advocates of authoritarianism who believe that greater contact with the West restricts their power and diminishes their wealth. In the West, and especially in the United States, they are represented by policymakers and analysts who believe that Russians do not value democracy, Russian leaders are imperialists, and Russia therefore can never be considered part of the West,” McFaul wrote.
He continued to say that the West was not threatening to Russia, nor are “Russians genetically disposed towards autocracy nor historically destined to remain imperial.” Yet, under the leadership of Vladimir Putin, the West refuses to consider Russia a true democracy because it upholds nationalist views. Russia refuses to bend the knee to the globalist world order and, therefore, is considered an “unqualified member of the West.” A regime change would alter the West’s perspective, as the West has long sought control over Russia. McFaul suggested that European leaders should outline a framework for Russia to join the European Union to become fully integrated into the West “even if it takes chunks of centuries.” Again, Russian NATO membership is contingent on Russia becoming a Western globalist world order member.
Obama’s Russian ambassador then went on to state that Russia must establish closer relations with other globalist organizations such as the United Nations, the OSCE, and the Council of Europe. Furthermore, Russia was to support the United States in its war in the Middle East and establish a “regional security organization, not unlike the CSCE that the United States and the Soviet Union anchored when first formed in 1974.”
Russia would never agree to join NATO. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) was founded in the aftermath of the last World War to counter Russian influence, despite Russia being an ally during wartime. NATO incorporated Eastern bloc countries of the former Soviet Union to weaken Russia’s global influence in a move that humiliated the Russian people. Even after the Cold War, NATO continued to encircle Russia and expand eastward to assert dominance.
Former Russian President Boris Yeltsin was cautious about NATO expansion but agreed to join the Partnership for Peace in 1994 to maintain diplomatic relations with the West. Yeltsin then signed on to the 1997 NATO-Russia Founding Act that stated Russia and NATO would not consider each other adversaries. NATO promised not to place nuclear weapons in new member states. Both sides agreed to increased transparency and cooperation. Every promise imploded in 2014 after the annexation of Crimea, the installation of a faux Ukrainian government, and the lie that was the Minsk agreement.
“Take care of Russia,” were Yeltsin’s final words to Putin before relinquishing power. Not only is Putin protecting Russia against foreign influence, but he is keeping the true hardliner oligarchs who wish to recreate the glory days of the USSR at bay. However, both the hardliners and NATO have been impatiently waiting for a misstep from Putin since he took office. Russia does not want to become a vassal state of the West. NATO was formed to combat Russia and now acts as a retirement home for neocons who want to see Russia destroyed before they take their final breaths.
Posted originally on Aug 21, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The contagion of war is spreading like wildfire. Venezuela has been feuding with the United States since 2019, when all communication came to a standstill. In recent weeks, the US placed a $50 million bounty on Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and has accused him of aiding the world’s top drug traffickers. The US has sent thousands of illegal Venezuelan migrants back to Venezuela despite pushback from the government. Tensions have boiled over after Trump visited with Putin.
Did Putin give Trump the green light to move in on Venezuela? Deep ties with Russia have protected Venezuela, but all alliances can come to an end with the proper incentives. On Monday, over four and a half MILLION Venezuelan troops were deployed after it was announced that US warships were circling Venezuela. “This week, I will activate a special plan with more than 4.5 million militiamen to ensure coverage of the entire national territory — militias that are prepared, activated and armed,” Maduro announced on state television. “The empire has gone mad and has renewed its threats to Venezuela’s peace and tranquility,” Maduro continued.
Maduro was indicted in 2020 during Trump’s first term under suspicion of narco-terrorism. The US placed a $15 million bounty on Maduro, which was later raised to $25 million under Biden but powerful people are protecting the Venezuelan president.
It is peculiar that the US acted within days of Trump’s discussion with Putin. The only obstacle for the US would have been Russia and the risk of starting yet another proxy war. China is also aligned with Venezuela, but the CCP has been outwardly neutral when it comes to foreign wars. China’s main concern is maintaining the One China policy and free trade. It is unlikely to move when it comes to Venezuela unless it directly impacts national interest.
The model had been targeting the week of August 18 as the beginning of heightened tensions and a turning point on the Panic Cycle. Not only did we see an unexpected meeting between Russian and American leaders, but the US began to encircle Venezuela, and Israel called up its reserve troops to continue its attack on Gaza. A nation would not ready 4.5 million troops if it did not suspect a potential attack. It is curious timing. Venezuela is an oil-rich country, and the US is keen to feed its own self-interests under Trump. Agreeing to abandon Venezuela could be a strategic move on Russia’s part to garner support from the largest member of NATO, which is at the head of peace talks.
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This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America